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/leftypol/ - Leftist Politically Incorrect

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South Yemen secessionists, supported by the UAE, are crushing the Saudi puppet state and took over most of the cities in the Southern part of the country, also taking control of the Oman-Yemen border. But the Southern Transitional Council isn't communist like was South Yemen, and fully supports the Palestinian genocide:

https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/us/2025/09/24/southern-independence-opens-door-to-ties-with-israel-says-yemens-al-zubaidi/

>Transitional Council chief says Abraham Accords will be key to stability after Gaza war

Declaring an independent southern Yemeni state would pave the way for entering the Abraham Accords, the deputy chairman of Yemen's Presidential Council Aidarous Al Zubaidi told The National in an interview.

>The president of the Southern Transitional Council said all the conditions were in place for statehood and added that secession would allow the south to make its own foreign policy decisions, including the option of joining the Abraham Accords.


>“Before the events in Gaza, we were advancing towards joining the Abraham Accords,” he said. “If Gaza and Palestine regain their rights, the Accords will be essential for stability in the region. When we have our southern state, we will make our own decisions and I believe we will be part of these accords.”


>Yemen's eight-member Presidential Council leads the anti-Houthi, internationally recognised government in exile in Aden. The secessionist Southern Transitional Council holds three of those eight seats.


>Mr Al Zubaidi framed independence not just as a local aspiration but as part of a wider commitment to stability in the region. “We support the two-state solution – a Yemeni state in the north and in the south – and a Palestinian state alongside Israel,” he said. “Self-determination is a right. All people have the right to determine their future.”

Was listening to a Radio War Nerd episode about UAE foreign policy, there's not a lot of critical analysis of this Machiavellian kingdom, but the emirates have become really aggressive lately and are arming-up all kinds of crazies like the RSF in Sudan. There's UAE money all over the place and their aspirations to become a serious power have more or less been achieved at this point.

Two things I learned from it is that power in the kingdom is really centralized in Abu Dhabi. The second is that food insecurity is a major issue because the UAE doesn't grow nearly as much food as it needs to feed itself. There is a lot of talk about UAE seeking gold in Africa, but apparently cattle plays a big role in the UAE's support for the RSF because they need meat.

>>2583791
I wonder if they beat the saudi backed ones, would they try to strike a deal with the Houthis to partition Yemen ? Realistically neither side can really beat each other, and Houthis can't get more allies then what they've already got, it'd be in the best interest of both to sign a deal to return to pre 1990 borders.

>>2583826
is there any place where i can read/heard a summary of all the activities the uae is involved in

>>2583854
judging from the article in the op it seems they want independence for themselves while north yemen will be "illegally" occupied by the houthis and therefore unrecognized and a pariah

>>2583865
I mean something akin to the Korean war, where neither side really like each other, but they both have to sign peace because they can't beat the other.

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>>2583854
From the various interviews available on the web, the Southern Transitional Council is fully secessionist so yeah if they kill the Saudi-puppet government Houthis will be de-facto North Yemen, but it's more likely they stop at the regional border to keep a "third player" that weaken Houthis and the unity of North Yemen while South Yemen get recognized by the UN (and join the Abraham Accords shortly after)

UAE x South Yemen?

Another Islamo-National-Socialist alliance that is sure to work this time

>>2583938
STC isn't socialist at all, they're purely nationalists.

>>2583791
Critical support, I hate the UAE and so do i Saudi Arabia

>>2583945
Why would you support either side then ? One of them is Pro saudi and the other pro UAE ?

>>2583948
I support the existence of South Yemen

Generally speaking the UAE sponsors the absolute worst elements in any conflict, I don't know if that is a deliberate choice but it's how it usually works out.

>>2583955
Why tho ? Those south yemen separatists aren't even leftists let alone socialists, they don't want to return to the marxist state.
>>2583957
It's because they don't really have their own allies, so they try to get some by supporting those that no one support, generally those people are the worst elements in a conflict.

>>2583957
i blame Britain. Not a puppet. more like partners, thick as thieves. We already know they have been laundering weapons to RSF via UAE.
No coincidence that dubai has become really popular with the British elite in the past few years.

>>2583957
Some have said the UAE prefers fragmeting states because that opens up vectors for influence. One thing RWN was going into is that the UAE has its own independent foreign policy. It makes deals with the U.S., Russia, and China (and also, evidently, Israel) and plays them off each other. In Somalia they back up Puntland while the U.S. backs up Somaliland. In Libya, the UAE has been supporting Khalifa Haftar's forces in eastern Libya. There's a rivalry between the UAE and Turkey as well.

Qatar is really America's boy in the Gulf. The U.S. has its largest military base in the Middle East there.

https://english.iswnews.com/38954/aidarus-al-zoubaidi-meets-russian-officials-during-moscow-visit/

23 October 2025

>Aidarus al-Zoubaidi, head of the Southern Transitional Council (STC) and a member of Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council, met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak during his official visit to Moscow.


