Every single engineering student can easily solve this in a minute yet it's still such a midwit trap. Kek
Spam gay porn
it's so funny that people don't know the goat is behind door 1 every time
>>722227You can clearly see on the picture that it was behind door 3.
the question is fucking stupid. there
>>722226This was the best idea here. I'm not gay but I do like porn
>>722225What does this mean
>>722231You can't see the front of the door in the picture. That's the whole trick: there's two doors labeled 1.
>>722251So you open a door to see nothing then they open another door? Doesn't that show exactly where the prize is.
>>722253No. You choose a door. The host opens a door that was not chosen. You can either keep the door you have originally chosen or switch to the other remaining closed door.
>>722253The door you have chosen is not opened.
>>722256>>722257So basically they cut down the odds by one third meaning it is 50/50 what door it is. So there's no reason to move.
>>722261why kitty sad?
both prizes are pretty good
>>722260>>722263If you choose the other unopened door then you win by default. The host needs to choose a door that was both unopened and didn't have the prize behind it making the odds 2/3 in your favor if you choose the other unopened door.
>>722261>>722269Oh wtf I thought the goat was the prize thats why I was so confused. Like in what universe is a goat not an amazing prize.
>>722261its not a midwit trap, its a question purposefully designed to be as unintuitive as possible.
it becomes a lot easier to understand the question if, instead of having 3 doors, you imagine there being a lot more, like 1000
you pick 1 out of 1000, then, they reveal 998 of the fake doors, and leave only 2 remaining: the 1 you picked, and 1 last unopened door. in this case, is it better to change your pick, or stick to it?
statistically speaking, the chances of your initial pick being the right one, out of 1000, is quite low, so changing is always the best option
Think of it like this way, you are being forced to choose 1 out of 10.000 doors. Then the host opened 9.998 doors revealing that they are all empty. You should be switching your choice to the other door because that would simply be a gamble between choosing two doors, whereas for the former option you are making a decision based on the probably of 1/10.000
What's wrong with being a midwit. Why is having a normal level of intelligence a bad thing.
>>722301Based
Normalfag normalization should be normalized
1 2 3
goat
do I win?
>>722225>engineering student can easily solve thisThe genius woman who talked about this puzzle got endless redditor replies saying "ACTUALLY, muh lady,…"
<It became famous as a question quoted in (and solved by) Marilyn vos Savant's "Ask Marilyn" column in Parade magazine in 1990<Many readers of Savant's column refused to believe switching is beneficial and rejected her explanation. After the problem appeared in Parade, approximately 10,000 readers, including nearly 1,000 with PhDs, wrote to the magazine, most of them calling Savant wrong. Even when given explanations, simulations, and formal mathematical proofs, many people still did not accept that switching is the best strategy. Paul Erdős, one of the most prolific mathematicians in history, remained unconvinced until he was shown a computer simulation demonstrating Savant's predicted result.autism really is retardation, so tragic
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem>>722301>Why is having a normal level of intelligence a bad thing.Dengist socialists are true believers in the commodity value form being applied to humanity
>>722320>Marilyn vos Savant>the highest recorded intelligence quotient (autism score) in the Guinness Book of Records<wastes it being a columnist for some tabloidAs if we needed any more proof that autism score was a completely useless metric.
>>722320Getting this problem right is the ultimate normalfag win, because you just need to naively calculate the probability distributions (P1 = { 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 }, p E P1, P2 = { p , 1-p } = { 1/3, 2/3 }). Paul Erdős is the face of autism in academic mathematics, so autism scorefags lose either way.
>>722291I stick on the one I chose because I'm not a fucking coward.
>>722320kek based. STEMcels eternally btfod
>>722320The Wikipedia article explains it well, because the game show host is telling you something about the door you picked.
>>722471If the question is "what is the chance coin landed head or tail", then answer is 50/50, it is clearly explained in the article.
>999999 doors
>car is behind one of them
>rest of the 999998 doors has a goat
>i.e. 999998/999999 chance of initially choosing goat and 1/999999 chance of initially choosing car
>host opens 999997 doors with goats
<hurr durr do i switch or stay, it's basically 50/50
>arrest production company for illegally breeding 999998 goats
>>722504Your explaination actually sucks and brings nothing new to the conversation.
>>722253There's 3 doors.
1 has the prize and the other 2 don't.
The door they open is the door that you didn't pick and doesn't have the prize. Whether or not you picked right, there will be at least one door like that. The point is that switching your choice effectively narrows your chances from 1/3 down to 1/2 since the choice is made from a smaller pool. There is an illusion that keeping your choice is also 1/2 but that's wrong, because you made the choice out of 3 and only afterward one was eliminated. Nothing that happens after you pick 1 out of 3 will change the odds that your pick was correct.
>>722499it literally is 50/50. stemcels cant stop coming up with imaginary scenarios to feel superior to others
I would feel really stupid if I swapped but the prize was behind my original choice, so I'd choose not to change my pick.
>>723932>>723987It's a maths problem not a personality test.
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