No.1792297
You do realize the Chinese censorship regime isn’t even absolute, right? VPNing past the GFW is like marijuana in the West; it’s technically illegal but most members of the intelligentsia do it. The end effect keeps fake news and foreign subterfuge out of China.
No.1792375
Comrades should be aware that the American economy is about to go through some pain. We saw US unemployment hit 3.9% in March, which was a strong leap from 3.4-3.5%, and the Fed’s easing policy is waiting for CPI to reach 2%. But guess what? CPI just came out at 3.3-4.2-5.3%, which means they can’t ease any time soon, thank the Houthis.
This is implying we’ll hit recession within the next 12 months, and it looks like it’s decoupling-driven inflation.
Thank god for American attempts to decouple from China, which insulates (relatively speaking) the Chinese economy from the American one.
No.1792380
>Thank god
Thank Allah
No.1793186
>>1793152democrats constantly subsidize and bail out the insurance companies with the federal healthcare system. We should all vote GOP so they gut the insurance companies and cut it all down
No.1796949
>>1454958love boy boy their recent video going into pine gap was cool as well
No.1817326
>>1817224Everyone who lives here knows this though
No.1817339
>>1792297>sniffing Westoid "freedoms" is like marijuanaYou'll visit outside of GFW either to pirate shit or to google some stuff
No.1817376
>>1817224>read the graphs>it's all "divide this arbitrary number by that arbitrary number and pretend that it's the most correct way to measure an economy"Holy shit how Michael Roberts degenerated. If you want to analyze how a company is doing, you have to analyze what it's doing, not fucking with numbers to prove some *new* theory whose whole value comes from being *new* in opposition to already existing research.
Academia without mandatory shaming of intellectuals with dunce hats has no future
No.1817382
>>1817376I have a better idea
No.1818334
>>1817376I noticed he also disabled comments. Wonder if too many people called him out for swallowing NATO propaganda wrt Russia (he actually believed there's a 1:1 casualty ratio which is just lol)
No.1818340
>>1796920This just tells me the stock market is going to crash in the next several months.
No.1818377
>>1818255Yes, arbitrary. Just check the article.
>The leftist economist, James Tobin developed a measure of the relation between the market capitalisation’ of the companies in the stock market (in this case the top 500 companies in what is called the S&P-500 index) and divided that by the replacement value of tangible assets accumulated by those companies
>Another measure of the relation between stock market prices and profits has been developed by the heterodox economist Robert Shiller. He measures the ratio of market capitalization of over corporate earnings (after inflation) and averaged over ten years.
>Another measure of the stock market’s relation to reality is favoured by the legendary billionaire investor, Warren Buffett. Buffett monitors the market cap of the US stock market against real GDP, in other words, stock prices versus the real economy.
>Finance capitalists usually measure the value of a company by the share price divided by annual profits. If you add up all the shares issued by a company and multiply it by the share price, you get the ‘market capitalisation’ of the company — in other words what the market thinks the company is worthSorry, but all of this is arbitrary
No.1818379
>>1818377>describing p/e like it is some advanced conceptDidn't read the article but it sounds basic bitch. All the highest performing stocks also have high p/e. P/e is cool but it doesn't take into account equally importanr fundamentals like debt to equity. But if investing was so simpl to be decided by a couple numbers no human involvement would be neccesaey.
No.1818380
>>1818379To think Bout p/e it is like having a magic button on ebay or whatever market that supposedly says "this is undervalued/overvalued" but everyone has access to the same button, so why don't they value tgese undervalued assets and why do they pay for the over valued ones, well, because it is not that simple and one metric by itself is rather meaningless.
No.1818391
>>1818379To invest profitably you'll have to actually do a research on the operations of the company. That's why insider knowledge is so goddamn powerful. Bourgeois economics are a scam, and bourgeois economists must wear dunce hat in public places
No.1819284
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ubs-faces-substantially-higher-capital-123956215.html>UBS shares fell as much as 3.9% and were briefly halted in Zurich trading.https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/ubs-brink-switzerlands-too-big-fail-reckoning-2024-04-08/There's no plan B. Risk of contagion is uncomfortably high.
