No.1322
>>1321
The VDV has been doing a lot of complex maneuvers
No.1323
>>1321
>muh russkie human vaves!
Fuck off /pol/
No.1324
>>1323They sent in choppers before destroying air defenses. It wasn't a human wave attack, but they did rush things.
No.1325
>>1324>They sent in choppers before destroying air defensesNo, they didn't, the destroyed all front-line air defenses using cruise missiles the very day the operation began and almost all remaining anti-air capability that has been demonstrated is in MANPADs.
>rushed thingsStop reading Western MSM, they literally cannot stop shitting out of their mouths for 5 minutes. Look up Graham Phillips and other on-scene journalists that aren't NATO shills, the Russian aviation lost only a couple helicopters and even then having no casualties among the pilots so far.
No.1362
People say the Ukraine shouldn't have given its nukes but let's be real what good are 40-50 years old ICBMs? Doesn't this stuff has shelf life? And I don't think Ukraine had the means to make more.
No.1364
>>1362arent american and russian (from soviet times), nukes still active?
No.1381
Even if they don't explode it's still a toxic amount of radioactive element inside
No.1382
>>1345Russia has learned that armored vehicles are effectively deathtraps in the face of a single cheap drone loaded with 5lbs of RDX.
The rest of the world has learned that it's surprisingly easy to bully nuclear-armed countries with conventional tactics.
China has learned that it should never have invented the term "paper tiger," because Russia is much better prepared for a war than China and they've barely moved 30km in a week and have been humiliated on the global stage even if they eventually take Ukraine. Expect a third Chinese attempt at modernization out of barely-concealed pants-shitting fear.
No.1384
From what i've gathered, Russia is trying to do a modern blitzkrieg by trying to wipe out forces in an area with air power and artillery, then sending infantry to clean the rest?
No.1387
>>1382>armored vehicles are effectively deathtraps in the face of a single cheap drone loaded with 5lbs of RDX.The fuck is this absolute nonsense, that's not how IEDs function and certainly not drones
>better prepared for a war than China and they've barely moved 30km in a week and have been humiliated on the global stageThe fucking hell is this garbage? They literally advanced 30km in the first day and 50km yesterday, they're taking it slow because you can't do tactical strikes on armored and artillery units that are very close to obvious civilians, because even if you drop a missile precisely on target, the blast radius and other problems are going to cause collateral damage and risk killing noncombatants, a very important part of the entire operation. Massive numbers of Ukrainian forces are surrendering, Russia has surrounded major cities like Odessa and Kharkov and the Ukrainian junta 'leadership' fled to Lvov and are using desperate measures (like hiding behind civilian bodies) to stall for time.
>a third Chinese attempt at modernization out of barely-concealed pants-shitting fear.Yeah, yeah, yeah, back to reddit.
TL;DR: go bullshit elsewhere cunt
No.1388
>>1384Stop reading MSM news from the West, airstrikes on military targets had been the initial move and since then they have not used large numbers of artillery or anything else like that, instead using primarily ground and helicopter units to storm occupied territories and drive out the neo-nazis.
No.1389
>>1387>your observations hurt my feelings so I'm going to call you a glowieyou love to see it
No.1390
>>1389Your posts are fucking garbage that make no sense and literally repeat glowie talking points repeated by garbage media like CNN, National Interest and others, you're fooling nobody.
No.1391
>>1382>Russia has learned that armored vehicles are effectively deathtraps in the face of a single cheap drone loaded with 5lbs of RDX.Mostly wrong, Tanks were a main battle unit produced in large numbers and are becoming a highly specialized weapon system for breaching fortifications that are produced in low numbers, because small rocket propelled artillery with guided ammunition can do most of the same tasks for cheaper.
Drones aren't here to stay, they are just an intermediary weapons system that exists because development of anti-air defenses had an extremely narrow focus on shooting down expensive high value jets that go really fast, and the economics of these high powered systems don't add up against cheap slow drones. But that's already changing.
>The rest of the world has learned that it's surprisingly easy to bully nuclear-armed countries with conventional tactics.Is this a sick joke ? An entire country now lies in shambles because of stupidity like this.
>China has learned that it should never have invented the term "paper tiger," No it's a decent linguistic creation.
>because Russia is much better prepared for a war than China and they've barely moved 30km in a week and have been humiliated on the global stage even if they eventually take Ukraine. Expect a third Chinese attempt at modernization out of barely-concealed pants-shitting fear.I don't get the reasoning behind this, Russian forces advanced very fast, and how is any of this related to China. Can you be more specific what kind of modernization you predict China will do ?
No.1393
>>1391>Mostly wrong, Tanks were a main battle unit produced in large numbers and are becoming a highly specialized weapon systemArmored vehicles anon, not tanks. Drones have been absolutely wrecking transports in this conflict.
>Is this a sick joke ? An entire country now lies in shambles because of stupidity like this.I agree, it's a shame the world had to learn this way, but now China and the US are on alert that no, nuclear weapons will not save them.
>No it's a decent linguistic creation. Paper tiger is indeed a great linguistic creation, but it's currently coming back to bite the Chinese in the ass. If the US is a paper tiger, then Russia is a wet tissue paper tiger and China an advanced hologram of a paper tiger where nothing is actually there.
>Can you be more specific what kind of modernization you predict China will do ?I foresee a dramatic overhaul of their troop transports and tanks, almost all of which are based on Russian designs that have proven at minimum problematic in the field. I also predict a greater focus on logistics. Russia's convoy stalled the second they left their supply rails, and while their soldiers may have been well-equipped, you need functional supply lines so that your soldiers actually have enough food and ammunition to effectively prosecute a war. This would have prevented large numbers of vehicles simply running out of gas and embarrassing videos of special forces having to loot grocery stores to eat.
No.1394
>>1393>Drones have been absolutely wrecking transports in this conflict.Drones have hardly been a major part of the conflict at all and got disabled by simply taking out their airbase and using MANPADs
>If the US is a paper tiger, then Russia is a wet tissue paper tiger and China an advanced hologram of a paper tiger where nothing is actually there.Just claiming that means nothing
>Russian designs that have proven at minimum problematic in the field<bla bla bla st00pid russkie tanks, let me repeat more armchair NATO-propaganda about them being bad >Russia's convoy stalled the second they left their supply rails <source: your ass >you need functional supply lines so that your soldiers actually have enough food and ammunition to effectively prosecute a warNo shit, doesn't mean your claims are true
>videos of special forces having to loot grocery stores to eat.LMAO are you schizophrenic? Besides the fact that they carry enough food for days, literally the second day they gave out food to the freed citizens.
No.1396
>>1394I like how you're so clearly upset that your entire post amounts to "n-no! that's not what I heard on the ukraine general, it must not be true!" Good talking to you, kid.
No.1397
>>1396>ukraine general>u-ur a kid>I'm not upset u r! Your "analysis" is fucking shallow rubbish backed by nothing and having the analytical capacity of a typical nitteroid, there is nothing to argue because you have no argument, only vague and blatantly incorrect claims that can only be based on propaganda rubbish at best, and schizo ramblings are the more likely source. Even the US DoD isn't pretending that the Russian forces are weak like you do.
No.1398
>>1397I think the propaganda about Russian forces having bad equipment is not propaganda for convincing you they can't win this conflict, it's about creating bad advertisement for Russian weapons systems to make them loose arms sales.
No.1399
>>1398I think it's both an attempt to make Russia look incapable of taking Ukraine (mostly to the liberals they hop to garner the support of) AND to make Russian weapon sales drop.
No.1400
>>1398It's good in general no? Just another way to attack them.
>>1399Yup, why not both
No.1402
>>1345Well cities are the best defencive landscapes especially in cased were the enemy actually wants to win local support (aka civil wars)
That you cant take over large nations easily just cause you have some popular support a repeat of a boxer rebbelion and similar wars will never happen again due to nationalsim
No.1406
>>1405The Ukrainian army as a unified group is mostly broken, but army units still exist and have changed tactics to ambushes and other shit supported by fanatical Volksturm, the further West you go the more anti-Russian people get even in spite of their ever shittier situation even before the Operation began.
It's a Molotov-Ribbentrop (Poland) or even more a Winter War type situation - either Russia doesn't act and continues to diplomatically oppose an increasingly fanatical Ukrainian government but remains clean of open "attack" (and thus letting NATO eventually plant their seeds there) OR they have to invade and take over the entire country to prevent things from going further. A politically no-win situation in regards to Ukraine. They'll be busy as fuck covering their ass from rogue remenants of fanatical Azovites and Aidarovites supported by brainwashed locals that only hear bullshit about "evul russkies" and have forgotten the meaning of brother countries.
No.1407
>>1406In general with a situation where country A is invading country B and their army has near collapsed, how feasible would it be for country A to swoop in and occupy all the connections between the cities, and try and isolate them as much as possible? Just take critical infrastructure and avoid touching the urban areas or places where significant troop presence remains. Could it work to force a capitulation?
No.1408
>>1407>how feasible would it be for country A to swoop in and occupy all the connections between the cities, and try and isolate them as much as possible? Just take critical infrastructure and avoid touching the urban areas or places where significant troop presence remains. Could it work to force a capitulation? Technically it could function and that is kind of the situation, but international geopolitics have an impact in an area such as Ukraine, as compared to some place in the Third World
No.1420
>>1419 Interesting video, thanks for posting
>the birth of a new type of armor that uses spaced out layersAnon, Tanks have been using spaced armor since WW2
https://below-the-turret-ring.blogspot.com/2015/12/the-truth-about-spaced-armor-on-modern.html >Reactive armor may be upgraded to directional explosive plate ejection Again, this is already implemented in the Ukrainian Nozh ERA and all Russian/Soviet ERA after Kontakt-5.
>pop off a number of metal plates in a trajectory that intersects with incoming missiles.Kind of like a Active Defense system you mean?
No.1423
>>1419The only issue I can see there is that most of the tank kills the Ukrainians are scoring are with NLAWs, not Javelins. Javelins go around and hit the top armor, whereas NLAWs just hit the sides. Javelins are for sure more effective, but putting a metal grid on top of your tank is more of a talisman than actual defense.
also lol wikipedia
No.1424
>>1420Tanks could have layered armor that is compact in transit and when it enters combat it extends outwards spacing out it's armor layers. The top layer could be made out of platelets that are ejected at incoming projectiles before contacting the vehicle to make the armor absorb impacts further away from the tank.
>>1423They need to put cages on the side as well.
No.1425
>>1424>They need to put cages on the side as wellThey should just leave the tank in the garage, the strongest cage of all.
No.1435
Embedding error.
No.1481
>Q: Why is there a lack of scopes used by Russian forces in Ukraine? <A: They are used but in limited amounts as per Russian military doctrine, because close range fighting doesn't have the luxury of time or need for scopes unless you're a sniper or on an open field. Russia has plenty of sights for it's guns, hell, the AK-74M comes with a side mount for optics (picatinny rails aren't the only thing people use you american), and Russian optics been manufactured in the 80s-90s and now, it's just optics are very situational, hence why soldiers only sometimes use them :)
Here's a website that has info about Russian optics
https://russianoptics.net/
>Optics. There are 2-4 1P63 collimator sights per squad. It depends on commander how they would be distributed along the men (e. g. 1st and 2nd platoons consist most of the contract operators, means they’d get 4 sights per unit, rather then 3rd platoon with recruit men, who get 2 sights per unit). There are units fully complected with 4 sights per squad. Usually, there are 25-40 sights per company. There are no helmet-mounted NVG’s in units, but many firearm-mounted scopes ( 1P51 “NSPU-3” ), 3-5 units per squad, 30-50 per company. Some of contract operators buying themselves modifications for their firearms, e. g. optics (Western too), tactical grips, rail systems and so on. Some of HQ units buying themselves a thermal-imaging devices.>1P63 sights are given by army as a part of equipment, 1P29 scopes are rarely met due to their old design. Some contract operators buy themselves Russian 1P76, NPZ PK-1, Cobra, PK-A, etc. Оptics or Western EOTech, Aimpoint, Bushnell and etc.https://www.reddit.com/r/joinsquad/comments/635tim/dont_russians_have_enought_money_to_buy_optics/https://community.battlefront.com/topic/116715-cm-black-sea-%E2%80%93-beta-battle-report-russian-side/page/14/#comment-1564057 No.1485
>>1345Have we seen any evidence of active protection systems working against NLAW/Javelin in the conflict so far? Also, what's the extent of the damage Ukrainian drones have inflicted on Russian armour?
No.1486
>>1485I mean there isn't a lot of comprehensive footage of tank battles. There is a video of a Bayraktar drone taking out a tank by hitting the roof, but as far as I can tell all tanks taken out in that manner are older Ukrainian and captured Donbass T-72s and T-64Bs mounting Kontakt-1 ERA that Javelin and NLAW got made to defeat. The Javelin already fails to defeat roof armor the moment a ad hoc cage gets put over the roof (as the DPR are doing) so the Ukrainians have kept to the traditional linear strikes for PTRK systems.
No.1488
>>1487Interesting. Thanks anon. I remember this video, but the Ukrainian cut of it that makes it look like they took out a whole column. Didn't realise that second hit on the second tank was an ERA interception
No.1507
Hey Anons, I don't know too much about military strategy/hardware, but It seems to me that this conflict shows that pretty much every heavy, expensive system can be destroyed by much cheaper hand-held devices (with maybe the exception of planes).
Theoretically that would mean that militaries should be mainly focusing around infantry, probably motorised, and their airforce.
Why are so many militaries then still investing in tanks and the sort? Is it because they weren't fighting comparable armies? Am I missing something?
No.1509
>>1507Handheld devices appear effective because they are meant to be the infantry's method of defeating mechanized troops in the absence of your own, but unlike a tank that can usually take a hit and keep going, an infantry soldier is dead the moment they reveal themselves in an ambush taking out a target, so they need to attack en masse or at isolated targets to have a chance of victory - i.e. hit-and-run. The problem is that against any force of significant size, you can harass troops using handhelds but you aren't going to be able to hold the ground, as Ukraine demonstrates. It's the same as Afghanistan - they did damage, sure, but the overall superiority lent itself to the Soviets and they rapidly made gains on Mujahed territories. Moreover the most effective systems against tanks and aircraft used are massive bulky things like the NLAW, that needs a soldier to set up before firing, making the entire point of a portable ATGM pointless unless you're having a dug-in fight, and unless you have air support or mechanized troops of your own, the result is going to be poor. I'm loath to dig through 600+ files but there's a good number of videos of Donetsk troops and voenkors in former Ukrainian trenches that had numerous Javelins and other handheld missiles, but failed to use them fast enough to counter them being stormed by an armored group.
No.1510
>>1507The failure of tanks in this conflict is not a failure of the tanks themselves, it's a failure of the Russian military to provide infantry support to tanks.
Watch any of the dozens of videos of Russian tanks getting taken out by cheapo NLAWs, and you'll notice that not ONCE is there an infantry escort to actually take care of guys with anti-tank weaponry. It's such a colossal fuckup on the part of Russia that it's a wonder they haven't thought to fix it after the first dozen tanks lost.
No.1511
>>1510>The tanks don't have infantry support They do. In the heat of battle tank support can get separated from the infantry, and infantry or not, an ambush is still going to have an impact.
>cheapo NLAWsThey're expensive as fuck actually
No.1512
>>1511Anon I don't know if you've noticed but $30,000 is cheap as fuck for something that can take out a tank. A Javelin costs 7x as much and would only do the job marginally better.
No.1513
>>1512>30,000 is cheap as fuck for something that can take out a tankexcept they don't, not reliably against anything that isn't an old tank from before their era. The Javelin already got partially negated on older tanks by simply putting a cage over the roof and modern tanks have ERA and APS.
Moreover most of those ATGMs don't get a chance to be used. There's even a video of a bunch of ATGM toting fags that got walloped by tank shells as they tried to use them. The tanks taken out mostly remain repairable and many for not too expensive prices, not to mention that they're not even reusable tube launchers.
No.1515
>>1513>except they don't, not reliably against anything that isn't an old tank from before their eraAnd yet they keep taking out T-90s? What exactly is your definition of "old tank?"
No.1516
>>1515>Taking out T-90s There have been no T-90s in Ukraine, proven by further the fact that in Syria TOW2 missiles (comparable to Javelin and NLAW) failed to take them out, yet suddenly start taking them out?
No.1518
>>1516>There have been no T-90s in Ukrainelol
lmao
No.1519
>>1518Those pics are T-72 upgraded variant, you can tell because the front light mounts aren't embedded like a T-90s. Give me some sauce on those pics
No.1521
>>1520Hmmm ok, might be. I still need some sauce on that vid/pics cuz that's suspicious as fuck.
No.1522
>>1521And I mean suspicious because it's a lone tank (no other tech around it at all) and because it has no visible penetration or battle damage, not to mention the lack of identifying numbers or a Z or V symbol on it.
No.1523
>>1521https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.htmlHere's a list documenting confirmed Russian losses during this conflict, with photos for each. At least 17 T-90s have been lost, along with the dozens of T-72 variants.
I think at this point the Syrian T-90 surviving a TOW missile in 2016 was a fluke. It hit the turret in an area without ERA and the gunner fled the vehicle. Range was about 700m and Shtora failed to intercept it.
I'm pretty sure the reason they're having a rough time is because even in 2015 Ukraine was reporting that the Shtora system is ineffective if you fire at it from 900m or closer, and a lot of these shots are MUCH closer than that.
No.1524
>>1523>Here's a list documenting confirmed Russian lossesTo clarify, this lists both Russian and Ukrainian losses, and the 17 T-90s lost is only the ones that we have photo/video evidence of. Numbers on both sides are going to be much higher, especially on the Ukrainian side as Russians don't seem to be as keen on filming everything.
No.1525
>>1524>>1523Almost every tank in that photolist listed as T-90 is a T-72B3, you can tell by the ERA spacing (they have gaps in the shell shape) such as pic related. Besides no location is actually given and at least ONE of those photos is a Ukrainian tank that got taken out in the early days of the conflict, not a Russian one, so not a really reliable source.
>even in 2015 Ukraine was reporting that the Shtora system is ineffectiveIn 2015 the T-90 was nowhere in the area. It's plausible (though still unlikely to me) that the Russian forces deployed T-90s in the current conflict, but before that Russia had no vehicles in the conflict, simply because they were trying to play by the diplomatic rules.
Also Shtora got used in Syria and did just fine if it was turned on. The Shtora you speak of hadn't been turned on and the tank itself had its engine off (you can see the tank being deactivated) likely to conserve fuel and reduce heat signature. The penetration on that T-90 didn't do shit and the Gunner jumped out as a precaution but later returned and drove off. Moreover a different T-90 got hit by several ATGMs from various angles and survived just fine.
No.1562
>Yet another /k/ope thread derailed by facts/uhg/ is on some supercopium levels of shit
https://archived.moe/k/thread/52513503 No.1567
>>1565I'm almost mad that the guy didn't follow the directions on the box and fired it inside the safety range. If he had waited for the tank to pass he could have turned it to shrapnel, but instead he jumped the gun.
Like fuckin cmon, there have literally been more than a hundred tanks destroyed with these things over the past month, he HAD to know that they don't work if you're within 20m.
