[ home / rules / faq / search ] [ overboard / sfw / alt ] [ leftypol / edu / labor / siberia / lgbt / latam / hobby / tech / games / anime / music / draw / AKM ] [ meta ] [ wiki / shop / tv / tiktok / twitter / patreon ] [ GET / ref / marx / booru ]

/leftypol/ - Leftist Politically Incorrect

"The anons of the past have only shitposted on the Internet about the world, in various ways. The point, however, is to change it."
Name
Options
Subject
Comment
Flag
File
Embed
Password(For file deletion.)

Not reporting is bourgeois


 

Seriously speaking, how likely is it that a second Civil War breaks out in America?
It really feels like a good chunk of the population is desperate for it to happen. With the current economic downfall and division, do you think it can actually happen or is it just a burger LARP?

>>2503856
0.
98% of it is burgerLARP.

The treat-supply will not be disturbed, zigger 😤

0. You can tell because Kirk got shot and there were no revenge shootings from the Republicans. Then a MAGAtard shot up a place and there were no revenge shootings from the Democrats. Social media has totally pacified the country people will shout the worst things at each other online and then IRL will behave like normal to each other.

not anytime soon

I read that the population is too old for civil war

>>2503862
Tbh groypers hate Kirk and those are the animals who are most likely to commit mass shootings.

Liberals and leftists would be retarded to engage in civil war. This government full of morons will sooner or later implode. Liberals and leftists should engage in sabotage while right wing apes foam at their mouth on the sidelines waiting for a transperson to do 9/11 No 2.

>>2503862
Based and Academic Agent-Pilled

If there's a civil war it'll be between different factions of right wingers, a general attempting a coup type of shit. Most of the population views civil war like it's a sports event and sees politics in the same way. There's a good shot if it happened most normies wouldn't even truly care until after the US agreed to balkanize.

Democraps and republicucks are two sides of the same coin so they wouldn't attack each other.

>>2503874
Literally true, look at the average ages for all the countries having civil wars right now, they’re all under 30, most being under 20. Americans are all 50 years old and on 15 different medications to keep from exploding, that’s not a population willing to fight and die.

>>2503882
Literally who?
>>2503877
Spic Funforus is pacifist and coerces his tard fanboys to be non-violent as well.

The only people who will carry out targeted shootings in America are
A) Gang members
B) Schizos and the mentally ill
C) Scorned Husbands/Wives taking revenge on their lovers

Anything else is CIA/FBI. Like seriously has there been anyone over the past 30 years who did targeted killings who didn't fall neatly into any of those groups?

remember the chunk of the population that wants civil war the most wouldn't even put on a mask or get vaccines for a disease they themselves were convinced was a chinese bioweapon. Most americans couldn't even handle the wartime rationing of butter and gasoline seen in WW2 much less Syrian civil war like conditions. Not to mention despite all the talk about rural areas growing all the food with the state of modern agribuisness farming and simple fact that small towns are more like extensions of the urban landscape into the interior than self sufficient agrarian communities the small towns will starve just as much as the big cities when the trucks full of fertilizer,replacement parts, livestock feed, processed store bought food, fuel and pretty much everything else stop showing up. What I find to be more likely than a civil war is something like the rwandan genocide where roving bands of reactionaries go around massacring random civilians while getting hyped up by online propaganda and the tacit backing of the state.

>>2503856
I have a few thoughts on it. It's an interesting sci-fi scenario or a way for movie directors to take scenes from documentaries filmed in Iraq, Syria, etc. and set them in America to scare the shit out of people. But I think there are a few reasons why that's very unlikely.

Take shooters for example. They can be "political" or target "political" people, but often times the individuals involved have zero history of being involved in "politics" in any kind of organized way. Or maybe the person has some kind of grudge like the Shinzo Abe assassin in Japan. There's a lot of suffering and anomie and social atomization which I think is probably contributing to that (the assassin's mother had also been exploited by a cult that supported Abe), but it's a very fragmented sort of violence. It's not like my neighborhood is being attacked by organized guys from another neighborhood who show up in technicals with anti-aircraft guns mounted on them, but that happened recently in Suwayda in southern Syria.

