That isn't how transfers of power work, the collapse of the central authority in Somalia was b/c there wasn't a unified opposition movement to fill the power vacuum, instead clan-based territorial violence prevailed. In Libya there was a lack of political infrastructure, destabilizing terrorist attacks, and the country's leadership fractured after only 3 years. In Myanmar, the democratic-parliamentary infrastructure is all there, they just had elections! There is a unified opposition, there are no terrorist groups. There's even a figurehead to fill in the power vacuum, Aung San Suu Kyi.
so this: >if they go full warlord chaos (which WILL happen
is a total fantasy