Every single engineering student can easily solve this in a minute yet it's still such a midwit trap. Kek

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File: 1762111628652.png (30.58 KB, 800x445, Monty_open_door.svg.png)

Anonymous 02-11-25 19:27:09 No.722225

Every single engineering student can easily solve this in a minute yet it's still such a midwit trap. Kek

Anonymous 02-11-25 19:31:50 No.722226

Spam gay porn

Anonymous 02-11-25 19:38:52 No.722227

it's so funny that people don't know the goat is behind door 1 every time

Anonymous 02-11-25 20:18:11 No.722231

>>722227
You can clearly see on the picture that it was behind door 3.

Anonymous 02-11-25 20:31:04 No.722233

the question is fucking stupid. there

Anonymous 02-11-25 20:32:02 No.722234

>>722226
This was the best idea here. I'm not gay but I do like porn

S 02-11-25 21:06:57 No.722247

>>722225
What does this mean

Anonymous 02-11-25 21:10:27 No.722248

>>722231
You can't see the front of the door in the picture. That's the whole trick: there's two doors labeled 1.

Anonymous 02-11-25 21:18:05 No.722251

File: 1762118284818.png (983.9 KB, 867x863, 1758190237062-3.png)

>>722247
It's a famous statistics problem that appears unintuitive to most people. The problem is: suppose you are in a game show, and there are three doors: A, B and C. Behind one of the doors is a prize that you want to win, like a goat. You have to choose a door. After you have chosen a door, the game host opens another door, revealing that the prize is not behind that. Now the game host asks you: would you like to change your choice of door to the other unopened door? Statistically you have a greater chance of winning if you do switch your choice to the other door than if you stay with your first choice, even though the location of the prize did not change at all.

S 02-11-25 21:32:13 No.722253

>>722251
So you open a door to see nothing then they open another door? Doesn't that show exactly where the prize is.

Anonymous 02-11-25 21:38:59 No.722256

>>722253
No. You choose a door. The host opens a door that was not chosen. You can either keep the door you have originally chosen or switch to the other remaining closed door.

Anonymous 02-11-25 21:39:31 No.722257

>>722253
The door you have chosen is not opened.

S 02-11-25 21:43:16 No.722260

>>722256
>>722257
So basically they cut down the odds by one third meaning it is 50/50 what door it is. So there's no reason to move.

Anonymous 02-11-25 21:46:55 No.722261

File: 1762120014577-0.gif (1.63 MB, 220x266, acatcry.gif)

File: 1762120014577-1.png (33.55 KB, 666x186, Screenshot 2025-11-02 at 2….png)

>>722260
You fell for the midwit trap…

SabinyAK 02-11-25 21:49:36 No.722263

File: 1762120176830.gif (981.97 KB, 500x259, baby goat.gif)

>>722261

why kitty sad?
both prizes are pretty good

Anonymous 02-11-25 23:33:02 No.722269

>>722260
>>722263
If you choose the other unopened door then you win by default. The host needs to choose a door that was both unopened and didn't have the prize behind it making the odds 2/3 in your favor if you choose the other unopened door.

SabinyAK 03-11-25 00:52:36 No.722280

File: 1762131155649.png (174.97 KB, 510x346, imagen_2025-11-02_18523424….png)

>>722269

S 03-11-25 01:14:34 No.722289

>>722261
>>722269
Oh wtf I thought the goat was the prize thats why I was so confused. Like in what universe is a goat not an amazing prize.

Anonymous 03-11-25 01:34:40 No.722291

>>722261
its not a midwit trap, its a question purposefully designed to be as unintuitive as possible.
it becomes a lot easier to understand the question if, instead of having 3 doors, you imagine there being a lot more, like 1000
you pick 1 out of 1000, then, they reveal 998 of the fake doors, and leave only 2 remaining: the 1 you picked, and 1 last unopened door. in this case, is it better to change your pick, or stick to it?
statistically speaking, the chances of your initial pick being the right one, out of 1000, is quite low, so changing is always the best option

SabinyAK 03-11-25 02:01:40 No.722295

>>722289
>>722291

>midwit trap
>makes it sound like you win either way

Anonymous 03-11-25 02:56:37 No.722300

Think of it like this way, you are being forced to choose 1 out of 10.000 doors. Then the host opened 9.998 doors revealing that they are all empty. You should be switching your choice to the other door because that would simply be a gamble between choosing two doors, whereas for the former option you are making a decision based on the probably of 1/10.000

S 03-11-25 03:08:26 No.722301

What's wrong with being a midwit. Why is having a normal level of intelligence a bad thing.

