>>2601252>Do you guys see the left capturing any meaningful gains in the next twenty years?Doubt so. People’s material condition probably won’t decline much and will continue to stagnate. We might get some left leaning social democrat like Bernie to pass measures to adress some decline in living conditions, but nothing fundamentally radical.
Besides, the illiberal axis (iran, china, and russia) has only seen one of its members make meaningful gains. China’s rise is impressive but it’s fundamentally constrained to their geographical location, and their model hardly seems replicable in other parts of the world. In response, the western world will probably adopt a mercantilist stance.
Lastly, the far right’s rise will push people to cling to moderation as a mean to combat « extremist » ideologies.
>What countries do you guys believe are most primed for revolution?Iran will probably become liberal. Africa might see a return to socialism through a chinese-like model being exported there (and also seeming quite evident given their developmental position). In Europe, France might have a shot given their current position of the left. The other countries probably won’t have anything radical given their current position current center-left governments.
> Do you believe communism will die in this century?Yes. The bourgeoisie has been trying very hard to paint libertarianism as the way to go and has been adamant on decribilizing marx. Fundamentally this doesn’t matter much because the people remain the subject of the dialectic. If we get some form of movement that restrains the bourgeoisie, introduces real democracy both in workplace and in government, has some form of planning to adress the woes of capitalism etc, whether or not they call themselves marxist doesn’t matter. What matters is effective change, and it doesn’t really matter in which name it occurs as long as it focused on overcoming capitalism.