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/leftypol/ - Leftist Politically Incorrect

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South Yemen secessionists, supported by the UAE, are crushing the Saudi puppet state and took over most of the cities in the Southern part of the country, also taking control of the Oman-Yemen border. But the Southern Transitional Council isn't communist like was South Yemen, and fully supports the Palestinian genocide:

https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/us/2025/09/24/southern-independence-opens-door-to-ties-with-israel-says-yemens-al-zubaidi/

>Transitional Council chief says Abraham Accords will be key to stability after Gaza war

Declaring an independent southern Yemeni state would pave the way for entering the Abraham Accords, the deputy chairman of Yemen's Presidential Council Aidarous Al Zubaidi told The National in an interview.

>The president of the Southern Transitional Council said all the conditions were in place for statehood and added that secession would allow the south to make its own foreign policy decisions, including the option of joining the Abraham Accords.


>“Before the events in Gaza, we were advancing towards joining the Abraham Accords,” he said. “If Gaza and Palestine regain their rights, the Accords will be essential for stability in the region. When we have our southern state, we will make our own decisions and I believe we will be part of these accords.”


>Yemen's eight-member Presidential Council leads the anti-Houthi, internationally recognised government in exile in Aden. The secessionist Southern Transitional Council holds three of those eight seats.


>Mr Al Zubaidi framed independence not just as a local aspiration but as part of a wider commitment to stability in the region. “We support the two-state solution – a Yemeni state in the north and in the south – and a Palestinian state alongside Israel,” he said. “Self-determination is a right. All people have the right to determine their future.”

Was listening to a Radio War Nerd episode about UAE foreign policy, there's not a lot of critical analysis of this Machiavellian kingdom, but the emirates have become really aggressive lately and are arming-up all kinds of crazies like the RSF in Sudan. There's UAE money all over the place and their aspirations to become a serious power have more or less been achieved at this point.

Two things I learned from it is that power in the kingdom is really centralized in Abu Dhabi. The second is that food insecurity is a major issue because the UAE doesn't grow nearly as much food as it needs to feed itself. There is a lot of talk about UAE seeking gold in Africa, but apparently cattle plays a big role in the UAE's support for the RSF because they need meat.

>>2583791
I wonder if they beat the saudi backed ones, would they try to strike a deal with the Houthis to partition Yemen ? Realistically neither side can really beat each other, and Houthis can't get more allies then what they've already got, it'd be in the best interest of both to sign a deal to return to pre 1990 borders.

>>2583826
is there any place where i can read/heard a summary of all the activities the uae is involved in

>>2583854
judging from the article in the op it seems they want independence for themselves while north yemen will be "illegally" occupied by the houthis and therefore unrecognized and a pariah

>>2583865
I mean something akin to the Korean war, where neither side really like each other, but they both have to sign peace because they can't beat the other.

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>>2583854
From the various interviews available on the web, the Southern Transitional Council is fully secessionist so yeah if they kill the Saudi-puppet government Houthis will be de-facto North Yemen, but it's more likely they stop at the regional border to keep a "third player" that weaken Houthis and the unity of North Yemen while South Yemen get recognized by the UN (and join the Abraham Accords shortly after)

UAE x South Yemen?

Another Islamo-National-Socialist alliance that is sure to work this time

>>2583938
STC isn't socialist at all, they're purely nationalists.

>>2583791
Critical support, I hate the UAE and so do i Saudi Arabia

>>2583945
Why would you support either side then ? One of them is Pro saudi and the other pro UAE ?

>>2583948
I support the existence of South Yemen

Generally speaking the UAE sponsors the absolute worst elements in any conflict, I don't know if that is a deliberate choice but it's how it usually works out.

>>2583955
Why tho ? Those south yemen separatists aren't even leftists let alone socialists, they don't want to return to the marxist state.
>>2583957
It's because they don't really have their own allies, so they try to get some by supporting those that no one support, generally those people are the worst elements in a conflict.

>>2583957
i blame Britain. Not a puppet. more like partners, thick as thieves. We already know they have been laundering weapons to RSF via UAE.
No coincidence that dubai has become really popular with the British elite in the past few years.

>>2583957
Some have said the UAE prefers fragmeting states because that opens up vectors for influence. One thing RWN was going into is that the UAE has its own independent foreign policy. It makes deals with the U.S., Russia, and China (and also, evidently, Israel) and plays them off each other. In Somalia they back up Puntland while the U.S. backs up Somaliland. In Libya, the UAE has been supporting Khalifa Haftar's forces in eastern Libya. There's a rivalry between the UAE and Turkey as well.

Qatar is really America's boy in the Gulf. The U.S. has its largest military base in the Middle East there.

https://english.iswnews.com/38954/aidarus-al-zoubaidi-meets-russian-officials-during-moscow-visit/

23 October 2025

>Aidarus al-Zoubaidi, head of the Southern Transitional Council (STC) and a member of Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council, met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak during his official visit to Moscow.


>In his social media posts, al-Zoubaidi made no reference to his formal role within Yemen’s internationally recognized government. Instead, he emphasized the historical ties between Russia and the people of southern Yemen, noting that the meetings focused on shared interests and potential cooperation in political and economic fields. He highlighted Yemen’s promising investment opportunities in sectors such as energy, mining, agriculture, and fisheries.


>This visit is widely interpreted as part of al-Zoubaidi’s broader separatist agenda. While Rashad al-Alimi, chairman of the Saudi-backed Presidential Leadership Council, had previously visited Russia and met with President Putin, southern factions believe that strengthening ties with Moscow could help advance their goal of re-establishing an independent South Yemen.