No.1568
>>1567It did detonate though, and it look like the 3rd floor so from his position it had been roughly 20m, it's not like you can precisely measure the distance
No.1569
>>1568>>1567Confirmed NLAW, and if it is that small damage we see with the fire it could be indicating that the missile did its job and has hit the tank and caused some damage but no explosion.
The NLAW has a firing mode where the missile passes over the target and detonates above it with a small shape charge down directionaly towards the vehicle. Its not always an instantaneous explosion where everything dies. It is also possible it hit but did not detonate, or that it was a glancing blow. But seeing that there is fire coming out of what appears to be a shape charge impact point it is possible the rocket did its job semi-successfully and there could be damage inside the turret, or it could just be neutralized by ERA.
No.1570
>>1569if the rocket had an effect, why didn't the tank speed up, or react in some other way, it just continued rolling down the street as if they didn't notice what had happened.
No.1572
>>1571>getting out to use the machine gun is suicidal.It's 2022 and they can't remotely control the machine gun. This is a big design flaw in MBTs.
They should only build BMPT Terminators.
No.1573
>>1572>It's 2022 and they can't remotely control the machine gun. This is a big design flaw in MBTsIt's a fucking tank from 1989 of the DPR forces that they captured and jury-rigged, modern MBTs like the T-90 DO have remote control machine guns.
No.1624
>>1623Some of this is blatantly obvious "you can get a lucky hit, older tanks are taken out by modern AT systems etc.) but some of this is extrapolation. The part about the NLAW being unable to arm in that distance of the video is POSSIBLE but saying that it'd be an assured kill is nonsense. Even if it had actually detonated and penetrated the angle and part hit is literally the outer hull, at bet it'd put a hole in the back of the turret and through the hull side, missing any crucial parts… maybe damaging the tracks.
Also the part about ERA needing to be hit head on is fucking nonsense, it's the most basic thing in their design.
Moreover the list of tanks taken out is inaccurate, the "19 T90s" is fucking nonsense I've already discussed, most of these "T-90s" are souped up T-72B3s or T-64BVMs or the Ukrainian T-72AMTs that have sheet-metal add ons. Of the T-90s supposedly taken on in Ukraine only 1 of them looks actually taken out, the others just appear abandoned, not destroyed.
No.1690
>>1364There is an entire industry dedicated to maintaining/upgrading the arsenal. They have been ship of Theseus'd since the cold war
No.1692
>>1690American Nukes outside the Trident II is massively outdated and runs on the old big floppy disks.
No.1694
damn nearly 2 months now
i remember thinking russia would just pwn ukraine,
shit’s actually miraculous
No.1697
>>1694I mean in terms of military unity they did, but breaking apart military unity =/= capturing the country.
No.1711
Moon of Alabama post from March 25 on the military situation:
https://archive.ph/QIzBV No.1798
The idea that the Neptun could reach Snake Island is not impossible - 270km from shore, for a 280km range missile -though at the limits of its range but a subsonic cruise missile not being taken out by a cruiser that mounts a massive amount of Air Defense is ridiculous.
https://archive.ph/DqNrP https://naked-science.ru/community/442025/ The relatively intact status of the ship also indicates this: The Neptun is subsonic, but still fast and a massive missile that upon theoretical impact would cause much more damage.
Ergo the ship is going to be raised and if not for a storm, could have reached harbor.
https://archive.ph/oFh1o The current theory is that of diversion/sabotage.
https://archive.ph/64wDe No.1815
so we all can agree this was an utter embarrassment right? hope china's taking notes, cause god, what a disaster
No.1825
>>1815Yeah, Ukraine's forces got smashed for all their bluster.
No.1827
>>1405how has the Ukrainian army largely been defeated?
isnt russia having troubles making any advancements or am I being feed false information by western news sources?
if so can someone give me reliable non-western news sources?
No.1828
>>1345Command chains matters
Intel matters
No.1830
>>1405Russia's winning so hard, they should take over empty fields instead of actual towns and cities because uhhh because STOP BEING A NATO SHILL OK?
No.1831
>>1830>Russia literally took over dozens of towns and cities >the entire Ukrainian army is splintered or holed up<Hurr muh empty fieldzYou're a retard,
Zeethe more.
No.1832
>>1827>how has the Ukrainian army largely been defeated?Most of its tech it taken out, no large army groups remain having being splintered into minor brigades and divisions that are consistently being driven out of the cities.
>isnt russia having troubles making any advancements or am I being feed false information by western news sourcesRussia isn't having troubles moving they're not trying to move much further, they've taken the area they aimed for and are currently mopping up the captured territories rather than pushing on to breaking point.
>reliable non-western news sourcesSouthfront. Use Tor. Also see the Ukraine thread on /edu/ for sources.
No.1834
>>1815Not sure what China can learn to be honest. A war for Taiwan (if it ever happens, China has made the redline VERY explicit) would be over the sea, on the sea and under the sea to neutralize the US Navy before it ever gets to the island itself.
At most, the PLAGF needs to really drill urban warfare in since Taiwan's western-half is near totally urbanized.
No.1835
>>1834>neutralize the US Navywouldnt that escalate into WW3 ? and consequently into full blown nuclear war?
No.1836
>>1835Well yes, it probably would. Although I find that thought process weird, China invading Taiwan is a crisis for American hegemony, but not American existence. Would the US deploy nukes for that? I don't think the US would go nuclear if a CBG was sunk but who knows?
My thought process is simply that since the US Navy is the biggest obstacle to an invasion, China would want to get it out of the way first, otherwise any forces landing on Taiwan are at severe risk of being cutoff.
No.1934
>>1836most of the worlds(>90%) hightech chip production is in taiwan which includes hightech chips for the american military industrial complex
so an attack on taiwan and its chip production facilities is endangering supply lines of american hightech weapons and hightech consumer goods like iphones
so until samsung,intel and tsmc finished construction of their production facilities in america until like 2025/26 american military and public industry is extremely vulnerable to an attack on taiwan
but even those facilities wont be able to produce enough chips for the whole american market also the most modern generations of 3nm and 2nm chips wont be produced outside of taiwan for the forseeable future
No.1936
>>1834China should heavily invest into making the US army blind and deaf. That boat in the Black sea was sunk thanks to US intel.
No.1945
>>1936Agreed, the USA prides itself on its EW and Air Force if nothing else. China needs a way to counter both strongly in the air and on the ground. If this can be done, the US Army will be sitting ducks, they've never had to operate without total air superiority.
At the very least, the PLA needs a way to bleed the USAF/USN like how the PAVN bled the USAF/USN over Vietnam.
No.1947
>>1945>EWwhat's that ?
electronic warfare ?
No.1948
>>1947Yes, it is no lie or exaggeration that NATO's technological advantage gives it a massive edge in EW as can be seen in Ukraine. China is catching up rapidly thanks to its own technological advances, but it may still be years before it reaches parity.
No.1951
>>1948>NATO's technological advantage gives it a massive edge in EW as can be seen in UkraineWhat? where? Russian missiles are taking out Ukrainian targets constantly the Ukrainians literally operate unguided shitty M777s and just shell randomly, and Russian EW is enough to take out a lot of drones and eliminate the advantage they had given.
No.1958
>>1951Russian missiles are bombarding the Ukrainians every day, on the other hand, the Russian Air Force is active primarily East of the Dnieper, and hasn't been seen much in the West outside of the early weeks when a few were shot down. If they were I'm sure Kiev and Lvov would be getting pounded even harder.
Admittedly I don't have any hard proof, I just guessed that NATO EW from across the border is almost certainly helping the Ukrainian air defenses West of the Dnieper. The Ukrainians may not even need to turn on their radar.
No.1960
>>1958The Russians aren't operating there because its too risky given the dense civilian population and the fact that artillery does the same as any bomb. An airstrike is primarily for more priority missions.
> I'm sure Kiev and Lvov would be getting pounded even harder.heh
No.1980
The U.S. is shipping 200 Vietnam-era M113 armored personnel carriers to Ukraine as part of a larger $800 million aid package. The tracked-vehicle will help transport Ukrainian troops from the rear areas of the battlefield to the frontlines – mobility for infantry that is badly needed.
>https://www.19fortyfive.com/2022/04/m113-armored-personnel-carriers-are-ready-to-fight-in-ukraine/Tax write off of about $1.500.000 each (Ukraine will pay 3% interest per month on those) and of course AMC or GE will get contracts to replace them with Bradleys, at a bargain cost of $3.500.000 each.
Guess who owns millions in stocks in those companies?
No.1995
>>1980>US is reduced to supplying METAL BOXESI imagine the Russian "Orks" capturing and turning them into Looted Metal Boxes.
No.2004
>>1995I mean the modernizations of M113s are dcent (certainly better than base Bradleys) but they're pretty pathetic compared to any Soviet BMP or BTR contemporary.
No.2061
>>2047>cope mapLMAO fuck off.
No.2062
>>2061So what are you saying exactly? That this map isn't representative of the reality? Is Russia army at Kiev's doors or something? Are you sure that this is the map that is "cope" and not a "you" problem?
No.2080
>>2062No it is not representative of reality
>Is Russia army at Kiev's doors or somethingDid I say that? No, so don't put words in my mouth
>Are you sure that this is the map that is "cope" and not a "you" problem? Yes No.2083
>>2080Why is it not representative of reality?
No.2091
>>2083at least a couple of those "ukrainian counter-offensives and territory regains" demonstrated didn't happen and the large areas that are supposedly not under Russian control in between "le convoy meme" is just false.
No.2168
>>2166Ive been watching footage of this invasion since the start and havent seen one video of air-to-air combat. Ukrainian claims about air victories should always be taken with a grain of salt since their government officials were claiming the Ghost Of Kiev was real for a while
No.2171
>>2170People seem to think that there's some sort of set in stone linear plan that doesn't adjust, rather than a load of plans and contingencies that work with each other based around many of the best big moves you could make i.e. taking Kiev, encircling Donbass. You assault Kiev and you take it at the start, excellent. If you don't take it, use it as an opportunity to shit up their logistics. The plan involves the move and all the outcomes, not the plan and one outcome and the plan is a failure if it doesn't achieve the most optimistic possibility. Actually taking Kiev is incredibly bullish but if you do it before Ukraine properly mobilizes you completely fuck them over, so you may as well attempt it given how close it is to the Belarus border.
>Best case scenario: Kiev taken, Ukraine collapses>Worst case scenario: Main roads between the east and west of the country are blocked, frustrating logistics and mobilizationWhy would you not try it?
No.2173
>>2171Yes. It seems like a lot of people do not understand this.
No.2177
>>2176Hate to say it but Marichka is kind of cute
No.2179
>>2177Mmm not really
>>2170VDV did pretty fine for an isolated unit, obviously they took losses, its a war, but for the scale of the operation their losses had been fairly small, especially considering they only had light armor and armament compared to regular units. That said they took several key areas almost immediately, including an airfield, and acted as area denial for Ukraine's troops. It is very unlikely they intended to take Kiev, based on the methods they are going by (very limited strikes, ignoring smaller units to take out larger open concentrations of troops, etc.) It's glaringly obvious that if Russia had intended to steamroll Kiev, they could have, but the only way to do this is at the cost of either immense Russian casualties in urban combat, or immense civilian casualties through artillery barrage repressing the military units hiding in Kiev's apartment complexes. Neither is particularly favorable in the long-run.
No.2180
>>2176ofc azoids would like a mid muscle girl like patty
No.2181
>>2180Being a muscle girl is an instant +3 to +5 so it's difficult for one to be mid tbqh
No.2182
>>2181to clarify, she's a mid amongst muscular women. Jessica Buettner, Vladislava Galagan or even Monica Granda are better but are only known to Crumbian freaks like myself
No.2183
>>2180isnt she a midget too lmao
No.2185
>>2180Imagine not liking musclegirls, what a faggot
No.2187
>>2179>It is very unlikely they intended to take Kiev, based on the methods they are going byHave you considered that they did intend to take Kiev, but they didn't expect such heavy resistance from the Ukrainians? Almost everyone thought Russia would roll over Ukraine in a few days, it wouldn't be surprising if the Russian leadership thought it would like Crimea 2014 where they would just waltz in with little resistance. If they were actually expecting a tough fight they might've sent more heavily armed regular Ground Force units to Northern Ukraine
No.2249
>>1405>Since the Ukrainian army has largely been defeated>>1406>The Ukrainian army as a unified group is mostly brokenaged like fine milk lol
that's why I love slower boards, nowhere to hide z-cucks
No.2265
>>2262I'm pretty doubtful because stats-wise the HIMARS is broadly equivalent to the BM-27 Uragan which Ukraine already has large numbers of, so even if its effective its unlikely to be any more effective than what Ukraine already has.
In other words, I'm sure the Ukrainians appreciate it, but its no more a gamechanger than the Javelin was.
No.2285
>>2187The Russian military nor government ever made a claim that they intended to take Kiev "in 2/3/4/ weeks" that's the MSM in non-Russian countries that parroted this narrative. This idea of "stronger resistance than expected" is also inane. People seem to fucking forget that Russia is utilizing roughly 15% of its armed forces… against the largest army in Europe outside of Russia itself.
No.2286
>>2285>The Russian military nor government ever made a claim that they intended to take Kiev "in 2/3/4/ weeks" that's the MSM in non-Russian countries that parroted this narrative.What the Russian military and government does or doesn't claim isn't indicative of anything, since they lie all the time. First they claimed they weren't going to invade at all and that their military build up on the Ukrainian border was just a training exercise. Then they claimed the withdrawal from Northern Ukraine and from Snake Island were both "gestures of good will". They also claimed a few months ago that they would hit decision-making centers in Kiev if Ukraine kept attacking Russian soil (Ukraine is still doing this and no decision-making centers have been hit)
>This idea of "stronger resistance than expected" is also inane.Why? Even the US intelligence apparatus, which fully supports Ukraine, thought Kiev would fall in just a few days
>People seem to fucking forget that Russia is utilizing roughly 15% of its armed forces… against the largest army in Europe outside of Russia itself.Yes and it was a mistake on Russia's part to not commit more troops to the invasion
No.2288
>>2286>What the Russian military and government does or doesn't claim isn't indicative of anything Yes it is, given that you're arguing against a strawman of "b-but Rusha didn't do the thing CNN told me it said, so that must mean its having a hard tiem!"
>since they lie all the time If anything Russia has been the most honest party in the entire conflict, while Press from the West has done nothing but create lie after lie, using photos from donetsk of Ukrainian bombings and claiming them as Russian, denying the existence of government sanctioned Nazis in Ukraine, ignoring Victoria Nuland's self-admission of Bio-labs, ignoring the United States' role in an illegal color revolution that began this entire mess and more. Russia's reporting has only had the tendency to be overly mocking of Zelensky and Ukraine, and has not been lying. The only thing they do even remotely close to a "lie" is to not speak of topics or report them for some time, such as not reporting initial casualty ratios until the second week, something done because of the lack of complete information available.
>First they claimed they weren't going to invade at all and that their military build up on the Ukrainian border was just a training exercise. Because it had been. Things changed after Zelensky, yet again refused to make peace and stop the Ukrainian military from terrorizing its people that sought independence, and after the Ukrainians prepared to gain nuclear military power using US help and built up forces for months in preparation to annihilate Donbass and keep going into Russia. Not only did this violate international nuclear treaties, but is a direct threat on Russia, as nuclear missiles in Ukraine are very close to it, much closer than any Pershing or Jupiter missiles in the past or present.
>Then they claimed the withdrawal from Northern Ukraine and from Snake Island were both "gestures of good will" Yes, because the Russian side offered Zelensky a peace deal, because the entire point of the operation had been a slap to the face for Ukraine - wake up and clear your head! - but Zelensky, too deep in this quagmire, pushed on, and his SBU murdered and attacked those politicians involved in Ukraine's peace delegation. After this occurred Russia took back the territory in days.
>They also claimed a few months ago that they would hit decision-making centers in Kiev if Ukraine kept attacking Russian soil (Ukraine is still doing this and no decision-making centers have been hit)1) Source on this claim? And no, a western article supposedly quoting Putin is not a source, provide first-hand video of this claim.
2) Except this is blatantly incorrect. Russia has destroyed large numbers of Kiev's military bases and depots, barracks, airfields and headquarters, essentially taking out Ukraine's ability to use its airforce and provide steady ammunition supplies or commands.
>Even the US intelligence apparatus, which fully supports Ukraine, thought Kiev would fall in just a few daysNo, they didn't. The press did a bunch of scare stories to drum up Western hysteria into supporting Kiev to "prevent their collapse"
>it was a mistake on Russia's part to not commit more troops to the They're plowing through Ukraine like an Icebreaker through ice-sheets. It's not a speed-boat, but its making steady and strong headway. No.2289
>>2288>Yes it is, given that you're arguing against a strawman of "b-but Rusha didn't do the thing CNN told me it said, so that must mean its having a hard tiem!"Retreating from Kiev after a month of fighting isn't a sign they had an easy time.
>If anything Russia has been the most honest party in the entire conflict, while Press from the West has done nothing but create lie after lieIncredibly low bar, and I never said the West was more honest.
>Because it had been. Things changed after Zelensky, yet again refused to make peace and stop the Ukrainian military from terrorizing its people that sought independence, and after the Ukrainians prepared to gain nuclear military power using US help and built up forces for months in preparation to annihilate Donbass and keep going into Russia. Not only did this violate international nuclear treaties, but is a direct threat on Russia, as nuclear missiles in Ukraine are very close to it, much closer than any Pershing or Jupiter missiles in the past or present. They were still saying it was a training exercise just a week before the invasion. This was a while after NATO rejected Russia's security guarantees and Putin would've already known by then that Ukraine wasn't going to stop doing any of the things you said. The training exercise claim was a ruse.
>Yes, because the Russian side offered Zelensky a peace deal, because the entire point of the operation had been a slap to the face for Ukraine - wake up and clear your head! - but Zelensky, too deep in this quagmire, pushed on, and his SBU murdered and attacked those politicians involved in Ukraine's peace delegation. After this occurred Russia took back the territory in days. If that's what is was, why did Russia use the same "gesture of good will" excuse after they withdrew from Snake Island on June 30th? At that point negotiations were completely mired and Russia hadn't made any recent peace deal offers. It's clearly a propaganda claim Russia makes whenever they suffer a setback. And they did not retake any of the territory they ceded after their first "good will gesture", there are no Russian troops in Northern Ukraine anymore.
