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/leftypol/ - Leftist Politically Incorrect

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Not reporting is bourgeois


File: 1751454818639-0.jpg (109.21 KB, 555x779, nato.jpg)

 

US Reduces Support, Ukraine Is Dying (Faster) edition
Eternal Kill NATO sub-edition

Previous: >>2315845 >>2349775

—————————————————–

Evidence of the influence and origin of neo-Nazi groups in Ukraine

https://archive.ph/44B9Q
https://archive.ph/x1sRT#1323637
https://archive.ph/x1sRT#1323658
https://archive.ph/x1sRT#1323663
https://archive.ph/x1sRT#1323688
https://archive.ph/x1sRT#1323729
https://archive.ph/x1sRT#1323733
https://archive.ph/x1sRT#1323731
https://archive.ph/x1sRT#1323735
https://archive.ph/x1sRT#1323740

—————————————————–

ALWAYS APPROACH SOURCES CRITICALLY

Live maps and updates
DeepStateMap: https://deepstatemap.live
Events in Ukraine: https://eventsinukraine.substack.com/
SouthFront: https://southfront.press/category/all-articles/world/europe/ukraine/

Watch Together
📺 News/events: https://tv.leftypol.org/r/HappeningsviaKlash
📺 Hangout/chill: https://tv.leftypol.org/r/bloodcast

Watch By Yourself
>Video Essays / Historical Background
📺 • Ukraine: The Avoidable War - Boy Boy
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LL4eNy4FCs8

📺 • Ukraine's Nazi Problem - The Marxist Project
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4yZvWAwU5W4

📺 • America, Russia, and Ukraine's Far Right - Gravel Institute
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0pyVJG7_6Q

📺 • The Nature of Putin's Russia and Its Causes (3-Part Series) - 1Dime
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8d6Vzi7zYg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zODWTfMwFGw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Zuygh9Mzuo

<Current Happenings

📺 • The Grayzone: https://www.youtube.com/@thegrayzone7996
📺 • DDGeopolitics: https://www.youtube.com/@DDGeopolitics
📺 • Defense Politics Asia: https://www.youtube.com/@DefensePoliticsAsia
📺 • The Duran: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdeMVChrumySxV9N1w0Au-w
📺 • The News Atlas: https://www.youtube.com/c/thenewatlas
📺 • Military Summary: https://www.youtube.com/@militarysummary

—————————————————–

Social media
>Twitter
https://twitter.com/GeromanAT
https://twitter.com/plnewstoday
https://twitter.com/RALee85
https://twitter.com/MarQs__
https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael
https://twitter.com/IntelCrab
https://twitter.com/michaelh992
https://twitter.com/Suriyakmaps

<Telegram

https://t.me/milinfolive
https://t.me/hueviykharkov
https://t.me/conflictzone
https://t.me/vorposte
https://t.me/intelslava
https://t.me/grey_zone
https://t.me/AussieCossack
https://t.me/asbmil
https://t.me/Slavyangrad

🇷🇺🇺🇦🇰🇵🇬🇧
Thread guidelines:
• Please remember to add a spoiler to NSFW and extreme content such as graphic violence and gore.
• Try your best to not derail discussion too much from the main events and relevant places where the war is taken place, as well as other happenings, groups and public figures related to it.
• Meta discussion of the historical, philosophical and ideological background of the war is fine as long as its done in good faith and comradely.
• In the event the meta discussion overstays its welcome, participating users will be referred to take the conversation to the INTERNATIONALISM general thread.
• Quality shitposting and original content is encouraged! Spamming glowie memes is low effort.
• Curbstomp NATO into the concrete, slam dunk a NATO baby into a trash can.

File: 1751454936916.jpg (250.3 KB, 946x2048, media_Gu2HcnjWIAA1eoK.jpg)

It's over for Russia

5 more centimeters in the upcoming weeks, zizters

>>2365687
Fuck off Ukrainian nafoid and cia shill. This week Russia got a whole village with literally one building!

Oh the malevolence, oh the humanity (golden billion rather)
Whatever will we do, Russia is not winning fast enough
Maybe try another Afghanistan adventure. Iran clearly is way above your weight class.

