Interesting op ed on RT today. The writer argues that many countries today, especially Ukraine, would be unlikely to resist an occupation in the way the taliban, houthis, maquis, partisans etc. did, for structural reasons. So not "they are effeminate and don't have fighting spirit". He notes the following trends:
<DemographicsStraight forward, post industrial societies have fewer angry young men in them, who are typically the ones foolhardy enough to risk going up against superior odds.
<ElectronicsPeople have become for their communication and organising fully dependent on easily monitored, blocked or traceable applications. Turn off what's app, and most people couldn't organise a pub visit let alone a resistance cell.
<Security technologyFor those people that try to organise, they face a state armed with more technology to control them. CCTV cameras, modern crowd control weapons, surveillance tools linked to cell phones etc. The Okhrana can't hold a candle to a modern day police department.
<ApathyThis one is probably most fuzzy. People are apathic until they're not. Still, it does seem harder to motivate people for a singular cause in today's world of distractions.
All of these factors would hold for revolutionary movements as much as for Ukrainians. It explains why the few remaining Marxist insurgencies out there occur in countries that are still on the other side of the demographic shift. Not very hopeful though.
https://www.rt.com/russia/545831-could-ukraine-become-russias-new/