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/leftypol/ - Leftist Politically Incorrect

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File: 1608680398363.jpg (62.28 KB, 775x514, DOWn.jpg)

 No.213072[Last 50 Posts]

💰️DOW/Market Watch Thread💰️
monitoring the market, trends, fluctuations, etc.
🎩
👀
🐽
👄

 No.1461524

>>1461500
Did banks just promise to HODL?

 No.1461529

>>1461522
I also would like to add how fucking absurd it is to see people on the American TV saying shit like
>we need to protect our democracy
While knowing that the people in charge of the US are the ones who can cancel democracy any moment.

That’s like prison warden telling you if you don’t behave they will increase the amount of beating

 No.1461780

File: 1683770759512.png (1.11 MB, 1200x675, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1462139

I hope the USA defaults.

 No.1462150

>>1462139
and hands over all their assets to mexicoooo

 No.1462162

>>1461511
the US can afford anything it wants. it prints its own money and stands atop the world as the sole global reserve currency. the world needs its money just as much as it needs to be able to afford its retarded military budget. debt ceiling and debt repayments is all irrelevant nonsense at the end of the day when you are god and creator of the only currency worth a damn (for the time being).

 No.1462165

>>1462162
That is not how economics works, read Fredrick List that pointed out that 19th century British Empire couldn't afford anything it wants because all nations economies are limited by their industrial outputs. More money can't produce more steel, more electricity, more lumber, more ships, ect. You need productive forces for that.

 No.1462198

>>1462165
that is what imports are for and the global reserve currency meaning there is a constant demand for dollars regardless of the US' other outputs.

 No.1462199

>>1454359
No way

Damn like I know they did a lot of bullshit but they had some good videos among them, especially as far as mainstream US media goes.

WELP GUESS IM DONATING TO NEWS SITES NOW

 No.1462204

>>1462198
That creates an import imbalance meaning the exporter nation will eventually limit its exports to you. Next in war your trade lines are severed like they were for the Central Powers during WWI thus why the German lesson from WWI (and the USSR lesson as well) is you need to make everything you need for war within your realm so you actually have the means to win wars so you don't have to worry about long supply lines while trying to do total war.

 No.1462946

I know it's all theater, but it would be so sweet if the US retard government actually defaulted. Who's with me?

 No.1462989

>>1462946
I like my spectacle entertaining! No bread all circus!

 No.1463215

File: 1683870389018.png (248.48 KB, 474x355, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1463186
>>1462946
2/10

 No.1465050

It's here and I am shilling it to you like a proper communist.

https://rarepepebag.com/

Like three days ago this started. It will moon. It is already mooning. It's in the telegram phase now.

It's funny AF and it's backed by 2016 rare pepes. Basically bubble on a bubble on a bubble but from guys that hold rare pepes before it was cool.

it hasn't reach exchanges yet

I speculate it will be the last thing before everything goes to shitter.

 No.1465057

>>1465050
Hasn't NFTs crashed and burned already?

 No.1465080

>>1465057
not burn but crashed yes. But here is the thing, all this useless shit is like cheap shady horse races. As long as it is allowed people will bet again and again.

 No.1465106

File: 1684028254706.jpg (70.42 KB, 600x743, 1482019380875.jpg)


 No.1465156

There were rumors of Biden saying he'll prevent bank withdrawals if there's a run on the banks. The nerve

Likelihood of this happening and what would the fallout look like?

 No.1465160

>>1465106
wtf i cant save this

 No.1465229

File: 1684040551396-0.gif (3.9 MB, 517x776, 1599728491431.gif)

File: 1684040551396-3.png (210.77 KB, 576x566, do not collectivise.png)

My rare pepes & near mint porky variant.

 No.1465233

>>1465229
I'll suck your dick in exchange for letting me download the sequentially numbered pepe. It's the only pepe im missing from the set

 No.1465241

File: 1684041161248.jpg (22.36 KB, 442x266, gpj.zeez.jpg)

My right click button is broken someone please help me out.

 No.1465383

File: 1684064838505.jpg (176.33 KB, 1200x916, menukey.jpg)

>>1465241
There should be a menu key on the keyboard next to the windows key that looks like a square with lines. Also, you you could try changing the right click button to something else if there's a menu for it.

 No.1466014

Can any of you smart people explain why employment keeps rising even though that's the opposite intended effect of the increased interest rates? It's fucking me up a bit

 No.1466016

>>1459591
My guess is that dems will cave in on whatever ferverish anti-immigration bill the GOP is cooking up, but it might also happen that Biden will actually Mint The Coin™ and finally we will stop hearing from MMTers when inflation goes nuts.

 No.1466017

>>1466014
probably people who already have jobs taking more jobs

 No.1466023

>>1466014
The effects of interest rate adjustments from the government to markets take a while to kick in

 No.1466036

>>1466014
yeah its strange but once the recession really starts biting we'll see unemployment come back

 No.1466040

>>1466014
its not rising, Im already seeing a lot of layoffs and people having a harder time getting jobs. The official numbers mean nothing, they dont include discouraged workers

 No.1466191

>>1466014
The internationally recognized measurement of what counts as "employed" is one hour per week.
That is, as far as the data is concerned, one person working eight jobs that each take one hour counts as "eight jobs employed"

 No.1466638

2008 was the millenialcide
2023 (2024??) is gonna be the zoomercide

 No.1466639

>>1466638
Yes. The zoomerproles rise

 No.1466883

>>1466014
>>1466191
There's also the problem of fake recruitments to fight the rising wages. Amazing shit capitalism does to keep working

 No.1467226

>>1462199
>WELP GUESS IM DONATING TO NEWS SITES NOW
horrible position, completely undialectical, let them rot

 No.1467575


 No.1467635

>>1466191
>reduced working hours
<means more jobs per person
This is the future Jehu asked for.
Welcome to Real Communism.
>>1466014
Stimulus bill maybe?

 No.1467839

It honestly insane that we don't have cybernetics running the economy. It's like if all the technology for the bloomberg terminals and whatever did exist, but everyone traded stocks using pen and paper because of "muh individualism." I hate this timeline.

 No.1467851

>>1467839
but we do have cybernetics running the economy already

 No.1467852

>>1467839
This flag makes nothing but dumbfuck posts lately. Ever heard of autobuyers and autosellers?

 No.1467861

>>1467839
Bloomberg terminals buy stocks and other financial securities, not commodities

 No.1467875

>>1467874
t. liberal

 No.1467876

>>1467874
How? I thought socialism was against privatization

 No.1467878

>>1467874
Command economy vs market economy is not a binary choice. Google commanding heights of economy and then see what parts of Chinese economy are still under direct state control and adhere to five year plans.

 No.1467885

Socialism=/=command economy

 No.1467894

>>1467839
We have central planning it's just mostly done inside businesses and is spread out and the different parts are not communicating with each other and the end goal isn't the common good, human development or social aims, but profit.

 No.1467898

>>1467894
Very true.

 No.1467901

>>1467874
>mixed market economics doesnt exist

 No.1467924

>>1467226
Even the socialist sites?

 No.1468349


 No.1468373

>>1468349
>Nazi shit on cnbc
Lol

 No.1468452

>>1466016
What is minting the coin and how does it relate to MMT?

 No.1468490

>>1468452
nta but "minting the coin" is referencing this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trillion-dollar_coin

 No.1468492

>>1468490
Weimar 2.0

 No.1468558

>>1454958
this is crazy

 No.1472812

bump

 No.1475866

we defaulting?

 No.1476959

File: 1684954648217.jpeg (42.28 KB, 612x601, IMG_2956.jpeg)

I’ve never invested before, where should I start? Or is it a bad time to invest in general.

 No.1476971

>>1475866
June 1st.
Pedal to the metal powell for the win

 No.1477004

>>1476959
you should invest in copper
I don't care what anyone says about the practicality of it or if gold or even silver is far more fungible. can you invest in 10 kg or gold? no. 10 kg of silver? maybe, if you're well off. 10 kg of copper on the other hand, almost anyone can afford

 No.1477005

File: 1684958444654.jpg (185.2 KB, 337x792, 20230414_215841.jpg)

>>1477004
>you should invest in copper

 No.1477016

>>1477005
>bamboozled again!

 No.1477060

File: 1684960618731-0.jpg (628.69 KB, 958x1237, 1642194743194.jpg)

File: 1684960618731-1.png (71.35 KB, 759x597, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1476959
The years of easy money are over but there are still opportunities to invest. It just depends on three things, how risky you want to get, the length of time and how much $ you have. Some safe (but slow) options you could look into are long term bonds or index funds which are best suited for bigger sums of money. I wouldn't do anything with the stock market personally but you could find some ETF's you like or invest overseas to china or hong kong (picrel: in western stock markets, most of the day's money is made in after hours trading). Ive heard good things about 6 month treasury bills aswell. Inflation is proving stickier than expected so people are storing their value in assets like property, could take advantage of that. Gold is pumping. Crypto if you want to gamble.

 No.1477500

Give it to me straight, leftypolsisters. Is this good or bad?

 No.1477556

>>1477500
I hate to tell you, but it'

 No.1477583


 No.1477960

>Republicans stall the debt ceiling and create a crisis
>we get the recession they've been hoping for
>blame it on dems and during a dem administration
>GOP wins in 2024 because of right now

Calling it

 No.1478133

>>1477960
that just seems to be way too predictable of a plotpoint.

 No.1478145

>>1477960
The economy was already pretty shitty I'm 2022 and they still barely squeaked a win in the house. Also with all the migrants leaving, boomers retiring and the pile of dead workers from covid. I don't see how the job market is going to cool off anytime soon.

 No.1479071

>>1477960
You say that, but one of the points republicans pushed during the midterms was "what about the economy", and they didn't get their red wave since people realize that it's not like republicans actually have an answer for the economy.
(Granted, 80% of republican talking points are culture war nonsense and appealing to a minority of people that only have as strong as an influence because of all the gerrymandering.

 No.1479144

>>1477004
>copper, silver, gold
pleb
the future is TUNGSTEN
You want 10kg? Guess what, tungsten is so dense that 10kg only takes up 512 cm^3, about half a liter.

 No.1479146

>>1477960
Honestly a default would be one of the most historically impactful events from the perspective of America's imperial decline. Bourgeois Republics work under the assumption that even opposition to the government is "loyal." Which is to say "I disagree with the opposition, but I understand we're all in the same boat (maintaining class rule.)"

Republicans purposely causing a default would destroy the global economy, and show to the Bourgeoisie that they fundamentally aren't loyal. That at the end of the day, they either want to control this whole thing or burn it down. The question is whether the powers that be will tolerate their increasingly manic and unpredictable leadership, or decide it's time to terminate the Republican Party.

Of special note too, is that Citadel Securities is allegedly shorting U.S. treasury bonds, and Ken Griffin is a big Republican donor, so there may be segments of finance capital either egging on a default or will at least benefit from almost defaulting.

 No.1479152

>>1479146
>Republicans purposely causing a default would destroy the global economy, and show to the Bourgeoisie that they fundamentally aren't loyal.
And trying to seize power in January 6 and all the other times they have been trying to wrest control of the federal government through the courts etc wasn't? Not that I disagree with you, but are the bourgeois liberal faction just very myopic about the schizo christian right? Or alternatively maybe these antics are actually serving some other bourgeois end (in theory). Maybe the decline of US global hegemony is leading to a shift in the balance of power toward the national bourgeoisie, and screwing over the international bourgeoisie is the goal of these people. That's been the main split in US federal politics for a while now.

 No.1479161

>>1479146
Who would actually benefit from a default? If it's people who short bonds, would they actually get paid if the bonds get trashed?

 No.1479164

>>1479152
I mean it's wholly possible that no one has any plan, and that the default is going to be the result of some MAGA Q-nut like MTG or some other Republican just saying "Fuck it, let's see what happens."

This would also show the dearth of any remaining establishment power in the Republican Party. Because while figures like McConnel might be vampires, they at least recognize some need to keep this thing running. The Q types? They're retards with a childlike desire to punish their enemies.

I think we're either going to see an extremely narrow debt ceiling raise (after a long period of some Republican playing a "Will I, Won't I?" game with their colleagues) or we might actually default. Which would collapse the economy overnight I think.

>>1479161
I have no clue to be honest. Maybe the short position could be leveraged to pay off debts or to purchase hard assets. It's kind of unprecedented.