CUCKTIN DO SOMETHING FOR FUCK'S SAKE

File: 1751457442803.jpeg (9.18 KB, 296x170, image.jpeg)

>The "Russian Shared Values Visa," officially known as the Temporary Residence Permit (TRP) for individuals who embrace traditional Russian values, was introduced in August 2024. This program is part of Russia's response to what it perceives as the harmful effects of Western neoliberal policies.

>No Russian language requirements

>No immigration quota
>No education or experience requirements

>The Temporary Residence Permit allows to stay in Russia for three years, then the immigration status must be converted into the Permanent Residency. Citizenship application can be submitted after 5 years of living in Russia with the PR.


>Main applicant must be at least 18 years old, to be in a good health and have no criminal record. Children under 18 years old can apply together with their parents.

Why are there so many libs? Did we get american election tourists again bc of this Indian
Fuck's sake
can we get two months without a new sham of a political event over there?
I need to fucking go away till summer is over.

>>2365687
>>2365690
>had to samefag because no (You)s after seven minutes
Embarrassing

>>2365703
What is the problem. A bit devil's advocate here. Let's say they get a relevant number of "tradishunal" tards from the west and China (Taiwan).
A retard can fabricate a bullet, provided the requisite instruction and equipment, yes?

>>2365690
3 centimeters in the upcoming months, zizters

lol. get loosed, uke cunts.
US halts some weapons shipments to Ukraine
Missiles for Patriot air defence systems and Hellfire missiles are among items being held back, according to US media.
<https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/7/2/us-halts-some-weapons-shipments-to-ukraine

The duality of Ukraine shills
>Ukraine will never stop until it achieves full restoration of 1991 borders!
<Not that village though, no one cares about a village.

>"Hatred of the Soviet people became the defining core of Maoism". Excerpt from 1971 Soviet propaganda film "Night Over China".

>>2365720
What does he say about anti-semitism at the end? lol.

Another stupid zigger thread, I wonder how much the russian shills are getting paid to grifte dumb people into beliving in zigger propaganda.

>>2365723
Kopeks in comparison to USAID agents

>>2365723
This killed every zigger in this thread

>>2365723
Crimea beach party in 2027!


How are my eastern european libs doin?

>>2365729
Crying about the US pulling their support I imagine

File: 1751463435136-0.jpg (157.61 KB, 437x900, USSRLushkovImposter.jpg)

File: 1751463435136-1.png (59.04 KB, 522x178, ClipboardImage.png)

File: 1751463435136-2.png (184.05 KB, 575x797, ClipboardImage.png)

Randomly stumbled upon this, dunno where to post. Lushkoff was one of the sources for a claim that Great Purge has happened.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genrikh_Lyushkov says:

>However in 1979, Yutaka Takeoka, who was a young intelligence officer and Lyushkov's handler at the end of the war, admitted publicly that he executed Lyushkov on the evening of 19 August 1945.


In other words, Japanese "former" glowie tried to prove that the guy existed, and wasn't a random imposter they were using to create "credible" propaganda pieces against USSR, by claiming that the fact that Lyushkoff simply vanished was explained by Japan executing him so that he won't spill Japanese secrets to Soviets, lmao

Also also, 2nd pic, holy shit, I didn't know that USSR DIDN'T RENEW NON-AGGRESSION TREATY WITH JAPAN AND WASN'T EVEN BREAKING ANY DEALS WITH JAPAN BY ATTACKING, LMAO. In other words, USSR suffering 20k losses to kill 198k Japanese was against a prepared enemy who was mobilized and notified in advance

Third pic: sources in https://2024.sci-hub.st/3426/a902d9b3151ccd2b9cdf1f4d54c9afff/coox1998.pdf source from wiki

Best military nerd youtube channels?

>>2365764
Military Summmary. Uses sources from both sides, doesn't make exorbitant claims, has a consistent mapping policy, is not a shill for either side, is not a rightoid.

>>2365808
(Some of their thumbnails are a little bit clickbait-ish but that's just YouTube for you. The content is serious)

Also they update every day.

>>2365764
History Legends is good and in-depth. He is not a nerd, tho

>>2365723
You think the Soviet Union fighting Nazi Germany was an interimperialist war

If you wanna know literally every single meter of potential advance, military summary. If you wanna know what happened previous month, history legend.