UBS on the brink of Switzerland's 'too big to fail' reckoning
>Since UBS rescued its stricken rival Credit Suisse a year ago, it has been waiting to hear how authorities will protect Switzerland from the risk of the country's only remaining big bank also imploding.> The Swiss government is this month due to publish its recommendations for policing banks that are "too big to fail", which could saddle UBS with tougher business rules.> At around $1.7 trillion, UBS's balance sheet is double the size of annual Swiss economic output, giving the bank an exceptional weight for a major economy.> Should UBS unravel, there are no local rivals left to absorb it. And the cost of nationalisation could shatter public finances, experts say.> The Swiss lower house of parliament in May 2023 backed a motion calling for systemically relevant banks to have a leverage ratio of 15% of assets, far more than in the European Union, the United States and Britain.> The higher ratio would likely leave UBS needing to find well over $100 billion in additional equity, said Andreas Ita from consultancy Orbit36.> "This can't be done within a reasonable period by withholding profits, and raising such sums via capital markets is hardly realistic," Ita said.> "There is no plan B this time," he said. "The main policy will be hope – hope that UBS doesn't get into trouble. But hope is not a strategy." No.1819291
>Inflation up again
kek
Next hike incoming.
No.1819300
>>1819296The most rational economical system everyone.
No.1819552
>>1818340there would need to be an enormous improvement in other ways of storing value (like bonds) before the flow of cash into stocks slows down. biden 2024 is a guarantee at this point
No.1820036
>>1819552Feels like a rugpull is coming. I dunno.
No.1820047
>>1819552>biden 2024 is a guarantee at this pointUhhh by what logic?
No.1820052
>United States: The US economy is expected to decelerate from 2.5% in 2023 to 1.4% in 2024 due to falling household savings, high interest rates, and a softening labor market.
So everyone is saying this year will be worse than last year but the question is how much worse?
No.1820160
>>1819552Both sides have a 50/50 chance of winning imo. I don't think most people really care about either with voter turnout being at an all time low unless you're a hardcore trump humper or voot bloo.
No.1820186
>>1820160you really think the rupublicans and democrats are honest enough to leave it up to a coin flip? if you aren't cheating you're not even trying to win
No.1820188
>>1820186But then they both cheat at similar rates of efficacy, it becomes a coin flip again.
No.1820190
>>1820188exactly! democracy is fucking dead bros it's all the same shit now.
No.1820191
>>1820188lol sure, and what real world evidence leads you to believe this
No.1820195
>>1820191>lol sure, and what real world evidence leads you to believe thisuhh maybe the death of the empire with all the people and infrastructure inside everyone can see with their own eyes? You mean that kind of evidence?
No.1820202
>>1820195the obvious conclusion to a hollowed out empire is a level playing field for both parties? enough to where it's completely even? you can't be serious
No.1820203
>Inflation up again
>Yield curve starting to invert
>growth slowing
>base interest rate about to get hiked again
>private home builder stocks sliding despite ever increasing housing demand because they are being strangled by interest rates
>but lower interest rates would also just simply increase real estate prices further
>Demand for housing has never been higher yet fewer and fewer housing is being build
>Housing crisis so bad it's substantially biting into the labor market
>We might be about to see a recession right before the election
AMAZING, BRAVO BIDEN
No.1820204
>>1820202>the obvious conclusion to a hollowed out empire is a level playing field for both parties? enough to where it's completely even? you can't be seriousThat's usually what the death of an empire usually looks like
Read a history textbook.
No.1820209
>>1820204hardmode: post a wiki link to a bourgeoise election that was ever exactly 50/50
No.1820211
>>1820209Why do you even care so much I already said in an earlier post that democracy is dead so the fact that the playing field is "level" doesn't even matter. It's all a scam.
No.1820228
>>1820215>they want a wiki linklmao
No.1820232
>>1820219nah bro you have to post a link to wikipedia otherwise everything you say is irrelevant.
No.1820236
>>1820235>glowpediaiaintclickingthatshit.jpg
No.1828891
I have no clue what is going on but Japan's Nikkei just plunged over -1000 today. Equating into a -3% day.
This would be the equivalent of the Dow dropping -1000 in one day. Not sure what is going on in the Japan exchange. They are blaming inflation recovery but it is never that simple.
The entire Japanese market is in freefall except for a few things.
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/japanese-market-sharply-lower-down-3-1033264166 No.1828894
>>1828891> led losses in Asia on Friday, falling 3.81% and closing at 19,527.12, its lowest level in over a month as most major markets in the region fell amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.>Asian equities declined as a person familiar with the matter told NBC News that Israel carried out a limited strike in Iran. Stocks and risk assets tumbled, while safe havens rose.> was down 2.66%, paring earlier losses and ending at 37,068.35, while the broad based Topix fell 1.91% to 2,626.32. On a weekly basis, the Nikkei shed 3.65%.
>Overnight on Wall Street, all three major indexes ended mixed, with the S&P 500 posting five straight days of losses, its longest losing streak since last October. The broad index lost 0.22%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.52%.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/19/asia-markets.html No.1830197
NVDA -10
Yo.
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