Sorry Houthis but Putin said i have to support those guys now, they even have a socialist flag like Cuba.

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It's over for Yemen as a country, the Saudi puppet gouv is fleeing to Saudi Arabia after a coup by the secessionists.

>Southern Storm Forces have fully taken over the Maashiq Governance Palace in Aden and the last battalion of the Presidential Guard is leaving with its personal weapons


>#UAE-backed militia leader in south #Yemen, Aidrous al-Zubaidi, has convened an emergency meeting in Aden after expelling members of the Presidential Council. He is preparing to announce southern independence following his deployment of forces to seize #Hadramout and #alMahrah.


>UAE ready to recognize "Southern Arabia"


>The main TV channel in Aden call Al-Zubaidi "president"


>China is already making deals with him


>The Southern Transition Council have taken the border with Oman

>>2583791
I wish USSR would still be around to occupy both countries and force religious fanatics to sit in front of a mass grave before a bullet penetrates their skull and no soul leaving their dead bodies.

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is it 'coincidence' that UAE is involved in creating a South Arabia state. involved in Somalia (Puntland) Somaliland, Sudan, and has a base in Eritrea?

>>2585966
read this and linked articles
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uae-yemen-somalia-circle-bases-control-gulf-of-aden
>>2585980
kill yourself for making shit up

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UAE influencers don't even hide it

>>2586019
Now show the tweet it was replying to :^)


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/sep/25/yemen-needs-two-state-solution-houthis-southern-leader
pretty interesting that he was saying this two months ago, clearly he's planning to partition with Houthis.

So is this conflict worth "picking sides" about? Seems way too complicated, like Libyan Civil War complicated.

>>2588582
Houthis are radical shiites islamist populists, aligned with Iran, the Official government are a coalition of anti-houthi yemenite, supported by the Saudis. The STC are separatists who want an independant South Yemen, they were aligned with the Government from 2019 until very recently.

Honestly none of the side are deserving of support, they're all a bunch of opportunists warlords. but their ideology is much more defined then in Libya.

>>2588585
Is there a sudanese communist party? How are they coping?

>>2588591
sudan is a different country

>>2588591
>Is there a sudanese communist party?
No. None of these conflicts have anything to do with communism.

>>2588714
There is a sudanese communist party and they support the Army in the sudanese civil war (I don't think they've taken a side in the Yemeni civil war)

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>>2583791
South yemen has been seized by the STC, Government hasn't managed to reply at all and have lost this offensive.
STC Has gotten it's objective, but they don't seem to want to stop here.
Indeed, Brigadier General Tareq Saleh has claimed that this offensive was to unite the millitary theater in order to prepare to fight the Houthis.

But this is unlikely to actually be the case.
the Yemeni government is on the brink of collapse now and this move has only weakened it, obviously it's not actually about fighting the Houthis, and this is simply a way to strenghen it's image with the west.
Now there are 3 scenarios for the future
1. Status quo, South Yemen secedes, Government and Houthis fights each other and stalemate. Possible but unlikely, Houthis are at an advantage, especially as their conflict with the west is over.
2. Government desperatly tries to retake the south after making a deal with the Houthis. Possible, but the main outcome of this is that the Houthis backstab the government and takes controls of the few areas left in control of the government. This is probably what the STC hopes for, indeed, in terms of Realpolitik, it's in their interest for the Houthis to win there, as it would make the STC the better alternative in the eyes of most countries, making their declaration of independance easier to accept in the eyes of the world, as the countries of the world would have to chose between that or the recognizing the houthis, plus it gives them a mandate to invade the Houthis if the opportunity ever presents itself.
3. Saudi intervention.
Saudi arabia has been the main supporter of the government, they could try to intervene to restore the situation, this would be extremly costly to the Saudis, especially if the Houthis decides to help the STC. Best case scenario for the saudis is a tripartite partition, but realistically its a costly operation that leads to nothing great and simply escalate the situation there, if the Saudis send troop, the UAE and Iran could do the same.

>>2588735
there were some self defense communes set up at some point iirc

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Southern Transitionnal Council leader, Al-Zubaidi, is already calling for the annexion of "North Yemen" provinces with the casus belli of "liberating" Sunnis from the Houthis.
The Southern Transitionnal Council also took control of Perim Island, (also former North Yemen), allowing to monitor any entrance in the Red Sea and weaken Houthis raids on NATO ships: I think parallels can be made with Rojava as they both successful secessionist movements using the weakness of the government to take control of strategic areas outside their ethnic borders. But contrary to Kurdistan, it seems that the US and NATO are at least neutral or positive to total South Yemen independence in exchange of joining the Abraham Accords + weakening the Houthis.

>>2591217
I think beyond a few strategic chokepoints STC aren't going to attack Houthis that much, despite the rethoric. it'd be costly and way too risky.
Houthis's victory is strategically interesting for them
Already Houthis have essentially no chance of beating the STC any time soon, even if they take out the gov.
If houthis take out the Gov, they get rid of one of the main ennmies of the STC
But most importantly, in the eyes of the west, the STC would become extremly vital, they cannot afford to have Yemen fall under an anti-western government as it's one of the most strategic location on the planet as it could absolutly stop trade from going trought the Suez Canal. For now, the gov served the role of this, but if they're out the picture, western countries will have no choice but to recognize the STC. The talk about annexing the North are much saber rattling to appeace the west and also just in case the Houthis collapse, but they aren't a real serious idea.

If no-one can explain to me, with evidence, that South Yemen is a socialist force, then unfortunately I don't care.