>1) Source on this claim? And no, a western article supposedly quoting Putin is not a source, provide first-hand video of this claim. Here is a Russian source with the Russian Ministry of Defense spokesman saying it on video:
https://rg.ru/2022/04/13/minoborony-rf-obektami-atak-mogut-stat-centry-priniatiia-reshenij-v-kieve.html>2) Except this is blatantly incorrect. Russia has destroyed large numbers of Kiev's military bases and depots, barracks, airfields and headquarters, essentially taking out Ukraine's ability to use its airforce and provide steady ammunition supplies or commands. I never said they didn't hit military infrastructure in Kiev like factories, they haven't hit any "decision-making centers" in Kiev, which is what they promised to do. And if they're already doing this like you said, why is Russia still using it as an ultimatum? Recently Medvedev used the exact same threat, but this time if Ukraine attacked Russian territory with US-supplied HIMARS
https://tass.com/politics/1459891>No, they didn't.They did though, and they are still saying they did even though Kiev isn't in danger of collapsing at the moment
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/u-s-intelligence-agencies-review-what-they-got-wrong-on-russias-invasion-of-ukraine>They're plowing through Ukraine like an Icebreaker through ice-sheetsIn the Donbass, yes. But in Southern Ukraine it is a stalemate and the Northern Ukraine front was a failure
No.2291
>Retreating from Kiev after a month of fighting isn't a sign they had an easy time
<a month
1) incorrect
2) That area is by the Belorus border on the grounds of Chernobyl, radioactive fires on that territory are a major threat Europe, thus Russian and Ukrainian military had a ceasefire and jointly monitored and defended the area.
>Incredibly low bar, and I never said the West was more honest
False, deflection and goalpost shifting
> still saying it was a training exercise just a week before the invasion
Anon, do you understand the meaning of "training exercise" in geopolitics? It has always been used as a demonstrative warning and method of having the military put on alert and so be ready to move than during normal times, this is not a 'ruse' as you claim. Had Ukraine not continued to escalate, it is very much possible Russia would not have begun direct fighting.
>a while after NATO rejected Russia's security guarantees and Putin would've already known by then that Ukraine wasn't going to stop doing any of the things
Until recently Russia and the EU continued to try and discuss the terms of Minsk 2, only flouting them relatively recently.
>why did Russia use the same "gesture of good will" excuse after they withdrew from Snake Island
It's not the same. The area is a major shipping lane, especially for grain and Ukraine and Russia came to an agreement on removing shipping embargo and grain trade. The Island itself is not under Ukrainian control. It no longer has strategic value, Ukraine can't access it, nor could it be any use for them anymore, so there is no point in keeping a garrison there that gets peppered by isolated missiles at random and for no purpose.
>there are no Russian troops in Northern Ukraine anymore
Utter nonsense, Kharkov is in Northern Ukraine and is encircled and being taken. the majority of Donbass is in Russian control, and the over-all area under Russian control is much larger.
>It's clearly a propaganda claim Russia makes whenever they suffer a setback
No, it is not. Ukraine's military has been cracked apart and is utterly lacking coordination, having numerous incidents of friendly fire and resorting to hiding in civilian areas; any desperate method to avoid being utterly crushed outright.
>they did not retake any of the territory they ceded after their first "good will gesture"
LMAO
>they haven't hit any "decision-making centers" in Kiev
They did, as I cited, or are you playing semantics that they're not striking embassies and other government buildings.
>why is Russia still using it as an ultimatum
It's not an ultimatum though?
>this time if Ukraine attacked Russian territory with US-supplied HIMARS
And they haven't attacked using those systems on Russian territory
>They did though
Their PR made a hysterical claim for the purpose of provoking a desperate reaction, successfully so, that isn't what they actually thought, if they had, then they'd have just abandoned Ukraine as their failed CIA project, just like any other failed project of theirs, pulling out their people and more.
>Southern Ukraine it is a stalemate
<Literally steamrolled Mariupol, Kherson and Melitopol and the majority of Azov battalion
<Not far from Odessa and moving closer
<Most of Ukraine cut off from coast.
>Northern Ukraine front was a failure
<Kharkov already being taken
<Sumy front starting again
<Northern Ukraine is almost devoid of Ukrainian military
<Nearly every military depot, airfield and HQ, East of Kiev has been annihilated, leaving isolated army groups that are harassed and lacking in supplies.
Ok lmao
I'm not even going into the British estimates of Ukraine losing 20,000 troops a month, exceeding Russian losses and abandoning thousands of examples of tech and weapons.
Finally see the maps of the past 6 months or so, and see the enormous increase and cohesion of territorial areas controlled by the LDNR and Russian forces.
No.2292
>>2289A final addition
All the Russian goals for the operation are achieved: The Ukrainian capabilities to conduct Nazi ethnic cleansing in Donbas for the present and short-term future is being destroyed. The Ukrainian puppet state can continue to take in all the NATO-country tax-payer funded missiles they can handle; their capacity to conduct offensive operations in Donbas is gone. NATO membership is no longer an option, Donbass' independence is defended, Crimea remains Russian, Azov is destroyed, Ukraine is denied the ability to carry, make or utilize Nuclear arms.
In 4 months they have gained the control of an area around the size of France against the largest army in Europe outside of Russia itself - a 300,000 man army that has resorted to conscripting women as of June, because male conscription has failed to halt Russia. So yes, Russia has been doing very well.
On South Ukraine: on top of most of it being under Russian control outside Odessa, the only remaining large port in Ukrainian control (even then Odessa is unstable and has many people supporting Russia and the DNR that are operating as underground groups). Russia strikes Odessa and its arms imports with impunity, taking out delivery after delivery and capturing or destroying thousands of arms such as the memed Stingers, Javelins and NLAWs on top of the recently sent HIMARs, Caesar artillery, M777s and more, many at the train stations they are delivered at.
https://southfront.org/russian-strike-destroyed-harpoon-anti-ship-missiles-in-ukraines-odessa/ Just on the example of the Javelin, even those that gets used are a massive loss of money. A new javelin system + missiles is more expensive than a new T-72 or T-62 back when they were building them and those tanks outrange a Javelin using HE-Frag or HEAT or ATGM. The Javelin has a limited range on open spaces that have clearly defined targets they have better chances, but tank cannons outrange them if spotted, they cannot afford to use fire-and-forget if the target is not designated and to do so they must come into range of the tank's guns. According the spotter of "le Canadian super sniper" Wali, codenamed "Shadow" he tried for 3 weeks to hunt Russian tanks in Ukraine using Javelin but could never get close enough to get a shot. He lost half his team to Russian tank fire and spent a lot of his time there dodging near misses.
HIMARS:
https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2022/07/16/amerikanskaya-rszo-himars-popala-v-ruki-rossiyskih-voennyh-russkaya-vesna?utm_source=smi2&utm_term=de37c4479d0c7a748e2ce019f90fcd8e&utm_content=91655 CAESAR:
https://rusvesna.su/news/1656257094M777 and others:
https://archive.ph/XFSHv ,
https://archive.ph/SszD2 ,
https://archive.ph/qSo0VOn Chernobyl and the threat of the threat of radioactive fire
https://southfront.org/state-agency-for-chernobyl-management-calls-situation-critical-as-fire-edges-2km-to-nuclear-reactor/ And as I pointed out, Russia is moving in Northern Ukraine again and is taking out decision making centres
>VDV Spetsnaz taking Gostomel airport (NEW)https://files.catbox.moe/9iacw2.mp4>Kalibr strike on UKR air force command (Vinnista)https://files.catbox.moe/7zs5tm.mp4 No.2293
>>2262Its got slightly better accuracy and range than the Uragan, (though the BM-30 Smerch is better still), but not by much and Russia has already destroyed or captured 3 of them, and destroyed the ammunition depot holding their ammunition. Their main threat is if they get used against Russian troops due to the heavier missile compared to BM27 rockets.
No.2294
>>2249>aged like fine milk lol<3 months after the conflict began Ukraine has resorted to forced conscription of women as of June<British media group Daily Mail has estimated that Ukraine has lost 20,000 troops a month, given the 4+ months of fighting, that's over 80,000 soldiers lost. Ukraine's military at the start of the operation had been 300,000 troops, so that is nearly 1/3 of the Ukrainian army lost. Ukrainian ammo depots, airfields and large groups get air-striked, forcing them to be splintered into small, poorly coordinated groups. <Russia currently controls most of South Ukraine, most of Donbass - an area around the size of France - in only 4 months and without using burger shock n' awe tactics. So cope more /uhg/ tourist
Z No.2298
>>2291>2) That area is by the Belorus border on the grounds of Chernobyl, radioactive fires on that territory are a major threat Europe, thus Russian and Ukrainian military had a ceasefire and jointly monitored and defended the area. >>1406your point? There was fighting everywhere else and the Russians withdrew after about a month
>False, deflection and goalpost shiftingYou were the only one that brought up the Western press
>Anon, do you understand the meaning of "training exercise" in geopolitics? It has always been used as a demonstrative warning and method of having the military put on alert and so be ready to move than during normal times, this is not a 'ruse' as you claim. Had Ukraine not continued to escalate, it is very much possible Russia would not have begun direct fighting. It was a ruse because they said it was a training exercise up until the last minute. They had other training exercises in previous years near Ukraine without invading.
>Until recently Russia and the EU continued to try and discuss the terms of Minsk 2, only flouting them relatively recently. Yes
>there is no point in keeping a garrison there that gets peppered by isolated missiles at random and for no purpose.You just described why Russia left Snake Island, because they kept getting fired at by shells and missiles. They didn't leave as a gesture of good will, they lied when they said that
>Utter nonsense, Kharkov is in Northern Ukraine and is encircled and being taken. the majority of Donbass is in Russian control, and the over-all area under Russian control is much larger. The maps you posted show that Russia pulled back from Kharkov. They were closer to Kharkov in February than they are now. Kharkov is right next to the Russian border and the Russians haven't taken it after 5 months. And yes the Donbass is mostly under control of Russia and the republics no one said otherwise.
>No, it is not. Ukraine's military has been cracked apart and is utterly lacking coordination, having numerous incidents of friendly fire and resorting to hiding in civilian areas; any desperate method to avoid being utterly crushed outright. People have been saying that about the Ukrainian forces seen back in March
>>1405 >>1406 . If that's true then how are they still fighting?
>>they did not retake any of the territory they ceded after their first "good will gesture" >LMAOThe maps you posted show that the areas Russia left in the north after their "good will gesture" are under Ukrainian control. You said they retook the territory after negotiations fell apart, what territory did they retake?
>They did, as I cited, or are you playing semantics that they're not striking embassies and other government buildings.You literally didn't cite anything, you just said Russia was hitting Ukrainian military infrastructure which no one disputes. And yes, Medvedev said in that link I posted that the "decision-making centers" are the Ukrainian government buildings in Kiev, which they haven't striked.
>It's not an ultimatum though? If it's not an ultimatum then what is it then? And why does Russia keep using it as a threat if, according to you, they're already doing it anyway?
>And they haven't attacked using those systems on Russian territory No but they did attack Russian territory with other weapons, and Russia didn't retaliate by attacking decision-making centers in Kiev like they promised, so they lied.
>that isn't what they actually thought, if they had, then they'd have just abandoned Ukraine as their failed CIA projectWhy would they just abandon Ukraine and not foment a guerrilla insurgency there? Did you miss the article about the CIA training Ukrainian paramilitary forces in preparation for the invasion?
https://news.yahoo.com/cia-trained-ukrainian-paramilitaries-may-take-central-role-if-russia-invades-185258008.html There is a precedent for this if you look back to the CIA's "stay-behind networks" and Operation Gladio, which was their plan to combat a Soviet invasion and occupation of Western Europe.
>Literally steamrolled Mariupol, Kherson and Melitopol and the majority of Azov battalion>Not far from Odessa and moving closer >Most of Ukraine cut off from coast. Mariupol isn't part of the southern front, it's part of the Donbass, and it wasn't "steamrolled" it was a drawn out siege. And anyway it is a stalemate because the frontline between Russian-controlled Kherson and Ukrainian-controlled Mykolaiv has been static for a long time now. Russia isn't "moving closer" to Odessa like you said, to do that they have to take Mykolaiv (which they tried to do at the start of the invasion but failed). The maps you posted show that the Russians were advancing towards Mykolaiv in February but then pulled back.
>Kharkov already being taken>Sumy front starting again>Northern Ukraine is almost devoid of Ukrainian military>Nearly every military depot, airfield and HQ, East of Kiev has been annihilated, leaving isolated army groups that are harassed and lacking in supplies.Again, the maps you posted show they aren't taking Kharkov, they pulled back from it. The maps also show that Sumy Oblast is still completely controlled by Ukraine. If Ukraine's military infrastructure is almost completely wiped out east of Kiev, why aren't they just melting away like the Iraqis in 2003?
No.2299
>>2292>All of the Russian goals for the operation are achievedSo why are they still fighting
>In 4 months they have gained control of an area around the size of FranceFrance is 210'000 square miles. Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts combined are around 40'000 square miles. And where's your source that they're conscripting women now?
>On South Ukraine: on top of most of it being under Russian control outside OdessaAnd outside of Mykolaiv and Zaporizhzhia
>HIMARSThis source is just a Russian telegram channel saying they captured a HIMARS, with no photo or video evidence.
>And as I pointed out, Russia is moving in Northern Ukraine again>>VDV Spetsnaz taking Gostomel airport (NEW)Do you not know how to read dates? This video literally shows the date when all this footage was taken, which was back in February. This isn't proof at all that the Russians are moving into Northern Ukraine again.
>>Kalibr strike on UKR air force command (Vinnista)Again, this isn't a strike on a decision-making center IN KIEV, which is what they said they would do. No one said they aren't striking Ukrainian HQs in other areas
No.2327
>>2297South Front does daily map updates, See
>>2291 as an example of roughly 4-months difference.
No.2328
>>2299>So why are they still fighting Because they're mopping up the internals of the regions and taking the remaining territories they are aiming for, suppressing the Ukrainian military bit by bit, as stated before, using velvet gloves to try and minimize civilian casualties and remove Nazis.
>where's your source that they're conscripting women now?1) you don't provide jack shit for sources yourself
2) They'd been doing it since December
https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2021/12/30/ukra-d30.html https://www.rt.com/russia/557750-ukraine-draft-convicts-women/ People literally hide from recruiters to avoid being drafted.
>This source is just a Russian telegram channel saying they captured a HIMARS, with no photo or video evidence <If its not le based ukrops saying it its not realAnon, there's literally video and photos of the HIMARS being destroyed and the idea of them taking a HIMARS system after capturing thousands of examples of "Western Aid" in the form of APCs, Artillery, Javelins and more, makes it plenty plausible.
>This isn't proof at all that the Russians are moving into Northern Ukraine again.Anon I….
>his isn't a strike on a decision-making center IN KIEVPlaying semantics and ignoring the hits IN KIEV that have happened repeatedly, is fucking obtuse denial.
No.2337
>>2328>they're mopping up Seems like they've been mopping up since a few months now, so tell me when does this war end?
No.2344
>>2337>circular shitting again Nah, go fuck yourself and stop playing video games you're confusing your Clash of Clans for real life.
No.2345
Embedding error.
>>2298>your point? <bl bla bla I can't readMy point is made, if you don't understand it, then you're too young for this site
>the only one that brought up the Western press You literally use their rhetoric, you obtuse tit.
>It was a ruse because they said it was a training exercise up until the last minute Already explained this, you're incorrect, learn geopolitics better. The idea that something like that is a ruse is fucking laughable to any special operative or experienced politician, but then again Westerners don't tend to think critically and hypocritically take things both at face value, yet can push hysteria about an incoming invasion any moment now, since 2014.
>They had other training exercises in previous years near Ukraine without invadingBecause the threat abated or the target of the demonstration hadn't been Ukraine, you nitwit.
>didn't leave as a gesture of good will No, faggot. They left it as neutral ground, because it no longer has strategic impact on operations, so wasting troops to sit on the island is pointless. The only purpose they'd serve is to enforce a blockade on grain transport routes in the sea, but Russia and Ukraine made an agreement over that, before they left snake island.
>They were closer to Kharkov in February than they are now They're literally surrounding Kharkov, you're making no sense
>Kharkov is right next to the Russian border LMAO no, you have no perspective of distance on maps do you? >the Donbass is mostly under control of Russia and the republics no one said otherwise reallydude.jpg
>If that's true then how are they still fighting Did you not read the second post you linked, idiot? It literally explains the disunified assaults. Ukraine's army numbers at ~700,000 people against Russias ~200,000 troops committed, yet Russia has lost (according to the CIA) 15,000 troops dead and roughly 3x injured (totaling at 60,000), and Ukraine has 200,000 casualties as of June. Ukraine is losing troops massively, pulling forced conscription, women and condemned criminals, such as rapists and murderers, to fight, in ad hoc units because they literally have no unity and are just tossing troops into a grinder in the hopes of slowing Russia. And Russia has slowed to methodically eliminate this wave of people.
>literally didn't cite anything sourced, semantics.
>Medvedev said in that link I posted that the "decision-making centers" are the Ukrainian government buildings in Kiev, which they haven't strikedAnd as I told you, that was said specifically if HIMARS are used against Russian territory
>not an ultimatum It is a warning of tit for tat.
>why does Russia keep using it as a threatThey said it 2x and the Medvedev thing is specifically in regards to HIMARS, you're intentionally ignoring that.
>they did attack Russian territory with other weapons, and Russia didn't retaliate by attacking decision-making centers in Kiev like they promisedThey did and you're just playing semantics, as I've explained for the dozenth time.
>Why would they just abandon Ukraine Because R&D. Just as in Iran, or S.Vietnam or other countries that did not successfully maintain themselves, or like Afghanistan could never stop the fighting, then they'd pull out their resources so as to not waste them, leaving maybe some sleeper agents.
>not foment a guerrilla insurgency there<implying that'd work Anon, this isn't Afghanistan, such groups are not going to survive long.
>the CIA training Ukrainian paramilitary forces in preparation for the invasion And? The CIA trained forces for Bay of Pigs, and dozens of other operations that failed.
>Operation GladioAnon, I literally wrote the effort posts on these CIA operations in /edu/ I KNOW the capabilities of the CIA in regards to such actions and the situation is not the same. This isn't like "Soviet Ukraine after 1945" This is going to be closer to "East Germany after 1945". Not to mention that the "stay-behinds" were only expected to cause strife, and not actually significantly impact things.
>Mariupol isn't part of the southern front, it's part of the Donbass>Yes it is part of the Southern front, since it is in the SOUTH of Ukraine, and had not been in Donbass control at all. >drawn out siege The actual city got taken with high-speed building sweeping, and the only siege had been at Azovstal, you can see it in the video interviews by Patrick Lancaster, WarGonzo and Graham Phillips among others.
>it is a stalemate because the frontline between Russian-controlled Kherson and Ukrainian-controlled Mykolaiv has been static for a long time now Because Russia has been digging in and rotating forces in preparation, and ahs been creeping on as they do so.
>the Russians were advancing towards Mykolaiv in February but then pulled back. Because they hadn't taken out Mariupol.
>maps also show that Sumy Oblast is still completely controlled by Ukraine Didn't say it isn't, I said they're beginning to move in that front again
>hy aren't they just melting away like the Iraqis in 2003 Because it's not a flat desert, and if you recall 2003, they took the cities by bombing them into utter rubble and killing people indiscriminately to eliminate threats fast. As I said repeatedly, Ukraine's army as a unified force is busted, it's not a united army in the modern sense, it's a bunch of loose groups, divisions at most, that fight on their section of the front but have little intercommunication, and cannot fight 1 on 1 in pitched battle and have to rely on ambushes and guerilla tactics, because they don't have the infrastructure or unity to do proper maneuvers.
No.2357
>>2356Everyone claims that 'rusha sed it'd take Kiev in 3 dayz' or some shit like that, even though only some Russian supporters and NATO PR 'analysts' claimed that.
