Holy fuck I just typed out my biggest post yet. Relax and open wide to receive my entire verbal load.
In a couple of weeks, we should hear news about Eduardo Cunha, the head of the House who started, but didn't finish, Dilma's impeachment process. So I'll make a timeline here.
He's a rather typical crook, and had been head of the House since February 2015, as PT's candidate. He belongs to MDB, the rent-a-majority party par excellence
. The left sometimes refers to them as radical centrists, not because of their stances in themselves – in practice they're slightly less reactionary bougies who try to pretend they're nice and enlightened libeals – but because they will support anyone or anything which might reach power. Effectively, they, and the smaller but nigh-undistinguishable parties which orbit it, keep the country hostage. Crucially, Dilma picked a veep from the same parties precisely as part of the ransom they charge to allow the president to preside.
In 13 October 2015, PSOL and REDE requested his expelling from the House for typical crook crimes as reported by Car Wash, for which he had been under investigation for some time. Unsurprisingly, he used his powers as head of the House to shunt that request aside.
Only 2 days later, Cunha picked one out of the 37 impeachment requests available (the media campaign was arguably at its peak), and his decision process no doubt involved political considerations. For starters, none of the 3 people who filed it were politicians at the moment, helping the narrative that the entire society was fed up with Dilma.
(Parenthetical since it's too long for a timeline item. One of them was a former succdem minister and thus already suspicious, as left warned. One was a sucessful lawyer without a political career until then, and seems to have been brought along by the third man, but I'll get to him in a bit. This second proponent supported Car Wash and attacked PT with fervor matched by few, which brought her fawning adoration from the press which built her up as another of the many "bulwarks of morality" of the post CW age. She was eventually elected in 2018 by way of the same party Bozo used (has has long left it because he fucks everything up). She became the most-voted state Representative in our history in the most populous and economically-important state, São Paulo, one of the many shameful records that shitshow of an election gave us. After Moro ran away from Bozo's circus, she chose to remain on the former's side, justifying her former support of the latter with the usual "I didn't expect this retarded shitbag would act like a retarded shitbag". Anyway, on the the 3rd proponent of the chosen impeachment proposal. He was the 2nd one's mentor in academia, and had, until then, been a venerable figure of the left. He was old as balls, having been of one Goulart's ministers, and would later be one of the ~100 founders of PT. After their ascension in 2002, he was among the many influential figures who left the party as it became a fixture in the political scene instead of enacting any serious reforms, and as these things usually go, despite disagreeing with PT from the left, he moved rightwards to the succdems, PT's biggest rivals. Throughout his life, he had been an attorney for humanitarian causes. Defending civil rights, prosecuting vigilante policemen and the like. And then he shat all over his legacy by helping the country go from its most prosperous age to its worse age out of knee-jerk political . To be fair, he most likely did it out of good intentions. CW fooled a lot of people.)
The dates are no coincidence. Cunha most likely put a noose around Dilma's neck to get PT to remove the noose around his neck.
Ever since at least 19 November, the proponents of Cunha's expelling process tried to get the House to officially start the process but were barred by interference from other government offices and a multitude of cheap tactics. Think filibustering-tier shit. Effectively, it was frozen since late November.
In 2 December, Cunha officially began Dilma's impeachment process, which would have multiple stages and a lot of other government offices butting in, partly to stop Cunha's bullshit and partly to unduly interfere, so it remained effectively frozen since some point in December 2015. There had been another attempt to get his expelling process going the day before.
Cunha's expelling process would start de facto
only in 3 March 2016, despite having been open in late November 2015 but frozen by aforementioned cheap tactics and external interference. The reason is simple: Car Wash's investigation of him brought up official charges.
The public side of the anti-PT campaign had been losing steam after peaking in late 2015, especially after the process was frozen like I mentioned above. This was quite possibly deliberate on the part of the people intervening, trying to avoid a crisis. Years later, a bigwig whose name I can't recall right now, said that the impeachment would probably have fizzled, were it not for…
In March 16, Dilma nominates Lula for a ministerial job, which would automatically grant him some juridic privileges, the most important one of which was that the ongoing investigation on him would be removed from Car Wash and Moro's jurisdiction and handed over to the much more agreeable Supreme Court (these privileges always come up when there are anything involving politicians here, some of them need these like they need air to breathe). This was quite clearly a maneuver to protect him, and the establishment did not let it slide. On the same day, Moro released the recent results of wiretaps on Dilma's phone. The key points are Lula, Dilma and other bigwigs arguing about this manuever, to which Lula was initially reluctant. Although there are no records of him accepting it for that reason, it was quite obvious, and media had a field day with it. Live updates, vaguely defamatory images, the works. They succesfully created the feeling that the entire country had caught someone with the proverbial hand in the cookie jar.