 No.1479777

>>1478145
If the US defaults, 2022 is gonna look like fair weather

 No.1479788

>>1479777
How? What fails first? Why?

 No.1479812

>>1479788
>What fails first?
IDK

 No.1483255

File: 1685459639010.png (489.51 KB, 915x689, ClipboardImage.png)

lol

 No.1483264

>>1483255
Fucking Rockstar always bleeding the players…

 No.1483304

So I didn't take the US government defaulting thing seriously because it sounded like some crazy spectacle myth and I thought debt was just unlimited when you're the USA.

Maybe there will be a Second Thought video on it soon.

 No.1483308

>debt ceiling deal reached
We were so close leftysisters…

 No.1483312

>>1483308
I told you guys, this happens literally every single time, it's just spectacle

 No.1483315

>>1479152
>And trying to seize power in January 6
When people say "Republicans", they usually don't mean the fringe caucus of mask-off fascists, they mean the general view of the party.
And that is an important distinction, because the party is broad, some of them do consider themselves, in a twisted logic, to be pro-freedom and pro-democracy and won't support a Trumptard coup that centered around a chant to hang the Republican Vice President. While on the other hand, encouraging a financial crisis while Democrats are in power gives their whole party leverage (ability to raise the debt ceiling) and reputational power so I'd say it would be more likely to see wider strategic support than the failcoup.
>Maybe the decline of US global hegemony is leading to a shift in the balance of power toward the national bourgeoisie
I'm not economist, but the government losing power seems great for the national bourgeoisie who fantasize about le free market small government.

 No.1483316

>>1483308
>>debt ceiling deal reached
Butt at what cost?

 No.1483362

>>1465241
Try autohotkey, there should be a way to get a keybind or something for right click. You could even map it to another mouse button if you have one of those mice with side buttons.

 No.1483452

the fact that there are people in this thread RIGHT NOW who thought there was a >0% chance of a debt default happening is a powerful indictment of spectaclebrain overriding both common sense and actual reality. log off. touch grass. the internet isn't real and a major contributor to our modern woes is the widespread belief that it is.

 No.1483460

>>1483452
B-but the memes said it would happen! The posts! What about the posts!

 No.1483471

Why do they even have a debt ceiling? It only provides media spectacle

 No.1483572

>>1483471
I don't know any of the history behind it, but if I had to guess, it was the old "Fiscal Responsibility" nonsense that the Republicans used to taut.

 No.1483577

>>1483572
Pretending that managing a national budget mirrors that of a household or a small business, especially that of the nation with the world reserve currency, is the most financially irresponsible thing you could do

 No.1483867

https://twitter.com/DrTELS/status/1663685350475087873

>A complete shutdown of cold water ocean upwelling off the coast of Peru is the sign of a strong impending El Niño… It was along this coast that the phrase was first coined by colonial Spanish fishermen. This is a huge anomaly.


IT’S FUCKING HAPPENING

 No.1483889

>>1477060
> I wouldn't do anything with the stock market personally
Why not

 No.1483890

>>1483867
no shit. Mass global starvation within 2-4 years. if you're not doing permaculture with as many high calorie crops as you can then you're going to be fucked

 No.1483891

>>1447581
What is MIC?

 No.1483895

>>1483890
I live in an apartment so I’m going to have to spec into being a cannibal raider. I wonder how much mass starvation needs to happen before the stock market takes a hit?

 No.1483944

>>1483452
It will happen eventually. The bet is on which of debt ceiling crises becomes the first one

 No.1484159

>>1483471
>It only provides media spectacle
this is actually a vital component to the media cycle in american politics. the more nothingburger crises that develop, the more time is wasted focusing on them in the news and online, and the less likely that real issues have to be acknowledged, let alone addressed. the debt ceiling issue has been going on for about two months and really went into overdrive the past couple weeks - that is a healthy chunk of time during Biden's current term where actual issues did not have to come to the surface, as all the oxygen in the room was eaten up by this nonsense. these nothingburgers always happen like clockwork because they are a reliable and perennial distraction.

 No.1484399

How exactly does the US dollar being the world reserve currency give the US the ability to spend so much? I keep hearing that all this debt buildup is possible only because the dollar has this property.

 No.1484404

>>1484399
They control production distribution exchange of the world's money

 No.1484443

>>1484399
all fiat currency has this power, but america enjoys almost unlimited spending because of the huge artificial demand for USD abroad as it's used for settling trade. Also why IMF loans are denominated in dollars, it's all about reliance

 No.1484849

>>1484399
Great question. Subjective value of currency means that it is basically a form of governmental debt to investors and people who own the dollars own the government's debt. What this means is that because every country has been forced to trade in us dollars, they have basically been trading US debt for things like railroads or factories. That makes it so that other countries have an interest in us economic strength because they are under the assumption that the more dollars they collect, the more debt they can expect to be able to collect from the us government in the form of cheaper trade deals or lobbyist efforts. This only works if countries actually continue to believe that the dollar has value as debt and assuming the debt will be repaid, which is why the idea of an economic default would be so devestating to the US economy, because countries would be more likely to just burn their dollars or trade them all back in with the USA expecting to get as much as they can get materially from it like a run on the banks. It's also why drparting from the gold standard was so dangerous, because the US stopped providing a safety net for the american economy in the form of gold that it could sacrifice in the event of an emergency. It's an open secret that fort knox is empty. Instead, the US started providing military protection to oil exporting countries in return for the oil to be sold exclusively in US dollars, and now saudi arabia is stabbing us in the back. So that's how that works.

 No.1484907

>>1484399
To conduct trade a country needs foreign cash reserves, which just sit there until they need to be used. Overwhelming majority of these globally are US Dollars, thanks to Bretton Woods system, and later the petrodollar. Hegemony of the US also means that a US dollar can bounce around countries, settling trade, without ever touching the US economy. For as long as countries need oil to run their economies, a $100 dollar bill printed by the Fed, a promise to participate in the US economy, will simply lie dormant for years. And the US doesn't care, because it prints its own "cash reserve".

This system is upheld by American dominance, upheld by American military and alliances and brutalizing anyone who dares to go against it. Saddam wanted to trade oil for Euros - dead. Ghaddafi wanted to create a gold backed currency for Africa - killed (by France, the #2 imperialist).

 No.1484971

>>1483867
How is El Niño anomalous?

 No.1484974

>>1484971
I guess because it is going to be much strong than years past? Not too sure. But the Finacial Burden that will happen is a real thing though that will cause much destruction. When this stronger hurricanes hit.

 No.1485008

What's the chances of the Freedom Caucus being based retards and shooting down the debt ceiling bill?

 No.1485013

>>1484974
The real question is, how do we profit from this? It's not like we can call up a broker and short shoddily built Floridian houses

 No.1485019

>>1483867
>>1484974
I guess this means the Colorado River water war is cancelled

 No.1485023

>>1484971
It used not be as frequent and with this much destruction. Usually it doesn't last over a year, now it does.

 No.1485027

File: 1685579697920.png (3.57 KB, 800x70, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1485023
nah
>El Niño typically lasts 9-12 months, and La Niña typically lasts 1-3 years. They both tend to develop during March-June, reach peak intensity during December-April, and then weaken during May-July. However, prolonged El Niño episodes have lasted 2 years and even as long as 3-4 years.
https://web.archive.org/web/20090827143632/http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensofaq.shtml#HOWOFTEN

 No.1485209

>>1484971
You should buy all the toilet paper and bottled water you can find, just in case its bad

 No.1485288

>>1485209
That reminds me, I've been meaning to get a bidet.

 No.1485295

>>1485288
Well, you'd better hurry before they run out!

 No.1485450

>>1483890
I'll be doing slash and burn thank you very much

 No.1485600

>>1484849
>>1484907
With Saudi Arabia questioning its allegiances now, will there be a military conflict considering its important role for the dollar? Or was oil on its way out anyways and it doesn't matter so much?

 No.1485601

>>1485600
>Or was oil on its way out anyways
oil is king, bruther

 No.1485696

>>1485600
Conflict with saudi arabia? Probably not, although their willingness to sell oil in local currency is an alarming trend for america

 No.1485700

>>1484971
Because the past hottest years ever registered in human history were La Niña years. El Niño is gonna be brutal. Like widespread hunger in "developed" countries kind of brutal.

 No.1485710

>>1485700
Not only that, but El Nino varies in strength and duration and all indicators are pointing to it being one of, if not the strongest, el nino in recorded human history. This could push us past a tipping point that destroys soil for decades. Once soil goes hydrophobic, it's really hard to restore it.

 No.1486623

Why is the stock market so slow to collapse this time around? Is it all the liquidity and quick responses to bank failures?

 No.1486635

>>1486623
Tech and ai speculation is driving the market. The economy is still growing. Job report was way above bourgeois expectations. Powell isn't doing his fucking job. Inflation grew. More pressure is needed.

 No.1486679

Is investing in Chinese ETFs a dumb decision? Most people seem to say yes, but I can’t tell if they’re basing that on reality or “le evil organ harvesting seeseepee”.

 No.1486700

>>1486679
Foreign investors don't have very strong rights in China unlike in the west, so it's possible you might lose out.

 No.1486729

File: 1685740368146.jpeg (124.6 KB, 900x600, FxOHLkJXgAIR_97.jpeg)

>>1484971
>>1484974
>>1485027
If only you knew had bad things really are.

 No.1486811

>>213072
How many failed predictions of imminent catastrophe have occurred since this thread was started?

 No.1486907

File: 1685753233462.jpg (13.58 KB, 301x330, horrors.jpg)

>>1486729
>antarctic sea ice at record low
>antarctic
>as in the south pole
>early winter there
>record low ice

 No.1486935

>>1486623

Has printing actually stopped? As far as I understand, they just print a bit slower.

 No.1486942

>>1485600
>>1485600
my assumption is that the saudis saw the US overinvestment in the russia-ukraine war as their go ahead to act now while the US position is unsure, spread thin, and they have some room to manuever. BRICS is obviously doing this now too. its an obvious good move but scary because who knows what the twilight of a frustrated US empire is going to look like when it is receding in every kind of influence except military

 No.1486947

>>1486623
I don’t think anyone wants a market crash, so there may be greater cooperation between state and financial institutions, or perhaps a greater degree of fraud. I got a feeling that when things crash this go around, we’ll see a variety of toxic pustules burst in the market. Mass homelessness, unemployment, misery akin to 08

 No.1492071

File: 1686171628255-0.png (263.72 KB, 3395x1417, GME_Update_1.png)

File: 1686171628255-1.png (399.54 KB, 3634x1133, GME_Update_2.png)

Been a while since I did a GameStop update. Why am I doing one now? Well, hopefully, its to provide more evidence for how insanely rigged the Stock Market actually is.

>inb4 "SHUT THE FUCK UP ABOUT GME"


Even if you don't invest in it, or don't think it's going to squeeze, what makes GameStop so amazing is you get a firsthand look into how much power market makers actually hold over stocks. And I think it goes a way towards explaining why we haven't seen an "official" recession despite there being a million and one reasons for the economy to crash.

Just to start things off: there's zero argument against GameStop, presuming a fair market. Zero. Zilch. There's not been a single technical analysis that would suggest GameStop stock is going to be worth less tomorrow than today.

Why is that? Well, let me explain. You've got a company that has:
>$0 in debt
>IIRC, $2 billion in assets
>Disposable Income
>Profitable
>A fanatical group of investors who support the company no matter the price
>More than half the Company's stock DRS'd and essentially not being sold.

The only argument against GameStop is "It's a dying brick and mortar" which isn't even an argument; it's a doctrine of faith. People are saying its dying because they simply wont accept the reality that it isn't. Anyone claiming the stock is "gonna go to $0" isn't living in reality; for GameStop to go bankrupt would take years. The people arguing that aren't being serious or engaged in anything material, just anecdotes and vibes.

Anyways; during trading hours things were pretty good today. We stayed above $25 for most of the day, even went over $26 a couple times. But the thing is, these big market makers use algorithms in order to completely buck reality. Today's earnings day, and I suspect we're gonna see another quarter of sustained profitability.

So of course, after hours, the price immediately shoots up to $28 and then drops down to $20 at the time of my writing this.

Normal investors can't trade After Hours.
GME is likely still profitable, maybe even seeing an increase in profitability.
No one is selling.