>>2591019
>Indeed, Brigadier General Tareq Saleh has claimed that this offensive was to unite the millitary theater in order to prepare to fight the Houthis.
who is this guy allied with? the saudi backed government?

>>2591261
>Already Houthis have essentially no chance of beating the STC any time soon, even if they take out the gov.
why?

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>>2591352
Instead of a corrupt and hollowed government with a shitty Saudi support, they are against an army in the middle of a huge national-secessionist movement that took most of the country in a week with huge support from UAE. Iran and Hezbollah are weakened, STC control mosts ports and roads toward Houthis territory.
Houthis are taking a defensive stance and isolating themselves: today they detonated the roads towards STC areas rather than looking for a fight

>>2591419
does stc have popular support across the south? how effective are they at governing?

>>2591295
South Yemen is obviously not a socialist movement, they're merely taking the flag of the old socialist state, but they are openly anti-socialists.
>>2591352
STC are a well equipped and well organised army that just defeated the government, Houthis are fairly good defensively, but I think even taking the remnants of the Gov will be costly enough for them, beyond that, they are also exhausted by their fight with the west, and even Iran probably doesn't want to spend to much ressources to make them win, finally, if it seemed as if they were going to win, the west would intervene because they obviously don't want them in control of the very important south Yemen.

>>2583791
One of the weirder recent developments.

Bad, to be sure.

>Yemen's eight-member Presidential Council leads the anti-Houthi, internationally recognised government in exile in Aden.

Taking a moment to remember what a fucking joke "international recognition" is. Ansar Allah effectively won the civil war in the most consequential parts of Yemen years ago, and operates more independently than the Saudi puppets ever did, and yet the west, which recognized the takfiri Jolani gov't in Syria before the last Assad holdouts had even been massacred, has still persisted in pretending that the Saudi puppet gov't-in-exile is the real, legitimate government of Yemen.

>>2583826
They support both the IOF and the Janjaweed. The UAE's foreign policy is psychopathic, but effectively still an extension of the US/Zioreich's influence laundering in the region.

>>2585903
If they're friendly with China they're probably more interested in national development than you give them credit for.

>>2591896
>IOF
What is that?

>>2592094
Indian Organization of Fascists.

>>2592094
Israeli occupation forces, zionists call them the IDF or “Israeli Defense Forces”

Hey guys what's "Israel" I've never heard of that before

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Saudis are preparing to counter-attack and are letting their journalists say STC is a "cancerous cell" that must be removed. It's a political suicide for the remains of the pro-Saudi parts of Yemen, they all gonna get killed in the next weeks and if the Saudis fail like they did against the Houthis, Saudi Arabia will have two country that can easily destroy the Saudi economy instead of one.
Houthis managed to beat the Saudi with minimal Iranian and Hezbollah support, UAE and STC will be able to do much more damage.

>>2592112
why would uae-controlled stc destroy saudi's economy?

>>2592112
UAE-Saudi inter-imperialist war incoming !

Fucking good. Any stupid war involving Saudi Arabia will cause potential fiscal crisis.

booooorrrring

>>2592112
I think thats just diplomatic stuff, they'll threaten war, STC is probably going to give in a few things, Saudis won't do anything, STC gets propaganda boost of seeming like reasonable and rational side, whilst Saudis get to save face because this is already a fairly humilating situation. They won't attack because they'll know that STC defeat will just mean Houthis victory and they'd rather have to deal with UAE puppet on their border rather then an Iranian one.

• The UAE has rejected the allegations against it by Saudi Arabia and the Yemeni government, saying all actions must be “based on verified facts and existing coordination among the concerned parties”.
• The internationally recognised government of Yemen says it supports the declaration of a nationwide state of emergency by the head of the country’s presidential council, Rashad al-Alimi, following strikes by the ​Saudi-led ‌coalition at Mukalla port.
• The National Defence Council of Yemen, convening in Saudi Arabia, says the UAE must fully adhere to Yemeni decisions and sovereignty and “refrain from interfering in Yemen’s internal affairs.”
• The head of the STC in the districts of Yemen’s recently seized Hadramout has signalled his forces have no intention of withdrawing from the region.
• Hadramout’s governor says the local authority is ready to cooperate with the National Shield forces to “prevent bloodshed.”
• The Hadramout Tribal Alliance has issued a statement demanding the “immediate, unconditional” withdrawal of STC forces.

>>2618509
• The United Arab Emirates’s defence ministry announced that it has voluntarily ended the missions of its “counterterrorism” units in Yemen, according to the state news agency WAM.
• The UAE’s Foreign Ministry emphasised in a statement that the country is not part of any regional attempt to undermine Saudi Arabia.
• Southern Transitional Council representative Nabeel bin Lasem told Al Jazeera that Rashad al-Alimi, the head of Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), were a “declaration of war against the south”.
• Four members of Yemen’s PLC rejected the move by council chief al-Alimi to declare a state of emergency and expel UAE forces from the country.
• Saudi Arabia said it hopes the UAE will respond to a request to leave Yemen within 24 hours and said that it is committed to the “security, stability, and sovereignty of Yemen.”
• The secretary-general of the Arab League, Ahmed Abu al-Gheit, called for an immediate end to the escalation in Yemen and expressed “deep concern” over the unfolding developments.

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Three weeks after the STC coup/takeover, everyone is getting ready for war: Saudis are clearly threatening war against STC, bombed UAE ships carrying military cargo, UAE officers are leaving the country and there is massive recruitment in both pro-Saudi National Defence Council and STC cities. Houthis, weakened, seems to stay neutral except for small offensives against the Yemeni-gouv held cities, but at the same time can't directly fight against the Somaliland-UAE-STC(-Israel) alliance as it would reinforce the Yemeni puppet gouv.