Civil wars mobilize communities. The leaders of militias in civil wars are community and political leaders who people trust enough to lead them. I look around where I live, most people don't know any of their neighbors. If they do, maybe it's at church (if they go, although that is declining) and they rarely do things like cook for them. Kind of a blessing in the form of a curse. We're too atomized to fight a civil war. The main exception I see in that regard are immigrants from India who actually walk around neighborhoods at night as a family.



What if we thought about civil wars as part of the historical development of modern states. There are societies that are still going through this process, but it's less likely in many places because they already went through it in the 1800s or earlier (like the U.K.). Joshua Landis has described the roots of several conflicts in the world in countries as going back to collapsing empires at the end of World War I. (In the Middle East that is the Ottoman Empire.) I think in the U.S. it would take something extraordinary like being invaded by a foreign adversary that destroys the existing state (which the U.S. has done to several countries in the 21st century), but again, that's a sci-fi scenario.



One of the upsides of Americans' noticeable lack of historical consciousness is the difficulty of mobilizing people based on age-old historical grievances. Right-wing nostalgia for the 1950s isn't even the same thing as wanting to re-run Pickett's Charge which some Southerners fantasized about in 1910, although the actual civil war that happened may have inoculated the society enough to block it from happening again.



A sci-fi scenario that you might play with is the idea of new technological forms of violence (like drone warfare) that does collapse traditional boundaries which keep war "outside" of the territory of modern states, but that also goes on while the society continues to exist in a state of atomization and indifference. This would be a bit like Russia or some late 20th century cyberpunk novel in which there's a "war" but people don't even know that there is one, or why, or who it's with really; and while they're aware of sporadic drone attacks, but they're otherwise going about their lives without much concern for it, like it just becomes small talk, routine. They just see a bunch of burning cars occasionally or something. "The drone flew right at me! Man, I must be really brave, heh… anyways have you tried this new bourbon burger? *munch munch*" Like the notion that people are living through some kind of political or historical event is just completely lost on them.

the Civil War was about the right to rape slaves and transfer them across borders as commodity objects…but that's already the status quo thanks to neoliberals (lol PMC Breadtube anarchists are petite Jeffrey Epsteins who literally tweet their dreams of 'decolonized pagan sex temples where sex is freely given'…huh, so these liberal Zionists don't actually believe 'sex work is work', these degenerate socialists want slaves who willingly choose to be their servants?)

Civil War 2 is more like a CIA pedo color revolution. Look at the degenerate new age pedophile slave owning ruling class in Tibet if you want to see the utopia which millennial revolutionaries want to fight for

File: 1759333359041.jpg (50.31 KB, 716x383, f13.jpg)


I like this movie since instead of focusing only on the big name factions it gives screentime to these random gangsters and schizo retards who used the war as an excuse to kill people and establish their fiefs without understanding wtf is going on. When people think of an 'American Civil War' they instantly think of the actual, historical Civil War, with clearly defined borders, large scale battles like Shiloh and Gettysburg, etc. But a modern day civil war will completely destroy any sort of economy the US has in a way unimaginable to the 19th century, and when you have economic collapse and prolonged war you get warlordism with lumpenbourgs offering black market goods in exchange of loyalty

How would the borders be drawn? The division isn't between north and south or east and west; it's between urban cities and outer rural areas, between rich and poor, between white and black, between white and latino, etc. It's got very little to do with geography this time, more to do with culture, ideology, class, etc.

I don't think we're headed for something like the Civil War, I think this is just rot. The whole thing is just falling apart, the experiment didn't work. I think what will happen is something more like the Great Depression, only worse. Imagine The Grapes Of Wrath in the modern era, millions of people out on the roads wandering from city to city looking for work, constant strikes and war between strikers and strikebreakers, cities under martial law, police and military and militias and deputized redneck goon squads clubbing and shooting the starving restless proles, shanty towns springing up outside cities and getting torched by the cops, chaos and war and famine and destruction, etc.

>>2503862
yeah the internet is actually great for this because it allows the masses to vent in a digital space and sucks all the energy of the masses, both revolutionary and reactionary, out of real life. It's a void to scream into, but also a place to manufacture consent and despair.

