>>2661853Empiricism is like, show me the proof. Facts not feelings. It's not bad per se but what I mean by process oriented thinking is like "systems thinking." "Dialectics" is often treated too fancifully but it's really about how things emerge, develop, change. You need a feel for developing trends, while the problem with empiricism as applied to prediction markets is the data they're relying on is obsolete by the time the markets move or results in a resolution.
Also Shayne Coplan, the CEO, deceives people because he's, like, Polymarket ~is the most accurate thing ever.~ He says things like that. That is if you believe a market price is 1:1 with reality but that's how he suckers people into injecting liquidity into the markets, but most of them lose money to the sharps.