>>2618522
>bombed UAE ships carrying military cargo, UAE officers are leaving the country
Here I was thinking UAE was used as a front for Saudi operations.

>>2618522
wish someone bombed dubai and abu dhabi directly and caused that fucking shithole to collapse

>>2618527
Not really, UAE is desperate to have it's own sphere of alliance, and to not be reliant on the Saudis, thats why they support the underdogs in civil wars nearby, like Somaliland, the STC or the RSF in Sudan, this causes a conflict with the saudis who support Somalia, Sudan and the official Yemeni government
>>2618532
In a thousand years, the ruins Dubai will be the perfect caricature of the arrogance of our era.

>>2618539
Its such a small country that it makes me suspicius. Could be different Saudi factions behind it like the monarchy versus clergy.

>>2618539
is somaliland really an underdog? they've been doing their thing since the 90s

Qatar emphasises importance of Yemeni ‘unity and territorial integrity’

Qatar has affirmed its “full support for the legitimate Yemeni government” as the UAE says it is pulling its “counterterrorism” forces out of Yemen following a Saudi Arabia-backed call for Abu Dhabi’s forces to leave the country within 24 hours.

In a statement posted on X, Qatar’s foreign ministry emphasised the importance of “preserving Yemen’s unity and territorial integrity, and safeguarding the interests of the brotherly Yemeni people.”

“The Ministry of Foreign Affairs affirms that the security of the sisterly Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the security of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states is an integral part of the security of the State of Qatar,” the statement read.

“The Ministry appreciates the statements issued by the sisterly Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the sisterly United Arab Emirates, which reflect a commitment to prioritising the interests of the region, strengthening the principles of good neighbourliness, and adhering to the foundations and principles upon which the Charter of the Gulf Cooperation Council is based,” it added.

‘There is a new regional order after Iranian calibration’

Al Jazeera’s Ali Hashem says the recent developments in Yemen are linked to “the post-Gaza war situation in the region”.

“The new regional order is replacing the old narratives with new narratives as regional players are now dealing with their national security concerns in a very organic way,” he said.

Hashem said that this was almost always triggered by the Iranian influence in the region in the past.

“With the Iranian calibration or retreat, the major countries are addressing their real questions and concerns,” Hashem stressed, adding that regional powers have started taking positions in line with the new realities.

Kuwait emphasises ‘necessity’ to preserve integrity of Yemeni territories

Kuwait has expressed its “steadfast support for the legitimate Yemeni government” and emphasised the “necessity” of preserving the country’s “unity and the integrity of its territories”.

“Protecting the interests of the sisterly Yemeni people, in a manner that ensures the realisation of its aspirations for security, stability, and development,” a statement from Kuwait’s foreign ministry posted on X read.

In the statement, Kuwait commended Saudi Arabia and the UAE for their ” keenness to support regional stability, enhance the principles of good neighbourliness, and adhere to the values and shared principles” in the charter of the Gulf Cooperation Council.

“The State of Kuwait affirms its continued support for all regional and international efforts aimed at consolidating dialogue and adopting diplomatic solutions, considering them the optimal path to achieving security and stability, and enhancing opportunities for peace in the region,” it added.

Yemeni presidential adviser: ‘UAE has role in disturbing peace in Yemen’

Badr Basalma, adviser to al-Alimi, tells Al Jazeera that the Southern Transitional Council “has committed many violations and the most recent was this ship that came from the UAE in support of the STC”.

“This ship came, without anyone’s knowledge, … and came from the UAE,” he said and, referring to the UAE statement disavowing military support for the STC, added: “So when we talk about ‘not bringing the UAE into this issue’ – but at the same time, this ship came from Fujairah in the UAE.”

Basalma also accused the UAE of wanting control of the militias that make up the STC in coordination with Israel.

“They [the UAE] want the STC to control the whole of southern Yemen, control over Bab al-Mandeb Strait … so as to allow Israel and the UAE authorities to play a large part in controlling seaports and the sea routes around the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean,” he charged.
<wonder what china thinks of this?

“That is the role created for the STC, and so it has been promised that it will be recognised so that it carries out this militia role in controlling the ports and threatening wider Gulf security.”

Saudi Arabia’s strikes on the port of Mukalla in southern Yemen aimed to thwart what Riyadh calls the UAE’s military support for the STC. The Emirates have, in turn, disavowed this support.

Saudi-led coalition responds directly to UAE statement on shipment to south Yemen

The newly opened X account belonging to the spokesperson for the Joint Forces Command, representing Saudi Arabia’s coalition in Yemen, says that the two ships that entered the port of Maukalla, the incident which sparked the air strikes, did so in contravention of protocol.

The ships were in “violation of the procedures followed in such cases, and without an entry permit from the Yemeni government or the Coalition Command”, the spokesperson said.

“They also turned off the tracking and identification device before entering Yemeni territorial waters”, he continued.

This runs counter to the UAE’s claims, which we reported on earlier, that the delivery was coordinated closely with Saudi Arabia.

>>2618541
>Its such a small country that it makes me suspicius. Could be different Saudi factions behind it like the monarchy versus clergy.
It's a small country with enormous oil profits that has turned into a rentier-financial state that is seeking ways to recapitalize those profits. Think of it, like, not so much about future oil profits but yesterday's oil profits turned turned into financial assets, and they want to protect those assets, and also buy weapons and hire mercenaries to take over mines, ports, logistics corridors, food supply chains (the UAE can't feed itself because it's a desert so the role of cattle in Sudan is a whole aspect of this that I didn't know about) to secure long-term revenue with a high rate of return.