Russia isn't losing or doing badly and minor losses are offset by the overall gains.
https://southfront.org/us-marine-corps-officer-expresses-admiration/ No.2433
ASU-85 Self-propelled gun used by Ukraine. A former exponate of a memorial in Poltava. It´s a desant-VDV vehicle used prior to the BMD series as fire support and transport.
-
https://rusvesna.su/news/1663425116 -
https://rg.ru/2022/09/19/ukrainskie-boeviki-sniali-s-pedestala-redkuiu-desantnuiu-asu-85.html A replacement for the ASU-57 of the 1950s Soviet Union, the ASU-85 today can function as second-line mobile fire support or acting as a movable pillbox to reinforce a defensive position and ambushes, the extremely low profile helps. The 85mm gun is capable of knocking out any Russian light armor even frontally, and it can serve an anti-infantry or general artillery role with HE shells. It also has HEAT-FS rounds which could even penetrate the sides of earlier MBTs like the T-62M. Vietnam returned theirs into service back in 2015.
The real problem here is locating 85mm ammunition in Ukraine as their only options are going to be a couple small stockpiles.
No.2626
>>2618Dumb blogger cope, also I can't take seriously those right wingers writing in "memes".
Some of the seven advantages he listed for Russia are debatable to say the least, but he also says time is on Russia's side… but is it really?
The US is ramping up weapon production and training of Ukraine troops while giving them more and more capable systems. What happens for Russia in 2024-25 when they have to face divisions of professionally trained soldiers fielding Abrams mbts, when their supply lines are systematically being torn apart by long range precision munitions, when their fleet can't operate in the Black Sea and when their cruise missiles can't penetrate Ukraine airspace without being intercepted anymore?
And when you compare the economic status of both countries both are on lifeline, only Ukraine has the benefit of virtually infinite western gibs to keep things afloat while the neoliberal leaders of Russia are forced to nationalize, and there's only so much capitalists they can throw of balconies and requisitions they can make before seriously stirring internal troubles.
Nothing is certain for now, all we can say is that it's a strategical stalemate and there are too many factors to safely predict one outcome or the other.
The big lesson of this war is don't be an idealist, whatever your interpretation is (inter imperialist conflict, war of conquest, struggle for multipolarity etc..) forget morals, don't put your feelings in the way of hard data, believing x is bad and y is good doesn't have to make you fall for a biased narrative.
No.2635
>>2626>The US is ramping up weapon production Except the cannot exceed a certain production level in peacetime and many production lines are irretrievable, as they are destroyed after production ends, that's the reason no Bradleys can be made from scratch, their production line is gone as part of a federal law that demands termination of production lines that have ended, same reason the F-22 can never be renewed. Moreover officials have stated that nearly a decade's worth of Javelin production has been expended and more in terms of Stinger MANPADs. The latter is especially funny considering that Stingers are failing to do anything outside of superficial damage to a couple choppers and Su-25s.
>training Ukrainian troopsTakes months at minimum and has had little effect considering that US aid has been drone striked and counter-artilleried to hell. The US has expended over a hundred billion on Ukraine in the past year, and the impact has been minimal.
>is it reallyYes, Russian economy and military are only gaining from this, their losses are paltry compared to Ukraine despite a massive numbers disadvantage and the conflict has made the Russian economy ramp up to meet the demands put on people. It has weeded out closeted liberals and 5th columnists and forced them out of the country helping clean out some corruption and plenty of foreign spying.
>the economic status of both countries both are on lifeline Laughable nonsense
>What happens for Russia in 2024-25 LMAO
>face divisions of professionally trained soldiers fielding Abrams mbts NATO training is a fucking shit show, their standards have gone plummeting since the USSR fell because everyone relaxed their anuses. Training exercises in Britain expended reserve ammunition in a week of fighting a scenario of open conventional conflict against Russia. Germany literally has most of its tanks be older Leo-IIA4s and A5s that are very vulnerable to current Russian tanks and more importantly even older Soviet ATGM systems as Turkey's losses prove. On top of that, even before the Ukraine war the army critically lacked guns to the point that training involved black-painted broom-sticks to imitate.
Abrams had horrific losses to old RPG-7s and Konkurs ATGMs, literal 1970s anti-tank rockets that are outdated as hell. Moreover the Abrams is shit, it's a massive air target and only the USA's enormous air force and the facing of much smaller and poorly armed forces has kept them from being open targets to strike fighters in the past. Their performance against tanks is also comical as only the latest M1A2s are actually a match for current Russian or even late-80s Soviet tanks, and the majority of tanks in US use are M1A1s. Not to mention enormous numbers of them have been outright mothballed or decommissioned.
>their supply lines are systematically being torn apart by long range precision munitions Nice fantasy NATOid, the irony is that is exactly the thing happening to Ukraine right now.
>their fleet can't operate in the Black Sea LMAO, the Black Sea belongs to Turkey and Russia and the USA cannot insert a carrier into that area. The Ukrainian navy is nonexistent and the ships proposed to be sent are held back because the Brits fear they'll be sunk in Odessa harbor before they can even be transferred officially.
>when their cruise missiles can't penetrate Ukraine airspace without being intercepted anymore There exists no SAM system on earth currently capable of taking out hypersonic missiles. Only Russia and China have actual hypersonic missiles in production. The USA still can't do that. US air defense is horrible. The older missiles in Russian use are upper-super sonic and are considered some of the most advanced systems to exist even today. The subsonic kalibr has been almost completely unimpeded in Ukraine against their air defenses. You can't set up an advanced air defense if they get destroyed on arrival.
The Stinger is outdated a fuck and even brand new barely took out early Mi-24s and soon defeated by countermeasures developed back in the 80s and still effective today. The THAAD is a strategic system for intercepting ballistic missiles and strategic bombers primarily and is not something for wide export. The Patriot has failed repeatedly. Back in the 80s they couldn't take out a single Scud missile launched by Saddam at Israel and similarly failed against terrorist missiles launched in Saudia Arabia. The NASAAMS is the only system of any note and its not even a US only development. I'm not even mentioning that these things take years of training to be any good and are massive beacons to any anti-RADAR system, good luck avoiding a Zircon from your fixed SAM position. Panzer Gepard? A fucking joke that is barely any better than a Shilka a decade its senior and having terrible firing rate for an AAA system today. Russia had turned the Bayraktar meme and aped the Ukrainians by destroying most of their large drones an using theirs in massive attacks that Ukrainian SAM systems including US deliveries have failed to intercept.
>Ukraine has the benefit of virtually infinite western gibs >"I can't take seriously those right wingers writing in "memes""<Types out in memesOk /uhg/ fag
>forget morals Yes Himmler-san.
TL;DR: You've said nothing but fantasy and middling generic liberal tripe spouted by NATO sock-puppets. I'm sure the Ghost of Khuev thanks you.
No.2636
I tapped out of the war threads like 2 or 3 months in but I'm glad to see ziggas still cope by responding to completely normal posts with unhinged wall of texts calling out the imaginary NATOids like my man here
>>2635I really wanna know what ziggaz make of Russia's recent losses but I don't feel like sorting through the actual shit that are the Ukraine threads to find out lmao
No.2637
>>2635I'm not gonna answer point by point because I'm not that much of a weapon nerd. But why "LMAO" at the question of how the war will go in 2024-2025? Even if you believe Russia will probably break that stalemate that's something to think about, military thinking is about hoping for the best and planning for the worst after all.
It's also pretty deranged to think Russia economy and military are gaining from this, besides their GDP shrinking and the hundreds of thousands of people not being in the workforce anymore but on the front line or outside the country, they lost a lot of their most elite troops in the beginning of the war, a few thousands tanks and mbts, more than a hundred aircraft, their flagship is on the bottom of the black sea etc. The only things they really gained is some (industrial) territory and military experience, but at the expense of being sanctioned left and right, and their military being revealed as a potemkine force that had no right being ranked 2nd in the world.
Now there's talks of Russia closing the border to male citizens, launching another wave of mobilization and maybe declaring martial law for the beginning of the year, which imo they would certainly need to break the stalemate. Only their troops seem to be facing shell rationing and moral issues while there is a rivalry between the army and the pmc so I'm skeptic about their capability to mount successful large offensives in the coming months.
No.2641
>>2636 LMAO ok samefag, you totally didn't lurk here for a response to make the same salty, 'no u' reply
>Retar text wall LMAO, because
>>2626 isn't a textwall?
Also pic rel.
>zigga<n-no I'm not another centrist closeted NATO stan really! Cope
No.2642
>>2637>I'm not gonna answer point by point because I'm not that much of a weapon nerd Translation: I don't know what I'm talking about, but I'll make a BS response anyhow.
>why "LMAO" at the question of how the war will go in 2024-2025 The idea of it going to 2025 is laughable. It's barely 2023 and Ukraine has had 8 years of training assistance an prep-time, as former presidents Merkel, Poroshenko and Holland mentioned in regards to the Minsk Agreements being a delay tactic. Even after all that and 120 billion dollars in aid since February 2022 specifically, and a numbers difference of roughly 6:1 in Ukrainian troops favor, they still are suffering heavier losses in human and tech casualties. Moreover this is in spite of Russia being very careful to reduce civilian casualties on top of that.
>deranged to think Russia economy and military are gaining from thisExcept it isn't. The economy has been forced to use only local resources and local development, forcing them to be more self-sufficient in terms of production. The lack of an export economy is also making the domestic market more important, forcing them to expand and improve conditions, production and products for the home markets. On top of this the military is in an active conflict and so making large orders for modernizations of older tech, reactivation of mothballed tech, production of new tech and replacement of existing or lost tech. They also get to test out new weapons and gain experience and make counters to Western systems and tactics and capture them for study.
>military thinking is about hoping for the best and planning for the worstTrue, doesn't mean that 2024-2025 statement is at all a realistic consideration
>GDP Lurk Moar, GDP doesn't mean shit in reality.
>hundreds of thousands of people not being in the workforce You do realize Russia is a massive country that has over a hundred million people right? You don't think they don't have people to take up work positions left behind by people taken into service? This is laughable shit comparable to ant-labour-law Senators complaining about the same shit in America.
>their troops seem to be facing shell rationing and moral issues while there is a rivalry between the army and the pmc Stop looking at Western news sources, they can't tell a lie to save their ass. The Russians have been doing the exact opposite in terms of shelling, firing larger salvos than the Ukrainians. The fantasy of Russia lacking ARTILLERY and AMMUNITION is probably the most absurd thing I've heard in years, the country that has Soviet stockpiles and even after the USSR has stockpiled ammunition like Judgement Day is coming, is running out of shells? Give me a break. If anything it's a projection of Western stockpiles being low. Soldier morale is mostly pretty high, dozens of independent journalists and others do interviews on the frontlines and none are doubtful about their victory.
>a few thousands tanks and mbts LMAO no. Maybe a hundred or 2 but a couple thousand? Get the fuck out.
>a hundred aircraft Unless you're counting drones that's just no true, not to mention Ukraine has practically no air force or aerial capability, their drones are the only thing they have and even they aren't too effective, getting shot down almost immediately.
>flagshipAnd in the meantime the Ukrainian navy doesn't exist badum tsss
>the expense of being sanctioned sanctions don't mean shit and haven't for a long time
https://southfront.org/russias-economy-performed-much-better-than-the-west-expected-despite-sanctions/ https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/end-age-sanctions >their military being revealed as a potemkine forceLaughable nonsense of redditoid armchair analysts.
PS
Patriot missile systems are a long time to train, even longer considering the difference in tech in NATO and Soviet systems. They aren't going to be ready until 2024 at best
https://southfront.org/ukraine-wont-be-ready-for-patriot-missiles-until-2024-advisory-body-warns-u-s-congress-of-high-risks-from-deliveries/ Minsk agreement sham
Holland:
https://southfront.org/france-confirmes-peace-agreements-for-ukraine-are-lie/Merkel:
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202212/1281708.shtml Poroshenko:
https://www.rt.com/russia/557307-poroshenko-comments-minsk-agreement/ Civilian casualties during the conflict:
https://southfront.org/russia-conducts-operation-with-minimum-civilian-casualties-study-shows/ No.2645
>>2642Ukraine had time to train but they didn't take the threat of war very seriously thus didn't prepare as they should have done. For example their NCO corps is basically non existent because of their inexperience and lack of training, they often do debates to take decisions on the tactical level, therefore their morale is high but the discipline is lacking.
If you think autarky is good for a capitalist country that can't build a lot of high end goods it needs on its own you do you, why not, could turn for the better in the future. Furthermore GDP actually means shit for capitalist countries, you're just coping about that by crying spook in this instance because you're infatuated with a particular capitalist country, and I'll bet you'll be jizzing in your pants when the capitalist countries you don't like announce a recession this year, which will tell us everything we need to know about how much of principled socialist you are.
You can diminish and deny the losses Russia incurred all you want, by saying Ukraine is in a worse position for example, but the point of this war, that I believed was even agreed upon by both Russia and US stans, is that it's a proxy conflict. The US didn't loose anything besides the weapons that were designed and built to take out Russian men and materiel. BTW my sources for the seemingly russian hardships in shell rationing are telegram channels of soldiers complaining, I'm not getting that from CNN.
I'm sure Cuba and Venezuela will be happy to know sanctions don't mean shit, you should go and tell them. Also I don't really care about how morally good russia is at avoiding killing people, even more so if it's an internet blog that wants me to "take the red pill" that's telling me that. Geopolitics are amoral, Russia is not "good", Russia is a country that wants to do things benefiting itself, Russia avoided hitting civilian centers in the beginning because they thought an easy victory was possible and wanted subsequently to diminish the amount of popular anger against their rule and profit from an intact economy. The moral sugarcoating like nazi killing or national liberation is like in any capitalist war mainly a propaganda narrative meant to garner support. I don't care about agreements and who was in the legally wrong or what ultimately caused the war, it's mostly irrelevant, you only need to know who claims what to more accurately understand and predict their behavior. This thread is about military analysis and the lessons of war, you should abandon idealist thinking.
No.2648
>>2645>Ukraine had time to train but they didn't take the threat of war very seriously Cope excuse
>their morale is high their morale is rockbottom to the point that they execute suspected deserters on the frontlines.
> inexperience and lack of training No, they're just fucking incompetent.
>a capitalist country that can't build a lot of high end goods That's not Russia, you really have no comprehension of Russia's industrial might
>you're just coping about that by crying spook in this instance because you're infatuated with a particular capitalist countryNah, nice projection though idealist
>You can diminish and deny the losses Russia incurred Nothing to deny, pic rel
>tell us everything we need to know about how much of principled socialistNever claimed to be one, funny that, Mr.Ideologue.
>my sources for the seemingly russian hardships in shell rationing are telegram channels of soldiers complaining Ah yes, just like those videos of "DPR" troops making high-loss claims only to be revealed to be fakes agitating for pro-ukrainian talking points? Telegram isn't Russian-only, it's free to use and anyone can make a post.
>Cuba and Venezuela will be happy to know sanctions false equivalency. Cuba has a BLOCKADE and Venezuela is recovering. Cuba is not too bad off either.
>an internet blog that wants me to "take the red pill" Tell me more on how I know you can't read. You're just copy-pasting generic twitter responses and using ad hom deflection. You've not provided shit for an argument
>N-no not morality being important!Ok, keep polishing Keitel's knob some more.
>moral sugarcoating like nazi killing or national liberation *Laughs in actual socialist movements* you are the picture of armchair arrogance, bravo.
>Russia avoided hitting civilian centers in the beginning because they thought an easy victory was possibleYou prove again you read NONE of what you responded to and have no comprehension of military strategy and tactics. You're General McArthur levels of deranged.
>I don't care about agreements and who was in the legally wrong or what ultimately caused the war<The cause of military conflict is unimportant This is the most undialectical, ignorant nonsense I've seen so far. You try to gaslight me with gotcha's about "le capitalist cuntry support" being unprincipled, even though I haven't stated such anywhere, and then you go on to outright disregard the importance of dialectic analysis so you can pigeonhole your inanities as "truf". This is no different to the historical ignoramuses that claim the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact was an alliance.
> This thread is about military analysis and the lessons of war, you should abandon idealist thinking. The sheer irony of this Pot-meet-Kettle statement is amazing, I refuse to believe any sane, educated adult is this ignorant an not just intentionally being obtuse.
No.2649
>>2641>samefagschizo lmao
>LMAO, because >>2626 isn't a textwall? No, it's a paragraph friend. Meanwhile your replies are borderline unreadable bile not too dissimilar to the WV schizo that visits leftypol from time to time
I suppose I got my answer about what ziggaz think of recent events, this being denial and screeching, just like I 'member
>>2642>And in the meantime the Ukrainian navy doesn't exist badum tsssThe fact that they sunk Russia's flagship without a navy is even more embarrassing. I remember when that news came out, ziggaz were saying Ukraine is lying and it's just some random boat they sunk, which makes it even funnier
>>2648Can ziggaz understand that skepticism regarding Russia's war effort is not an endorsement of the other side lmfao. What makes you think you'll look any sillier than this dude
>>1832 6 months from now, or the dudes at the start saying this was gonna take a couple of weeks?
>deflection ad hom armchair ad hom undialectical idealist ad homThis post is literally half memespeak and buzzwords what the actual fuck man, not to mention a stunning lack of self awareness since your entire post is ad hominem-ing the other dude
>Nothing to denyDid picrel just not happen in your mind? Inb4 they didn't need those territories anyway and just fought for them for shits and giggles
<N-no not morality being important!>Ok, keep polishing Keitel's knob some more. I can't tell if you're unironically endorsing moralism here, but if you are, that is really fucking funny
No.2651
To get back on track, and about the general issue of ammunition production that is experienced by both sides, here's an analysis of Russian journos on Russian ammo
https://nitter.kylrth.com/RALee85/status/1611034054899470336Bottom line is they need millions of rounds per year, but only produce a few hundred k, and they were somewhat late in ramping up production/refurbishment. There's the question of converting civilian industry, and the problem of some shells having defects.
No.2652
>>2650 >Kyiv Independent??? No mention of that from me, moron.
>Muh Southfront <Oh no a site references a common online termin for independent truth in a intro line, the horror!not an argument
The liberal is you.
No.2653
>>2652why did you take the left pill
No.2654
>>2651 This is idiotic; you can't go from "There's a 2.6 million ton stockpile of ammunition (caliber undefined)" and then switch to "production is 300 thousand rounds (caliber undefined)", that tells us NOTHING about the number of rounds in storage and the lack of a caliber makes it even more confusing. Even a single 125mm roundcan range from 4kg to 20kg alone; just going by 125mm an assuming heaviest ammunition that 2.6 million tons of stockpile is going to be 130000000 rounds - 130 MILLION. Various artillery calibers get used more or less than others. 125mm is probably the heaviest in use right now, the 152mm the heaviest after that. More recently the 240mm is gaining more usage in counter-battery mortar shelling.
More importantly Murakhovsky is not saying that Russia is lacking ammunition at the moment, but that if it can't raise production that is a possible future problem due to infrastructure being unprepared. He also states that this isn't critical and can be caught up.
No.2656
>>2654Now don't be so selective in your reading!