What you're witnessing here is literally just huge financial institutions rigging a company's stock in realtime. Even by liberal standards, this is an act of extreme illegality. These are literally just algorithms using finance loopholes to keep a stock from getting more valuable. The reason for that is because if GameStop does increase in value, then all these companies which shorted it before the huge retail sentiment saved the company would go under.

And the thing is, if we see a general recession, there's a good chance these companies couldn't meet margin requirements. Which would mean forced selling of securities to cover a huge position they irresponsibly gambled on.

Chances are they'd dip normal peoples' pensions to cover their own gambling mistake.

The next recession is going to hurt as many people, if not more, than 2008. All because these companies got greedy.

 No.1492074

>>1492071
SHUT THE FUCK UP ABOUT GME

 No.1492082

>>1492074
No.

Also in additional news, GameStop might end up buying BBY at a discount and rolling it into a sister company ("Gmerica"). It's already got a web3 games client too. It's gearing up to be a competitor to Amazon.

Shit's hype.

 No.1492090

>>1492071
Please read Das Kapital. It should be a prerequisite for posting in this thread.

 No.1492100

>>1492071
To elaborate my previous post. Holding an index fund of the S&P 500 is a better investment than Gamestop because it has a higher average yearly average weighted alpha measurement. A positive weighted alpha shows that the security produced a return greater than the index benchmark (The average return of the total stock market). That means that on any given day throughout the past year, it has a higher average return than GME.

 No.1492113

File: 1686174394305-0.png (114.47 KB, 3392x1195, GME_Chart.png)

File: 1686174394305-1.png (180.52 KB, 3370x1196, SPX_Chart.png)

>>1492100
My whole point is that the price of GME is artificially being suppressed. When you've got a company that quite simply isn't allowed to go above a certain price range regardless of good fundamentals, it's no shock that in some cases you'd get a better return.

Still up +40% YtD however and retains the possibility of massive movements up.

 No.1492133

>>1492090
He's in the CPUSA apparently
If he reads Capital, a Democratic Party aide will bust into his house and execute him on the spot

 No.1492393

>>1492071
Is this an advertisement or are there real people on this chan who believe they should participate in this rigged market fraud instead of buying crypto, planting a garden or doing anything else of value with their time and money?

If you really can't think of anything useful to do, burn your cash.
That may be silly but at least it doesn't harm mankind by giving even more money to the worst scum of the earth.

 No.1493053

JOBLESS CLAIMS RISE TO HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE OCT 2021

 No.1494398

America is now in a bull market led by Carvana.

 No.1494759

>>1492074
let her talk, it's interesting stuff

 No.1494760

>>1492393
maybe it's an advertising shill but if true it's interesting that manipulation can be so out in the open

 No.1494810

>>1492074
If you don't have anything to add to the conversation, then sit down and shut the fuck up.

 No.1494814

spusaanon is a long time poster we can forgive their eccentricities

 No.1494834

id be more optimistic about GME if they weren't betting their future on a NFT marketplace

 No.1495675

>>1494759
he is bullshitting people in order to lure gullible ones in. he is just a shill. There is literally nothing interesting in this.

 No.1496424

File: 1686521488009.jpg (109.74 KB, 720x960, behind this post.jpg)

>>1495675
<he is bullshitting people in order to lure gullible ones in. he is just a shill
So he's lying and we're idiots, why are you here again?

 No.1500738

This thread became a dumpster fire sometime in the last year

 No.1503165

alright listen up

 No.1503203

>>1503165
Here's a Story about a little guy lives in a blue world. And all day and all night all he sees is blue like him, inside and outside.

 No.1503226

>>1503203
Blue his house with a blue little window and a blue corvette and everything is blue for him and himself and everybody around cause he ain't got nobody to listen to……

 No.1504089

>hundreds of millions of satanists are ready to activate as soon as a command is given to overthrow western civilization to use their occult methods to create a new world out of the ashes
WELL LEFTYPOL? GOT ANYTHING TO SAY???

 No.1504093

>>1504089
Don't have time to watch seems interesting enough I suplose loik the Myayan poposclspdy

Why in /crisis/ tho?

 No.1504151

comrades, /ourtovarish/ Michael Roberts of the next recession blog was on The Geopolitical Hour of the Geopolitical Economy Report. The crossover we've been waiting for.

Anyone else remember when Michael Roberts seemed unaware of Michael Hudson?

 No.1506593

File: 1687443392150.png (70.92 KB, 728x512, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1506608

Fedman powell testifies before the senate LIVE NOW

https://www.youtube.com/live/nR-vlBkPoGM?feature=share

 No.1515089

>>1506593
Comrade Truss has saved the Labour movement once again.

 No.1519729

thoughts on airbnb collapse talk?

 No.1519730

>>1519729
needed to happen, like, yesterday

 No.1520325

>>1519729
Nice to see short-term rentals dying out
I refuse to take any lease that isn't guaranteed for a year at the least

 No.1544021

File: 1690032849647.jpg (40.27 KB, 565x556, 78456041.jpg)

I WILL NOT LET THIS THREAD DIE AGAIN!
also fuck tomatoes, eggplant gang stronk.

 No.1544169

>>1544021
> also fuck tomatoes, eggplant gang stronk.
fuck off. Tomatoes are as red as the communist movement.
Every comrade of mine would prefer tomatoes over eggplants any day of the week.

 No.1544181

federal reserve signaled its reducing or stopping rate hikes. the market is desperate for some good news so there will be talk of a dodged recession. to me, the risk of crash is greatest when the market believes it won't. if we see stocks continue to pump we could go down that path. there are also outside factors pushing for investors to store their value in stocks, like unprecedented inflation and the huge transfer of wealth from bonds to stocks as interest rates get higher and higher. For the next few months the key thing to watch is the rise or fall of inflation

 No.1544243

>>1544181
oh u didnt hear? recession has been cancelled bros

 No.1544245

>>1492113
delusional retard. Its been years since ive argued with you about this not going anywhere and you are still here years later coping and shitting all over this thread. How long before u stop kicking this dead can down the road?

 No.1544252

>>1486935
No. They resoomed printing billions when the banks were collapsing to stabilize shit again. They also slowed rate hikes temporarily then to stabilize shit.

Theyve chosen the hyperinflation path, fed prints and injects a few billions every time a market panic happens now to stabilize shit. Then market booms again for a bit. Its basically life support for failing businesses and banks, every time it flatlines fed is now doing a cash injection

 No.1550093

https://archive.ph/8ONhT
Japan finally ending yield curve control. They were the last market with low interest rates and unrestrictive monetary policy. This means the BOJ will stop printing massive amounts of yen to purchase their own bonds (this keeps bond prices and yields at a certain target). Bad news for western capitalism
>“It all depends on what happens overnight,” said Apollo’s Slok. “It will become very critical. For the last seven years we have not seen Japanese interest rates move around with the market. Now if they decide and allow JGB yields to move with the market then nobody knows how much JGB yields could go up when we wake up Friday morning.”

 No.1556204

File: 1690942775098.png (693.47 KB, 771x972, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1556380

File: 1690958825969.jpg (216.87 KB, 719x1233, korean rooftop cope.jpg)

Ohh no! How we ever recover from this, chinabros?

 No.1556851

>>1556204
Is this significant?

 No.1556882

File: 1690995941634-0.png (45.03 KB, 627x493, ClipboardImage.png)

File: 1690995941634-1.png (118.47 KB, 476x1030, ClipboardImage.png)

File: 1690995941634-2.png (236.72 KB, 770x489, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1556851
more of confirming the general trend of economic decline, at least for me. stonks are committing suicide rn

 No.1556893

>>1556882
Fitch isn't S&P though. My stonks look fine ATM.

 No.1556897

>>1556893
let's see those positions then

 No.1556900

>>1556897
of course, long term, stonks are up YoY because the bond market is the worst in this countries history and thats where money has been flowing. credit downgrades will definitely be a factor in trying to time a recession.

 No.1556910

>>1550093
did anything come of this?

 No.1562216


 No.1562291

>>1562216
Amazing news.

 No.1562292

>>1556900
imagine buying bonds, and seriously thinking that in 2023 governments are a better long term investment than corporations

(insert network speech)

 No.1562318

File: 1691302782927.png (71.28 KB, 621x177, ClipboardImage.png)

Holy shit, Xi did it. He Broke the Buck.

 No.1563501

File: 1691399865398.png (262.44 KB, 982x767, ClipboardImage.png)

Mortgage status?

 No.1563507

>>1562216
Ever since covid it really feels like everything is moving so quickly regarding geopolitics.

 No.1563570

>>1562216
Critical support for the anti-imperialist IMF

 No.1563650

so wtf is happening i thought unemployment is low, how can jobless claims be up?

 No.1564189

>>1563650
To be classified as unemployed, you need to both be working zero and actively looking for work.

 No.1566893

File: 1691765963888.jpg (120.43 KB, 980x551, 391aa8f07a.jpg)

UBS starts process of killing off Credit Suisse brand
https://www.ft.com/content/c76c0dea-09e5-4117-9702-f2520282d6ca
>UBS has begun the process of killing off Credit Suisse’s international brand, replacing signs at the collapsed bank’s US headquarters and planning changes in other key offices, according to people familiar with internal discussions.

>The Credit Suisse brand is being phased out globally, though it may be retained in Switzerland if UBS sells its former rival’s domestic business.


>… UBS rescued Credit Suisse from collapse five months ago, in a takeover orchestrated by Swiss authorities. It is the most significant bank merger since the financial crisis.


>Credit Suisse had been the lifeblood of the Swiss economy since it was founded as Schweizerische Kreditanstalt in 1856. It rebranded internationally as Credit Suisse in 1978 after its involvement in a mafia-linked counterfeiting scandal known as the Chiasso Affair.

 No.1568324

>>1544252
The global economy has been on life support for since like 2008. The only (large)economies somewhat more stable are Germany from the West end and China from the East end. Of course if the EU ends then the country that will totally screwed is Germany because it essentially feeds off every other European country.

I look forward to the day that China-India-Africa are the dominant economies in the world with Latin America becoming the new Europe or West where everyone wants to migrate down south despite climate change.

 No.1568883

How many of you guys own gold or silver? I kind of want to buy some, mainly just to have/novelty, but its hard to find information. If you do, how would you buy some. And why is the whole gold thing such a boner for some people on the right?

 No.1568891

>>1568883
>And why is the whole gold thing such a boner for some people on the right?
because they love the idea of the Alaskan gold rush even though it ended 200 years ago.

 No.1568892

>>1568883
I don't own any gold, apart from a few novelty specks panned from an old gold-rush site and however much is inside a smartphone. Nor silver.
>And why is the whole gold thing such a boner for some people on the right?
- Has intrinsic value, as opposed to spooks like cash. Extremely low risk investment.
- Dense, so easy to store valuable amounts
- Won't expire or no longer be useful if kept for a long time

Also, historical and romantic reasons like >>1568891 and others

 No.1568896

>>1568892
Gold is not really intrinsically valuable, successive western societies have treated it as so but that's not a universal thing.

As for being a good investment, it's probably not, stocks are much more reliable and easy to cash out. Gold prices have risen sharply in the last decades but that seems to be more to do with the general rise of conspiracy theories than inherent value.

 No.1568973

File: 1691952690910.png (526.56 KB, 728x797, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1568896
While the role of gold has changed since Marx's time, its simply a great way to store value for three reasons outlined in Capital vol 1. Its soft qualities make it divisible at will, gold is uniform in its appearance and no market is denied to it. Because we are entering a future where the various dominant global currencies are having a power shuffle, gold is there to ease the transition. With this in mind, is it any wonder why more gold was bought in 2022 by central banks than any year since records began in 1950?

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/central-banks-bought-most-gold-since-1967-last-year-wgc-says-2023-01-31/

 No.1574349

Fellas, what are our thoughts on CBDCs? Specifically things like australia trying to go cashless and american walmart wanting biometric scans to automatically pay for products when walking in and out of the store. Obviously it's fascist and an attempt to control who has money and who doesnt, but will it really change the lives of poor people or will their lives remain relatively the same? My thoughts are that it'll effect the middle class the most.

 No.1574382

>>1568896
>Gold is not really intrinsically valuable
well it has some uses like in making certain chips/electronics.