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Holden Bloodfest here talking about oil. Interviewer is this guy:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dan_Senor

Why are so many Arab countries turning against Palestine all of a sudden?

>>2618863
>all of a sudden

More from Saudi coalition on what transpired in south Yemen

As we reported earlier, the coalition’s military spokesperson, Turki al-Maliki, made a series of posts on X detailing the group’s position on the UAE’s claims regarding military support to the Southern Transitional Council and what transpired before the strikes.

Here is a summary of the points made by al-Maliki in his five X posts:

The coalition documented the arrival and unloading process of two ships from the UAE, after which “high-level” officials in the UAE were notified that they must not allow the shipment to leave the port of Mukalla.
While the two ships entered, the port was closed, and all local employees were evacuated. The coalition said the ships were carrying “more than 80 vehicles, in addition to a number of containers loaded with weapons and ammunition”.
The coalition maintains that despite the warning, and without informing Saudi Arabia, the Emiratis “proceeded to transfer the vehicles and containers to the al-Rayan base, where no more than 10 additional Emirati personnel are present”.
The Emiratis were informed that the shipment must be returned to the port, but they only returned the vehicles. The weapons stayed at the base. The coalition said it had information that such weapons would be transported and distributed to locations in Yemen’s Hadramout.
A “limited military operation” was carried out on the port, and it is the coalition’s assertion that the containers with weapons and ammunition are still at the al-Rayan base.

Here’s a recap of today’s major developments:

The Saudi Arabian-led coalition in Yemen has targeted what it said were shipments of weapons and combat vehicles in Yemen, which were unloaded from vessels coming from the UAE and bound for forces connected to Yemen’s Southern Transitional Council.
The leader of Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council has cancelled a security pact with the UAE, urging UAE forces to leave the country within 24 hours. Riyadh backed the call.
The UAE rejected the accusations but announced the withdrawal of its remaining forces in Yemen after the ultimatum.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio held phone calls with both sides’ leadership after the escalating tensions.

Saudi Arabia and UAE bank on different military strengths in Yemen rivalry

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are leaning on their respective military strengths in Yemen should the situation between the Gulf allies turned foes escalate further, Arab and US diplomats have told Middle East Eye.

On Tuesday, tensions between the two regional powers spiked dramatically when Saudi-led forces bombed the southern Yemeni port of al-Mukalla, targeting what Riyadh said was a UAE-linked weapons shipment destined for the separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC).

The STC, which has publicly supported Yemen's internationally recognised government against the Houthi rebels, launched an offensive against the Saudi-backed government troops earlier this month, seeking an independent state in the south.

Citing the STC's advance and the weapons shipments as a threat to its national security, the kingdom said it was disappointed about "pressure exerted by the UAE" on the separatists to conduct military operations in the Hadhramaut and al-Mahara provinces, which border both the kingdom and neighbouring Oman.

The UAE's Foreign Ministry lashed out at the Saudis for suggesting they were trying to "undermine" Riyadh's security.

Later, the UAE’s Ministry of Defence said it carried out a "comprehensive assessment" of its role in Yemen and had decided to end its mission there.

A Gulf Arab official told MEE that the kingdom's precision strikes had surprised both the Emirati leadership as well as US officials.

"This was not expected at the top," the official told MEE, adding that the kingdom's show of force came because Riyadh felt "tricked" after learning that the UAE was moving to bolster the STC with weapons and armoured vehicles even as it was negotiating a de-escalation with Saudi Arabia.

e unprecedented nature of the strikes prompted US Secretary of State Marco Rubio to hold calls with his Emirati and Saudi counterparts. The readouts of both calls were muted.

A US diplomat and the Gulf Arab official told MEE that Washington was working to prevent a further escalation.

Experts told MEE that the kingdom's strikes and the UAE withdrawal raised questions of how Abu Dhabi would continue to bolster its main proxy.

Mohammed al-Basha, an expert on Yemen and founder of the Basha Report, told MEE that while the UAE could field hundreds of thousands of well-armed fighters on the ground, Saudi Arabia had better control of maritime choke points and border crossings, which would hamper efforts by Abu Dhabi to rearm its militia allies in a drawn-out conflict.

"Saudi Arabia's control over airspace, land crossings and maritime access in southern Yemen is expected to restrict the flow of arms, equipment and logistical support to the STC," he said.

>'Emirati networks'


Tensions between the UAE and Saudi Arabia have been simmering for years, but escalated after the STC's advances earlier this month.

Farea al-Muslimi, a Yemen expert at Chatham House, told MEE that the situation was increasingly tense and that the Gulf region was entering a period of rivalry "more dangerous than 2017", when then-allies Saudi Arabia and the UAE led a blockade of Qatar.

Basha said that while the UAE's announcement that it would withdraw its troops from Yemen was a major development, in reality, it carried little weight.

"The withdrawal of UAE personnel does not signal disengagement by Abu Dhabi from its local allies in western and southern Yemen. Emirati networks and support structures on the ground remain intact," he told MEE.

The UAE began pulling its troops out of Yemen in 2019 and invested in local militias, leaving only a handful of advisers on the ground.

The investment in proxies over the years gives Abu Dhabi an advantage now because it can count on up to 200,000 armed fighters, Basha said.

Analysts told MEE that Saudi Arabia is rallying its own allies, including the Hadramaut Tribal Alliance and a militia called the National Shield, but these forces number only in the tens of thousands.

"Saudi Arabia made very clear it considers the control of Hadhramaut's border with the kingdom a matter of national security," Eleonora Ardemagni, an expert on armed groups in Yemen and senior associate research fellow at ISPI, told MEE.