File: 1759340703791-0.mp4 (4.17 MB, 480x852, DaPGWibXfrr2wHOi.mp4)

File: 1759340703791-1.gif (1.95 MB, 346x209, 0zPmRCN.gif)

>>2503862
>ou can tell because Kirk got shot and there were no revenge shootings from the Republicans. Then a MAGAtard shot up a place and there were no revenge shootings from the Democrats. Social media has totally pacified the country people will shout the worst things at each other online and then IRL will behave like normal to each other.
>>2504038
>yeah the internet is actually great for this because it allows the masses to vent in a digital space and sucks all the energy of the masses, both revolutionary and reactionary, out of real life. It's a void to scream into, but also a place to manufacture consent and despair.
An interesting thing about the Kirk shooting is to think about the animal-brained reaction that people had to this. It turns out that this guy was a bipedal mammal that was easy to kill. One minute he's there, the next minute he's gone. This scares the shit out of people, and it's why public executions used to happen (as a way to terrorize the population to not do what the poor bastard who is getting his head chopped off with a guillotine did). It's like CHOP or BANG (and you fire a gun) and people are like AYEEEEEE.

This kind of incident gets that animal instinct activated in people's brains. People are immediately plunged into confusion and chaos, and then the reaction is to either run, or go attack something just like cats suddenly panicking. But while there was a lot rhetoric online about attacking the left in retaliation, there's a trillion people saying all kinds of things (or that it was Israel or whatever) that it creates a lot of confusion. Do you stay or fight? People can't function. Sometimes the end goal of the post-shock / post-incident "narrative" is just chaos and confusion because it's monetizable. Like if you donate $5 to me then I'll make sure it doesn't happen again.

There is a subset of Americans who resolve things with violence. It happens every night at bars. But the other 85% of the population is not doing that. The left is not trying to kill the right. The right is not trying to kill the left either BTW. Trump doesn't need to wipe out the left because he's in power already, he just wants to escalate his power so he can be in charge and redecorate more government buildings with fake gold furnishings and give himself titles, and not have to deal with the political system. To do that, he needs to construct a narrative that the country is under threat.

He wants to be like Fujimori in Peru. That wasn't a coup, it was an autogolpe where you go through the existing mechanisms to seize control. Peru at that time actually had the Shining Path though. Trump needs to escalate and he's sending National Guard troops around, but if the other side doesn't match the escalation, there's probably a limit to how far Trump and the right-wing cabal around him (who don't represent the majority of the population) can escalate. It's like J6. That was an attempt to use force to take power, but the plan needed "antifa" to be there for it to work so Trump could be like "we have to stop these communists from stealing the election (stop the steal!)" so he could try to remain in power, and antifa wasn't there so it didn't work.

The MAGA far-right stupidly believing that America's downfall will be anything at all like the Civil War will probably bite them in the ass if it ever does come to that, similar to how the American soldiers marching off to Vietnam stupidly believed that they would be engaging in symmetric warfare with two opposing armies fighting on open ground. The war would be a war between a failing authoritarian military-police state using whatever means necessary to try to maintain order in the midst of constant riots and terrorist attacks and urban guerilla warfare. If it happens under a Republican president like Trump it will be MAGA militias siding with the police, military, etc. If it happens under a Democratic president like a more successful version of January 6, military and police would probably side with MAGA and they would overthrow the government and install an authoritarian MAGA regime and we would be back to MAGA militias siding with the authoritarian state against rebel Resistance groups, either left-wing or maybe some libertarians who occasionally break away from MAGA and switch sides as MAGA becomes increasingly authoritarian and repressive and every major city is under martial law with constant SWAT/military patrols and mass surveillance.

>>2504108
exactly the point i've been trying to make for the past year or so, people are trying to imagine this through the lens of more well known, but completely different events and trying to compare MAGA and the trump movement to fascist ones, but in reality, it has infinitely more in common with alberto fujimori, a man who was opportunistically able to ascend through the ranks of power, collaborate with the military, and lead a nice little authoritarian democracy, and who was infamous for so much stupid shit in a similar way to trump, trump is not hitler, he is the US version of fujimori, and the sooner you realize this the less effective his shock tactics become

Too old and fat for this.