I'm gonna spell it out for you: the russian soldiers and mercenaries complain about shell hunger, the problem is so prevalent russian milblogers and journos are now complaining about shell hunger: Russia has a shell problem.
They don't know if they can solve it fast enough, making workers manufacture them around the clock isn't enough, furthermore the 2022 vintage has defects. And some of those people are really dubious in the capabilities or even the will of the russian government to convert civilian industry and find engineers and specialists to make enough of what they need.
>bu-bu-but the 1xxmm and the billions of stocksSure go tell the russian artillery men, with their shortage of shells they'll probably take the time to listen to you.
No.2657
>>2656 Yeah unlike you I can read it in Russian instead of half-ass translations.
> russian soldiers and mercenaries complain about shell hunger No, a sourceless telegram post claims that there is a lack of shells, and then other telegram posts parrot that posts' claim.
Everything else being claimed is also just more hearsay and BS speculation, not concrete fact.
>Muh 1xxmmNot an argument. The posts are fucking shite because they don't provide real information that can actually be compared. 2.6 million tons of shells is meaningless to compare to 300k shells produced, because you can't compare tonnage to number of shells. This is basic mathematics for fucks sake.
>tell the russian artillery men Don't have to, there's literally hundreds of interviews and combat footage that have Russian artillerymen fire constantly from morning til night and have the shell casing piles to prove it.
No.2658
>>2657Ah yes, the posts are shit now they don't fit in your red pill. The point is that the trillions tons of shells they have are old and unusable as is, the need for their refurbishment necessitates work.
On an unrelated note what are your feelings if I tell you more than 20 millions soviet people died during WW2 and the Americans landed on the moon in 69?
No.2659
>>2658 >the posts are shit now they don't fit in your red pill<now No they're shit because they're a terrible and poorly misinformative, using set of non-correlating information to push a false narrative. As an aside, your constant "muh reed pill" is literally the left figure of pic rel.
>point is that the trillions tons of shells they have are old and unusable as is No, you're just changing goal posts, first they are running out of shells, then its production is too low, now it's "lotsa shells are unusable", ignoring that roughly 3/4 of several hundred million rounds for artillery stockpile are in usable condition.
>the need for their refurbishment necessitates work The military ALWAYS has something needing refurbishment, that's been true of every gorran military ever since complex technological systems became a major part of warfare.
>what are your feelings if I tell you more than 20 millions soviet people died during WW2 Yeah I know that, and?
>Muh moon landing Looks fake as shit, don't care either way.
No.2662
>>2661
>Bradley IFVs
Those are the ones made of aluminium iirc?
No.2663
>>2661 >RIM-7 Sea sparrow missiles that can be fired from retrofitted BUKs As the HARM missile failure reveals, that means little. The conversion mounts aren't enough to interface completely different systems, if anything the effectiveness is going to be less than conventional BUK missiles
>AMX-10 RC light tanks artillery fodder, their speed isn't going to be any use in that terrain, especially in the current season and they're very vulnerable to most heavy systems, such as the 14.5 an 12.7mm machine guns and RPGs. The cannon is nice but too small a caliber to destroy a modern tank and is likely to get tagged by a BMP-2s 30mm canon, as it is to tag a BMP. Utterly defenseless against an attack chopper. Just like the Caesar and other French systems sent it's a nothingburger.
>BradleyLOL, LMAO even. The bradley is out of production and has no replacement in the US military. It's a fucking lemon and there's a couple posts on the board talking about it. 155mm shells are about the only real threat and even then, it's not a high enough amount to significantly change things.
>>2662 Aluminum isn't a factor in itself, the particular aluminum used on Bradley's has a tendency to light up under incendiary impact though.
No.2664
>>2649>t's a paragraph <It's only a paragraph if I do it!Ok
>your replies are borderline unreadable bile Sure, ok
>denial and screeching Projection
>The fact that they sunk Russia's flagshipThey didn't and it's been disproven ITT.
>ziggaz were saying Ukraine is lying and it's just some random boat they sunk,Nope, noone said that, you're just making shit up.
>skepticism regarding Russia's war effort is not an endorsement of the other side Predictably the bothside-fag falls back on the "it's not an endorsement" platitude
>This post is literally half memespeak and buzzwords <misrepresent the post, then claim "muh memespeak" dialectics are not memespeak, neither is pointing out ad hominum, cretin.
>picrel You're shifting goalposts again for another "gotcha lol"
>M-morals are le bad Typical 'nu-age' leftism, utterly disregarding important grass-roots parts of leftist appeal and direction. Read Castro you utter ignoramus
No.2666
>>2664>Nope, noone said that, you're just making shit up.I don't remember if they had cyclical threads back when it happened, but if they happened to be archived you're free to check for yourself what people were saying back when it happened lmao. I like that you ignored that post (yours?) from last year that aged like complete shit – much like every other zigga prediction. Getting news from ziggaz is as reliable as getting them from ukrop sources.
>bothside-fagWhat both sides? You treat politics no different than team sports
>dialectics are not memespeakYou spouting the latest buzzwords you learned in a youtube video is not dialectics, it's verbal garbage coming out of a retard
>shifting goalpostsWho? Where? What did I shift goalposts from?
Tell me honestly instead of avoiding the question, how did those territorial losses happen if Russia is on top? Is it all according to their keikaku?
>M-morals are le bad No, they just don't matter
>Typical 'nu-age' leftismMemespeak
>utterly disregarding important grass-roots parts of leftist appeal and directionNon-sequitur
>Read Castro you utter ignoramusNo thanks, my reading list is already filled by amoralists such as Marx and the Bolsheviks
No.2669
>>2666 >Satan trips<n-no morality Marx wrote theory, he also made inaccurate statements.
>f they happened to be archived you're free to check for yourself what people were saying back when it happened Until Fall I posted in those threads. People said a lot, but not that.
>like that you ignored that post I like that you ignored that it isn't incorrect. Ukraine lacks any large army groups, they're forced to be small and mobile, because large units get trapped like Azov. The Ukrainians are constantly losing territory, the map you posted doesn't prove shit, Russia took Kherson, but not the majority of those Purple highlighted territories, and has consistently been pushing out Ukrainians. Any "regain" Ukraine made, gets pushed back again soon after.
>Getting news from ziggaz is as reliable as getting them from ukrop sources Spoken in true bad faith
>What both sides? You treat politics no different than team sportsFeigning ignorance to make a false claim, another fallacious argument
>You spouting the latest buzzwords<muh youtubeUnlike you I don't get my information from youtube vloggers, I actually read the theory. None of the things I said are buzzwords, nor are they "latest" considering leftypol refers to them constantly for years. You expose yourself as a n00b.
>it's verbal garbage coming out of a retard Stop looking in a mirror then
> instead of avoiding the questionYou are avoiding my point by making a false comparison, your 'question' is gaslight
>how did those territorial losses happen Already answered in several posts prior. You claim I argue like things are 2 sports teams, yet approach the concept of warfare exactly like that, proving your projection.
>they don't matter>"A chekist can only be a man with a cold head, a hot heart and clean hands. Anyone who becomes cruel and whose heart remains insensitive to prisoners must leave here. Here, as in no other place, you need to be kind and noble." - Iron Felix >January 19, 1945 Stalin signs a general directive which forbids harsh treatment of enemy population by the army. It was duplicated by commanders of multiple fronts, for example, commander of the 2nd Belarussian Front Rokossovsky issued an order to execute all looters and rapists on sight. >https://espressostalinist.com/2013/08/11/v-i-lenin-on-communist-morality/ >"What has fascist Germany gained and what has she lost by treacherously tearing up the pact and attacking the USSR? She has gained a certain advantageous position for her troops for a short period, but she has lost politically by exposing herself in the eyes of the entire world as a blood-thirsty aggressor. There can be no doubt that this short-lived military gain for Germany is only an episode, while the tremendous political gain of the USSR is a serious lasting factor that is bound to form the basis for development of decisive military successes of the Red Army in the war with fascist Germany." - Stalin, speech of 1941 to the people of the USSR https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/stalin-speaks-to-the-people-of-the-soviet-union-on-german-invasion-july-1941I can go on and on about the importance of ethics and morality for leftism and war. Point is your attitude is exactly the kind of sociopathic ideology that every real communist revolutionary has rejected. Morality =/= liberal pacifism or handwringing. So kindly, get therapy you psycho.
>MemespeakNot an argument
>such as Marx and the Bolsheviks I guarantee that you read The Communist Manifesto and excerpts of shit that fits your amoral idealism
No.2670
>>2667>BUKs have been very useful for air defrnse They aren't, MANPADS have been the most effective (not very much at that) but have little impact against high-flying jets. Not to mention the utter failure against Russian drone striking.
>Ukraine is not running out of ammo for themAn SAM is not like a machine-gun, the type of rocket matters. Ukraine's systems are old models that had been obsolete by 1995. Not to mention large amounts of their stockpile had been taken out by cruise missile strikes.
>they could get effectively get up to 5 patriots 1) The Pentagon itself states that 2024 is the soonest the systems are going to be ready
2) The Patriot missile system is garbage
https://archive.is/zjL9K https://archive.vn/KdUNc https://archive.is/Nze9e >S-300 Old models that, like the Buk Russia is extremely familiar with and has the countermeasures for.
>Russia can't produce that much missiles Says who? Some BS blogposts and sourceless news articles?
>I'm dubious in their capability to sustain their strategic bombing campaign <Russia, a country famous for insanely large stockpiles and that has been ramping up production since the Syrian war is going to run out of bombs This is too funny
>you have a cope for each item <C-copeCry more.
>Muh T-72 carousel memeAnd the 4ch/k/ ignoramus reveals themselves
Out of all the items your pic lists, the m113 is the best one, and the narrow tracks have trouble in mud, Ukrainian videos of that already exist. Several already delivered M113s have already been captured or destroyed.
>The Bradley Literally cannot be replaced in the US military and like any other vehicle on the list, is an easy airstrike target
>Muh artillery The Panzer 2000 has already proven to be no better than any existing Soviet systems in Ukrainian service + the shit barrel life makes it no use in long term. The M777s have been taken out consistently and are outranged by their contemporary Soviet equivalents. Polish Krab mobile artillery has been taken out one after the other. M109s are going to change nothing. A single Ukrainian artillery gun unit goes through roughly 100s of rounds per day. Multiply that across all artillery and that 70,000 is going to get used up in a week and that's ignoring shell stockpiles needing to being delivered to the front, the fact that Russia has consistently targeted these stockpiles, and the effective counter-battery fire Russia has. This is only for 155mm. 105mm is a joke, the range is pathetic, penetration ineffective against any current Russian tanks. Even the T-62M requires more advanced rounds to be penetrated at range like the M111.
>HIMARS HIMARS has a small salvo, it's range is comparable to the Uragan, but the throw weight is less than half. A single missile has a small explosive yield, and as a famous Ukrainian bridge proves, the impacts get repaired literally hours later.
>MRAPs / HumveesUkrainian posts demonstrate them getting stuck in the mud. Several got destroyed already. Humvees are also fodder
>Ammo Russia has hit stockpile locations repeatedly and cut off supply lines. TOW missiles are no better than anything else - Javelin's are better and still aren't as effective as memed, Konkurs and other ATGMs have equivalent performance. Not to mention TOW relay lines are a major problem in wooded areas.
No.2671
>>2669>Marx wrote theory, he also made inaccurate statements. What a meaningless statement lmao
>Unlike you I don't get my information from youtube vloggers, I actually read the theoryYou absolutely do not, unless you consider moving your eyes across a page to be reading
>None of the things I said are buzzwordsThey are when you use them as such, but I agree there's always been retards saying undialectical idealist material conditions without understanding what any of it means
>Already answered in several posts prior.Where?
>I guarantee that you read The Communist Manifesto and excerpts of shit that fits your amoral idealismI guarantee you have not read even that
>>amoral idealismyou are beyond fucking retarded holy shit
>I can go on and on about the importance of ethics and morality for leftism and war.Thank you for not doing that
>Point is your attitude is exactly the kind of sociopathic ideology that every real communist revolutionary has rejectedYou are either retarded or speaking out of your ass, or both. Marx deliberately made an amoral analysis of capitalism and avoided morality altogether, the Bolsheviks were hardcore amoralists, understaning that morals were nothing but a reflection of the dominant class beliefs. You cannot make revolution by appealing to morality.
<picrelLiterally arguing against moralism
No.2673
>>2669>>2671 (me)
(cont.)
I find it interesting that you quoted Dzerzhinsky of all people, who was not the stupid moralist you make him out to be:
>"We stand for organized terror - this should be frankly admitted. Terror is an absolute necessity during times of revolution. Our aim is to fight against the enemies of the Soviet Government and of the new order of life. We judge quickly. In most cases only a day passes between the apprehension of the criminal and his sentence. When confronted with evidence criminals in almost every case confess; and what argument can have greater weight than a criminal's own confession?"Frankly, despite the man's kind demeanor, the man has said things that you would have called psychopathic:
>"We will turn our hearts into steel, which we will temper in the fire of suffering and the blood of fighters for freedom. We will make our hearts cruel, hard, and immovable, so that no mercy will enter them, and so that they will not quiver at the sight of a sea of enemy blood. We will let loose the floodgates of that sea. Without mercy, without sparing, we will kill our enemies in scores of hundreds. Let them be thousands; let them drown themselves in their own blood. For the blood of Lenin and Uritsky, Zinovief and Volodarski, let there be floods of the blood of the bourgeois - more blood, as much as possible."In the first quote, incidentelly, he happens to mirror none other than Marx himself, who, based on the example of the French Revolution, stated:
>"There is only one means to shorten, simplify and concentrate the murderous death throes of the old society and the bloody birth pangs of the new, only one means—revolutionary terror."If you recoiled in shock at these statements or think they are way too much, you are a liberal moralist. Incidentally, Lenin explains morality way better than I could have in the link you yourself provided:
>In what sense do we reject ethics, reject morality?>In the sense given to it by the bourgeoisie, who based ethics on God’s commandments. On this point we, of course, say that we do not believe in God, and that we know perfectly well that the clergy, the landowners and the bourgeoisie invoked the name of God so as to further their own interests as exploiters. Or, instead of basing ethics on the commandments of morality, on the commandments of God, they based it on idealist or semi-idealist phrases, which always amounted to something very similar to God’s commandments.>We reject any morality based on extra-human and extra-class concepts. We say that this is deception, dupery, stultification of the workers and peasants in the interests of the landowners and capitalists.>We say that our morality is entirely subordinated to the interests of the proletariat’s class struggle. Our morality stems from the interests of the class struggle of the proletariat.I.e. what is good or bad depends on whether they advance proletarian interests, morals are entirely subjective and arise out of necessity – not the other way around.
The rest of what you linked are just thinks that you think were morally good, I presume, which… good for you? But I once again question your capability to read if you managed to post things that go against your own point. I wanted to call you a certain word but I think you get the point already.
You might think this is a strange thing to insist on in the Ukraine thread, but if you have built your understanding of Marxism on such shaky moralist foundations then it really is no wonder you would fall into a manichean worldview.
As for the war, thank you for answering my questions. I now can fully understand the conflict: the Moskva did not sink (???), or it sank on its own (even more embarrassing), Ukraine's army is decimated and cannot take any territory, but also they took Kherson, but it's okay because Russia will just take it back (don't question how they lost it in the first place!), as they are simply mopping up 1 year later after they destroyed Ukraine's armored forces. I'm starting to think I made the right choice in joining my peers in not giving a single fuck about the war the moment Azovstal finally fell if these are the kind of schizos I would have to discuss the conflict with lmao.
No.2674
>>2671 >meaningless statement lmaoIt isn't and the reason is self-obvious
>You absolutely do notYes, I do, stop projecting your illiteracy unto me.
>Where? Scroll up, I'm not spoonfeeding you things ITT
>I guarantee you have not read even that I've read all of that and more.
>you are beyond fucking retarded No, I'm not. Your statement about moral high-ground is ignorant and speaks of an utter disconnect from actual blue collar workers.
>Marx deliberately made an amoral analysis of capitalism because he was making an objective, socio-economic analysis. Ethical analysis is a separate matter entirely.
>he Bolsheviks were hardcore amoralistsNo, they rejected tsarist traditionalism/reactionary rhetoric, but among their most important rallying points is their rejection of the AMORAL, INHUMANE behavior of the White Guard and corruption of the Church. Lenin literally came in on Land. Peace. Bread. Material benefits alone are not going to appeal to people but neither are ideological platitudes.
>You cannot make revolution by appealing to morality. LMAO some of the biggest revolts to happen are caused by outrage over a regime pushing their inhumane an immoral treatment too far. Literally this is the reason the Russian Revolution began, after the Czar's troops massacred a peaceful protest and the same can be said for the Decembrist revolt, begun out of the immoral and oppressive abuse of soldiers in Imperial Russia. Moreover moral high ground is important for morale in troops, it is important to a population in war. That's the reason Vietnam is such a big deal in the USA, the troops had no moral high-ground and were condemned for it, rightly so, including/especially by communists. But apparently morality is unimportant because "psychological and social influence is for squares bruh"
Just an FYI - the entire concept of human rights is based n ethics and morality, and human rights are an inherent part of real leftist movements, not the theoretical analyses in someone's head or literature.
>Literally arguing against moralism No it argue's against ideological idealism in regards to ordinary people that have their own aims and concerns ethical or material that may not follow some leftist purism.
No.2675
>>2673>Dzerzhinsky of all people, who was not the stupid moralist you make him out to be <stupid moralistProjection and being obtuse is not an argument
>Terror against the upper class is the same as immorality It is not immoral to strike fear into an enemy, it is immoral to be inhumane if you are doing so.
>despite the man's kind demeanor, the man has said things that you would have called psychopathic No I wouldn't because I literally grew up on this blood and steel literature, in the original language no less. No mercy to an enemy is not the same as being immoral or casting it aside thoughtlessly. You fundamentally have no comprehension of this topic and your "highlights" only 'highlight' this lacking and frankly /pol/-tier view of leftism.
>French RevolutionAnd if you recall the French Terror resulted in a revolt because they stopped having regard and empathy for their fellow people, leading to the eventual rise of Napoleon THE EMPEROR whose empathy to his troops is among the reasons for their loyalty.
>If you recoiled in shock at these statements or think they are way too much, you are a liberal moralistIf you think any of these things is even remotely new to me, then you're a cherrypicking moron
>I.e. what is good or bad depends on whether they advance proletarian interests Yeah, nice goalpost shift faggot. Now instead of "morals don't matter" it's "Only proletarian morals don't matter" something that has no relevance to the argument at hand. Textwalling your longwinded attempt to dismiss and belittle me is not an argument and is just derailing and deflection.
>if you have built your understanding of Marxism on such shaky moralist foundationsI have not, you are projecting such because of your utterly self-limited understanding of me, this conflict and the issues of leftist theory and practical application/appeal to the proletariat. I live in reality - the people are not motivated by "Grug sez morality no matter" that you are saying. People in the Donbass don't CARE about Putin's Russia being "le porky" because it's not about Putin's government, it's about Russia as a people, and as soldiers helping them against an enemy that has dehumanized and brutally murdered them. The Nazi regime wasn't hated for being economically inefficient, they're hated for being immoral pieces of shit, and they recognized this subconsciously, and so used every excuse in the book to justify their immorality, thus Goebbels' propaganda having a ministry.