 No.1576018

>>1574382
also the cost to produce it

>>1574349
i guess it will mean all money is in banks, which would give a little extra fuel to the finance machine.

 No.1576039

>>1574349
There are two kinds of CBDC's, wholesale and retail. Wholesale is used by central banks as form of value reserves that are sanctions proof and instantaneous (multipolarista). Retail is what you describe, more for a consumer and business use replacing cash. On the bright side, nobody likes retail coins in places theyve been introduced, like nigeria, so cash will remain king for now.

 No.1576048

File: 1692652804056.png (301.06 KB, 599x599, Untitled.png)

>>1568896
>Gold is not really intrinsically valuable, successive western societies have treated it as so but that's not a universal thing.
I want subjective value theorists to leave.

 No.1579114

>>1446721
population crisis that's to come is the real inevitable outcome of capitalism, I really don't know how it will cope with that, since it has cope well with the rate of profit

 No.1579116

>>1568896
used to be true back in the 1400s, the case is no longer
>>1568973
can you spoonfeed me as to why they've bought that much?

 No.1580787

So whats your guys prediction for the us economy the next few years?

 No.1580807

>>1579116
capitalists love gold for different reasons we do. it's a low risk asset that can be liquidated instantly, it hedges inflation unlike regular currency and has a use value settling trade balances. don't get me wrong, gold isn't perfect, but if a perfect store of value existed we would all be using it

 No.1580814

>>1580787
more of the same tbh. stonks will continue to climb in lieu of the shittiest bond market in this countries history, furthering the crazy market overvaluation

 No.1583651

a question, are those nft games garbage is even worth to make some money ?.
i hate this shit but i don't refuse easy cash.

 No.1583656

>>1583651
No, they're all pyramid schemes, the only way to make money is to be a dev or one of their friends who gets in early. Or be a third worlder grinding for a few dollars a day.

 No.1584187

>>1580814
What's wrong with bonds? Yields are at decade highs and of course stocks tend to inversely correlate with them, since one is considered a more defensive investment and the other the more bullish choice. It's a matter of where to park money.

 No.1584216

>>1584187
>It’s the Worst Bond Market Since 1842. That’s the Good News
https://www.wsj.com/articles/its-the-worst-bond-market-since-1842-thats-the-good-news-11651849380
Bonds are tricky. Yes bond yields are up, but since bond prices and bond yields are inversely correlated, the sell price greatly lowered. We also have to consider what drives bond prices the most - interest rates. When rates get cranked up it lowers the value of existing bonds. The federal reserve keeps hinting rates will continue to climb and investors are forward thinkers. To top it off we have record inflation; If the yield on my bonds are 5%, and inflation is 8%, aren't I effectively losing value?

 No.1585144

>>1568883
I have 5oz of gold and 14kg of silver
>how would you buy some
there are a bajillion bullion dealers. what part of the world are you in? here's a small list from my notes, mostly european dealers:
https://www.thesilvermountain.nl/
https://www.celticgold.eu/
https://www.hollandgold.nl/
https://www.chards.co.uk/
https://silvergoldbull.com/
https://goldsilver.be/en/
https://www.bullionbypost.com/
https://www.acheter-or-argent.fr/
https://www.europeanmint.com/
https://www.coininvest.com/en/
https://europabullion.com/
https://veldtgold.com/
https://real001.com
https://www.bitdials.eu/
/pmg/ on /biz/ can also help you, but beware of the schizos. gold is likely overvalued at present compared to silver (price ratio 80:1 vs crustal ratio 1:20)

 No.1587869

File: 1693707001774.png (146.97 KB, 1600x1161, unnamed.png)

>When we subtract the new estimated income attributable to the Fed, and hold it at 2022 levels, this is what bank profits start to look like. Many banks are no longer profitable at all, and, when aggregated, big banks are making a measly 2% profit rate, largely propped up by JP Morgan Chase and Wells Fargo. Without the income from the Fed, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and New York Mellon would be losing money hand over fist.
>While the Fed has been forced to pause dividend payments to the Treasury, banks that would otherwise be unprofitable without direct income from the Fed have continued to make dividends and share buybacks, even increase them. In Q3 alone these banks, whose profitability has been assured by the Fed, sent $4.6 Billion back to shareholders
>People should ask themselves, why does it have to be this way? Why do we have to abide by paying these people off in order to do basic functions of a central bank? If the only reason these banks continue to exist is income from the Fed, why shouldn’t they simply be expropriated?
https://nicolasdvillarreal.substack.com/p/the-stealth-bank-bailout

 No.1587871

I'm as lefty as they come but if you own crypto or silver/gold you're a finacially illiterate retarad. enjoy not having retirement savings

 No.1587875

>>1587871
Actually true. Just put it into a fucking savings account. Cash is king. The recession will prove this

 No.1587887

>>1587875
>cash
if you aren't in total market funds you're doing it wrong

 No.1587901

>>1587871
lol be in cash if you love getting fucked by inflation. In this market, the best way to store value are assets like real estate, various commodities and gold.

 No.1587933

>>1587901
Any leftist saying that one should own real estate is either a glowie or a cryptofash. read Marx FFS

 No.1587937

>>1587933
If one wants a somewhat stable income they're right.

 No.1587945

>>1587937
do you have amnesia from 2008?

 No.1587948

>>1587945
I didn't say buy a house a person cannot afford.

 No.1587954

Most financially literate auntie fuh

 No.1587988

>>1587948
>>1587945
2008 isnt relevant because local zoning laws artificially constrict the supply of housing and prevent overproduction. Housing prices will continue to increase

 No.1588178

>>1587988
Workers can't afford housing as it is meaning housing prices rests on capitalists hoarding empty housing.

 No.1588217

>>1587988
you're right but its worth noting that most americans are locked in their homes. A big chunk of homeowners got mortgages at rock bottom rates, often 2 or 3 percent. Now that rates have been cranked up, most aren't looking or can't afford to sell.

 No.1592409

Scampusa's hero Ryan Cohen is being investigated by the SEC for fraud

 No.1592516

Does anyone else ever wonder why the majority of "entrepeneurs" always immediately try to set up a company that exclusively follows the corporate for-profit business model, rather than a safer and less likely to fail cooperative business model or a corporate non-profit business model? What's the psychology of people who want to be as successful as mcdonalds or amazon but who will never ever have as much success, and who will likely only be small business owners if anything at all?

 No.1592629

>>1592516
well what do I get if I set up a cooperative? I will work my ass hard only at some point to have to resort to state subsidies to survive. Nah, I am not doing this. I d rather gamble it all.

 No.1592636

>>1592409
kek baggies

 No.1592645

>>1592629
Actually it's corporate enterprises which require state subsidies to survive. Coops are more efficient and the employees even in the starting stages have more incentive to ensure it grows into a stable career whereas corporate enterprises only become more difficult to manage as the work force increases.

 No.1592915

>>1592409
>Scampus
Obsessed.

 No.1592992

>>1592516
thats not what they get taught in business school

 No.1593636

>>1592645
where I come from, "football team association" knock your door to sell you "security" when you build a business. Police runs drug and prostitution rings. And strawberry growers use shotguns on immigrants with no papers when they ask to be paid. Meanwhile loan after loan and subsidies are given to certain corporations. Finally my father had to essentially compete with thailand and idonesia. Good luck competing with all that. I prefered to just leave the place.

 No.1593644

>>1593636
Just how desirable ARE corporate subsidies for business startups compared to a cooperative business model which is more likely to survive on its own merit? It might sound like a meme but one of the most famous cooperative businesses in the USA is the Navy Federal Credit Union, which is… a credit union, which is a banking cooperative. Basically the membership all owns stock in it and profits when the credit union profits in the form of being paid directly to their bank account. Compared that to corporate style banks like the bank of america or USAA and of course it survives on its own but it has more stability compared to traditional banks because its membership gains concessions in the form of profit share. Imagine starting a bank and thinking you'll compete with the big corporate banks. There's no fucking way youre gonna manage to do it. However if you start a regional credit union (they exist all over the place) youre more likely to at least have client loyalty compared to a shitty corporate for-profit bank.

 No.1594766

everyone is suddenly like "Everything is alright with the markets, the worst have passed"

What does this mean?

 No.1594777

File: 1694402392800.png (259.93 KB, 3158x1957, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1594766
>What does this mean?
I don't know, However, it likely isn't over yet.

 No.1596943

If france is losing and fully loses Africa, french economy is fucked. But I wonder what is going to happen to real estate in France. Any ideas?

 No.1596982

>>1594766
they always say that before raising rates

 No.1605697

I am no expect but doesn't that mean that noone wants to buy burger debt because they print too much money so they print more money to buy their debt to persuade others to buy their debt?

Kinda like wanting to exit, but because noone wants in, they load the debt to the rest of burgeristan

 No.1605812

>>1605697
>As fiscal agent of the United States, the New York Fed conducts Treasury buyback operations when directed to do so by Treasury. Since October 2014, Treasury has directed the Open Market Trading Desk of the New York Fed to conduct periodic small value Treasury securities buybacks for the purpose of ensuring operational readiness.
its not huge news but more of an indication of a wider trend

 No.1610993

With public debt levels rising, how come the government doesn't invest in useful things to alleviate it? There are a lot of reports that if the government invests more in infrastructure, education, etc. then it will get many times the expense. It doesn't even have to come at a cost to the MIC or other groups that lobbyists represent, so why doesn't the government just do it? Is it just ideology and politicians really are blind to this idea?

 No.1610996

>>1596943
Europe will go full fascist again, as they were always destined.

 No.1611005

>>1610993
why invest in something like bridges and roads if its not immediately impactful on my political career? some schmuck down the line will get all the benefits and credit while im stuck with the bill. for example, this is why chicagos parking meters were sold to abu dhabi for a lump sum which was way less than what they would've made from the meters long term

 No.1611013

>>1605697
Fractional reserve banking in general is a confidence scheme.

US federal bonds have always been considered the safest investment and this isn’t going to change for the foreseeable future, BRICS posturing notwithstanding.

 No.1611017

>>1605697
Guys. This is an amazing idea. Why are you all crying? This strategic move is for the assured recovery of our economy. These treasury buybacks benefit all americans, as you will get more jobs and a higher quality of living. This is only happening because of the State's excess fiscal surplus, aquired from efficient tax and spending policy. This is an investment into YOUR economy.
>>1594766
They're absolutely right. There will be no recession. Bidenomics has saved us all. Now is the best time to buy. we're going into bull territory.

 No.1611026

>>1611013
have fun with your worthless treasury bills when they raise rates again xD

 No.1612248

>>1611017
Looks like a Ponzi scheme

 No.1615196

>>1587948
Ok then what you’re saying is useless lmao, most people don’t have hundreds of thousands liquidated on hand

 No.1616666

File: 1696518973512.png (78.85 KB, 679x578, ClipboardImage.png)

How big is this?

 No.1616667

>>1616666
why would someone make a bank out of a free newspaper anyway. what a shite idea

 No.1616698

>>1616666
everyone expects a few cracks in the financial industry when the cost of borrowing is this expensive

 No.1617972

https://twitter.com/GRDecter/status/1709923829173080360

>Good Morning Everyone! I can’t believe I am saying this but the slump in 10-year and 30-year bonds is approaching the epic drops we saw in stocks during the 2008 financial crisis and the dot-com bubble bust:


📉 10-year bonds are down 46% (vs. 49% for dot-com stocks)
📉 30-year bonds are down 53% (vs. 57% for 2008 stocks)

>Bonds are facing their own crisis now.

 No.1617973

>>1617972
how long is the recession going to tease us before it finally happens, this is getting absurd

 No.1618724

File: 1696685071224.png (399.09 KB, 698x646, ClipboardImage.png)

Do stuff like this happen in Korea or China or Japan etc?

https://archive.ph/XtT7j

Did neoliberalism really killed Europe?

 No.1618778

>>1618724
>Do stuff like this happen in Korea or China or Japan etc?
usually, the subways get gassed by religious cults

 No.1619084

>>1617973
I was a young teenager when 2008 happened but in my own memory the recession was just "water cooler" conversation… until it wasn't. I remember I was in school and the teacher's pet was talking to him about the crash as it was happening.

 No.1630634

Has the Holy Land conflict affected stocks in a noticeable way

 No.1630668

>>1630634
Stock Market Rallies In The Final Hour; Israel Stock Tumbles 20%

 No.1630671

>>1630634
Defense industry stocks have been surging.