>>2365846
So do you think the Soviet Union fighting Nazi Germany was interimperialist or not?

>>2365840
Unironically a zigger would support nazi germany because is a fighting "British imperialism", only a dumb zigger would spin a imperialist wars as something good becuase isn't coming from another imperialist country, also, daily reminder that russian paid shill are manipulating dumb retarded here and elsewhere in the internet, the FSB shills doens't stop.

>>2365853
>and today Russia is a more insidious imperialist force than Ukraine and it's that simple.
More insidious than the EU? Than The Americans and their NATO?
Didn't you tell us before you also live in the UK, or a different anon??

>>2365853
>>2365856
>>2365857
Oh you’re a liberal. Sorry I thought you were an ultra, but you’re just retarded

>>2365849
You think the Soviet a Union fighting Nazi Germsny was an interimperialist war

File: 1751468678991.png (11.11 KB, 230x219, IMG_2961.png)


>BREAKING: White House confirms it has halted weapons that Ukraine was scheduled to receive, including PAC3 Patriots, 155mm artillery rounds, GMLRS, Stinger, AIM-7, and Hellfire missiles.

(pic unrelated)

>>2365871
Zelensky should have wore that suit

>>2365856
Death To The AFU!

suck it. you're part of the problem

>>2365871
Europe will pick up the slack so Russia won't drive to Kiev anytime soon but it puts a wedge between the US and Europe which is always good, maybe it will somewhat undo the damage cucktin did unifying NATO

>>2365879
yeah, europe is loaded with AD and artillery stocks. i'm sure it will be fine

>>2365864
liberalism is when you don't regurtitate banal us vs. them nation-state politics

>>2365881
Russia is pretty weak so they don't need to send much to keep them grinding.

>>2365879
>Europe will pick up the slack
europes only course of action is to escelate the war with Russia as they see ukraine as vital to the european security architecture, this makes the war diplomatically unsolvable from the perspective of the europeans as Russia won

>>2365886
Russia has not won you brainwashed chauvinist or you would not feel like idealistically correcting reality on this thread

>>2365888
Russia did not lose

>>2365888
oh, you're a libtard. my mistake in engaging

>>2365883
>erm that’s actually really immature to not recognise that the imperialist alliance that puts petrol in my car is nothing special or unique compared to the states the imperialist alliance are trying to take petrol from

>>2365890
libtard says the duginist lol

>>2365896
any refutation on the warmonger europeans soon to declare war on Russia or are you just unhappy with someone pointing out the fact that Russia is in a better position now than they were before 2022

Which country russia is invading next?

>>2365868
Still you don't deny that ziggers would support nazi germany because it was fighting "british imperialism", zigger are so simple minded that they think supporting another country imperialist war is somehow supporting fighting other imperialist country, imagine tray to spin a invasion of a weak country by a bigger one as not straight up imperialism, lmao.

>I fucking love militarism

WW2 was an interimperialist conflict

>>2365918
It was, until Germans have attacked USSR

>>2365921
That too was an interimperialist conflict. Le soyviets sided with le western bourgeosie and carved up yurop into zone of le influence.(USER WAS BANNED FOR THIS POST)

>>2365840
It was though

>muh fsb
>support ukraine
Ukraine is also imperialist. Their bourgeosie is

>zigger
>westoid
This thread is le enemy of le proletariat. Always was

The lion rapes the gazelle who rapes the grass
Everything in existence is imperialist.
Go on, try to refute it
You can't

>You know, the banana republicans aren't communists, right? So why are you picking sides? Are you a fascist?

>>2365912
all of them

>>2365925
Yeah so if your brainwashing makes you say something that stupid, why should you be taken seriously on anything at all

How can I marry her?

Awesome seeing my taxmoney in good use with all these new & extra stupid NAFO/EU shills cluttering the thread with low effort shitspam

>>2366023
this whole website is far shitter than any communist, or communist adjacent subs on plebbit. just name calling and low effort bait 24/7

>>2366045
It's still an imageboard at the end of the day, effortposts are rare but usually quite a bit more thoughtful than the average reddit regurgitation of big thoughts from big names for big returns with upvotes.