>the Moskva did not sink (???), or it sank on its ownIt suffered a fire that caused an explosion. The damage made it vulnerable to a heavy squall that sank it after the crew was evacuated. This is only "important" because it happened during the conflict. military accidents are common. The USA has had just as many as Russia, shit happens in a military numbering millions of people.
>they took Kherson They didn't, they had forces enter briefly for some PR photos, but they aren't staying there, primarily because the moment they tried Russian aviation took out a massive number of them in a single strike. Russia has already taken city after city and has done so every day.
>don't question how they lost it in the first placeTactical withdrawal. Again already discussed ITT or links ITT thread.
>they are simply mopping up 1 year later after they destroyed Ukraine's armored forcesYes. The USSR spent more than that mopping up Nazi and other terrorist forces and this is after the complete defeat of the Nazis.
>made the right choice in joining my peers in not giving a single fuck about the war <S-schizo! Your understanding of war being poor doesn't make people schizo. Similarly if you enter a Calculus discussion but have no comprehension of theoretical velocities at an exact time, you're going to think the mathematical calculations used are all made up technobabble. As for not caring, I only started to post ITT again after someone (probably you) made a retarded reee-post. I haven't been in the Ukraine General since September and don't care to start again.
No.2676
Those hohol and westoid weapons systems are obsolete! Useless! Garbage! Doesn't work in the mud! They have defaults!
And yet Russia can't seem to be capable of taking a small town like Bakhmut in 6 months of combat. Really makes you think.
No.2679
>>2674>It isn't and the reason is self-obvious Lmao
>im not you are no u no u projection no u no uok bro, sure
>No, I'm not. Your statement about moral high-ground is ignorant and speaks of an utter disconnect from actual blue collar workers. What are you actually saying here, that blue collar workers
are motivated by morality, and not by… y'know, putting bread on the table? I'll get back to this
>because he was making an objective, socio-economic analysis. Ethical analysis is a separate matter entirely. Agreed. Fortunately, nobody is doing an ethical analysis because it is completely and utterly worthless, that is, except for the liberals who think ethics is what shapes society. Hey, at least you admit morality and ethics are out of the realm of objectivity.
>scroll upI even CTRL+F'd, I'll just assume you're talking out of your ass
>No, they rejected tsarist traditionalism/reactionary rhetoric, but among their most important rallying points is their rejection of the AMORAL, INHUMANE behavior of the White Guard and corruption of the Church.Are you confusing immoral with amoral? Is this the problem here? Also, no, the Bolsheviks rejected bourgeois morality altogether, as the link you provided states, in favor of proletarian morality based on proletarian interests. Not only that, but
in the interests of the world proletariat as a whole, not a particular proletariat'. German socdems made the argument that waging the war
was in German proles interests, like a certain renegade, and similar justification came from other "Marxists" of the time.
The Whites being complete pieces of shit sure helped to drive the point home, though.
>Lenin literally came in on Land. Peace. Bread. Yes. He appealed to
the actual material interests of Russian proles and peasants you complete and utter retard. He never went "um, guys, war is le bad???? and immoral and shit", him and the Bolsheviks as well as every other actual revolutionary communist at the time merely pointed out to the proles that said war was fought at their expense for the interest of a small minority, or even for no actual purpose at all.
>LMAO some of the biggest revolts to happen are caused by outrage over a regime pushing their inhumane an immoral treatment too far. As in, it is in the people's interest to do away with a regime doing them harm. What a concept
>Just an FYI - the entire concept of human rights is based n ethics and morality, and human rights are an inherent part of real leftist movementsL M F A O no shit that human rights, a bourgeois concept, are based in le ethics an morality, and the reason every bourgeois filth ever hides behind "human rights" every single time. Don't the bourgeoisie have human rights? Fuck bro guess I can't be a gommie
>No it argue's against ideological idealism in regards to ordinary people that have their own aims and concerns ethical or material that may not follow some leftist purism.Word gore. I legitimately cannot understand what you are saying here
>>2675>It is not immoral to strike fear into an enemy, it is immoral to be inhumane if you are doing so. Says who, you? Or this objective Morality™ in your head?
How can you even type this and not realize that what is "moral" depends on person to person, and is largely, or even solely, influenced by their class interest? Moreover, you saying this goes completely against those "optics" things you've quoted a post prior
>And if you recall the French Terror resulted in a revolt because they stopped having regard and empathy for their fellow people, leading to the eventual rise of Napoleon THE EMPEROR whose empathy to his troops is among the reasons for their loyalty. Thermidorean propaganda? In MY leftypol?
They didn't "stop having regard and empathy for their fellow people", they were carrying out the simple, revolutionary task of ruthlessly putting down the counter-revolution. Moreover, the excesses of the Terror happened while Robespierre was away, done by people who were actively trying to frame them on him – less a revolt, more of a deliberate sabotage.
In addition, you'd recall that the Thermidorean reaction that put down the "dictator" Robespierre resulted in its own revolt on 1 Prairie III, by the sans-culottes, the heart and soul of the revolution. There was no "people" that all acted in unison, there are only different classes with separate interests– ones that wanted Robespierre dead, and ones that wanted the Revolution carried out to the end.
Anyway, I'm gonna stop here otherwise this'll evolve into another 100 posts where I fuckin beat the shit out of you and put your head on a pike for spreading this ahistorical filth out here
>Yeah, nice goalpost shift faggot. Now instead of "morals don't matter" it's "Only proletarian morals don't matter" something that has no relevance to the argument at hand.I felt the need to single this out from the rest of the post, because I think it's important. Answer me honestly, and I ask this without any kind of malice or bad faith at all: are you legitimately diagnosed with some sort of mental disability, or are you actually trolling me?
Nobody said "proletarian morals don't matter" and I am actually at a loss for words how this is what you got out of the post.
Morals,
in general, don't matter, because they are simply secondary to class interests, the real driving force of society. The former are a pale reflection out of the latter. Proles don't revolt against capitalism because it's morally good, but because it is in their interest to do so. Likewise, bourgeoisie don't exploit proles because they're LE BAD, but because they are acting in rational self-interest. Of course, to a prole, organizing a strike seems good and workers rights seem like a moral imperative, but to a porky it seems like a moral atrocity that infringes on their sacred property rights. The influence morals have on society is simply in playing second fiddle to basic. material. interests.
>I live in reality - the people are not motivated by "Grug sez morality no matter"No fucking shit. People are not influenced by "GUYZZZ morality is super important, it would be super duper moral if we did this!" either. Nor are they influenced by people telling them anything, they are motivated by self interest you actual invertebrate.
Some people may be swayed by moral arguments to action, an infintismally small amount, and yet no event in history has been caused by moral indignation.
>People in the Donbass don't CARE about Putin's Russia being "le porky" because it's not about Putin's government, it's about Russia as a people, andAnd the crown jewel you thought to finish this with is to spout nationalistic bile, wonderful.
Please, if you are Russian, don't do any of that "revolutionary defeatism" ultra bullshit; do the moral, virtuous thing to do by fulfilling your duty to your nation and enlist.
>The Nazi regime wasn't hated for being economically inefficient, they're hated for being immoral pieces of shit, and they recognized this subconsciously, and so used every excuse in the book to justify their immorality, thus Goebbels' propaganda having a ministry. Immoral according to who, again? The Nazis considered what they were doing to be entirely moral, moreover, a moral imperative, for the biological survival of their race.
Once again, what's moral and what's not is a second-hand justification for pre-existing interests.Moreover, Slavs, Jews, Roma, communists etc. didn't oppose Nazis because they were immoral, they fought them because it was a matter of life or fucking death lmao. People
>They didn't take KhersonSure buddy
>Tactical withdrawalYup, I believe you. You've gone and convinced me. Guess we can end this here now.
No.2680
>>2679 >all this shit <No actual point, because the goalposts have reached orbit and its just repeating basic facts an twisting them to fit your inane narrative to veil your ignorance of the real world>blue collar workers are motivated by morality, and not by… y'know, putting bread on the table<You can't have both! If you aren't aware the majority of people that care for morality/ethics tend to be proletarian, the rich are psychopathic or sociopathic exploiters by the nature of their class, that's the reason welfare capitalism and idpol movements exist, to appeal to moral/ethical principles and stave off revolution. This is a direct response to socialism appealing to proletarians through material and moral reasoning and prompting anti-capitalist movements post-1917. Or is the CIA sabotaging socialist movements for giggles?
I am a blue-collar worker, at an 8-6 job doing heavy labour and under the poverty line. I read and educate myself, and analyze everything, because I live in reality, not eternally behind a computer. Purely material motivation has never been successful in the long-run and is especially ignorant in regards to geopolitical real politik that should be the concern of any leftist and especially in regards to a situation like the current Ukraine conflict.
Moreover I guarantee that if Russia had not been trying to maintain a moral high-ground, you ideologues would bitch about that too, you already fell for literal fakes and false-flags before.
>Fortunately, nobody is doing an ethical analysis because it is completely and utterly worthlessAnd with that you've proven that you have nothing productive to contribute. Morality on its own is not the point, but to dismiss it entirely is ignorant and arrogant, because morality in itself arises from historical and material dialectics and influences them.
>Bolsheviks rejected bourgeois morality altogether You say that as if there aren't morals that are in essence universal for both. The bourgeois are not aliens or inhuman beings, they are people that have rational self-interests.
>German socdems made the argument that waging the war was in German proles interestsSo? Russia has literally been avoiding a war for 8 years. Your thinly-veiled false equivalence fails.
>CTRL+F No fag, you just can't read. You can lead a horse to water…
>at least you admit morality and ethics are out of the realm of objectivity.No they are not, they are outside the realm of pure logic at times but not rationality. Tossing this aside, is discarding a trait that fundamentally makes humanity people and the traits that let societies and social groups form in early humans to begin with - the ability to cooperate and empathize. There is a reason that evil is often stated to be rooted in a lack of empathy to ones fellow.
>He appealed to the actual material interests And yet again you demonstrate a complete lack of comprehension. Land Peace and Bread are not just MATERIAL, they are in rational self-interest. This alone is not a motivating factor for a revolution or a long-term unified people, if anything it leads to interconflict of interests. The other side of it is simple - People sided with Lenin because he was good to them, and in layman's terms morally better than any other group that may have promised similar bait or only platitudes, such as the Right SRs or the White Guard. The USSR fundamentally rejected purely materialistic motivation because that is literally the root leading to exploitation and hierarchies. Propaganda is the most effective method of carrying across a widespread message and its purpose is to appeal emotionally, because emotions are a key part of humanity. They are meant to rally people to a just and good cause, and it must have truth to it to resonate. Look at any Cuban, Soviet, Vietnamese or Chinese poster meant to motivate people, not a single one is using purely economic motive, because that kind of cold utilitarian logic comes off as reprehensible.
>He never went "um, guys, war is le bad???? and immoral and shit"Not the point, nor relevant
>him and the Bolsheviks as well as every other actual revolutionary communist at the time merely pointed out to the proles that said war was fought at their expense for the interest of a small minority, or even for no actual purpose at all Yes, AND this appealed to people because they FELT WRONGED for it. If you're going to go purely by absolute material logic then there is absolutely nothing wrong with capitalism because 'unfairness' is irrelevant. That's the reason Marx's analysis is SOCIO-ECONOMIC, because society and its behavior is important, and morality, no matter how Marx brushes over it (among many other things) is a major part of society and humanity until the point that we become soul-less automatons.
>it is in the people's interest to do away with a regime doing them harm No shit Sherlock, you figure that out finally?
>human rights <a bourgeois concept Lenin, Mao, Castro, Che, Allende, Stalin and every communist revolutionary to live, spit in your face. The concept of human rights is not bourg and your claim as such is ignorant and inhuman
>Fuck bro guess I can't be a gommieNo /pol/, you cannot be one.
>Muh human rights is this strawman about le bougs so it makes it not reel!Human rights are the reason you can post on this site and not languish in a jail for treason. Human rights are the reason society actually has organization and ancapistan is an unfeasible fantasy.
>every bourgeois filth ever hides behind "human rights" Except that's fallacious, consequences for actions are not defended by human rights.
>Word gore <I legitimately cannot understand Because you are a literal cretin that can't read, or rather is being cognitively dissonant, because your psychopathic mentality can only be justified by trying to demean metaphysical concepts inherent to societies and hide behind cherry-picked excerpts from influential people of the ideology you're bandwagoning on.
>Says who, you Says every communist regime and their leaders - Stalin, Felix, Mao, Castro etc. All of whom presided over periods of purges and anti-capitalist internal action such as terror. There is a reason Yezhov and Yagoda were punished.
>what is "moral" depends on person to person No you absolute moron. An entire facet of communist appeal is that it is meant to unite the people on the grounds that there are many central parts of humanity that are universal and so almost everyone has something in common. An individual having beliefs that are not the same as another's is not dichotomous, it is literally a duality of society.
>Thermidorean Those that ignore history reap the consequences
>they were carrying out the simple, revolutionary task of ruthlessly putting down the counter-revolution Yes and then completely lost sight of that and began to persecute people in a manner no better than the Royalists that had come before. They became just as bad as the "no-good monarchy" they got rid of, prompting the people, not the monarchists, to overthrow them, and support the rising Napoleon.
>the excesses of the Terror happened while Robespierre was away, done by people who were actively trying to frame them on him – less a revolt, more of a deliberate sabotage. Robespierre was dead because he was executed for his heavy-handed approach within the convention, sparking a reaction to get rid of him, spiraling into MORE terror as wrongthink got punished harder still. This is barely different to the liberals of the Kerensky regime infighting and reneging on their promise to fix the wrongs of Nicholas II and his regime, and then cracking down on dissent in the face of that.
>There was no "people" that all acted in unison, there are only different classes with separate interests– ones that wanted Robespierre dead, and ones that wanted the Revolution carried out to the end. Yeah, neither are The People, and so The People stopped supporting these groups, that's my fucking point.
>where I fuckin beat the shit out of you and put your head on a pike Sure, internet tough-guy. The only ahistorical tripe here is yours.
>I'm gonna stop here Sure…
No.2681
>>2679Holy text wall batman
>Nobody said "proletarian morals don't matter" <earlier in the thread: "(morals) don't matter" - Post No 2666 Prior to this a post dismissed the need to fight nazis and the obligation of people to liberate people from them as moral sugarcoating.
>Morals, in general, don't matter Yes they do, as I explained above. Morals of the proletariat are PART OF CLASS INTERESTS FFS
Everything else you're saying is just backtracking and attempting to obfuscate this.
>Proles don't revolt against capitalism because it's morally good, but because it is in their interest to do so I already addressed this. Proles don't JUST revolt against it for moral reasons, but moral reasons are part of the motivation to act on their interests. Morals and morale are heavily linked, thus strikebreakers are often supported by propaganda attempting to attack the morality of the strike as well in the public image. Technically white proles get nothing from supporting the rights of black proles, but it is morally right to support our proletarian bretheren, that is class unity and heavily relies on the moral concept of it being wrong to be prejudicially discriminatory. Almost no average joe knows or frankly cares about the economic details
of, say, immigrant labour (extensive debunk on /pol/s attitude to this and higher minimum wage at
>>>/edu/4466 by yours truly). But morally appealing to them that these are just people desperate to make ends meet (just like them) is a moral/ethical position that appeals an unites them. This is an important social mechanic that drives the success or failure of a movement to gain popular support. That's the reason liberal idpol has little support among most proletarians (especially outside America0, they can't relate to middle-class entitled liberals complaining about inane first-world complaints - their bitching and moaning relies on false moralizing, no different to the cretins in /pol/.
>to a porky it seems like a moral atrocity that infringes on their sacred property rights. Hence the rejection of bourg morals. Then tell me, how is nazi killing and LIBERATION of PEOPLE bourg morals? If Russia had been saying this but clearly not attempting to save any infrastructure but industrial (like the US Army in Iraq did), then yeah, there's something fishy, but they're clearly not, as the heavy hitting of Azovstal and Ukrainian non-civilian infrastructure proves.
>People are not influenced by "GUYZZZ morality is super important, it would be super duper moral if we did this!" either. Nice false equivalency. People appeal to morality constantly in their arguments, its inherent. If you make it devoid of that you remove 90% of motivational appeal. This is seen in the US military, recruitment has plummeted because, in spite of all the benefits, the moral appeal is nigh nonexistent, nobody wants to fight imperialist conflicts, even though they'd gain all sorts of stuff that theoretically should make it a good idea in their rational self-interest.
> no event in history has been caused by moral indignation I gave examples of the opposite and more exist. Hell, even in recent time, as (despite my disagreement with them) the riots and protests as a result of police killings began from moral indignation over brutal murder.
>spout nationalistic bile No, you absolute moron, the mere fact that you see this as nationalism, proves that you have NO comprehension about real people's interests. The proletariat of the LDPR don't give a FLYING FUCK about your idealist nonsense, they have a history, a culture and relationship with Russia, a multi-ethnic country that has been permanently changed by the USSR's influence. Literally listen to ANY speech about Russia and the War given by Stalin, is he a nationalist? Is Lenin?
>Revolutionary defeatismYet another fallacious nonargument that flies in the face of reality.
>Immoral according to who To any decent human being that has a sense of empathy, you literal autist.
>he Nazis considered what they were doing to be entirely moral No, they used made up justifications and used ideological and material reasons to justify themselves to the people and heavily utilized indoctrinative propaganda. The concept of "Evil is the lack of empathy" came from the Nuremburg trials, a trial in part held by the COMMUNIST USSR. Yet the USSR unlike anyone else, only sought to punish the leadership and immediately culpable, not the ordinary people of Germany, explicitly punishing the violation of this and cementing themselves as the morally good side. If that hadn't been important, then the West wouldn't have spent decades falsifying/revising history to portray the USSR in as morally evil by common standards of decency. The "muh propery" meme is a side note in all the slander about mass killing, fixed trials and horrible living conditions.
>Slavs, Jews, Roma, communists etc. didn't oppose Nazis because they were immoral, they fought them because it was a matter of life or fucking death If you are retarded just say so. The Nazis visited upon the 'untermensch' things that are morally reprehensible, but are completely practical and in the self-interest of THEIR people to do so - to terrorize and eliminate an enemy, something that on its own, without morals could be considered little different from revolutionary terror, that's where morality comes into play. Revolutionary terror isn't just targeting enemies as a people, but as a class. More importantly its methods are not supposed to be brutalizing. The Guillotine is specifically meant to be a humane method, as ironic as that seems today, yet the Nazis did things that at times were so inefficient or unnecessary that it damaged their self-interests to the point of making them lose the war faster.
>KhersonKherson is both a region and a city. The N-W region is under Ukrainian jurisdiction, but they have no control of the actual governing area and basically no military presence in the city because every time they try the Russian military airstriked them out. Russia tactically backed out because, as several posts talk about, it became a front overhang that put Russian military forces under 3-sides of fire for no tactical or strategic advantage. Territory control in combat, especially today isn't about clinging to every inch you gain, because that's just going to cause increased losses for no real military result. There's no point.