 No.1631765

Thinking about how the economy was based on the principle of delivering endless objects on credit to people who've never intended on paying it. It's clear the endless expansion of credit is not an accident or contained crisis but the logical culmination of this economy.

 No.1631916

>>1618724
the bedbug shit is pure mass hysteria (bedbugs have been pesticide resistant for like a decade), it doesn't happen in asia (yet) because of a simple language barrier, but they probably will also be losing their shit about bedbugs soon

 No.1631930

>>1450548 No most likely the CIA will black bag him like they did with JFK either before or after the election.

 No.1631942


>>1451357 No China is still a socialist state as like 60% of is economy is owned by the state AND the "Independent" businesses within china are basically enslaved to the will of the CCP.

 No.1632033

>>1466191
I think it should also be noted that quite a lot of jobs are created by the government purely to prop up unemployment stastics and basically involve standing around all day doing fuck all or some extremely mundane task let pressing an elevator button so someone can use it.

 No.1645751

They are going to push for digital euro maybe even by November. I don't get what the benefits are. What's the point?

They will be able to print as much as they want whenever they want, right? The only thing I can think is if they bypass mastercard/visa/banks and therefore save on fees and make transfers faster. But at the cost of security?

 No.1650036

File: 1698069194378.png (265.31 KB, 550x550, ClipboardImage.png)

The stock I got into recently is dropping 50% today (Worst performing stock today).

Told my gf and she replied with this picture.

r8

 No.1650043

>>1650036
pretty cool GF, what stock was it?

 No.1650094


 No.1650097

>>1650094
That sucks, sorry anon, at least you diversified… right?

 No.1664099

It's over

 No.1664487

>>1664099
>Jewish banker is literally named Bankman
The writers have completely given up on subtlety, it seems.

 No.1672089

File: 1699441437180.png (219.94 KB, 521x450, 1.png)

it took them a decade to realize that emulators and abandonware sites exist

 No.1672093

>>1672089
Vimm's Lair has literally just been sitting there for decades, untouched by copyright ghouls.
How ignorant do they have to be?

 No.1672109


 No.1672120

>>1672089
>two year old video

dale

 No.1675281


 No.1675282

Rice Markets Are In Crisis Mode

 No.1676183

good video on private equity

 No.1687481

If any of you fuckers are moving stock, might be worth seeing if you can short ZIM before a boycott protest.

 No.1687597

>>1664099
>bringing crypto under control
these people have consolidated this new tech under the rich and will continue wrestling it until it is truly beyond their control

 No.1687653

>>1675282
ill eat quinoa instead

 No.1687654

HOLY FUCKING SHIT SELL SELL SELL RIGHT NOW

 No.1687656

>>1687654
Pics or it didnt happen.

 No.1687661

File: 1700893423849.jpeg (67.24 KB, 512x512, cursed.jpeg)


 No.1687687

File: 1700896510976.png (679.7 KB, 509x758, picrel.png)

>>1687654
Sell what? My house? My dollars?

 No.1695808

File: 1701742483756-0.png (518.91 KB, 1586x638, ClipboardImage.png)

File: 1701742483756-1.png (557.46 KB, 640x782, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1696020

>>1695808
inflate me mommy

 No.1696023

>>1695808
The Atlantic finds fresh unique ways to be awful every single day. I have to imagine its avid readers are extremely miserable people.

 No.1696024

>>1675282
>>1687653
both will spike your blood sugar

 No.1699275

>>1695808
If inflation is a monetary phenomenon as Friedman days and I do not increase the money supply when buying any good nor service, how can I possibly cause inflation?

 No.1699277

>>1699275
Its the collective "you", y'know, the poor masses who depend on consumption

 No.1699440

>>1699275
unemployment is a lever the federal reserve to pull (coinciding with interest rates) that can achieve certain results. less people employed = more money circulating in the economy = inflation is tamed. in their mind, you're just a greedy anti-american because you asked for that raise a few years back

 No.1699445

File: 1702079526204.jpg (102.77 KB, 1170x1139, bourgeois economics.jpg)

>>1699440
Is it, though? thor.jpg

 No.1699599

>>1699440
>less people employed = more money circulating in the economy

You what now

 No.1699648

>>1699445
Most of the academic economics seems like narratives that porky tells everyone in order to promote raping the working class. For instance, that Phillips curve justifies trying to generate mass layoffs to slow inflation. However, inflation is mostly due to common sense human factors. Business owners realize they can jack up the price of subsistence goods without a government crackdown, parliamentary inquiry, or serious blowback. Competing business owners notice, and want to boost profits too. Now all business owners have price gouged subsistence level goods, and it’s called inflation. Workers express discontent, and now porky can say “well the increased prices are because of you demanding higher wages to buy subsistence level goods” and they propose a solution “we will generate mass layoffs to SLOW inflation”. It’s important to note that this occurs after prices have been jacked up to extremes, but before average wages have risen to match previous cost of living. The business owners who have monopolies on the subsistence goods like food, power, and rents have not actually paid their workers anymore. Those business owners have increased prices to increase profits. If there is a very serious inquiry they might temporarily increase a couple people’s wages, but immediately offset by layoffs. While food prices were skyrocketing the grocery corporations were reaping record high astronomical profits. Getting to my point, porky says they have a solution which is generating mass layoffs. They say the solution will hurt, but it’s for the good of the economy. They worry that if wages are increased then the new windfall profits regarding foods, power, and rents will be reduced, and they are intent on keeping the new astronomical record high profits institutionalized. If anything they will attempt to infinitely increase profits, and so the threat a spiral of wages increasing to afford subsistence goods, but porky playing chicken by increasing prices of subsistence level goods to maintain infinitely increasing profits. So to prevent the WORKERS *wink* *wink* *nudge* *nudge* from causing a inflationary spiral by asking for wages which can afford the profit gouged prices of subsistence level goods, porky generates mass layoffs on the basis that the ✌️phillips curve✌️projects will prevent further price increases. It is therefore used as a tool create economic insecurity across the board in order to force mass layoffs which are used to prevent workers from collective action that would prevent a decline in their material conditions. Basically, after mass layoffs there is now a labor surplus so when rehiring takes place porky has the upper hand in negotiations. Since everyone needs to eat, and it’s more difficult than ever to pay for food/rent/power without a job, the public is psychologically primed to be rehired at pre-price gouging wages and take the hit to their material conditions.

That is effectively the usage of economic sciences as far as porky is concerned. Capitalist economics is a tool for propaganda and class warfare. This is why you see all these economists make bullshit predictions every time which don’t pan out every time you look.

 No.1700204

Bump. Market never crashed. Get fukt everyone, capitalism continues onwards

 No.1700206

>>1699648
If porky can just raise prices then why not raise them beyond what they are now? The market creates competition in pricing which stabilses at levels approximate to the real ratio of commodity volume; i.e. recorded in supply and demand.
Economics isnt just "made up"

 No.1700218

>>1448560
>Great Happening
elaborate

 No.1700616

>>1700206
They basicaly have been tho, atleast working in retail its super noticeable, these giant monopolies have pretty much all realized that if they all just slowly raise prices a bit at a time simultaneously we can't do shit

 No.1700755

So 4th quarter implosion or what? Does this mid ass fuck market really about to go deep into 2025-26 how much more do we need…

 No.1701247

https://www.poynter.org/commentary/2023/media-industry-cuts-top-20000-in-2023-report-finds/
Media industry cuts top 20,000 in 2023, report finds
>The news industry has seen 2,681 job cuts so far this year, according to a report by employment firm Challenger, Gray and Christmas released Thursday. That number includes broadcast, digital and print.
>The news sector has lost more jobs this year through November than it did in all of 2022 or 2021. Media, of which news is considered a subset, has experienced 20,342 cuts, the highest year-to-date figure since 2020, Challenger reported.
>Dozens of news outlets have executed layoffs this year, including The Washington Post, NPR, BuzzFeed News, Vox and The Texas Tribune. On Thursday alone, KCRW in Santa Monica, California, started offering buyouts, and Condé Nast announced layoffs at Wired, according to unions representing journalists in those newsrooms.

 No.1701346

>>1701247

Bullshit storytellers on demand replaced by AI or lower ad revenues?

 No.1701347

>>1701346
Probably both.

 No.1701618

File: 1702343680792.png (121.01 KB, 319x360, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1701621

>>1701618
i wonder why people arent buying things

 No.1707522

wtf

 No.1707534

File: 1703113094519.png (290.39 KB, 640x511, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1707540

>>1701618
This is kind of an odd example to use. They largely cut people from Wizards of the Coast, which makes Dungeons and Dragons and Magic the Gathering. This includes senior-level employees (notably Mike Mearls, co-lead designer for D&D 5th edition). This is most likely because they feel like they have finished their next edition "One D&D" where they are planning to transition from a standard tabletop game model to a video game "live service" model where they expect people to play entirely through their proprietary virtual tabletop app. They essentially see the situation as these people having outlived their usefulness as they start rent seeking on the product line without actually developing new things.

They also reportedly focused on the art staff in particular, likely planning to replace them with AI.

 No.1707650

Was there a habbening today? Don't really care because I'm just a dirty broken lumpen on disability, but I also care a little becuz family & all…

Also fuck a tomato!
t. eggplant gang

 No.1708255

>>1707650
Bourgeois economists were saying that the stock market went too high so porky sold and stocks dipped. Sp500 went down like 1.5 percent after gaining for a while. It recovered fully today though.

 No.1711083


 No.1716026

File: 1704166073205.jpg (1.62 MB, 1440x2135, Invertedyieldcurve.jpg)

Based on inverted yield curves which have been the most accurate in predicting recessions, there's a 57% chance it has already begun. It will be around 70% by February. By july of next year there will be a virtually guaranteed 99% chance or so of a recession.

In the extremely unlikely chance a recession doesnt happen by then, then the model has failed and that means the economy is in an even weirder spot than ever before. This is unlikely though as you can see job losses have already begun, they just will ramp up soon.

So here's your early warning. Buckle up boys, prepare to lose your job, eat bugs and live in a box for 2024.

Save your money as much as you can, line up some backup jobs or gigs, get some trade skills, or work in some recession proof industry. I will pray to daddy marx for you anons.

Even Fed porkies know shit is about to get real, which is why they said theyre cutting rates aggressively next year to try and save the sinking ship, but in a few months or so, shit might be too late.

 No.1716029

>>1716026
>work in some recession proof industry

What would that be :D D D:D

 No.1716031

>>1716029
Donno man alcohol and education do good, guessing oil will be in demand always. Though no clue bro, its most likely ogre.

 No.1716032

>>1716029
Maybe psychiatry or just medicine in general? Human misery and suffering are not in shortage at all.

 No.1716035

>>1716032
sell drugs or bullets, everyone gonna wanna kill or numb themselves soon

 No.1716036

>>1716026
The economy is perpetually stagnant like Japan's. This tea leaves reading doesn't do much

 No.1716043

>>1716036
its not voodoo its correctly predicted the last half century's recessions given a statistical margin of error. Its basically saying that within 9 months the economys luck has all but run out with a 97%+ chance of a recession.

 No.1716057

>>1716029
Healthcare, insurance, utilities, accountants, debt collectors

 No.1716083

>>1716057
>All of those recession proof
Riiight.

 No.1722813


 No.1722818


 No.1723155

Oh no no no no

 No.1724077

anons i have a question, how do i learn how to do investiments in stocks correctly ?.
from what i see investiments are the easiest way to earn money and i don't want me or my family in misery, so how i learn do do it ?.

 No.1724340

>>1724077
Stocks are kind of fucked at the moment because everyone is expecting a crash by 2026, meaning that either this year or next year there's going to be enough volatility for you to lose whatever investment you make. My recommendation is just to learn about all the investment options, look at the curriculum for financial degrees, do a lot of reading to understand how things work.

The normie route would be to just go in with one of the big investment firms like Vanguard, Blackrock, etc who are more likely to get insider knowledge and are basically unsinkable. Let someone with a finance degree manage your money for you. That's what rich people do and they stay winning over us proles.