(This might not have seemed like much – it certainly was completely glossed over by our press – so let me clarify here that what we call a 1st instance judge wiretapped the fucking president of the republic and divulged the contents just like that. This was unheard-of even here and most likely violated an entire book worth of laws, not to mention the glaring issues of national security involved, and, to top it all off, even his order to declassify those audios might have been illegal. Our magistrates are horrendously powerful, because besides their nominal powers, it seems that everyone obeys whatever their orders by default like they referees in a game. Unless someone else – almost inevitably, a different magistrate – steps in, they can do nearly damn everything. Among the factors which might cause this, I would mention our past of absolute monarchy, dictatorship and sheer awfulness
of our elites; a horribly overgrown bureaucratic apparatus which, like our ruling classes, has never been really disrupted and remade, only ever scarcely reformed, although "patched" might be a better term, so the government has an absurd mess of laws and regulations of very unclear hierarchy; the current constitution was written in 1988, amidst a global tendency towards civil rights and anti-authoritarianism, so the many legal protections end up compounding the aforementioned bureaucratic mess; and last but not least, the post-post-modern loss of distinction of image and object make experts of various social institutions the arbiters of what is fact and what's fiction, and the highest of those are government courts.)
The very next day, March 17, Cunha resumed Dilma's impeachment process.
On the 18, the biggest crook in the Supreme Court barred Lula's nomination for that job.
(That very same crook has led the charge against Car Wash and demonstrated increasing sympathy towards Lula, as if the bastard hadn't been aware of everything. Regardless, events have turned the biggest favor-monger in government into the unlikely hero of democracy. "Brazil is not for amateurs", indeed. There are several quite moving videos of him denouncing CW's abuses and the attacks on democracy perpetrated by other people. A particularly inspiring performance took place after CW overplayed their hand and sealed their fate by misappropriating a shitload of recovered money which supposedly had been stolen by the people they convicted, but that's a story for another time.)
On 17 April, Dilma's impeachment process was started in earnest. Like I said, there are multiple stages. It's part of the messy bureaucracy.
Cunha was barred from his job on a provisional basis, pending the end of the process, in 5 May.
(The fact that the man who oversaw the impeachment process himself fell before it even ended didn't cast doubt on it. Such a principle applies only to judges, it seems, and I don't even know if it applies to judges in Brazil. Regardless, it's one of those many flaws of the modern State structure.)
Dilma was barred from her job on a provisional basis, pending the end of the process, in May 11. Her vice-president was now officially in charge.
Dilma was finally impeached on 10 August.
Cunha was finally expelled from the House in 12 September.
The fact that these events overlapped in time is enough to arouse suspicion. As far as I know, there's no conclusive proof of this, so with that in mind, what probably happened is, Cunha hanged Dilma because PT voted to expel him from the House. And that's pretty much it.
Cunha was arrested on 19 October, his arrest order carrying Moro's signature, another notch on CW's belt. Key to his convictions? The infamous plea bargain snitching which fueled most of CW's cases, including Lula's. There's a lot to be said about those, for now it suffices to say that a lot of those snitches had a lot of incentive to make as many accusations as possible. And Cunha wanted in on it to shave some years off an accumulated 30+ which CW would hand him (not to mention another 24+ sentence from a completely unrelated case wew), but Moro and the prosecutor-general of the republic (part of CW, of course) didn't like his snitching so tough luck. Given that it's known that he used these bargains, as well as intimidation, in order to get the accusations he wanted from the people he already caught, this is certainly suspicious, especially given how a central figure like him is bound to have a lot of juicy details. The press has also been unusually disinterested in interviewing him, tho I suppose he might not be interested either. During his first published interview in 29 September 2017, he claimed to be a political prisoner and that his snitching had been ignored because CW wanted trophy convictions and the prosecutor-general was an enemy of his. Well the two prosecutor-generals which came afterwards didn't give a shit about his accusations either.