Examples for proofs:
<The Russian army destroyed the command posts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kherson and KupyanskDecember 29, 2022
<Russian troops completely control the island of Bolshoy Potemkin near KhersonJanuary 5, 2023
<Ukrainian media reported on explosions in KhersonJanuary 6, 2023
https://ria.ru/location_Kherson/>Guess we can end this here now Yep
No.2682
>>2676>yet Russia can't seem to be capable of taking a small town like Bakhmut <Lets ignore Russia taking it, evacuating the people and then leaving a strategically and tactically insignificant position and portray it like HOI4! https://archive.ph/VXLrKAlso
- NYT - Artillery Is Breaking in Ukraine. It’s Becoming a Problem for the Pentagon. Ukrainian soldiers are firing thousands of shells daily, forcing the U.S. to replace gun barrels across the border in Poland:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/25/us/ukraine-artillery-breakdown.html Earlier: Panzerhaubitze 2000 wearing out barrels from sustained fire.
Sea-Sparrow; besides the problem of mounting a foreign system to a completely different one, the Sea Sparrow is from the 1960s and only one county operates a ground-base variant. It's a short-range AAM inferior in range and seeker compared to Buks, a system that came into service roughly 2 decades AFTER the S.Sparrow.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVbbLt0iViU No.2683
>>2682So the US is doing maintenance on Ukrainian war material safely in Poland… This is not the own you think this is. Also try to keep the memes and paradox games references in the threads were they belong.
No.2684
>>1322They're all on the other side now 😔
No.2685
>>2681>If you aren't aware the majority of people that care for morality/ethics tend to be proletarian, the rich are psychopathic or sociopathic exploiters by the nature of their classWe are reaching levels of ideology not thought possible. I am actually amazed, you are not capable of comprehending the world outside moral categories.
>The concept of human rights is not bourg and your claim as such is ignorant and inhuman I guess if you are incapable of going beyond bourgeois morality, I shouldn't be surprised that you would also defend bourgeois right to the death. Avoid reading
On the Jewish Question or later Marxist criticism of rights or they might blow your mind
I like that your immediate response when disagreed with, multiple times in this thread, is to hide behind the idols of Great Men, even ones who have little to nothing in common with eachother or any relevance. Lenin next to Allende, lmao?
<what is "moral" depends on person to person >No you absolute moron.Wew lad. If you believe in moral universalism guess I can't stop you, best of luck during Bible study.
>An entire facet of communist appeal is that it is meant to unite the people on the grounds that there are many central parts of humanity that are universal and so almost everyone has something in common.What in the god damn fuck are you even talking about lmao
Communism is not a vague universalism, communism is the self-liberation and self-abolition of the proletariat, it is exclusive by its very own nature. There's no vague ""the people"" involved, unless you subscribe to the pre-Marxian notions of communism of course, in which case fucking lmao
>blah blah blah proles care about nationalismNo shit. They care about religion, too. Are you religious?
The role of a Marxist is not just to appeal to whatever proles find important, but specifically to peel back the layers of illusions that obscure reality as it really is, whether it's nationalism, God, etc.
I don't even think picking apart the rest of the post(s) is even worth it, the fact is you are so entrenched in your moralistic worldview that you vehemently believe it is the correct and
only way to view the world, no amount of reasoning could de-indoctrinate you from liberalism. The fact that you defend idealism while calling me an idealist is really fucking funny. Remember me 5 years from now when you start going on about 200 morbillion deaths, I see you've already taken the first step by disregarding Marx entirely.
No.2686
>>2680Also, vive Robespierre you Thermidorean bitch, considered "Bolshevik
avant la lettre" by Lenin. No wonder liberals after the fact, from Carlyle to yourself would dogpile on him and recoil in shock at the Terror, they are too spineless and weak-willed to even imagine carrying through a revolution from start to finish. The guy was the definition of a liberal pacifist who would cry from the death of a pigeon, and yet he was among the only ones who realized that in a revolution they are tasks that
must be carried out and leaving a revolution half-done is a death sentence.
No.2703
>>2686>>2685 Text wall, ad hom, baseless assertion and projection… yet not a single actual argument, truly amazing. Also didn't you say you were going to stop? So much for that assertion.
No.2716
I'm thinking Russia and us are learning they indeed have the second best land army, just not in the world but rather in Ukraine, now the floodgates of western weapons are being forced open. I'm curious to see how their "defense in depth" strategy will hold up once Ukraine has enough armor and ifvs to launch a major offensive.
No.3121
>>2675<they took Kherson >They didn't, they had forces enter briefly for some PR photos, but they aren't staying thereYah a PR stunt of 6 months and going I'm sure. This thread really is a monument to zigger idealism.
No.3134
>Lessons from the war
Mobile warfare is OVER.
No.3138
>>3134The age of the moleman is at hand. ISR is king.
No.3196
Honest question: what is the point of historical materialism if the proponents don't actually adhere to it and call all dissent to their opinions as idealism? And why are ziggas so susceptible to this?
No.3197
>>3196The point is to kill hohols and lib-nazis
No.3220
>>3196So first there always were revisionists in the communist movement, and on the other hand there was a lot of falsifying in the soviet union. Turns out when materialism is your only authorized school of thought you end up with an academic world far from being materialist because opinions/facts that diverge from assumed axioms and dogmas or are embarrassing for the ruling clique are put under the carpet while on the contrary false theories that go with the interests of the power are put forward. Hard to study and report on the diversity of religious and social practices of the rural world in Belgorod during the 17th century if the official party line is that they were oppressed backward people that were saved from ignorance suffering by the revolution.
Paradoxically - but likely for practical reasons - military science didn't suffer as much as, say, genetics, and the soviets were quite good at analyzing the weaknesses and strengths of their enemies during the cold war, even though their works were always traversed by the official Marxist Leninist precepts and party line of the moment. They knew that the United States was an industrial monster because they knew the specs and general numbers of each weapons they produced, they knew the Viet Minh didn't beat the French with "nothing but a rifle", they knew the Viet Cong failed their Tet offensive and generally lost against the US but won a battle of will, they knew how themselves lost tens of millions of people during WW2, and how much a conflict against western Europe would cost.
In short the limits self imposed by the USSR's ideology were trumped by pragmatism in key crucial areas. And the need to reform that to stop the general stagnation was well understood in the 80s. Of course Gorbachev and his gang failed in this endeavor and were hailed as traitors. All this is important to understand the mode of thinking of ziggers.
So the USSR already had a form of cargo cultism vis à vis of Marxism and historical materialism, and now the ziggoids entertain a form of cargo cultism vis-à-vis of the USSR. Only they don't have any of the pragmatism, most likely because they have no practical reason to assess if the intelligence about their enemies is good, and what lesson history can teach them so they will succeed in their struggle. Because you see their struggle is fundamentally cultural, their fight is on internet, their enemies are other posters, the worst thing they have to loose is a bit of pride, and they can leave whenever by the push of a button. There are no stakes. It is a fight to prove the USSR was
good so the K/D ratio of the WW2 is made up by nazis, that "communism" is inherently
superior because it is the "most advanced mode of production" which means the NVA/Viet Cong crushed the United States militarily, and that the United States is a
paper tiger producing nothing more than hamburgers and the occasional "wunderwaffe" - which doesn't work by the way because it's an imperialist weapon.
In short it's because they are turbo online cargo cultists.
No.3422
>>1345>What can we learn from the Russian invasion of UkraineFighting against 2x(now)-5x(before the russian mobilisation) manpower advantage is hard
No.3424
>>3196People here have at most a vague idea of what those words mean, they just picked them up and thought they were cool so they just drop them in conversation whenever they get the chance to seem smart
>And why are ziggas so susceptible to this?Why are terminally online retards susceptible to retardation? A mystery.
No.3876
Ukraine is bringing back old soviet artillery because they're running out of more modern Soviet ones and more modern NATO ones are being destroyed or lack ammuniiton.
Украинские артиллеристы начали применять на фронте 100-мм советские полевые пушки БС-3 https://topwar.ru/228619-ukrainskie-artilleristy-nachali-primenjat-na-fronte-100-mm-sovetskie-polevye-pushki-bs-3.htmlThese are literally WW2 artillery pieces
No.3877
>>3876And Russia still can't win against that, another lesson of the war: WW2 era gear is enough to keep the second army in the world at bay
No.3878
>>3877im pretty sure they're winning, they control 20% of ukraine
No.3879
>>3878They controlled more one year and a half ago which means they are loosing.
No.3880
>>3879>They controlled more one year and a half agoNo, they didn't. having troops in an area =/= controlling it.
>>3877 >Ukraine is literally supported by the stockpiles from all of NATO on top of old Soviet stockpiles and in spite of this failed to break through even the first Russian lines and are losing equipment so rapidly that they're dragging out decommissioned weapons. This is the same retarded narrative that burgers use regarding Afghanistan and the Mujahed/Taliban fighters, ignoring that they were literally armed and trained by the CIA with immense US budget and the Pakistani airforce supporting them.
If anything, considering the relatively small number of forces Russia has deployed its a demonstration of Russia's capabilities in a long-term war, wherein their stockpiles are being refilled and upgraded while NATO is literally losing division's worth of munitions, expensive modern weaponry and platoons of soldiers serving unofficially.
No.3882
>>3880>No, they didn't.Yes they did
Btw NATO has deployed exactly zero troops in the front lines, although likely there are some delta glow assholes out there working as "voluntaries", this is just not something that can be hidden. In Afghanistan the Soviet Union deployed a fraction of the personnel Russia is deploying in Ukraine although they had a better industrial base, a way more competent military and a kinda friendly central government here. "Kinda" because they still assassinated its leader on paranoiac grounds which wasn't taken well by everyone and fueled accusations of imperialism - something China used to justify helping the Mujahedin.
The lack of troops Russia has deployed and their reliance on unreliable PMCs showed major issues in intelligence assessment of what would be needed, a fragile political system - which is expected from a hollowed out reactionary rump state - and a general inability to properly mobilize military forces, not a masterful genius plan.
No.3886
>>3882>posts the same retarded maps without understanding the context of what a defensive line is>Doesn't understand how these Again, that's not what CONTROL means. Being present in the area is not the same as controlling it in military terms. This is like saying the US controlled the Afghan territory back during the war, except they didn't because Talib insurgents were all but freely running about in that area. A controlled military area would be something like the territories we see in the October Map, those areas were and remain in Russian CONTROL, because Ukraines military is nonexistant and unable to even penetrate those areas. Whereas the majority of the "lost territories" were places that were literal hotbeds of fighting and were going back n forth from Ukrainian to Russian hands and back again over the course of days, because they were areas of disputed control and Russian offensive manuevers.
>NATO has deployed exactly zero troopsHundreds of soldiers from British SAS, US Marines ,Polish military service members etc. are operating directly on the frontlines and even film video of themselves, and Russians post photos of their IDs and corpses. If you think that they're not there with the sanction of their respective NATO militaries, you're either an idiot or a glowie posting in bad faith.
>In Afghanistan the Soviet Union deployed a fraction of the personnel Russia is deploying in Ukraine The number of Soviet soldiers deployed in the Afghan war over its decade, was 130K, the SVO has deployed about double that, so 1/2 is not a small fraction. Moreover the Russian military is fighting against what still remains of the largest military in Europe, excluding itself, which itself had a significant industrial base and which has direct financial and supplies from all of NATO. The USSR was still beating the Mujahed's because at the end of the day they were still a bunch of terrorists with some CIA training and supplies, and not a formal military.
>The lack of troops Russia has deployed and their reliance on unreliable PMCs Wagner troops have been reliable. Prigozhin was immediately removed as soon as he began his delusions of grandeur. Moreover Wagner's deployment is no more than 50K, compared to the Russian militaries 300K or so. Many of Wagner's forces did not follow Prigozhin either and quickly integrated back into the Russian army.
>a fragile political system - which is expected from a hollowed out reactionary rump state Oh boy it's this shite again. You got BTFO on this so many times on leftypol, so you bitch about it in any other thread. It's tiresome to hear this nonsense. Russia's government is by no means ideal, and I have many problems with it, but this description is beyond hyperbolic and is just nonsensical libshit.
>a general inability to properly mobilize military forces>major issues in intelligence assessment of what would be neede This applies to the first 6 months wherein the Russian military relaxed too soon because of Ukraine apparently opening to peace talks, and withdrawing forces from the North, only for Ukraine to renege on this, execute its diplomats and go full nazi with NATO support and encouragement. And yet the Ukrainians are the ones losing far more troops, the Ukrainians are the ones that have lost key strongholds and the Ukrainians are losing all cohesion in military and economic areas. Without NATO support (ranging from US drones providing targeting information, to NATO military stores of ammunition and vehicles being plundered for use in Ukraine, to unmarked NATO military personell fighting there) Ukraine would collapse overnight. Ukraine's government has literally admitted this as fact and US DoD agrees.
No.3893
>>3886This is insane delusional cope, if you're not paid by the Kremlin writing all of that I recommend seeing a psychologist.
No.3911
On the use of the D-1 and other older guns by Russian supported forces, primarily by the LNR and DNR autonomous units.
The Lugansk forces posted photos of what they fired from the D-1. Shells manufactured in 1939! They spent the entirety of WWII somewhere. They wrote that it was scary to shoot, but everything worked out. There was a TV report from the D-1 position. The shells looked simply ancient, from the Second World War. Shooting these from something long-range and high-pressure is dangerous. So it’s “business as usual” - a good old howitzer in use and a supply of shells that you can’t shoot with anything else. Why waste the life-resource of modern self-propelled guns if most of the tasks of artillery are not pinpoint strikes or counter-battery warfare, but work along the front line, through enemy minefields in the event of an attack? Let Msta, Coalition, Pion work in the rear, and D-1 can perfectly dismantle fortifications, for example at Avdeevka. In addition, we should not forget that we must have serious reserves in regions far from Ukraine. So not everything new goes to the front. That's the same reason T-55s and T-62s are being pulled out of storage, letting them rot for too long will make them pointless, so they may as well serve as extra armor and gun-power and let the Russian military spare their newer tech for such tasks. It also provides a good resource to give to the Donbass militias as a localized military force, capable enough to provide defense behind the front lines, even if not cutting-edge combat capability.
https://topwar.ru/229097-znachitelnye-poteri-v-amerikanskoj-presse-kommentirujut-primenenie-gaubicy-d-1-rossijskimi-vojskami.html No.3915
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-102723-ukraines-prospects>There are several important Russian breakthroughs in Avdeevka, which are now being bitterly confirmed by Ukrainian sources. It’s now without doubt that both sides have gone “all in” and Avdeevka has in fact become the de facto central battlefield to define the latter part of this year.>Before I wasn’t certain whether Avdeevka may just be a ruse or misdirection from Russian command, or perhaps even a ‘testing of the waters’ just to see if it’s worth committing a large force there, sort of how Ugledar was in early 2023. They never meant Ugledar to be a massive “all in” committed operation, unless the early tests proved that Ukrainian defenses there were weak.>But here, it has become clear that Russia has gone all in and will not stop until it’s captured, no matter how stiff the Ukrainian defense is. In short, Avdeevka is set to become the new Mariupol, Lisichansk-Severodonetsk, and Bakhmut. >But some have correctly pointed out that there’s actually another, more distant battle which Avdeevka resembles much more closely. That of 2015’s Debaltsevo—famed for its unprecedented defeat of Ukraine’s JFO/ATO troops in what became one of the first big ‘cauldrons’ which placed the term on the map for a new generation of would-be armchair generals and war historians. Russia has been following OG Soviet tactics, rather than just raiding as some people seem to think, they encircled and cut-off the only roads and railroads that can supply the Ukrainian fortifications. These areas are hard to traverse off-road, making any off-road supply lines or escape impossible, even without the constant drone surveillance and missile strikes. This, with constant pressure from armored and mechanized brigades pushing in and artillery barrages battering the positions, means that Avdeevka is an inevitable Ukrainian loss. Unless the ВСУ manages to break-through the encirclement, there is no way for it to hold out against Russian forces. This is similar to what the German Wehrmacht did in the first months of the war with the USSR, which the Red Army returned years later when driving back the fascists - cutting off highways, railways and supply lines, pinning the army groups and battering them from all sides, without fully committing to an all out offense, wearing down the defenders and slowly crushing the encircled groups.
As for the retards that have no understanding of armored tactics, bitching about "muh Russian losses" and "stupid tank rushes" don't seem to understand that the videos we see are excerpts of the actual combat situation. Russian forces move forward under covering fire by artillery, drones and airforce support but it is impossible to completely suppress counter-battery fire and enemy artillery. It is impossible to clear every minefield, especially under-fire. Thus tank columns must move through specific bottlenecks and support infantry as they are supposed to and are inevitably going to take losses, sometimes heavy ones, as is the nature of storming a defensive line. The Russian army is breaking through the Ukrainians; the Poles, the Germans, the Italians and the US military analytics have admitted that Russia has been advancing, meter by meter.
https://topwar.ru/229027-russkie-vernulis-k-vypolneniju-slozhnyh-mehanizirovannyh-manevrov-v-italjanskoj-presse-podvodjat-itogi-boev-za-avdeevku.html https://topwar.ru/228991-russkie-operedili-ukrainskuju-rotaciju-polskij-voennyj-jekspert-priznal-perehod-iniciativy-na-vsej-linii-fronta-k-vs-rf.html https://topwar.ru/228983-na-ukraine-konchilis-zhelajuschie-voevat-polskij-general-zajavil-o-podgotovke-rossii-k-zimnemu-nastupleniju.html https://topwar.ru/228868-ukrainskie-istochniki-vs-rf-udalos-prodvinutsja-k-severu-ot-avdeevki-i-zanjat-uchastok-shirinoj-do-kilometra.html No.3937
>>3882> paranoiac groundsamin was a deranged pol pot tier demagogue and the khalqists were pashto chauvinists who fucked up so bad in response to tribal unrest that they started a near 50 year continuous war.
No.3946
>>3937im pretty sure amin was straight up working with/for cia, though i would have to dig for the source
No.4495
>>3915>OG Soviet tacticsAre about maneuvering fast and avoiding urban areas to not get stuck into attritional quagmires. Russia obviously failed their initial offensive and ended up stuck doing the exact opposite this entire war.
No.4496
>>4495>/k/ope faggot got btfo on /ukraine/ so he came to /AKM/ thinking he wouldn't get dunked onLMAO.
>maneuvering fast and avoiding urban areas Absolutely meaningless, vague statement and not even a correct one.
>Russia obviously failed their initial offensive Russia was literally around Kiev and retracted its forces after Ukraine acquiesced to sitting down at Minsk, and then it proceeded to treacherously heel-face-turn on the peaceful conflict resolution and attacked Russian forces, forcing Russia to slowly take and hold land which is an entire different strategy compared to rapid force projection.
No.4499
>>4496So Russia was outwitted by Ukraine which is why they failed their inital offensive, got it
No.4500
>>4499>I have no argument so I'll create a strawman to prop up my retarded assertionYou're /k/oping as usual, got it
No.4502
>>4495"OG soviet tactics" is just not a thing. WWII was fundamentally different from Afghanistan or Chechnya and also these differ from Ukraine and the cold war doctrine.