>>2365757
It’s funny how English Wikipedia makes it seem like his wife and daughter disappeared forever, but the Russian one mentions his wife was arrested for less than a year and lived in Latvia with his daughter until 1990 lol

File: 1751477732039.png (290.81 KB, 800x767, ClipboardImage.png)


>>2366094
Imposter was a different guy from the real one. I assume the real one was gulagged and shot, and the imposter lived on to spread propaganda. It is a fact, for example, that Japanese have married him - with a living wife and daughter - to a white emigre living in Harbin

File: 1751480200512.jpeg (1.16 MB, 1778x2578, doomergirl.jpeg)

>>2365720
You know, when you see how Maoists act, you realize that the "Soviet social-imperialists" were right all along. If Deng hadn't marginalized the Gang of Four, there would be no PRC today. Then we'd really be in the blackest reaction,
>>2365724
>Kopeks in comparison to USAID agents
You know, I honestly wish that I was paid to do this. I'd at least get to live somewhere fit for human habitation.

>>2366183
A stalinist transhumanist? Are mods stalinist transhumanists?

>>2365894
>I support them bc they control the oil supply

>>2366200
And how dare they, right?

Ukr#1: Ukraine can't do shiet;
Ukr#2: it's ogre;
Ukr#3: gg hf

File: 1751482169233.jpg (159.54 KB, 1600x900, tyre anti air.jpg)

So what kind of cope is this tire thingy? Are we expecting the west to copy it?

>>2366290
It’s quite specific over where they’re placing the tires, people suggest it’s somehow anti-drone protection or some way of confusing missiles, but if that was the case then why so accurately placed?

The only guess I can think of is maaaaaybe they’re placed specifically over the fuel tanks and hope is that a drone attack could set fire to the tires which *might* snuff out oxygen and put out the fuel fire and I guess that’s preferable because it won’t fuck the fuel system?

>>2366342
Or stop the fire spreading, again if the tire fire is starving the fuel of oxygen to burn with, while the tires are easier to jettison from the aircraft

>>2366290
It's probably not even anti-drone, maybe it's some kind of protection against overheating metal

>>2365913
>imagine tray to spin a invasion of a weak country by a bigger one as not straight up imperialism, lmao.
Imperialism isnt just when bigger country invades smaller country you dumbfuck, read Lenin, anti-Ziggerism is now more annoying than supposed "Ziggers" ever were.

>>2366290
its protection against ai systems that can find the planes faster than a human can with satellite data

>>2366208
>its MY oil, MINE!

>>2366208
>noooooo we must protect porkie property you dont understand

>>2366183
If you think that ended with Mao and the Gang of Four, then read Deng's speeches about the Soviet Union.

File: 1751491130232.png (1.51 MB, 1283x962, no way.png)

Oh no hoholbros
oh no no no


>>2366676
Lin Biao should have won the powerstruggle

>>2366632
Yes, I believe that's generally the attitude at NATO HQ

>>2366672
>>2365940

File: 1751492505424.png (2.91 MB, 2000x1333, zelensky.png)

Oil?

>>2365721
>With bitterness we must realize that it (maoism) can no longer exist without rabid anti-sovietism
Anti-sovietism, not antisemitism lol

File: 1751493086952.png (341.35 KB, 640x425, ClipboardImage.png)

https://www.politico.eu/article/uk-germany-mutual-defense-treaty-nation-olaf-scholz-joint/
UK and Germany prepare to sign wide-ranging mutual defense treaty

>Key chapters include one devoted to defense, building on the Trinity House Agreement signed last year, which sets out that any strategic threat to one country would represent a threat to the other.


>This would give Germany a mutual assistance clause with both of Europe’s nuclear powers, in line with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s desire to strengthen the continent’s deterrent separately from the U.S.


>While the treaty will likely reaffirm the commitment of both nations to NATO as the cornerstone of their collective defense, the clause’s inclusion underlines the push for European allies to work more closely on security as the U.S. pulls back from the transatlantic defense alliance.

>>2366784
what counts as a strategic threat?