>In his social media posts, al-Zoubaidi made no reference to his formal role within Yemen’s internationally recognized government. Instead, he emphasized the historical ties between Russia and the people of southern Yemen, noting that the meetings focused on shared interests and potential cooperation in political and economic fields. He highlighted Yemen’s promising investment opportunities in sectors such as energy, mining, agriculture, and fisheries.


>This visit is widely interpreted as part of al-Zoubaidi’s broader separatist agenda. While Rashad al-Alimi, chairman of the Saudi-backed Presidential Leadership Council, had previously visited Russia and met with President Putin, southern factions believe that strengthening ties with Moscow could help advance their goal of re-establishing an independent South Yemen.


Sorry Houthis but Putin said i have to support those guys now, they even have a socialist flag like Cuba.

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It's over for Yemen as a country, the Saudi puppet gouv is fleeing to Saudi Arabia after a coup by the secessionists.

>Southern Storm Forces have fully taken over the Maashiq Governance Palace in Aden and the last battalion of the Presidential Guard is leaving with its personal weapons


>#UAE-backed militia leader in south #Yemen, Aidrous al-Zubaidi, has convened an emergency meeting in Aden after expelling members of the Presidential Council. He is preparing to announce southern independence following his deployment of forces to seize #Hadramout and #alMahrah.


>UAE ready to recognize "Southern Arabia"


>The main TV channel in Aden call Al-Zubaidi "president"


>China is already making deals with him


>The Southern Transition Council have taken the border with Oman

>>2583791
I wish USSR would still be around to occupy both countries and force religious fanatics to sit in front of a mass grave before a bullet penetrates their skull and no soul leaving their dead bodies.

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is it 'coincidence' that UAE is involved in creating a South Arabia state. involved in Somalia (Puntland) Somaliland, Sudan, and has a base in Eritrea?

>>2585966
read this and linked articles
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uae-yemen-somalia-circle-bases-control-gulf-of-aden
>>2585980
kill yourself for making shit up

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UAE influencers don't even hide it

>>2586019
Now show the tweet it was replying to :^)


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/sep/25/yemen-needs-two-state-solution-houthis-southern-leader
pretty interesting that he was saying this two months ago, clearly he's planning to partition with Houthis.

So is this conflict worth "picking sides" about? Seems way too complicated, like Libyan Civil War complicated.

>>2588582
Houthis are radical shiites islamist populists, aligned with Iran, the Official government are a coalition of anti-houthi yemenite, supported by the Saudis. The STC are separatists who want an independant South Yemen, they were aligned with the Government from 2019 until very recently.

Honestly none of the side are deserving of support, they're all a bunch of opportunists warlords. but their ideology is much more defined then in Libya.

>>2588585
Is there a sudanese communist party? How are they coping?

>>2588591
sudan is a different country

>>2588591
>Is there a sudanese communist party?
No. None of these conflicts have anything to do with communism.

>>2588714
There is a sudanese communist party and they support the Army in the sudanese civil war (I don't think they've taken a side in the Yemeni civil war)

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>>2583791
South yemen has been seized by the STC, Government hasn't managed to reply at all and have lost this offensive.
STC Has gotten it's objective, but they don't seem to want to stop here.
Indeed, Brigadier General Tareq Saleh has claimed that this offensive was to unite the millitary theater in order to prepare to fight the Houthis.

But this is unlikely to actually be the case.
the Yemeni government is on the brink of collapse now and this move has only weakened it, obviously it's not actually about fighting the Houthis, and this is simply a way to strenghen it's image with the west.
Now there are 3 scenarios for the future
1. Status quo, South Yemen secedes, Government and Houthis fights each other and stalemate. Possible but unlikely, Houthis are at an advantage, especially as their conflict with the west is over.
2. Government desperatly tries to retake the south after making a deal with the Houthis. Possible, but the main outcome of this is that the Houthis backstab the government and takes controls of the few areas left in control of the government. This is probably what the STC hopes for, indeed, in terms of Realpolitik, it's in their interest for the Houthis to win there, as it would make the STC the better alternative in the eyes of most countries, making their declaration of independance easier to accept in the eyes of the world, as the countries of the world would have to chose between that or the recognizing the houthis, plus it gives them a mandate to invade the Houthis if the opportunity ever presents itself.
3. Saudi intervention.
Saudi arabia has been the main supporter of the government, they could try to intervene to restore the situation, this would be extremly costly to the Saudis, especially if the Houthis decides to help the STC. Best case scenario for the saudis is a tripartite partition, but realistically its a costly operation that leads to nothing great and simply escalate the situation there, if the Saudis send troop, the UAE and Iran could do the same.