 No.1724349

>>1724077
like the other anon said, stonks are fucked at the moment. whatever you buy will be overvalued, which can be good and bad, depending on the timing of when you decide to sell. in my opinion there are much easier and safer ways to make money and escape poverty like reselling bulk chinese B2B products and reselling them or buying tools and machines to learn a trade on. your options are gonna be different if you live outside the U.S though

 No.1724897

>>1724077
>from what i see investiments are the easiest way to earn money
Only if you have enough to initially put in tho

 No.1725821

File: 1705113022109.png (126.3 KB, 781x679, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1725828

>>1724077
Just put everything into an index fund which tracks the whole market, there's not really any benefit to investing in individual stocks unless you really know what you're doing (even then you can get unlucky), yes you can end up making shitloads of money but you can also end up losing everything, an index fund will guarantee stable returns

 No.1726114

Layoffs resume January. Google cut staff and their childcare center.

Ngl but its so grafifying seeing FAANG and techbro tears after they get laid off and cant find another cushy job.

 No.1726427


 No.1726696

>>1723155
Did it have an upturn recently?

 No.1730402


 No.1730409

File: 1705524797913.jpg (16.41 KB, 320x342, AAAA.jpg)

>the US and UK made a non-issue in the red sea an actual economic issue
>ukrainian war is slashing major european economies

 No.1730426

>>1726427
Seeing all these white collar jobs being replaced by AI makes me feel better about going into plumbing.

 No.1730561

File: 1705532045513.png (399.89 KB, 706x519, toussaint.png)

>>1726427
>Labor saving technology is THE source of our modern world's past two and a half centuries of prosperity.

 No.1730571

>>1726427
>Labor saving technology is THE source of our modern world's past two and a half centuries of prosperity.
>prosperity
>PROSPERITY

LMAO, HAS THIS MOTHERFUCKER NOT SEEN DETROIT AND THE OVERALL HELLSTATE THAT IS MODERN AMERICA
MY FUCKING SIDES. MY FUCKING SIDES AHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAA

 No.1730607

>>1730571
poverty in the FIRSTOID GARDEN doesn’t count I must SKULLFUCK ALL FIRSTOIDS TO DEATH

I will not rest until I alienate every post on the board and I am the last man on leftypol screaming SKULLFUCK WESTOID BABIES TO DEATH at which point I win

 No.1730764

>>1726114
I dont think anything is going to replace it either.
Actual vanishing of the well paid worker completely.

 No.1731395

>>1730607
<poverty in the FIRSTOID GARDEN doesn’t count…
Right so shit's stopped rolling downhill now? Imagine thinking firstoid poors are le ebin gardener and not lawn jockeys or somesuch…kys

 No.1731551

>>1731395
Gardeners get all kinds of privileges, like being paid in us dollars.

 No.1732634

File: 1705690187520.mp4 (7.27 MB, 720x1280, How to manifest.mp4)


 No.1746593

File: 1706768050472.png (155.47 KB, 538x615, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1746595

>>1746593
serves them right… they trusted an American!

 No.1746596

>>1746593
new 'stab in the back' mythos incoming

 No.1746605

>>1726427
I love how we hear claims such as this that technology somehow is making people "richer" and translate a growing economy as prosperity for all. None of this matters if we're not talking about wages. Literally econ101 on wages tells you everything you need to know, there are nominal wages and then real wages. Nominal wages have grown but real wages have absolutely tanked for decades.

 No.1746608

>>1746593
america destroyed japan, and is now cannibalizing germany.
lol

 No.1747558

So, what's up with New York Community Bank ?

 No.1747577

>>1747558
just bad office building loans, same with Aozora

 No.1747806

This is total vibes based bullshit, but I feel like the economy is about to have an epic meltdown any second now. Things are so far past untenable I'm not even sure how we are still functional as a civilization.

 No.1747875

>>1747806
Since 2008 the economy was running on basically free money as the fed pumped out more than a trillion dollars a year in loans, and that basically came to a halt with covid. Tech companies are already feeling it since they were never profitable to begin with, so now these big bloated mother fuckers like Uber and Airbnb and Netflix have to start making aggressive cuts, layoffs, and other serious changes to stave off the inevitable. At this point it's just a waiting game to see which fallen domino knocks over the house of cards into checkmate.

 No.1747994

>>1747806

people betting on nvidia have priced in the singularity coming next year

 No.1748099

>>1747806
debt and credit cards, I'm so serious, almost every retail chain has em'.

 No.1748130

>>1747875
You used like three or four expressions mushed together into one colloquialism chimera and it scares me.

 No.1748132

You're right though. Probably, if what you said is what I think you said

 No.1748139

>>1748130
Sorry, I have a very sexy learning disorder.

 No.1748178

is it happening?

 No.1748436

>>1748178
It's always happening

 No.1748513

>>1746593
What exactly are these manufacturing companies that are popping up?

 No.1748722

>>1748513
idk prolly chemicals. or batteries

 No.1749054

>>1726427
>>1730561
he's not wrong THOUGH
take slavery for example. slaves are of low value and low productivity. slavers are hesitant to bring in machinery, because slave labour power is so cheap. proles within the imperial core have brought more products into being and are more heavily exploited both in absolute and relative terms than workers in the periphery, especially slaves. slavery is historically regressive and deeply unproductive
when reactionaries in the US' south call the Civil War the War of Northern Aggression they are not wrong. the South was making inefficient use of their slaves, which northern industrialists would much rather put to work in their factories. hence why they funded and sent abolitionists to the South

 No.1749070

>>1749054
>slavers are hesitant to bring in machinery, because slave labour power is so cheap

Slaves also are notoriously destructive towards machinery. They break machines all the time

 No.1749099

>>1749070
that too. proles are less likely to rebel since they are "free"

 No.1755038

File: 1707445032337.jpg (66.02 KB, 770x600, 1687411631202189.jpg)

how much do you guys actually know about monetary theory/policy? Any literature you’d recommend?

 No.1755270

More banks collapsing. Bancorp bank is taking a shit and being sued by investors for cooking their books.

 No.1755322

Since last year we've had labour in oversupply and underdemand, and service or production industries hitting slow growth all across the west, especially with rising unemployment since 2021, and a looming oil crisis (oil markets facing risk increase oil prices), it seems we're going to have both inflation and recession or already are, this will lead to stagflation across the west if not the world, if the regional war in the Middle East explodes even wider, is my economic analysis correct?

Additionally I'll say that, stagflation which will create depression like conditions (Marxist economists at the Tricontinental Institute For Social Research, Tonak and Savran, argue we're already in a depression), is an opportunity for us communists yes? Like lenin conceptualizes crises, we're have an impossibility for the working classes to live and an impossibility of the capitalist classes to rule, we should thus see increased political action from the former and political reaction from the latter, an opportunity for us to act.

On the Ideological level, which Jodi Dean does great work on, we may see rising consciousness from people severely affected, it shows capitalisms weakest links, right?

Source which is infered and interpreted from is the Global Monthly: November-December 2023 by The World Bank.

 No.1755445

>>1755322
What communists? Who's going to seize this?
When you have market downturns like this, they're only beneficial if either:
1) We had built an org in advance that could capitalize on this (and living in Burgerstan, glowies will ratfuck that possibility into oblivion)
2) The state is sufficiently weakened by the following calamity that you could have a book club with more than 6 people without the gestapo infiltrating it

Other than that, no, if bad shits gonna happen, there probably isn't a meaningful silver lining.

 No.1755452

>>1755445
So we are just fucked economically (not to mention whatever could happen militarily) with no solution if the possible scenario of stagflation with the increasing likelihood of regional war is to happen, shit.

 No.1756519

File: 1707572001912.png (59.83 KB, 438x500, ClipboardImage.png)

Member when china was collapsing because of shadow banking?

 No.1756723

>>1755445
Could you fuckers not succumb to fatalism for just one day?

 No.1757237

FT is turning gommunist

https://archive.ph/2wsCd

 No.1757246

>>1757237
>gommunist
no, just FDR pilled

 No.1757268

File: 1707625474173.jpg (1.25 MB, 2070x1588, lefties vs liberals.jpg)

>>1757237
>limitarianism

these people trying to come up with some alternative to socialism are so fucking lame

 No.1758264

Germany facing ‘greatest real estate crisis’ in 15 years – bank

Deutsche Pfandbriefbank, a German bank focused on commercial real estate, has become the latest lender in the country to report having put aside more provisions for its loan portfolio amid what it calls the worst decline in commercial property values since the global financial crisis.

The bank, known as PBB, reported this week having increased provisions in the fourth quarter, saying in a statement that it had set aside €215 million ($231.7 million) for bad loans due to “persistent weakness of the real estate markets.” It added, however, that despite this step, “PBB remains profitable thanks to its financial strength – even in the greatest real estate crisis since the financial crisis.”

The bank’s shares dropped more than 3% on Friday and are down 27% so far this year and 40% in the past six months. On Thursday, it sought to reassure investors that it had enough cash and highly liquid assets on its balance sheet to operate for six months without new funding from investors.
https://swentr.site/business/592167-germany-real-estate-crisis/

Soaring debt pushing wealthy nations to ‘fiscal death’ – economist
Major economies that fail to address their mounting debt issues will die a “fiscal death,” the head of investment and wealth advisory Laffer Tengler Investments, Arthur Laffer, has warned.

In an interview with CNBC this week, he predicted a “decade of debt,” adding that the borrowing crisis has embraced both developed and emerging countries, and it is not going to “end well.”

Global debt has surged by $100 trillion from a decade ago and hit a record of $307.4 trillion last September, amid the biggest surge in global interest rates in 40 years, according to the economist.
https://swentr.site/business/592093-global-debt-fiscal-debt/

German industry ‘moving abroad’ – Bild
One in three German manufacturers is considering moving production to other countries amid economic troubles, double the number recorded in 2022, Bild news outlet reported on Saturday, citing Siegfried Russwurm, the head of the Federation of German Industries (BDI).

According to the report, among the latest firms planning to relocate is household appliance manufacturer Miele, which plans to cut 2,000 jobs in Germany and move 700 positions to its site in Poland. Heating manufacturer Viessmann had already moved 3,000 jobs to Poland.

Volkswagen said last year that it would build a new battery factory in the US, and BASF announced plans to invest €10 billion in a petrochemicals plant in China amid job cuts at its headquarters in Germany. French steel pipe manufacturer Vallourec shut down production in Germany in September last year, while tiremaker Michelin and its US rival Goodyear said they would also close their German plants by the end of 2025.

Russwurm says that a growing number of companies have reported that their “patience with Germany is at an end.” According to him, the slowdown in economic growth and high rates of inflation, especially with regard to energy, have resulted in less investment, and Berlin lacks a strategy to turn the situation around. This in turn leads to a gradual decline in manufacturing, he said, and while existing production lines may continue to operate for a while, “new ones are no longer being built in Germany.”
https://swentr.site/business/592225-german-industry-relocation-plans/

 No.1758272

>>1758264

Already left Greece for Europe. Where should I go now?

 No.1764886

File: 1708194347206.jpg (40.27 KB, 565x556, 78456041.jpg)

Why is no one talking aboot recessions in Yurop?

 No.1764903

File: 1708195400822.png (227.15 KB, 600x665, ClipboardImage.png)

https://archive.is/qjB8h

>Lagging productivity growth in the EU could reverse the European Central Bank’s progress in bringing down inflation


>In this environment, monetary policy needs to remain restrictive.


>The difference in unit labour cost, a measure of productivity, between the EU and US has widened in the past year, as European wages have risen in a stagnant eurozone economy that has been battered by the fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine two years ago.


>On the back of two inflation shocks, the eurozone is an economy where people are still being paid and paid more. What is happening is that a lot of people are working but GDP is low, so as a result the output per worker is falling,” said Claus Vistesen, chief eurozone economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. “That is inflationary.”



>Many experts agree that regulatory restrictions are holding back productivity growth in the eurozone.


>The old-age dependency ratio in the EU, or the number of people aged above 65 relative to the working age population, will increase from 37 per cent in 2022 to 60 per cent in 2070.




I liked a comment asking: "Where is all the promised AI productivity?"

 No.1764931

>>1764903
>Where is all the promised AI productivity?

In China. But in USA and Europe trying to replace humans with AI while the consumer market remains the same or shrinks won't improve the economy one bit

 No.1765941

File: 1708291793868.png (4.48 MB, 2000x1334, ClipboardImage.png)

Argentina Sees First Monthly Budget Surplus In 12 Years
https://www.barrons.com/news/argentina-sees-first-monthly-budget-surplus-in-12-years-a148e46a

Gommies on suicide watch!