>>2366820
Internal protests

The Latest Trouble In Russian-Azerbaijani Relations Might Be Part Of A Turkish-US Powerplay

https://korybko.substack.com/p/natos-procurement-corruption-scandal

<By Andrew Korybko, a Moscow-based American political analyst who specializes in the global systemic transition to multipolarity in the New Cold War. He has a PhD from MGIMO, which is under the umbrella of the Russian Foreign Ministry. Originally published at his website


>Russian-Azerbaijani relations are in trouble as a result of two scandals. The first concerns the recent police raid against suspected ethnic Azeri criminals in Yekaterinburg, during which time two of them died in circumstances that are now being investigated. That prompted Baku to officially complain to Moscow, after which a vicious infowar campaign was launched on social media and even among some publicly financed outlets as well alleging that Russia is “Islamophobic”, “imperialist”, and “persecuting Azeris”.


>This was shortly thereafter followed by a police raid on Sputnik’s office in Baku, which had been operating in a legal gray zone after the authorities moved to effectively shut it down in February, thus resulting in the detainment of several Russians. That earlier decision was suspected to be connected to Azerbaijan’s displeasure with Russia’s response to late December’s airline tragedy in the North Caucasus that was caused by a Ukrainian drone attack at the time. Readers can learn more about it here and here.


>Before determining who’s responsible for the latest trouble in bilateral ties, it’s important to recall the larger context within which all of this is unfolding. Prior to late December’s incident, Russian-Azerbaijani relations were proceeding along a very positive trajectory in accordance with the strategic partnership pact that President Ilham Aliyev agreed to with Putin on the eve of the special operation in late February 2022. That built upon Russia’s role in mediating an endto the Second Karabakh War in November 2020.


>More recently, Putin visited Baku last August, the significance of which was analyzed here and here. This was followed by Aliyev visiting Moscow in October in connection with the CIS Heads of State Summit. Shortly before late December’s airline tragedy, Aliyev then gave an extended interview to Rossiya Segodnya head Dmitry Kiselyov in Baku, where he elaborated on Azerbaijan’s multi-aligned foreign policy and newfound suspicions of the West’s regional intentions towards the South Caucasus.


>On that topic, the Biden Administration sought to exploit Armenia’s loss in the Second Karabakh War to more radically turn it against Russia and thus transform the country into a joint French-US protectorate for dividing-and-ruling the region, which worsened relations with Azerbaijan. The Trump Administration appears to be reconsidering that, however, and might have even agreed to let Armenia become a joint Azeri-Turkish protectorate instead. It’s this perception that’s driving the latest unrest in Armenia.


>From Russia’s perspective, the French-US protectorate scenario could spark another regional war that might spiral out of control with unpredictable consequences for Moscow if they weaponize the revival of Armenian revanchism. Similarly, the Azeri-Turkish protectorate scenario could turbocharge Turkiye’s rise as a Eurasian Great Power if it leads to an expansion of its influence (especially military) in Central Asia. The ideal scenario is therefore for Armenia to return to its traditional status as a Russian ally.


>Having explained the context within which the latest trouble is unfolding, it’s now time to determine who’s responsible. Objectively speaking, the Azerbaijani authorities overreacted to the recent police raid in Yekaterinburg, which signaled to civil society that it’s acceptable (at least for now) to wage a vicious infowar campaign against Russia. Some officials with an unclear connection to Aliyev then authorized the raid on Sputnik’s office as an escalation under the implied pretext of an asymmetrical response.


>Given the ambiguity about Aliyev’s role in Azerbaijan’s overreactions, it’s premature to conclude that he decided to jeopardize the strategic ties with Russia that he himself cultivated, though he must still take responsibility even if mid-level officials did this on their own. That’s because Baku’s official complaint to Moscow and its raid on Sputnik’s office are state actions, unlike the recent police raid in Yekaterinburg, which is a local action. He’ll thus likely have to talk to Putin sometime soon to resolve everything.


>The abovementioned observation doesn’t explain why mid-level officials might have overreacted to the Yekaterinburg police raid, which can be attributed to the deep-seated resentment that some have against Russia and speculative foreign influence. Regarding the first, some Azerbaijanis (but importantly not all and seemingly not the majority) harbor such sentiments, while the second might be linked to the scenario of the US letting Armenia becoming a joint Azeri-Turkish protectorate.