Anonymous 03-11-25 03:11:23 No.722303

>>722301
Based
Normalfag normalization should be normalized

Anonymous 03-11-25 03:29:04 No.722308

1 2 3

goat

do I win?

Anonymous 03-11-25 05:00:46 No.722320

>>722225
>engineering student can easily solve this
The genius woman who talked about this puzzle got endless redditor replies saying "ACTUALLY, muh lady,…"
<It became famous as a question quoted in (and solved by) Marilyn vos Savant's "Ask Marilyn" column in Parade magazine in 1990
<Many readers of Savant's column refused to believe switching is beneficial and rejected her explanation. After the problem appeared in Parade, approximately 10,000 readers, including nearly 1,000 with PhDs, wrote to the magazine, most of them calling Savant wrong. Even when given explanations, simulations, and formal mathematical proofs, many people still did not accept that switching is the best strategy. Paul Erdős, one of the most prolific mathematicians in history, remained unconvinced until he was shown a computer simulation demonstrating Savant's predicted result.
autism really is retardation, so tragic
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

>>722301
>Why is having a normal level of intelligence a bad thing.
Dengist socialists are true believers in the commodity value form being applied to humanity

Anonymous 03-11-25 07:11:18 No.722357

>>722320
>Marilyn vos Savant
>the highest recorded intelligence quotient (autism score) in the Guinness Book of Records
<wastes it being a columnist for some tabloid
As if we needed any more proof that autism score was a completely useless metric.

Glownonymous 03-11-25 09:25:33 No.722384

>>722320
Getting this problem right is the ultimate normalfag win, because you just need to naively calculate the probability distributions (P1 = { 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 }, p E P1, P2 = { p , 1-p } = { 1/3, 2/3 }). Paul Erdős is the face of autism in academic mathematics, so autism scorefags lose either way.

Anonymous 03-11-25 16:11:33 No.722442

File: 1762186292654.png (331.52 KB, 680x680, gigaclaus.png)

>>722320
Yes redditors are not EEgods

Anonymous 03-11-25 16:18:46 No.722444

>>722291
I stick on the one I chose because I'm not a fucking coward.

Anonymous 03-11-25 17:08:24 No.722461

>>722320
kek based. STEMcels eternally btfod

Anonymous 03-11-25 17:49:08 No.722471

File: 1762192148376.png (130.91 KB, 1024x683, sleeping beauty problem.png)

>>722225
The Sleeping Beauty Problem is another one. The answer is obviously 1/3. The only way anyone can think it's 1/2 is if they are an actual NPC that can't grasp the concept of perspective.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sleeping_Beauty_problem

Anonymous 03-11-25 18:32:45 No.722497

>>722320
The Wikipedia article explains it well, because the game show host is telling you something about the door you picked.

Anonymous 03-11-25 18:41:45 No.722499

>>722471
If the question is "what is the chance coin landed head or tail", then answer is 50/50, it is clearly explained in the article.

Anonymous 03-11-25 18:55:40 No.722504

>999999 doors
>car is behind one of them
>rest of the 999998 doors has a goat
>i.e. 999998/999999 chance of initially choosing goat and 1/999999 chance of initially choosing car
>host opens 999997 doors with goats
<hurr durr do i switch or stay, it's basically 50/50
>arrest production company for illegally breeding 999998 goats

Anonymous 03-11-25 19:12:11 No.722516

>>722504
Your explaination actually sucks and brings nothing new to the conversation.

Anonymous 03-11-25 19:20:43 No.722531

>>722253
There's 3 doors.
1 has the prize and the other 2 don't.
The door they open is the door that you didn't pick and doesn't have the prize. Whether or not you picked right, there will be at least one door like that. The point is that switching your choice effectively narrows your chances from 1/3 down to 1/2 since the choice is made from a smaller pool. There is an illusion that keeping your choice is also 1/2 but that's wrong, because you made the choice out of 3 and only afterward one was eliminated. Nothing that happens after you pick 1 out of 3 will change the odds that your pick was correct.

Anonymous 03-11-25 22:47:53 No.722664

>>722499
it literally is 50/50. stemcels cant stop coming up with imaginary scenarios to feel superior to others

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