>>2825988No, you're still not going abstract enough: they are wars between different basic personality types, taste / "cultural capital",
and, in aggregate, intelligence.. While petite-bourgeoisie skew one way and "PMC" skew the other, this pseudo-class analysis breaks down when you have to account for proletarians on both sides, different kinds of lumpen and pseudo-lumpen on opposing sides, tech workers generally skewing reactionary but occasionally skewing outright communist, and so on.
If you take a look at any piece of polling data you can find, the last thing on earth you want is the decline of university education. Politics today is fundamentally a conflict between high-openness, high agreeableness, mid-high neuroticism leftists/liberals, and low openness, low agreeableness, low-mid neuroticism reactionaries. The number one empirical predictors of where you'll fall on that scale are education level, and age. Now, you can't do anything about age, but you can control education levels. (And since University enrollment has gone up over time and older degree-educated people generally skew left-liberal, age may just be a proxy for education anyway.)
The dominant material factor beyond liberals losing control of culture is that the underlying neuroticism of the liberal type lead them to social justice and thence to socialism. That constant sense of unease needs an intellectual explanation, and they settled first on identity issues, and then as token measures on that front didn't work, on the economic system as a whole. The bourgeoisie as a whole realized by around 2023-4 that the carrot approach to co-opting these demands wasn't working, so they went for the stick and backed Trump, which set an expectation of a general rightward cultural shift.
This, however, has not really materialized. Institutions will continue to skew liberal because you have to be pretty smart to run an institution and rightists have basically made it their mission to look as dumb as possible. The cultural status of liberals remains basically intact. AI slop undermines the market position of freelance logo designers or whatever, but it does nothing to harm the cultural status of artists as a whole - if anything, it
raises it because now people with bad taste can flag themselves more openly.
Taste is much harder to empirically verify than age or education, but there's a reason most artists skew left/liberal and there's a reason all the most tasteless people in the world are drawn to Donald Trump, the most tasteless man in the world. There's a reason the right is much better modeled as a global Trump cult than as a nationalist movement or whatever it purports to be. Fundamentally: It is people with bad taste / low cultural capital seething with resentment that liberals (correctly) think they are better people and lashing out as a result. If you think it is cruel to say this of rural proletarians and lumpen, then don't take it that way: look at Elon Musk to see how you can have more money-capital than you will ever know what to do with and yet primarily use it to show the world that you are an unfunny loser desperate for approval.
The Urban/Rural element also comes into play here because there are selection effects: if you are open-minded, you are much more likely to move to the city to be with other open-minded people than you are to stay in a rural area filled with closed-minded (or even randomly allocated) people. If you are closed minded, however, you are unlikely to move from where you were. Result? Culturally vibrant cities and cultural deserts outside them.
If you want a good worked example of how things have played out, look at Charlie Kirk's death. That was supposed to be the Reichstag fire moment for this rightward cultural shift, and what's his actual legacy? kirkification, the word lowkirkenuinely, and "we are charlie kirk" remixes. He's a punchline. The right did not have the power to impose a white MLK (or even George Floyd) on the world. Of course they didn't: they aren't cool! the president can't issue an executive order that being right-wing is cool now!
This post needs an edit since I've hit all my main points but not in the most coherent order. Oh well.