>>2503856
only uyghas who play too much TFR HOI4, and rewatch the CIVIL WAR 2024 movie will think the civil war is comming

>>2503856
Civil war will only happen if people begin to starve, maybe that will happen in the future but its not happening on a grand enough scale rn.

>>2504832
A modern civil war in an developed country will look nothing like that A24 movie. It looks more like Ukraine 2014-2022

>>2504841
so like the civil war in The Fire Rises HOI4 mod ?

>>2504841
no, if a civil war happens, it will look like no other civil war, it will be a war on every level of society, at every town and so on, it will be extremely brutal, violent, and fraternal, brother against brother, father against son, and so on


>>2503862
The distance between threats on the internet and gloating about dead political opponents, and actual action is measured in missed meals, i.e. a massive economic downturn.

>>2504845
>no, if a civil war happens, it will look like no other civil war, it will be a war on every level of society, at every town and so on
That's a basic civil war

>>2504901
not really though, most civil wars are not on every level of society, imagine the worst civil war (for example, the somali civil war) except with modern equipment and across a continental landmass

It will be legally and economically legit, but larp in spirit.

>>2503856
A Civil War requires a real division in the elites. What would they even fight over? Whether the corporate tax rate should be 20% of 24%? Maybe there's a lot of frustrated people but it doesn't matter unless some Lenin or ᴉuᴉlossnW comes and scoops them up.

Extremely unlikely because the fat rightoid Civil War RPGers and keyboard warriors pacify themselves with their Greek/Roman statue fetish.

>>2503917
Hit the nail on the head, civil war is impossible because community in America is dead. There are no clans, tribes, villages or religious communities, there is only the self.

>>2504975
it could still happen in spite of that, it's just genuinely very unlikely due to the fact that america will not go out with a bang, but a whimper, for better or for worse, unless the conditions rapidly change i don't see anything else being possible

>>2504979
The only possible way it could happen is if certain ideological groups that actually go out and do shit IRL, like Patriot Front or those various small neo nazi groups, actually launched a military operation and took control of some city district or something and attracted loads of similar-minded people online to join them. But rn that's unlikely, because those people online are living very comfortably and will most likely just cheer them on uselessly over the internet. The economic situation has to get worse.

>>2504981
it's more like if a riot turned into an ideological battle, which rapidly spirals into a low level war in a city, which as both of us mentioned, is unlikely, as it would require a significantly worse economic downturn than now (which is a busted, although still technically healthy economy), then it would require a crisis (most likely a war going badly) and then maybe i could see it happening, but those seem to be unlikely within even the next 5 years

>>2504984
True, if we had another BLM/"leftist" riot and then rightist counterriot it could happen, but I think that's more likely to simply make that particular city devolve into anarchy for a while since there won't be any organization or central command for most of the people on either side. IMO those groups like atomwaffen or whatever that go out to shoot targets in the woods or hang flags on buildings with groups of 20 people stand a better chance of forming an actual faction.

>>2504988
It would be a chaotic free-for-all more akin to gang warfare, like bloods vs crips but political. No "new order" and low possibility of spreading to the rest of the country

>>2504108
>The right is not trying to kill the left either BTW. Trump doesn't need to wipe out the left because he's in power already
You do not understand right wing psychology. They absolutely are a sadistic evil creatures who do want to rape, torture and kill.

>>2505020
the desire to do something is very separate from the ability or will to carry it out, they might desire all of the above, but do they actually want to? could they even do so?

>>2505033
They are already doing it to plenty people. No, the demented 70 year old suburbanites are not going to fight on front lines, but they sure wish to live up their sadistic fantasies vicariously through others doing them on their behalf.

>>2505033
fuck it, im writing a zine and starting a workers council


Unique IPs: 32

[Return][Go to top] [Catalog] | [Home][Post a Reply]
Delete Post [ ]
[ home / rules / faq / search ] [ overboard / sfw / alt ] [ leftypol / edu / labor / siberia / lgbt / latam / hobby / tech / games / anime / music / draw / AKM ] [ meta ] [ wiki / shop / tv / tiktok / twitter / patreon ] [ GET / ref / marx / booru ]