>To elaborate, the US and France would struggle to turn Armenia into their own joint protectorate due to Georgia successfully repelling several rounds of Biden-era Color Revolution unrest, which aimed to pressure the government into opening up a “second front” against Russia and toppling it if it refused. The military logistics required for turning Armenia into a bastion from which they could then divide-and-rule the region therefore are no longer reliable since they could only realistically run through Georgia.


>Accordingly, the Trump Administration might have decided to cut their predecessor’s strategic losses by “giving” Armenia to Turkiye and Azerbaijan, which would repair the troubled ties that he inherited with both. In exchange, the US might have requested that they take a harder line towards Russia if the opportunity emerges, knowing that neither will sanction it since that would harm their own economies but hoping that a future situation would develop to serve as the pretext for escalating political tensions.


>Mid-level officials wouldn’t be privy to such talks, but the aforesaid speculative request could have trickled down to them from their superiors, some of whom might have implied state approval for overreacting to any forthcoming “opportunity”. This sequence of events could bestow Aliyev with the ability to “plausibly deny” his role in events as part of a de-escalation deal with Putin. The whole purpose of this charade might be to signal to Russia that a new order is forming in the broader region.


>As was earlier explained, that order could be a Turkish-led one upon Ankara and Baku subordinating Armenia as their joint protectorate, after which they’d streamline military logistics across its territory to turn the “Organization of Turkic States” (OTS) into a major force along Russia’s entire southern periphery. To be clear, the OTS isn’t controlled by the West, but its Turkish leader and increasingly equal Azerbaijani partner could still autonomously advance the West’s strategic agenda vis-à-vis Russia in that scenario.


>Just like the US and France have unreliable military logistics to Armenia, so too does Russia, so it could struggle to deter an Azerbaijani(-Turkish?) invasion of its nominal but wayward CSTO ally if Baku (and Ankara?) exploits its latest unrest (such as if Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan falls). Moreover, the most optimal branch of the North-South Transport Corridor (NSTC) runs through Azerbaijan, which could block it if Russia takes decisive action in defense of Armenia (however limited due to the special operation).


>To be clear, Russia has no intention to fight Azerbaijan, but Azerbaijan’s overreaction to the recent police raid in Yekaterinburg might be a ploy to preemptively craft the perception that Russia “backed down” as a result if Moscow doesn’t take decisive action to deter Baku if regional tensions over Armenia worsen. Had it not been for that raid, then perhaps some other pretext would have been exploited or concocted, but the point is that Russia and Azerbaijan have polar opposite visions of Armenia’s geopolitical future.


>That same future is pivotal for the future of the broader region as was written, but Russia has limited means for shaping the course of events due to its complex strategic interdependence with Azerbaijan vis-à-vis the NSTC and its understandable military prioritization of the special operation. The preceding constraints are self-evident, and Aliyev (and Erdogan?) might be preparing to take advantage of them, emboldened as he(/they?) might be by Russia’s perceived setback in Syria after Assad’s downfall.


>Azerbaijan is aware of its irreplaceable role in turbocharging allied Turkiye’s rise as Eurasian Great Power, which is dependent on subordinating Armenia in order to then streamline the OTS’ military logistics between Asia Minor and Central Asia via the South Caucasus. If Aliyev came to believe that his country has a brighter future as part of a Turkish-led regional order instead of a Russian-led one, especially if the US signaled approval of this as speculated, then Baku’s overreaction to recent events makes more sense.


>The Moscow-mediated Armenian-Azerbaijani ceasefire of November 2020 calls for the creation of a Russian-controlled corridor across Armenia’s southern Syunik Province, which Baku calls the “Zangezur Corridor”, for connecting both parts of Azerbaijan. Pashinyan hitherto refused to implement this due to pressure from the West and the Armenian diaspora therein, but if Trump decided to “give” Armenia to Azerbaijan and Turkiye instead, then he might do it but only after squeezing Russia out of this route.