How can ancaps be so effective?

 No.1765951

>>1765941
i guess………… libertarianism does work…….
marx sisters……….. it's over.

 No.1765953

>>1765941
wtf I'm ancap now. im going to go goon for a bit.

 No.1765964

>>1765941
It is fairly easy to do if you gut your social programs, but haven't poverty risen above 50%?

 No.1766261

>>1765964
Kek, it's completely unsustainable. He gutted everything from education, infrastructure, public transport, social programs, subsidies. It's like saying you lost weight because you cut off your own arm.

 No.1766342

>>1758272
Try the Island of Ligma.

 No.1766591

The simple narrative taught in every history class
Is demonstrably false and pedagogically classist
Don't you know the world is built with blood?
And genocide and exploitation
The global network of capital essentially functions
To separate the worker from the means of production

 No.1772015

File: 1708815936593.png (135.72 KB, 1101x221, ClipboardImage.png)

I feel like you can gauge how bad the cituation really is by the amount of copium these people churn out

 No.1772033

>>1730607
Gonzalo's best cadre

 No.1773519

>>1765941
>budget surplus
>cut all welfare
>stop paying civil servants
<WOAH WHERE COULD THIS SURPLUS CAME FROM?!?!

 No.1774303

File: 1708976365470-0.png (265.13 KB, 770x810, ClipboardImage.png)

File: 1708976365470-1.png (1.48 MB, 1280x720, ClipboardImage.png)

What happens after Capitalism makes the nation-state obsolete?

 No.1774310

File: 1708976541504.png (1.55 MB, 1160x773, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1452922
>It's really worth watching Powell talk to maintain a grasp on reality. Literally said it's good that wages are going down and it's worrying that the unemployment is still low.
Yeah exactly. It's hilarious watching Biden talk about how he's done so much to bring down unemployment meanwhile his Fed Chair that he picked is saying his goal is to drive up unemployment. But Democrat voters are dumb enough to eat it up so why even bother being consistent.

 No.1775684

>>1452922
He forgot to put his mask on, but what he said is pretty orthodox thinking for capitalists. High wages + low unemployment is porky's worst nightmare, even if he usually won't admit as much.

 No.1775846

File: 1709045387690.png (683.41 KB, 1019x637, hahfuiej.png)

Burgers seething, West falling

 No.1775852


 No.1776031

>>1775846
Price gouging by another name

 No.1776168

File: 1709060541575.png (200.95 KB, 647x622, ClipboardImage.png)

PMCs on suicide watch.

>With coding taken care of by AI, humans can instead focus on more valuable expertise like biology, education, manufacturing, or farming, reasoned the Nvidia head.

 No.1776382

>>1776168
I don't fear AI being so advanced it steals out jobs, I fear companies being so eager to use AI that they make shitty mistake-riddled AI steal our jobs. Software is gonna get DOGSHIT over the next couple decades.

 No.1776413

File: 1709070064360.png (436.59 KB, 464x720, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1776168
>or farming
lmao
Take them to the fields, Comrade Huang

 No.1776419

>>1776382
If you thought spaghetti code was bad when humans were producing it, just wait.

 No.1776421

>>1776419
I know. I've seen AI code in action. It's something I can only call apocalyptic considering what it's going to be used for. I'm talking literal planes falling from the sky shit.

 No.1776423

>>1776421
shutting off life support in hospitals for a few hours at a time to optimize the electricity bill

 No.1776424

>>1776419
>>1776421
I don't want to be a fearmonger, but this simply is something so sensitive that we NEED humans who have full context and pressure. Computers can't be held to account for their misactions. We are about to enter a capitalistic dark age here.

 No.1776434

>>1776031

Sincere question here.

Assuming markets, that one must assume in capitalism, this is a way to have a more efficient economy. So for example, pizza in my country is being ordered between 20:00 till 10:00. At this moment everyone is rushing to make pizza and send them. Before this time everyone is just there doing nothing.

If you have such a mechanism, theoretically, less people will buy during rush hour, workers will be less relaxed (and wont speed up and die with the motos, something that is happening a lot where I am from) and they will order pizza an hour later or before. So it will even things a bit.

Similarly, theoretically, electricity consumption should be more elevated when there is peak solar electricity that would otherwise be wasted instead.

I of course know this is theoritical. For electricity, big companies just collude and do whatever they want, and anyway the common consumer cannot choose when to buy it. Or workers simply have 0 hour contracts and they actually get income only
when they need them during rush hours.

But, what I want to ask, is why is it such a bad thing. Give me examples. I can see why sundays for example pizza should be more expensive. And how such matters are solved with planning?

>Price gouging is similar to profiteering but can be distinguished by being short-term and localized and by being restricted to essentials such as food, clothing, shelter, medicine, and equipment needed to preserve life and property.


I agree with that, fully. Especially bad during disasters or other crises. But I mean, the idea seems to me to also have merit. Am I completely wrong?

 No.1776435

>>1776424
If the consequences are bad enough people will hold the CEOs accountable for doing this.

 No.1776437

>>1776424
>Computers can't be held to account for their misactions
Neither can humans practically. Those in power and fault are shielded from even the most tame of accounting for their missactions.
Thank of some serious tragedies that have happened in the last decade and think of what the consequences where for those who caused them.

 No.1776446

>Yes it will happen

>This is not something new or as revolutionary. It is already happening with compilers for decades


>Will fix the stupid bugs which noone anyway should need to fix


>I am always more optimistic


>I see the bugs that happen without LLMs so I do thing we make (bad) code anyway or our own

 No.1777090


 No.1777539

>>1777090
disgusting presenter

 No.1777580

>>1777539
:T that's rude, though he might benefit from just letting the beard grow out

 No.1777786

>>1777539
>guy is drawing attention to high level porky financial manipulation
>doing it in a way that tiktok can understand
>disgusting presenter
k

 No.1777814

>>1777539

He is fine. Go watch some cryptobro

 No.1778064

File: 1709172163758.png (60.5 KB, 625x515, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1778190

>>1777090
so what does this mean for the average man or/and how can they make money off of this

 No.1778195

>>1778190
Sell everything. Not really, just the big 7.

 No.1778198

File: 1709179500911.png (545.08 KB, 1080x1026, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1778200

>>1778195
>just the big 7
what's that

 No.1778204

File: 1709179858560.png (358.3 KB, 761x637, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1778214

File: 1709181388702.png (110.6 KB, 178x257, sicko.png)

>>1777090
Yeah, sell those stocks you dirty whore…

 No.1778220

>>1778204
oh, they know don't they

 No.1778380

>>1777090
bobobros, we are so back

 No.1778403

>>1778198
friendly reminder to minecraft any ceo or high profile bourg politician visiting your workspace, you may never get another opportunity

 No.1778405

>>1778403
alternatively give 'em the 'ol aaron bushnell

 No.1778413

>>1778403
>implying CEOs aren't replaceable

 No.1778425

>>1777090
This guy is a retard who misunderstands how index & pension funds (such as BlackRock) work and is a GMEtard.

 No.1778434

>>1777090
People tend to sell when stocks go up to record highs

 No.1778435

>>1778190
The average man cannot make money off this

 No.1778610

>>1778403
>friendly reminder to minecraft any ceo or high profile bourg politician visiting your workspace, you may never get another opportunity
"Fragging"… It's not just for the military anymore!

 No.1778616

>>1778425
True but there's a truth behind what he says regarding the biggest companies controlling most of the other companies.

 No.1779339

File: 1709273134491.png (620.92 KB, 2772x1890, IMG_0956.png)

I’ve been staring at this chart since 2022. It’s finally doing the thing.

 No.1779364

>>1778198
Gamer genocide is real

 No.1779642

>>1779339

very mediocre if you ask me. How much is it down since 2 years ago while other stocks are pumping hard? So much lost opportunity…

 No.1779963

File: 1709329298689.jpeg (993.05 KB, 2542x938, IMG_0957.jpeg)

>>1779642
I actually called the bottom in 2022, shortly after the FTX collapse, at about 16k.
It just closed the highest monthly candle, at 60k. And the halvening is a month and a half away.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/bDBXJ0dd-down-a-little-or-up-a-lot/

 No.1780002

File: 1709332180890.png (490.81 KB, 828x981, fee497echrlc1.png)

Interesting thing is that the new slew of layoffs have only really hurt productivity. Thus causing US tech to fall even further behind.

 No.1780038

>>1780002
related:
https://www.austinmonitor.com/stories/2024/03/as-council-prepped-public-support-local-google-workers-learned-of-layoffs/

>The employees who worked for YouTube’s music content operations team and had signed up to speak on the resolution were still given their time, during which they began receiving text messages informing them the entire team was being laid off. The news caused some of those present to opt to leave City Hall and go to the company’s downtown office to attempt to retrieve their personal items.

 No.1781473

>>1780002

Yeah china's going to win the Tech race lets be honest lol.

 No.1781939

>>1781473
Let’s be real. China has a censorship problem. Restricting knowledge is going to hold them back. That’s why all of their best minds have to go to college in the states, where they can study without fear of upsetting political forces.

 No.1781943

>>1781939
>censorship problem
>refuses to elaborate
Didn't you get your CIA money yesterday? Why are you still here?

 No.1781946

File: 1709494821812.png (92.69 KB, 625x687, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1781939
Yeah bruh people go to study engineering in America because Maoist metallurgy is allowed to be taught in China.

 No.1782340

File: 1709512311710-0.jpeg (811.65 KB, 1137x835, IMG_0962.jpeg)

File: 1709512311710-1.jpeg (693.82 KB, 1080x747, IMG_0961.jpeg)

File: 1709512311710-2.jpeg (1.31 MB, 1147x806, IMG_0960.jpeg)

File: 1709512311710-3.jpeg (579.3 KB, 1009x664, IMG_0959.jpeg)

>>1781943
This is what happens when engineering is a political position. Criticizing your boss is criticizing party leadership.

 No.1782390

>>1782340
>a series of contextless photos

well shit im convinced

 No.1782396


 No.1782617

File: 1709529140984-0.png (710.05 KB, 860x483, ClipboardImage.png)

File: 1709529140984-1.png (868.84 KB, 890x534, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1782396
Not clicking on that liberal glowuyghur

 No.1782726

>>1782617
So when a bridge collapses or a train derails or a condo implodes in the US, it’s a global scandal. When it happens in China, it’s Thursday.

 No.1782729

>>1781939
>Censorship restricts knowledge
Liberal take. Fuck off back to Reddit.

 No.1782732

>>1782726
That isn't Communist China. Those photos are of American China-towns.
>So when a bridge collapses or a train derails or a condo implodes in the US, it’s a global scandal. When it happens in China, it’s Thursday.
Bet. Post data on American and Chinese infrastructure collapse

 No.1782735

File: 1709538995964-0.png (186.53 KB, 686x386, ClipboardImage.png)

File: 1709538995964-1.png (469.26 KB, 1064x638, ClipboardImage.png)

File: 1709538995964-2.png (596.05 KB, 768x432, ClipboardImage.png)

File: 1709538995964-3.png (402.58 KB, 500x375, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1782726
>global scandel
No you Iberian Aryan larper. This literally happens on a weekly basis but gets buried underneath the daily mass shootings.

 No.1782753

File: 1709541274731.png (8.74 KB, 186x186, ClipboardImage.png)

Its gambling time.

 No.1782757

File: 1709541460670.jpg (76.32 KB, 556x767, CaliforniaChina.jpg)

>>1781946
You do realize that backyard furnaces were used to produce tableware and ploughs and stuff like that, not industrial grade-steel, right?

It's kind of hilarious that instead of assuming the intelligence of the opponent and work from there, Americans go straight to "they do backyard furnaces, they report huge industrial gains (because they also did build new factories at the same time), that must mean they use backyard furnaces to make industrial grade steel! Haha, stupid commies, you won't fool me, your statistics are a lie and fake because chinesium!"

 No.1782775

>>1782757
so for small scale cast iron stuff? interesting

 No.1783022

File: 1709574144086.jpg (103.28 KB, 1024x790, anglos.jpg)

>>1782735
<No you Iberian Aryan larper.
That a Berber, or a German, LARPer?

