>>2916454>>2916488Now, There is actually a useful contrast here, because the United States demonstrates exactly what the kind of analysis you are asking me to accept would look like when the necessary data actually exist.
Take the peer-reviewed Texas study by Light, He and Robey, published in PNAS. The researchers were able to use Texas Department of Public Safety data that record immigration status for arrestees, allowing them to compare undocumented immigrants, legal immigrants and native-born US citizens directly over 2012–2018. (
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7768760/)
And the result was not merely an aggregate “foreigners are X% of arrests” calculation.
They calculated population rates.
They found that undocumented immigrants had the lowest felony arrest rates of the three groups. Native-born citizens were more than twice as likely as undocumented immigrants to be arrested for violent felonies, 2.5 times as likely for drug felonies, and more than four times as likely for property felonies. Most importantly for our discussion, when they broke violent crime down further, undocumented immigrants were roughly half as likely as native-born citizens to be arrested for sexual assault. (
https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2014704117)
That is the kind of evidence that can actually answer the question.
It gives you:
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