Russia is chiefly using Russian tactics, which are the result of the last two decades and exercised yearly, then changed in Ukraine. There is not much Soviet left in this.
No.4512
The two years mopping up operation
No.4513
>>4512You forgot bukmoot stallin'
No.4629
One of the Ukrainian channels published photos of a new Russian planning module for unguided aerial bombs with a turbojet engine and fuel tank.
The markings on the hull say that it is a UMPB (Unified Planning and Barrage Module). The production date is February 2024.
By its concept - it is a direct analog of the American PJDAM announced only in the past. Except that we have already used our engine bomb.
In terms of range, the situation is as follows:
The Americans have a conventional JDAM - 15 miles from maximum altitude
JDAM-ER - 40 miles from maximum altitude.
PJDAM - 300 miles from maximum altitude.
The maximum recorded range of our JDAMs is about 30 kilometers from the front + distance from the launch site.
At the end of last year there was news that there were plans to increase this distance to 200-300 kilometers and, apparently, today's photos are just a consequence of these developments.
Advantages of UMPB over UMPK (in theory):
1. Increased range.
Possibility to put bridges in Zaporozhye cheaply and tastefully.
Possibility to launch a bomb into the building of the Supreme Council from Bryansk region.
2. Possibility of participation of new platforms: SU-25 in theory can become a carrier of this system and slightly unload other platforms.
Disadvantages of UMPB compared to UMPK:
1. Price.
2. Speed and volume of production.
It would be simply unprofitable to make a rain of fire out of them as in Avdiivka. Therefore, UMPB is more of an analog of cruise missiles and ballistics, which will:
1. Less long-range.
2. But much cheaper means for destroying targets from 0 to 300 kilometers behind the LBS and for overloading enemy air defense.
https://southfront.press/russia-has-developed-its-own-small-diameter-bomb-photos/ https://t.me/prolivstalina/9968 The results are already visible in 2024, with Ukrainian sources complaining about 16x increase of strikes by Russian bombs
https://southfront.press/16-times-more-russian-bombs-pounding-ukrainian-military-in-2024/ No.4693
So a month or so back NATO decided it was time to finally react to their rapidly depleting stockpiles, with the EU making a grand announcement about ramping up production.
https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-plan-war-ready-complex-european-defence-industrial-strategy/ This has already run into problems as many production lines haven't been operating at high capacity in decades and have lost the capability to ramp up. The lack of technical specialists are forcing the re-activation of retired technicians, mechanics and other people that have the experience and knowledge necessary to execute this plan, and there is a critical shortage in willing people, both because many have died and because teaching new cadres takes time. This is on top of the fact that many production facilities were shut down some time ago, with some being lost, destroyed or sold (such as the M-113 production line) and others being poorly preserved and requiring a lot of repairs and maintenance to bring back into service.
A recent study on ammunition production and restoring stockpiles found a lot of critical issues, pic and link rel.
https://www.csis.org/analysis/rebuilding-us-inventories-six-critical-systems No.4769
>According to the leaked document of the US Department of Defense, it turned out that the radioactive vehicles were sent to the Foxtrot military base in Germany before they were transferred to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. They didn't even need to wait for the DU APFSDS rounds, the Ukrainians are already being irradiated by the armored vehicles themselves. Ironic.
It reminds me of Centurion 169041 which was used in a nuclear bomb test and then used in combat operations afterwards and its something the Aussies are proud of; sending their troops to fight in an irradiated tank. As a reminder the Centurion lacks CBRN (Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear) protection and the Bradley only got NBC protection in the M2A1 variant, and it was always ad hoc as fuck because it doesn't use over-pressure, only filtration systems and lacks integrated radiological protection that every Soviet IFV had.
https://southfront.press/us-supplied-ukrainians-with-radiologicaly-contaminated-m2-bradley-vehicles-beregini/ https://tankhistoria.com/cold-war/169041-atomic-tank/ No.4798
>>4769Wow, that's dishonest garbage journalism even for southfront standards. Just read (and understand) the fucking document.
Worthy of a reminder that Russia sends men to die in Desertcross 3000 offroad buggies every day. I'd take the irradiated Bradley.
No.4800
>>4798>Muh southfront baaad>I'd take the Bradley>Le offroad buggies! <ignores that radiation is radiation and an IFV shouldn't be releasing it<Attacks article while explaining nothing<Thinks fast, unarmored vehicles used for flanking recon attacks is something new when Russian and formerly German/US armies did this as part of their doctrine in high-speed reconnaissance in conventional conditionsConsidering that F-35 and Abrams wankery in the main thread I should have expected this retarded take would be posted
>I'd take the irradiated Bradley. <Admits they're irradiated <Would still get in the blatant mine-unresistant death trap which screams "target me" rather than a small fast vehicleLOL, fucking /k/opers, retarded every time.
No.4801
>>4800Document recommends the radioactivity (not great, not terrible) shall be decontaminated according to host nation standards before anything else is done with that Bradley.
Reading is easy, try it.
No.4802
>>4801>reading is easy Yes, but as your face-value takes demonstrate, comprehension is not.
>the radioactivity (not great, not terrible<it's not that bad guyz cuz it doesn't instantly give you cancer! How compelling, lol.
Not even going to touch on how irradiated metal reacts to high kinetic/thermal impacts
>decontaminated according to host nation standards before anything else is done with that Bradley Which in reality means jack shit because the Ukrainians aren't going to bother doing so, and the Germans are only transferring the units. Hell, basic decontamination protocol just gets rid of surface radioactivity by removing particulates, which requires the removal of sensitive equipment prior, and reinstallment after. Fucking retard.
No.4804
>just gets rid of surface radioactivity
What do you think how the radioactivity got on that Bradley? Likely some radioactive dust collected on a firing range.
Hell, even some Chernobyl machinery got returned after a good scrub down.
Decontamination literally is just cleaning until the thing reads background levels.
No.4805
>>4804>just radioactive dust Really trying to undersell it, huh? This reads like the idiots thing to claim DU is 'totally' safe.
>Hell, even some Chernobyl machinery got returned after a good scrub down. I knew you'd bring that up, in no way is that comparable.
1) Most Soviet vehicles in close proximity to those operations were abandoned at Pripyat in open air lots, where they stayed until the Ukrainians grew desperate to use them a few years back.
2) Scrubbing procedures for Soviet vehicles were extensive, and along with their CBRN protection such as overpressure,, filters and outer+inner radiation lining using Boron and lead negated the radiation. Bradley's are poorly protected from radiation to begin with and proper scrubbing would require full ammunition and equipment removal to properly clean it all, which is a hell of a lot more complicated than on soviet vehicles.
No.4806
>>4805You are just beyond clueless. Why should they clean the ammo, tech and disassemble other shit?
They take a geiger counter, identify the contaminated area, and clean only there. After the first cleaning cycle, they measure again and continue cleaning if necessary.
You never ever just randomly disassemble and clean without measuring beforehand because that just creates a bigger mess than targeted decontamination of the affected areas.
No.4807
>>4806>You are just beyond clueless. Ad hominum
>Why should they clean the ammo, tech and disassemble other shit? <Why clean ths insides of an irradiated vehicleGee billy, I dunno!
> identify the contaminated area That's not how decontamination works. You're decontaminated all over if you have a 'patch' of radioactivity when working at a nuclear plant, scrubbed thoroughly and for a long time.
>You never ever just randomly disassemble and clean without measuring I never said that you strawmanning fuck.
No.4812
>>4629 >"Tornado-S" with the help of a D-30SN "bomb missile" defeated a warehouse in Sumy. The first photos of the consequences of a D-30SN UMPB strike that hit a large warehouse in Sumy appeared on the World Wide Web. According to information from the Russian military, the 300-mm glide control unit was launched using the 9M544, better known as the Tornado-S multiple rocket launcher. It was she who launched a hybrid two-stage projectile at an important military facility. The TG channel “Russian Weapons” wrote about this.>"In general terms, it worked like this: the upper stage on solid fuel elements was launched first, after which the D-30SN warhead was thrown to an altitude of up to 23 meters and received a speed of Mach 000. As soon as the high altitude ceiling was reached, the solid propellant accelerator was discarded automatically using built-in squibs. After which the flight was already carried out along a flat motion vector with a progressive reduction in speed. As soon as the warhead slowed down to speeds of 4 km/h, the retractable wings switched into activation mode, having previously been hidden in the body. After which the projectile itself went into planning mode. The latter, according to indirect data, can fly 1100 kilometers at this stage of the flight. And if we take as the starting position, where the length of the first stage of flight with a working solid propellant upper stage is up to 140 km in the early modifications of the D-60SN, then the total maximum launch range of the UAB will be equal to an effective 30 km. What makes this type of guided munition extremely dangerous for the Ukrainian Armed Forces."https://dzen.ru/a/Zhydu_MAtgZV-7Fw https://t.me/RussianArms/6349 No.4823
>>4693- The US DoD published its first National Defense Industrial Strategy report, detailing major problems preventing America from mobilizing its industry to out-compete Russia and China;
- Most problems identified by the report stem from the DoD's dependence on private industry, yet private industry itself was never identified as a problem;
- The foreign and domestic policy is based on profit-driven prioritizing, creating industry that pursues profits at the cost of fulfilling that industry's role in providing goods and services for society;
- Russia and China maintain massive state-owned enterprises not only to manufacturing arms and ammunition, but also downstream suppliers for providing raw materials and goods;
References:
>NEO - Fatal Flaws Undermine America’s Defense Industrial Base (February 15, 2024): https://journal-neo.su/2024/02/15/fatal-flaws-undermine-americas-defense-industrial-base/>US Department of Defense - The National Defense Industrial Strategy (NDIS) (2023): https://www.businessdefense.gov/NDIS.html>NY Times - Russia Overcomes Sanctions to Expand Missile Production, Officials Say (September 2023): https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/13/us/politics/russia-sanctions-missile-production.html>RFE/RL - Satellite Images Suggest Russia Is Ramping Up Production Capacity For Its War Against Ukraine (November 2023): https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-ramping-up-war-production/32658857.html>RUSI - Russian Military Objectives and Capacity in Ukraine Through 2024 (February 13, 2024): https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/russian-military-objectives-and-capacity-ukraine-through-2024>The National Interest - MBT-70 - The German-American Super Tank That Never Came to Be (April 2021): https://nationalinterest.org/blog/reboot/mbt-70-german-american-super-tank-never-came-be-182224>The Guardian - ‘A lot higher than we expected’: Russian arms production worries Europe’s war planners (February 15, 2024):https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/15/rate-of-russian-military-production-worries-european-war-planners
>The first-ever US Department of Defense National Defense Industrial Strategy (NDIS) confirms what many analysts have concluded in regard to the unsustainable nature of Washington’s global-spanning foreign policy objectives and its defense industrial base’s (DIB) inability to achieve them.>The report lays out a multitude of problems plaguing the US DIB including a lack of surge capacity, inadequate workforce, off-shore downstream suppliers, as well as insufficient “demand signals” to motivate private industry partners to produce what’s needed, in the quantities needed, when it is needed.>In fact, the majority of the problems identified by the report involved private industry and its unwillingness to meet national security requirements because they were not profitable.>For example, the report attempts to explain why many companies across the US DIB lack advanced manufacturing capabilities, claiming:>Many elements of the traditional DIB have yet to adopt advanced manufacturing technologies, as they struggle to develop business cases for needed capital investment.>In other words, while adopting advanced manufacturing technologies would fulfill the purpose of the US Department of Defense, it is not profitable for private industry to do so.>Despite virtually all the problems the report identifies stemming from private industry’s disproportionate influence over the US DIB, the report never identifies private industry itself as a problem.>If private industry and its prioritization of profits is the central problem inhibiting the DIB from fulfilling its purpose, the obvious solution is nationalizing the DIB by replacing private industry with state-owned enterprises. This allows the government to prioritize purpose over profits.>Yet in the United States and across Europe, the so-called “military industrial complex” has grown to such proportions that it is no longer subordinated to the government and national interests, but rather the government and national interests are subordinated to it. Literally the process of how Nazi Germany the German Industrialists collaborated with the Nazi Party in the 1930s to the point that the word Privatization was coined. To replenish Westoid stockpiles and weapons, they'll be forced to supply their private Military Industrial Complex enterprise with the cheapest labor possible, probably prisoners. Nazis were forced into forced labor not because they just wanted to be evil or they lacked labor per se, but because their labor was highly inefficient because German private MIC enterprise refused to make any improvements. Hell, they forced an entire nation to adopt a "healthy diet" which saw a decreased consumption of meat* - hence the myth about vegetarian Hitler. He did that policy because he was a fucktard who made people starve for the reason of decreasing labor costs. It's really fucking reminiscent of what Europeans are going through, the insect proteins propaganda, saving on electricity and water bills not by improving the industries but making consumers consume less, shit like that
*Source: The Nazi Economic Recovery 1932-1938, R. J. Overy. Table XV: Consumption in Working-Class Families 1927 and 1937 (annual)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wrlMFFXmbxQ >The Fatal Flaw Undermining America's Defense Industrial Base Embed
>28 Febuary 2024 Pentagon report on National Defense Industrial Strategy: >It is clear that the European armaments industry is in a mess - the chaos of arms deliveries set to continue >This report from the Pentagon shows that it is much the same in the US>“Fatal flaws undermine America’ Defense Industrial base”https://journal-neo.su/2024/02/15/fatal-flaws-undermine-americas-defense-industrial-base/https://www.businessdefense.gov/NDIS.htmlRecognition spreads in US that significant industrial scale re arming of the on shore production of the range of basic products to equip and sustain an industrial scale army is an fantasy – even or especially at the Pentagon. Nothing new, but the DOD is increasingly prepared to admit failure
Brian Berletic writes:
>“The report lays out a multitude of problems plaguing the US DIB including a lack of surge capacity, inadequate workforce, off-shore downstream suppliers, as well as insufficient “demand signals” to motivate private industry partners to produce what’s needed, in the quantities needed, when it is needed. In fact, the majority of the problems identified by the report involved private industry and its unwillingness to meet national security requirements because they were not profitable. For example, the report attempts to explain why many companies across the US DIB lack advanced manufacturing capabilities, claiming: Many elements of the traditional DIB have yet to adopt advanced manufacturing technologies, as they struggle to develop business cases for needed capital investment. In other words, while adopting advanced manufacturing technologies would fulfill the purpose of the US Department of Defense, it is not profitable for private industry to do so. Despite virtually all the problems the report identifies stemming from private industry’s disproportionate influence over the US DIB, the report never identifies private industry itself as a problem.”NDIS
>“Many elements of the traditional DIB have yet to adopt advanced manufacturing technologies, as they struggle to develop business cases for needed capital investment.” >“Over the last decade, the DoD has struggled to curtail adversarial sourcing and burnish the integrity of defense supply chains. Despite these efforts, dependence on adversarial sources of supply has grown. DoD continues to lack a comprehensive effort for mitigating supply chain risk." >“The labor market lacks the required number of skilled workers to meet defense production demand while driving innovation at all levels. This shortfall is becoming exacerbated as baby boomers retire, and younger generations show less interest in manufacturing and engineering careers.” No.4824
Arestovich's rather insightful analysis of the tactical reasons Ukraine's counter-offensive not only did not achieve results but failed catastrophically.
TL;DR: Battalion Tactical Group retards BTFO by Soviet large-scale combined arms doctrine.
>aTranslated Interview START1. - Avdiivka was stormed by three Russian armies + a tank division
*.
These are permanent units with a unified logistics and management system.
With us, everything above the brigade is assembled management bodies.
2. We saw elements of operational camouflage when creating a grouping/outfit of forces.
Deception and cunning are in the best traditions of the Red Army.
3. Massing of forces and means.
The Russians are strengthening the artillery capabilities of their formations and associations - even before the creation of artillery brigades as part of the combined arms army.
The number of cabs used is growing every month.
In the Avdiivka defense area, 250 units arrived in one day.
The irretrievable losses of the Russian group during the capture of Avdiivka are ~ 30% of the group.
At the same time, they took the fortified area.
Soviet norms are 12-20% for an army operation.
Avdiivka is their first success at the operational and tactical level, associated with the drift towards the Soviet system.
The deadlock at the front, which Valery Zaluzhny spoke about in the article "Economist", has been overcome not by technical methods, but by organizational ones.
When they fully enter the Soviet system, we can expect that they will begin to gain success at the operational level, because it is ideal for this type of war - under their given initial conditions. And they need about five such operations in order for us to lose the entire Left Bank.
They are increasing their capabilities and reducing the time between operations, which a year ago amounted to up to six months for concentration and preparation, will be reduced to four months or less if there are no strategic black swans (you need to plan based on what will not happen). I am not the only one who has been saying since the very beginning of the war that Russia's problem in this war is that they set Soviet goals without having Soviet capabilities. And now they are gradually pulling up the possibilities to the Soviet ones, as far as possible.
And all our (and their, by the way) dreams about Western structures, Western technology and Western strategy are complete fornication. We currently have neither Soviet nor Western capabilities, but they are catching up to the Soviet ones. What is our answer?
Valery Zaluzhny was never allowed to form divisions and armies - formations and associations of permanent personnel, with their own logistics and permanent management bodies, capable of solving the task of breaking through long-term, layered enemy defenses and creating/maintaining such defenses.
"This is against NATO standards!"
Idiots, instead of creating a national military school, under our specific conditions, choosing the best from different systems, are killing the army under a concept that:
- we will never see,
- which is not suitable for large-scale wars on its own.
In the near future, we will see the consequences these "… NATO standards" in full.
>Translated Interview END As he bitterly explains, NATO standards aren't for fighting peer countries, but inferior militaries with quick precise shock and awe strikes and with minimum expenditure, a policy that began with the Vietnam fiasco and influenced US (and so NATO) doctrine for decades to come. However, even against an inferior military, if they can pull NATO forces into a protracted conflict, NATO will not be able to establish control. In essence NATO tactics are pure Aufstragtaktik autism.
All this is without even mentioning Ukrainian criticisms of Western tech being either inferior to Soviet contemporaries/equivalents or being ill-suited to the Ukrainian environment, with the best tech having little difference to Soviet tech, only with Ukrainians have to train to readjust to NATO standard equipment as opposed to Soviet standard.
>>3900Ukraine recently received a batch of M1117s. Several have already been destroyed and have basically no superiority to the much older BRDM-2. Even the Abrams gets such criticism, and the F-16 is already seen as such, with Ukrainian pilots that have flown them calling it inferior to the Soviet Su-27 and a glass cannon, an opinion even the USAF shares.
https://southfront.press/us-pilot-warns-kiev-regime-about-f-16s-deficiencies-calls-it-prima-donna/ https://topwar.ru/238635-silno-ustupaet-sovetskim-ukrainskie-voennye-raskritikovali-amerikanskie-tanki-abrams.html https://southfront.press/ukrainian-pilot-find-performance-of-western-fighters-inferior-to-russian-jets/ This isn't even going into the fact that Ukraine does not have the facilities to repair Western tech, being forced to ship Leopard 2s and Bradleys back to Germany and the USA, if they can recover them at all.
>>4486 *See
>>3915Unique IPs: 93