 No.1785144


 No.1791141


 No.1791184

>>1781939
China is not going to risk having "Yakovlev" situation, and a liberal intelligentsia who use the media freedom to promote counter revolution, cultural sabotage, and historical nihilism, like what happened in the Soviet Union with the policy of "glasnost".

 No.1791256

>>1791184
Where's that clip come from?

 No.1792057

>>1791256
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lJCX5S9O4yg&t=4332s
Historical Nihilism and the Fall of the USSR [ENG subs] [Chinese Documentary]

 No.1792062

>>1781939
>Restricting knowledge

Knowledge about what? Of myriads upon myriads of bullshit stories like Goebbels' version of Katyn? They are better off without knowing that Westoid historians think that Chinese had a famine that killed 100 millions of Chinese; it's both not true and a rather pointless knowldge

 No.1792123

>>1782726
are you seriously unironically favorably comparing the infrastructure of the US to China?
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/state-us-infrastructure
<Experts say that U.S. infrastructure is both dangerously overstretched and lagging behind that of its economic competitors, particularly China.

 No.1792224

>>1791184
>and a liberal intelligentsia who use the media freedom to promote counter revolution, cultural sabotage, and historical nihilism, like what happened in the Soviet Union with the policy of "glasnost"
they already did that buddy. that is already the official CPC line since the communists lost the struggle before even the death of Mao
<100000 gorrilion deaths glhf even worse than hololololodomoar. this is what happens when you try and socialize the economy and construct socialism instead of doing capitalism stupid peasant ultras

 No.1792292

>>1792224

>they already did that buddy. that is already the official CPC line since the communists lost the struggle before even the death of Mao



I mean if the communists lost the struggle before mao's death then why didn't we see a similer form of shock therapy happen in the PRC if that was the case then, and if they lost power now then why are we seeing the CPC conducting major purges wtihin the ranks of the party explicty against those who had been corrupted by the porkies?.

What i'm trying to say is that the actions of the CPC in recent years and in the past haven't really proven that the CPC has been taken over by revisionists and reactionaries unlike what some people may think.

 No.1792297

You do realize the Chinese censorship regime isn’t even absolute, right? VPNing past the GFW is like marijuana in the West; it’s technically illegal but most members of the intelligentsia do it. The end effect keeps fake news and foreign subterfuge out of China.

 No.1792375

Comrades should be aware that the American economy is about to go through some pain. We saw US unemployment hit 3.9% in March, which was a strong leap from 3.4-3.5%, and the Fed’s easing policy is waiting for CPI to reach 2%. But guess what? CPI just came out at 3.3-4.2-5.3%, which means they can’t ease any time soon, thank the Houthis.

This is implying we’ll hit recession within the next 12 months, and it looks like it’s decoupling-driven inflation.

Thank god for American attempts to decouple from China, which insulates (relatively speaking) the Chinese economy from the American one.

 No.1792380

>Thank god

Thank Allah

 No.1793152


 No.1793186

>>1793152
democrats constantly subsidize and bail out the insurance companies with the federal healthcare system. We should all vote GOP so they gut the insurance companies and cut it all down

 No.1796920

File: 1710677817810.mp4 (5.87 MB, 1080x1920, aids.mp4)


 No.1796949

>>1454958
love boy boy their recent video going into pine gap was cool as well

 No.1817224

File: 1712632366811.jpg (766.51 KB, 1677x1677, aubergine_560x560.jpg)


 No.1817326

>>1817224
Everyone who lives here knows this though

 No.1817339

>>1792297
>sniffing Westoid "freedoms" is like marijuana

You'll visit outside of GFW either to pirate shit or to google some stuff

 No.1817376

>>1817224
>read the graphs
>it's all "divide this arbitrary number by that arbitrary number and pretend that it's the most correct way to measure an economy"

Holy shit how Michael Roberts degenerated. If you want to analyze how a company is doing, you have to analyze what it's doing, not fucking with numbers to prove some *new* theory whose whole value comes from being *new* in opposition to already existing research.

Academia without mandatory shaming of intellectuals with dunce hats has no future

 No.1817382

>>1817376
I have a better idea

 No.1818255

>>1817376
>arbitrary

 No.1818334

>>1817376
I noticed he also disabled comments. Wonder if too many people called him out for swallowing NATO propaganda wrt Russia (he actually believed there's a 1:1 casualty ratio which is just lol)

 No.1818340

>>1796920
This just tells me the stock market is going to crash in the next several months.

 No.1818377

>>1818255
Yes, arbitrary. Just check the article.

>The leftist economist, James Tobin developed a measure of the relation between the market capitalisation’ of the companies in the stock market (in this case the top 500 companies in what is called the S&P-500 index) and divided that by the replacement value of tangible assets accumulated by those companies


>Another measure of the relation between stock market prices and profits has been developed by the heterodox economist Robert Shiller. He measures the ratio of market capitalization of over corporate earnings (after inflation) and averaged over ten years.


>Another measure of the stock market’s relation to reality is favoured by the legendary billionaire investor, Warren Buffett. Buffett monitors the market cap of the US stock market against real GDP, in other words, stock prices versus the real economy.


>Finance capitalists usually measure the value of a company by the share price divided by annual profits. If you add up all the shares issued by a company and multiply it by the share price, you get the ‘market capitalisation’ of the company — in other words what the market thinks the company is worth


Sorry, but all of this is arbitrary

 No.1818379

>>1818377
>describing p/e like it is some advanced concept
Didn't read the article but it sounds basic bitch. All the highest performing stocks also have high p/e. P/e is cool but it doesn't take into account equally importanr fundamentals like debt to equity. But if investing was so simpl to be decided by a couple numbers no human involvement would be neccesaey.

 No.1818380

>>1818379
To think Bout p/e it is like having a magic button on ebay or whatever market that supposedly says "this is undervalued/overvalued" but everyone has access to the same button, so why don't they value tgese undervalued assets and why do they pay for the over valued ones, well, because it is not that simple and one metric by itself is rather meaningless.

 No.1818391

>>1818379
To invest profitably you'll have to actually do a research on the operations of the company. That's why insider knowledge is so goddamn powerful. Bourgeois economics are a scam, and bourgeois economists must wear dunce hat in public places

 No.1819284

File: 1712798108131.jpg (91.04 KB, 750x500, UBS-.jpg)

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ubs-faces-substantially-higher-capital-123956215.html
>UBS shares fell as much as 3.9% and were briefly halted in Zurich trading.
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/ubs-brink-switzerlands-too-big-fail-reckoning-2024-04-08/

There's no plan B. Risk of contagion is uncomfortably high.
UBS on the brink of Switzerland's 'too big to fail' reckoning

>Since UBS rescued its stricken rival Credit Suisse a year ago, it has been waiting to hear how authorities will protect Switzerland from the risk of the country's only remaining big bank also imploding.

> The Swiss government is this month due to publish its recommendations for policing banks that are "too big to fail", which could saddle UBS with tougher business rules.
> At around $1.7 trillion, UBS's balance sheet is double the size of annual Swiss economic output, giving the bank an exceptional weight for a major economy.
> Should UBS unravel, there are no local rivals left to absorb it. And the cost of nationalisation could shatter public finances, experts say.
> The Swiss lower house of parliament in May 2023 backed a motion calling for systemically relevant banks to have a leverage ratio of 15% of assets, far more than in the European Union, the United States and Britain.
> The higher ratio would likely leave UBS needing to find well over $100 billion in additional equity, said Andreas Ita from consultancy Orbit36.
> "This can't be done within a reasonable period by withholding profits, and raising such sums via capital markets is hardly realistic," Ita said.
> "There is no plan B this time," he said. "The main policy will be hope – hope that UBS doesn't get into trouble. But hope is not a strategy."

 No.1819291

>Inflation up again

kek

Next hike incoming.

 No.1819296

File: 1712799437815.png (228.56 KB, 480x366, ClipboardImage.png)

>>1819284
>The main policy will be hope
Topkek

 No.1819300

>>1819296
The most rational economical system everyone.

 No.1819398

>>1819284
>>1819284
Höpe sisters

 No.1819552

>>1818340
there would need to be an enormous improvement in other ways of storing value (like bonds) before the flow of cash into stocks slows down. biden 2024 is a guarantee at this point

 No.1820036

>>1819552
Feels like a rugpull is coming. I dunno.

 No.1820047

>>1819552
>biden 2024 is a guarantee at this point
Uhhh by what logic?

 No.1820052

>United States: The US economy is expected to decelerate from 2.5% in 2023 to 1.4% in 2024 due to falling household savings, high interest rates, and a softening labor market.

So everyone is saying this year will be worse than last year but the question is how much worse?

 No.1820054


 No.1820160

>>1819552
Both sides have a 50/50 chance of winning imo. I don't think most people really care about either with voter turnout being at an all time low unless you're a hardcore trump humper or voot bloo.

 No.1820186

>>1820160
you really think the rupublicans and democrats are honest enough to leave it up to a coin flip? if you aren't cheating you're not even trying to win

 No.1820188

>>1820186
But then they both cheat at similar rates of efficacy, it becomes a coin flip again.

 No.1820190

>>1820188
exactly! democracy is fucking dead bros it's all the same shit now.

 No.1820191

>>1820188
lol sure, and what real world evidence leads you to believe this

 No.1820195

>>1820191
>lol sure, and what real world evidence leads you to believe this
uhh maybe the death of the empire with all the people and infrastructure inside everyone can see with their own eyes? You mean that kind of evidence?

 No.1820202

>>1820195
the obvious conclusion to a hollowed out empire is a level playing field for both parties? enough to where it's completely even? you can't be serious

 No.1820203

>Inflation up again
>Yield curve starting to invert
>growth slowing
>base interest rate about to get hiked again
>private home builder stocks sliding despite ever increasing housing demand because they are being strangled by interest rates
>but lower interest rates would also just simply increase real estate prices further
>Demand for housing has never been higher yet fewer and fewer housing is being build
>Housing crisis so bad it's substantially biting into the labor market
>We might be about to see a recession right before the election

AMAZING, BRAVO BIDEN

 No.1820204

>>1820202
>the obvious conclusion to a hollowed out empire is a level playing field for both parties? enough to where it's completely even? you can't be serious
That's usually what the death of an empire usually looks like
Read a history textbook.

 No.1820209

>>1820204
hardmode: post a wiki link to a bourgeoise election that was ever exactly 50/50

 No.1820211

>>1820209
Why do you even care so much I already said in an earlier post that democracy is dead so the fact that the playing field is "level" doesn't even matter. It's all a scam.

 No.1820215

File: 1712874703189.png (181.16 KB, 360x360, ClipboardImage.png)


 No.1820219

Look the election is unpredictable. Trump did lose the popular vote 2 times in a row by increasing margins but all the polling is pointing to him. Who knows, maybe people won't actually go through with voting 3rd party, maybe rfk will drop out and endorse buden. As it stands every poll says biden is honna lose.

 No.1820228

>>1820215
>they want a wiki link
lmao

 No.1820232

>>1820219
nah bro you have to post a link to wikipedia otherwise everything you say is irrelevant.

 No.1820235


 No.1820236

>>1820235
>glowpedia
iaintclickingthatshit.jpg

 No.1828891

I have no clue what is going on but Japan's Nikkei just plunged over -1000 today. Equating into a -3% day.

This would be the equivalent of the Dow dropping -1000 in one day. Not sure what is going on in the Japan exchange. They are blaming inflation recovery but it is never that simple.

The entire Japanese market is in freefall except for a few things.

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/japanese-market-sharply-lower-down-3-1033264166

 No.1828894

>>1828891
> led losses in Asia on Friday, falling 3.81% and closing at 19,527.12, its lowest level in over a month as most major markets in the region fell amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.
>Asian equities declined as a person familiar with the matter told NBC News that Israel carried out a limited strike in Iran. Stocks and risk assets tumbled, while safe havens rose.
> was down 2.66%, paring earlier losses and ending at 37,068.35, while the broad based Topix fell 1.91% to 2,626.32. On a weekly basis, the Nikkei shed 3.65%.

>Overnight on Wall Street, all three major indexes ended mixed, with the S&P 500 posting five straight days of losses, its longest losing streak since last October. The broad index lost 0.22%, while the Nasdaq Composite

dropped 0.52%.

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/19/asia-markets.html

 No.1828919

>>1828891
save the anime

 No.1830197

NVDA -10

Yo.


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