>Will Saudi air power be different this time?


Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen a decade ago turned into a quagmire. Riyadh launched tens of thousands of air strikes that failed to dislodge the Houthis but caused thousands of civilian casualties, sparking a public relations backlash that sullied the Kingdom's image as a modernising business hub.

Alghannam, the Saudi analyst, said that Riyadh had "moved away from large-scale expeditionary warfare toward a model focused on deterrence, selective pressure, and political outcomes".

He said Riyadh learned that "proxies and firepower alone cannot stabilise Yemen" and was trying to use a defensive posture against the UAE to achieve a political settlement rather than "dominate Yemen militarily".

"The STC is vulnerable to Saudi air power in a way the Houthis were not. Any Bedouin knows how to fight in the desert," he said.

Ardemagni said that the STC was now entering its "existential battle" for the establishment of a southern state.

"In the short to medium term, it may negotiate some local, limited arrangements with Saudi-backed forces on border governance, but I don't think it can step back from its original goal."

>Houthi wild card


Analysts are already saying that the Houthis have emerged as the single biggest winner from the conflict between Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

"With this level of disunity, opposed narratives and distrust between Emirati and Saudi backed forces in Yemen, who will dare to imagine, from this moment on, a joint ground operation to regain Hodeida or Sanaa?" said Ardemagni.

After failing to dislodge the group, Saudi Arabia entered a truce with the Houthis in 2022. Although that UN agreement has expired, the lull in fighting has largely held, with China mediating a restoration of diplomatic ties between Tehran and Riyadh in 2023 that helped keep tensions with the Houthis in check.

In fact, Saudi Arabia lobbied Trump to stop American attacks on the Houthis before he visited the Gulf in May 2025, MEE revealed.

Relations between the Houthis and Saudis are still peppered with deep mistrust. Saudi analysts regularly note Houthi rhetoric that questions the kingdom's sovereignty over some of its territory and are still on guard for Houthi drone and missile strikes. However, the two sides have engaged in close talks and in December reached an agreement for a major prisoner exchange.

Muslimi said Saudi Arabia's outreach to the Houthis worsened tensions with the UAE.

"The UAE was not happy being sidelined by the negotiations between the Houthis and Saudis," he told MEE, adding that he did not rule out a tactical arrangement between the Houthis and Saudi Arabians against the UAE.

"The de-facto ceasefire between the Houthis and the Emiratis will collapse," he said. "I wouldn’t be surprised if the Houthis launched a few drones and rockets at the UAE," he said.

The last Houthi attack on Abu Dhabi occurred in January 2022, sparking concerns about the city-state's status as an international business hub.
<pls god yes

A Gulf analyst close to Saudi decision makers told MEE that Riyadh would be "happy to see" the STC and Houthis fight each other, but does not want to unleash another round of regional chaos for fear it could blow back in their face.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/saudi-arabia-uae-different-military-strengths-tensions-mount-yemen

>>2618863
Arab governments only performatively denounced Israel at the peak of the genocide but never actually changed their rapprochement because the only goal was to appease a temporarily outraged populous. Now that Palestine is once again forgotten, its save to return to normalcy.

File: 1767359871603.jpg (38.98 KB, 722x168, 1737.jpg)

Saudi Arabia declared war and naval blockade against UAE-backed STC secessionnists, STC declared independence

>The Saudi military spokesperson @CJFCSpox stated that the Royal Saudi Naval Forces have completed their deployment in the Arabian Sea to conduct inspection operations and counter smuggling activities. [External support to the STC from the UAE will be brought to an end.]


Statement issued by the Southern Armed Forces
>Our valiant Southern Armed Forces are waging the battle of national defense with full strength and heroism on all strategic directions of the Promising Future operation.
>O sons of our proud Southern people:This morning, a north-south war has begun on our borders in valiant Hadhramout. The brave heroes of your Southern Armed Forces have succeeded in repelling a large-scale attack launched by the Muslim Brotherhood militias and Al-Qaeda, with Saudi support. Our southern brothers in the Shield of the Nation forces have no involvement in this savage war.
>O great sons of our Southern people,This war is fateful and existential. It does not differ from the takfiri-terrorist war that was launched against you and your Southern homeland, its sovereignty, and its resources in the year 1994, except that this time it comes with Saudi air cover.
>Trust, O sons of our people, that this is a decisive battle, and that with the steadfastness and heroism of your armed forces, you will be victorious. The South, its people, and its position in the equation of peace, security, and international relations are the beginning and end of our lives. We will not give up a single grain of the soil of our Southern homeland, nor a single drop of the blood of the martyrs.
>As for the ally who was part of the new alliance, it has now become an enemy to itself before becoming an enemy to us.Mercy and forgiveness for the righteous martyrs, foremost among them those who ascended today in the Saudi airstrikes.

File: 1767375439689.jpg (67.81 KB, 680x603, G9rKPonWQAAKyuy.jpg)

>The STC just broadcasted the "Constitutional Declaration" of the "State of South Arabia", which according to STC president goes immediately into effect if ealier political declaration and call for the transitional phase not heeded "or if the people of the south, its lands, or its forces are subjected to any military attacks".

Article One of the Constitutional Declaration of the State of South Arabia:
>The State of South Arabia is an independent and fully sovereign state with its capital in Aden.
>The state's borders are the international borders of the former People's Democratic Republic of Yemen.
>South Arabia is part of the Arab and Islamic nation, and its official language is Arabic.
>Islam is the state religion, and Islamic Sharia is the primary source of legislation."