Which finally brings us to the present. He has been writing a book, Goodbye, Honey - The impeachment diaries
, and the contents are highly anticipated. It'll be released on this 17 April, the 5th anniversary of the first, preliminary impeachment vote. A few tidbits have been released today.
- it was PT who tried to bribe him and he was the one who refused, but he had already said that before.
- other Congressmen also offered their help in exchange for bribes, but he bravely resisted them too.
- the Congressmen who would decide whether he was expelled or not also tried to blackmail him, but he remained brave. Stunning and brave.
- complete innocence from every accusation.
- PT's highest echelons sicced Car Wash on him in order to get him to play ball. Yeah, no, this one would never fly, and now more than ever. Among them he includes that prosecutor-general enemy of his, who, it turned out, also backstabbed PT.
- neither he nor Dilma had to fall if only big bad PT hadn't gone after him in the House. So he seems not to notice he's admitting he wanted to exchange favors.
- it seems that this "going after him" refers to the filing of the proposal to get him expelled all the way back in October 2015. PT didn't sign the proposal and I can't tell if they were behind it.
- after that supposed move by PT against him in October 15, he filed an impeachment request and signed it, and had the other necessary signatory sign it as well, and left the date blank. It was locked away in a fucking safebox, and Cunha intructed that colleague to immediately date it and get it published in case anything happened to Cunha which prevented him from being there. A pre-approved impeachment request!
- Lula, on the verge of tears, confessed that picking Dilma as his successor was the biggest mistake of his life. On the one hand, Cunha is a very biased source and particularly so when it comes to Dilma, but on the other, this regret of Lula's has been a rumor for years now.
- Dilma's veep not only welcomed, but also actively worked towards, her impeachment. In fact, he said it would never have happened without his negotiations with the parties to allocate the government offices and funds on his administration.
- Cunha is (or most likely was) close friends with one Joesley Batista, a bonafide porky and one of Car Wash's most prolific singing birds, if you get my meaning. This makes Cunha's claims that PT sicced CW on him even more ridiculous.
(A shitload of very high profile CW operations were based on his and his brother's snitching, and they became weird celebrities despite being ostensibly corrupt shits since they were helping "clean the country". Business publications had their own way of doing this, by painting the brothers as master businessmen, printing their photos doing the stereotypical crossed-arm power pose.)
- Joesley was very well-connected, and besides Cunha (to whom he owed the great fortune of his company thanks to leaked information), he had direct access to a Supreme Court judge, who happens to be one directly named by CW's leaders in the chats The Intercept
leaked. Joesley also frequently hosted talks between Cunha and other players, including PT leaders, not always amicably.
(This is more interesting to Brazilians since it might be a bit too hermetic for foreigners. One of these tense encounters was with Jacques Wagner, who is at the same time part of the high leadership of PT, a candidate with ever-rising popularity and a skilled behind-the-scenes operator. He's currently senator, and before that, he was the governor of Bahia, the blackest state in the country, which I find somewhat amusing because he's a white jew lel)
- Aécio had been opposed to the impeachment… because he wanted her ticket to be annulled by the electoral courts instead, because this would remove the veep too and trigger new elections, which he was quite likely to win. Once it turned out that would take too long, he went with the impeachment.
(Then soon afterwards had his shit pushed in by other succdem bigwigs fighting for PT's spoils, he's the first of the biggest 3 succdems I mentioned here: https://bunkerchan.net/leftypol/res/1322147.html#q1330544
- Cunha waves and winks towards Bolsonaro, remembering the time when he binned a complaint from a PT Representative. I think it was one which was filed after the infamous incident when he said the only reason he didn't rape her is because she wasn't worth it. Cunha's daughter, Danielle, will continue her father's bloodsucking career, and has already said she will rally behind Bozo.
And the most interesting revelation of all: back in the day, he had a meeting with a general who mucks up way too much in politics, and was surprised about his detailed knowledge of the inner workings of the president's office. Cunha came to the conclusion that the military had been spying on Dilma the entire time
. Not just listening in on her calls, they were aware of details of her schedule and who she talked to. The general in question is Villas-Bôas, arguably the most responsible person for Bozo's presidential bid. He was Bozo's connection to the troops, taking him on tours of barracks and all that shmoozing shit, and acted as his operator until neurodegenerative disease turned his brain to mush. Villas-Bôas, I mean, not Bozo. And may his new career as a vegetable last as long as possible. It can't possibly be easier than the career of a Brazilian officer.