>Russian control would prevent Turkiye from streamlining its military logistics to Central Asia through this corridor for the purpose of replacing Russia’s influence there with its own as part of a grand strategic powerplay that autonomously aligns with the Western agenda in the pivotal Eurasian Heartland. Azerbaijan (and Turkiye?) might therefore invade Syunik if their envisaged client Pashinyan either flip-flops on squeezing Russia out or before Russia is invited into there by a new government if he falls.


>The consequences of Turkiye obtaining unhindered military access to Central Asia through either sequence of events could be disastrous for Russia since its influence there is already being challenged by Turkiye, the EU, and even the UK, which just signed a two-year military agreement with Kazakhstan. That country, with whom Russia shares the longest land border in the world, has been pivoting towards the West as was assessed here in summer 2023 and this troubling trend could easily accelerate in that event.


>Reflecting on all this insight, the latest trouble in Russian-Azerbaijani relations might therefore be part of a Turkish-US powerplay, one which Trump could have agreed to with Erdogan and Aliyev later jumped on board but might still have his doubts. That would account for his “plausibly deniable” role in Azerbaijan’s overreaction to recent events. If taken to its conclusion, this powerplay could risk Azerbaijan becoming Turkiye’s junior partner with time, which he’s thus far sought to avoid through his multi-alignment policy.


>If that’s the case, then it might not be too late for Putin to avert this scenario so long as he can convince Aliyev that Azerbaijan has a brighter future as part of a different regional order, one that would center on Azerbaijan continuing its Russo-Turkish balancing act instead of turbocharging Turkiye’s rise. The NSTC could figure prominently in this paradigm, but the problem is that Azerbaijan’s ties with Iran and India are very strained right now, so he’d have to prospectively mediate a rapprochement for this to happen.


>Anyhow, the point is that it’s premature to assume that the latest trouble in Russian-Azerbaijani relations is the new normal or that it might even precede a seemingly inevitable crisis, though both possibilities are nonetheless credible and should be taken seriously by the Kremlin just in case. The best-case scenario is that Aliyev and Putin soon hold a call to amicably resolve the issues that have abruptly toxified their ties otherwise the worst might be yet to come and it could be disadvantageous for both.

Which country Russia is invading next?

>>2365703
looks like the bill engvall show is getting new syndication at karusel

>>2367603
Itself. Civil war in 5 years when Russia still has not won and the majority realize Cucktin is retarded.

>>2367603
kazakhstan, georgia, azerbeijan or armenia
maybe belarus depending on how ukrainians fare after war

File: 1751541557682-0.mp4 (3.16 MB, 460x854, m2-res_854p.mp4)

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russians blew up a TCC centre in poltava with drones, reaction from ukrainians is how you'd expect it to be
there was a similar attack on a recruitment centre in kryvi rih a few days ago, so this might be a new trend, especially if zelensky decides to lower the age of mobilization

>>2367839
WOW it only took THREE fucking YEARS before Cucktin realized that blowing up the places where Ukraine recroooootsss new soldiers is a good idea.

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>>2367839
>Putin uncucks the second the US stop funding Ukraine.
Uh, interesting.

>>2366023
>Awesome seeing my taxmoney in good use with all these new & extra stupid NAFO/EU shills cluttering the thread with low effort shitspam
Lol for real we pissed them off. They don't even bother to try and argue the war or theory. It's just seething


>>2367755
Why these countries?

Sooo is Russia still on track to pull a Sino Soviet Split 2.0? Is jungle gang going MAGA?

>>2368029
uranium, gas, access to middle east
identity issues

>>2368023
Jesus, if it cracks a car windshield like that, what would it do to your eardrums?

>>2368064
>identity issues
What?

>>2367934
Dog the walls are literally crumbling around the narrative you've been peddling for nearly three years straight and it's honestly a bit sad to see you in such denial. Maybe you really were a Based Western nationalism shill all along.

>>2368070
to continue upholding their adopted slavic identity russians need to lord over actually slavic people and/or lands where actual slavic people come from
if by any chance ukrainians don't fuck up rebuilding their country their living standard will increase dramatically which will lead belaruses to reevaluate their civilizational orientation which in turn will make it imperative for russia to reign belaus in by any means necessary

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>>2368053
No? What a dumb thing to ask.


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