File: 1767375692276-0.png (3.5 KB, 250x125, image.png)

File: 1767375692276-1.png (5.25 KB, 250x125, image.png)

>>2621391
they are bringing back British protectorates

is Aidarus a normal arab name? never heard it before

>>2621391
where did they put out this announcement? the aj thread only mentions they announced a referendum on independence to be held in 2 years.

>In a statement on Thursday, the STC-controlled Transport Ministry accused Saudi Arabia of imposing an air blockade, saying Riyadh required ‍all flights to go via Saudi Arabia for extra checks. A Saudi Arabian source, however, denied the allegation, saying Yemen’s internationally recognised government, led by the Presidential Leadership Council, was behind the requirement for UAE-bound flights to land for inspection in Jeddah.
>Air strikes have killed seven people in Yemen as a Saudi-led coalition attacked UAE-backed separatists who have seized huge swaths of territory, according to an official for the group.
>More than 20 people were also wounded as seven air strikes hit a camp in al-Khasah, said Mohammed Abdulmalik, head of the separatist Southern Transitional Council in Wadi Hadramout and Hadramout Desert.
<Yemeni presidential adviser Thabet al-Ahmadi has told our colleagues at Al Jazeera Arabic that “the Southern Transitional Council has taken a suicidal step that confirms its militia-like behaviour”.
<STC spokesman Anwar al-Tamimi has said “what is happening in southern Yemen is a full-fledged act of aggression,” following what the STC has said were deadly Saudi coalition strikes on its forces near the Saudi border.
<The events also mean “that the Presidential Leadership Council is finished and the Arab coalition is finished”, al-Tamimi was quoted as saying by Al Jazeera Arabic.
>Yemen TV reports that the Hadramout's Saudi-backed governor says forces have taken control of the 37th Brigade’s camp in al-Khashaa, the largest army base in the province.
<The military spokesperson for Yemen’s separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC) says its forces are fighting an “existential” war against the Saudi-backed coalition.
<“This war is decisive and existential,” Lieutenant-Colonel Mohamed al-Naqib said in a statement.
>Salem al-Khanbashi, Hadramout’s Saudi-backed governor, says his forces are moving towards the key city of Seiyun after taking al-Khashaa, the largest military base in the province, from the separatist STC.
>The Royal Saudi Navy has been deployed in the Arabian Sea to carry out antismuggling operations, according to a spokesperson for the Saudi-led coalition.
>Aidarous al-Zubaidi, head of Yemen’s separatist Southern Transitional Council, has announced the start of a two-year transitional period to be followed by a referendum on independence in the south of the country.
>The United Arab Emirates has confirmed its last troops left Yemen and called for de-escalation in the wake of air strikes by the Saudi-led coalition against separatists in the south.
>The UAE announced on Tuesday it was withdrawing its forces from Yemen, declaring an end to what it called “counterterrorism” operations there, after Yemen’s internationally recognised government demanded it pull its forces from the country within 24 hours.
>Air raids also hit an airport and military base at Seiyun, the AFP news agency reports, quoting a Southern Transitional Council (STC) source and witnesses.
>Al Jazeera correspondents report one STC member has been killed in clashes with government “Homeland Shield” ⁠soldiers in Hadramout governorate.
>The fighting took place in Seiyun – 360km (220 miles) north of Mukalla, the largest city in the area – with 15 others wounded and transferred to the city’s hospital.
>Yemen TV reports STC fighters have withdrawn from the al-Safaq checkpoint in Hadramout governorate’s Rakhyah district.

why does saudi arabia claim that the stc is a security risk exactly? they're just uae puppets and they already share a border with them.
are they more afraid of the uae gaining too much power considering their support for the stc, rsf, somaliland and puntland?

>>2621528
Yemen is slowly returning to the previous order, with a shia theocracy in the north and a secular sunni state in the south under the indirect control of a foreign power.
>>2621528
security risks is just a PR term, a way to justify their actions, South Yemen is however a thread to Saudi interest, as they're now opposed to the pro-Saudi official Yemeni government. They want control over the extremly strategic entry to the Red Sea, but with the UAE in Somaliland and South Yemen, the UAE is now in control over one of the world's most strategic location.
Beyond that, the Saudis need to save face, having their proxy in Yemen by humiliated and kicked out so rapidly is making them look bad, they need to look strong if they want to keep warlords around the world on their side.

>>2621734
i mean that's not really the previous order? the south used to be fragmened into a bunch of emirates

>>2621734
>they need to look strong if they want to keep warlords around the world on their side.
besides the "internationally recognized yemeni government" what other factions does saudi support across mena? i know they're giving (very) lukewarm support to the sudanese army

>>2621742
I meant the post decolonisation before the north yemen revolution that made it into a nasserist republic
>>2621744
Sudan is the main one, but they also support Somalia against UAE backed Somaliland and Puntland, more generally the Saudis helped the Syrian rebels and Haftar in Libya, also helping opponents of Iran in Iraq.

>>2621756
> but they also support Somalia against UAE backed Somaliland and Puntland
>and Haftar in Libya,
do you have more on this?

>Yemen’s separatist STC has issued a statement strongly condemning what it calls Saudi aggression against “South Arabia” in the ongoing fighting in Hadramout.

>As we reported earlier, STC-affiliated media published what it says is a constitutional declaration of a breakaway state of South Arabia, sharing the borders of the former state of South Yemen.


>The STC condemnation said its people were being subjected to a “dangerous military war” consisting of “air raids launched by the Saudi Air Force coinciding with a hostile ground attack carried out by northern forces affiliated with the Muslim Brotherhood”.


damn these uae sponsored bitches just call everyone the muslim brotherhood

>>2583791
Saudi intervention saved the official yemeni government, STC lost Hadramout.