>>2588735
there were some self defense communes set up at some point iirc

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Southern Transitionnal Council leader, Al-Zubaidi, is already calling for the annexion of "North Yemen" provinces with the casus belli of "liberating" Sunnis from the Houthis.
The Southern Transitionnal Council also took control of Perim Island, (also former North Yemen), allowing to monitor any entrance in the Red Sea and weaken Houthis raids on NATO ships: I think parallels can be made with Rojava as they both successful secessionist movements using the weakness of the government to take control of strategic areas outside their ethnic borders. But contrary to Kurdistan, it seems that the US and NATO are at least neutral or positive to total South Yemen independence in exchange of joining the Abraham Accords + weakening the Houthis.

>>2591217
I think beyond a few strategic chokepoints STC aren't going to attack Houthis that much, despite the rethoric. it'd be costly and way too risky.
Houthis's victory is strategically interesting for them
Already Houthis have essentially no chance of beating the STC any time soon, even if they take out the gov.
If houthis take out the Gov, they get rid of one of the main ennmies of the STC
But most importantly, in the eyes of the west, the STC would become extremly vital, they cannot afford to have Yemen fall under an anti-western government as it's one of the most strategic location on the planet as it could absolutly stop trade from going trought the Suez Canal. For now, the gov served the role of this, but if they're out the picture, western countries will have no choice but to recognize the STC. The talk about annexing the North are much saber rattling to appeace the west and also just in case the Houthis collapse, but they aren't a real serious idea.

If no-one can explain to me, with evidence, that South Yemen is a socialist force, then unfortunately I don't care.

>>2591019
>Indeed, Brigadier General Tareq Saleh has claimed that this offensive was to unite the millitary theater in order to prepare to fight the Houthis.
who is this guy allied with? the saudi backed government?

>>2591261
>Already Houthis have essentially no chance of beating the STC any time soon, even if they take out the gov.
why?

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>>2591352
Instead of a corrupt and hollowed government with a shitty Saudi support, they are against an army in the middle of a huge national-secessionist movement that took most of the country in a week with huge support from UAE. Iran and Hezbollah are weakened, STC control mosts ports and roads toward Houthis territory.
Houthis are taking a defensive stance and isolating themselves: today they detonated the roads towards STC areas rather than looking for a fight

>>2591419
does stc have popular support across the south? how effective are they at governing?

>>2591295
South Yemen is obviously not a socialist movement, they're merely taking the flag of the old socialist state, but they are openly anti-socialists.
>>2591352
STC are a well equipped and well organised army that just defeated the government, Houthis are fairly good defensively, but I think even taking the remnants of the Gov will be costly enough for them, beyond that, they are also exhausted by their fight with the west, and even Iran probably doesn't want to spend to much ressources to make them win, finally, if it seemed as if they were going to win, the west would intervene because they obviously don't want them in control of the very important south Yemen.

>>2583791
One of the weirder recent developments.

Bad, to be sure.

>Yemen's eight-member Presidential Council leads the anti-Houthi, internationally recognised government in exile in Aden.

Taking a moment to remember what a fucking joke "international recognition" is. Ansar Allah effectively won the civil war in the most consequential parts of Yemen years ago, and operates more independently than the Saudi puppets ever did, and yet the west, which recognized the takfiri Jolani gov't in Syria before the last Assad holdouts had even been massacred, has still persisted in pretending that the Saudi puppet gov't-in-exile is the real, legitimate government of Yemen.

>>2583826
They support both the IOF and the Janjaweed. The UAE's foreign policy is psychopathic, but effectively still an extension of the US/Zioreich's influence laundering in the region.

>>2585903
If they're friendly with China they're probably more interested in national development than you give them credit for.

>>2591896
>IOF
What is that?

>>2592094
Indian Organization of Fascists.

>>2592094
Israeli occupation forces, zionists call them the IDF or “Israeli Defense Forces”

Hey guys what's "Israel" I've never heard of that before

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Saudis are preparing to counter-attack and are letting their journalists say STC is a "cancerous cell" that must be removed. It's a political suicide for the remains of the pro-Saudi parts of Yemen, they all gonna get killed in the next weeks and if the Saudis fail like they did against the Houthis, Saudi Arabia will have two country that can easily destroy the Saudi economy instead of one.
Houthis managed to beat the Saudi with minimal Iranian and Hezbollah support, UAE and STC will be able to do much more damage.

>>2592112
why would uae-controlled stc destroy saudi's economy?

>>2592112
UAE-Saudi inter-imperialist war incoming !

Fucking good. Any stupid war involving Saudi Arabia will cause potential fiscal crisis.

booooorrrring

>>2592112
I think thats just diplomatic stuff, they'll threaten war, STC is probably going to give in a few things, Saudis won't do anything, STC gets propaganda boost of seeming like reasonable and rational side, whilst Saudis get to save face because this is already a fairly humilating situation. They won't attack because they'll know that STC defeat will just mean Houthis victory and they'd rather have to deal with UAE puppet on their border rather then an Iranian one.


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