>Southern Transitional Council in southern Yemen, backed by the UAE, attempts to enlist Israel in order to persuade Saudi Arabia to halt its military campaign against them in southern Yemen
Amazing

>>2628885
source?

File: 1767817703234-0.jpg (360.45 KB, 2048x1566, G-E3fRvWIAI5j8H.jpg)

File: 1767817703234-1.jpg (165.09 KB, 1080x1920, G-FMVAmWgAAVm2O.jpg)

File: 1767817703234-2.jpg (21.28 KB, 337x280, dgdfdggd.jpg)

South Yemen (December 2025 - January 2026)
If he played Paradox Games he would have known that you need strong support from powerful countries (US, Israel) BEFORE you declare independence

>>2632760
Damn that was fast. Will Houthis survive this?

>>2632760
what happened


>>2632866
crossposting this too

==How Abu Dhabi built an axis of secessionists across the region

Like Iran’s “axis of resistance” - a network of non-state actors loosely tied together under an Islamic revolutionary banner - the UAE’s “axis of secessionists” comprises a network of non-state actors tied together under a counterrevolutionary banner. Like Tehran, Abu Dhabi has curated a multilayered network of violent non-state actors, financiers, traders, political figureheads and influencers to create bridgeheads in countries of strategic value to Emirati national interests.

The overall vision for President Mohammed bin Zayed and his brothers has become one of strategically entangling elites across the Middle East and Africa into the UAE’s hub. What China is playing as a game of geo-economics, whereby countries develop a co-dependence on Chinese investments and trading power, the UAE has expanded into a geo-strategic space where warlords, criminal smuggling networks, traders and financiers develop a dependency on UAE infrastructure. In return, Abu Dhabi can use its influence to gain strategic depth in countries relevant to core Emirati interests.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/big-story/abu-dhabi-built-axis-secessionists-across-region-how

>>2632854
The UAE cucked out the second after Saudi declared war against STC/South Yemen, taking back all the heavy weapons, radars and officers. The US probably also said "lol no" to UAE nuking Saudi planes

>>2632886
it's interesting how quickly they folded. are they scared of saudi?

>>2633442
>STC was always just a glowie front
We are told it was a UAE front. Do you mean it was a covert front for another power ?


>>2633442
>The US is now preparing for actual boots on the ground combat in Yemen against the Houthis after "winning" in Venezuela
doubt. if we've seen anything this past year is that drumpf won't be risking americunt lives by actually sending soldiers into combat unless they bombard and kill hundreds of people first to clear the way.

>>2633477
why would they do that?


>>2633442
To be the UAE's ennemy is dangerous, to be it's ally is fatal.

>>2633442
>The US is now preparing for actual boots on the ground combat in Yemen against the Houthis
I sure hope so. Houthis are estimated to have over 350,000 fighters, and unlike Venezuela they are largely a guerilla force despite still possessing larger advanced weapons like ballistic missiles(probably because Iran can provide the support for them). They haven't been able to strike back much against US naval airstrike campaigns due to lack of air defense and volleys of 2-3 ballistic missiles not being great for hitting warships, it's why so far they've only been able to attack cargo ships. In a ground campaign though they could really make them bleed.

>"The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said the head of Yemen's southern separatists, Aidarous al-Zubaidi, left for Somaliland by boat and then boarded an aircraft to Somalia's Mogadishu.

>The plane that took him to Mogadishu from Somaliland "under the supervision of UAE officers" waited for an hour before flying to a military airport in Abu Dhabi"


>— Reuters


GTA6: South Yemen

>>2634477
i love how the useless somali government complains about the uae funding separatism all over the place but then lets one of the uae puppets use their airport to escape lmao
they should just dissolve the country already

Anything still happening?

>>2637317
https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2026/01/09/yemen-s-southern-transitional-council-decides-to-dissolve-the-group
It's over the STC they dissolved, South Yemen is back under the control of the official government, Well, only two sides to this civil war now. we'll have to see if the Houthis take advantage of the chaos or not, but it's fucking over for South Yemen.

BREAKING Somalia cancels all agreements with the UAE, including at major ports
The decision applies to all agreements and cooperation in the ports of Berbera, Bosaso and Kismayo

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/somalia-cancels-all-agreements-uae-including-major-ports?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=Social_Traffic&utm_content=ap_v9qvlgi8wg


>>2642504
>However, according to a source in Somalia’s federal government, Mogadishu has revoked the agreement allowing the UAE use of Bosaso airbase and other facilities after the Emiratis were accused on Thursday of using the country to secretly facilitate the escape of a Yemeni separatist wanted by Saudi Arabia.

>>2642371
UAE are the greatest genius of all time
>Have your puppet state invade your ally's puppet for no reason, destroying your relations with your ally
>But don't help that Puppet tho, just let them get destroyed by your allies
>Try to align yourself with the most hated country in the region, only for them to steal your other puppet from you and break all your relations with another ally
>Support genocide for no reason at all, making you hated by everyone around the world.

I don't know if the UAE is more retarded or inhumane, but I can't wait for climate change to destroy this shithole.

File: 1768261397852.png (724.95 KB, 588x1171, ClipboardImage.png)


>>2642504
interesting. i wonder why the uae is complying though? the article itself states the somali federal government doesn't have the power to physically remove the uae if they decide to stay


>>2642519
I think most world leaders are turning into retarded and dangerous villains. Ready to blow up everything over minor disagreements or maybe just because.

SAUDI PLEASE INVADE THE UAE AND DEMOLISH DUBAI AS REVENGE!!!!!

They already failed


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