>>2727661The problem is that Gulf oil is 2.5 times bigger problem than Russian oil.
>>2727649Oil prices have been much higher and it hasn't caused any significant harm to the US economy.
>>2727660>our guystop thinking like this
>>2727625Yes? I would never trust their reporting on something like sensitive domestic issues within Qatar, such as the treatment of foreign labor, or their military's performance in the current conflict. But they are far less anti-iran than American media.
>>2727618Does this guy live in a comic-book world or something? Dude talks like this isn't a real world conflict but a Marvel movie.
>>2727671This is an unprecedented supply shock, last time we had a shock this bad was like what, 70 years ago? And the US enjoyed better conditions too, today it's already wrestling against stagflation and losing really badly. I think the panic will set in late March early April.
>>2727675The last time we had a shock this bad was during the Iraq war, which led to oil companies making even more money. America controls over 50% of the world's oil supply now. They cannot be meaningfully blackmailed by the Iranians.
>>2727671People keep saying this is different (tm), it's a doomsday scenario, etc., but if so, the oil markets don't believe it YET (2022 was worse). The markets are concerned but not as concerned as they've been in recent years. I'm using the $140 yardstick from 2022. Once it crosses that, then I'll be more interested, but so far the markets are considering a cuckout at least equally likely.
>>2727561>>2727609GSW means GunShot Wound. These people were killed by fire, shrapnel or explosive, I don't tknow what tankie-flag is saying either.
>>2727679You're really stupid like are you unable to see that rate of change is sharper than Iraq and Ukraine? You're looking at a sharp cliff and you're like "its ok nothing ever happens" you fucking cattle you're going to be panhandling next week
>>2727680>People keep saying this is different (tm), it's a doomsday scenario, etc.People keep saying that without any evidence or material basis.
>>2727685America controls over 50% of the world's supply now and cannot be meaningfully blackmailed by Iran. This will hurt China far more than it does the US, and that benefits the US greatly.
>>2727637We're hitting Brandon levels previously not thought possible
>>2727433nah there was a non-glowing Golda Meir earlier
>>2727653Trump probably isn't interested in repeating Putin's mistake: hundreds of thousands killed for no strategic gains.
>it's over! iran has run out of missiles and drones
literally right now:
<ballistic missiles headed towards israel
<explosions in UAE, bahrain and kuwait
>>2727668and except for nordstream (which did fuck german industry long term, and west europe energy price overall) the war barely affected the supply anyway, its mostly eurotards who refused to buy it, not russia stopping selling it
>>2727692>mistakeHow many Operations Linebacker does it take for Ameritards to realize this shit doesn't work?
DO NOT SELL
>>2727668>The problem is that Gulf oil is 2.5 times bigger problem than Russian oil.The markets don't believe this yet. Maybe they will soon, but so far they're pricing $40 below 2022.
BAKE YOU FUCKING RETARDS
>>2727673>But they are far less anti-iran than American mediapretty low bar, but the point is that yes, they do have an enormous "pro gulf bias"
>>2727700Maybe it's China's turn to scalp the West.
01:25 - Occupied Palestine: Sirens sound in Kiryat Shmona and its surroundings
01:25 - Lebanon: Al-Mayadeen correspondent in the south: Israeli aggression with an airstrike on the town of Frun
01:24 - Israeli media: Sirens sound in Tel Aviv and loud explosions heard in the central region
towards achieving a great victory that will define the features of pride and dignity for the nation in the face of global arrogance.
01:22 - Israeli media: Sirens sound in dozens of settlements from "Carmel" to northern "HaSharon"
01:19 - Iran: Iranian TV: Iran launches first wave of missiles under the command of Mr. Mojtaba Khamenei towards occupied territories
01:18 - Israeli media: Sirens sound in Netanya and surrounding areas
>>2727701Do it yourself, asshole.
>>2727688>America controls over 50% of the world's supply now and cannot be meaningfully blackmailed by Iran. This will hurt China far more than it does the US, and that benefits the US greatly.Truke
>>2727693No one, not even the Israelis, is saying that Iran is OUT of missiles. What they are saying, and what evidence clearly shows, is that Iranian launch rates are consistently down as their forces are heavily attrited by US-Israeli airstrikes, which Iran cannot stop.
Iran will impotently fire it's ballistics for a while longer and deal no significant damage. Meanwhile the US and Israel have basically infinite JDAMs and ALL of them are dealing massive damage to Iran. The skies of Tehran are filled with oil while life in Tel Aviv continues on unchanged.
>>2727706You know Xi isn't interested in anything too provocative :-S
>>2727661What does knifing America have to do with Ukraine in 2022?
>>2727713The fear was that Russia would kill energy exports to the West. He didn't.
The smaller fear here is that Iran will keep Hormuz closed, but we're already seeing signs of deescalation.
>>2727703Okay yeah, I mean all media is ultimately beholden to the ruling class. When I imagine an enormous amount of pro gulf, pro US bias I'm thinking something like Al Arabiya
>>2727724>>2727709US oil is expensive as fuck and is deeply subsidized. Retards.
>>2727710I don't know why I'm replying to a tuned gpt bot but strikes were way up today as reported by the US and Israel.
>>2727536Same in Arabic, they’re weirdly unbiased. They run articles about how Gulfies feel betrayed etc, yet the actual reporting is slightly pro-Iran. I highly respect them for that, considering Qatar is being bombed.
>However, the US and Israel are still looking for new ways to escalate kinetically. From Axios in U.S. weighs sending special forces to seize Iran’s nuclear stockpile:
>>The U.S. and Israel have discussed sending special forces into Iran to secure its stockpile of highly enriched uranium at a later stage of the war, according to four sources with knowledge of the discussions.
>If the IAEA were involved in such an operation, this would confirm it is not a good faith actor. Iran-connected sources contended that the IAEA assisted in the assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists by providing information about their whereabouts.
>Now assuming this raid is executed and does not become Bay of Pigs 2.0, Trump’s team may intend to use this as a cross between the Caracas raid and pre-negotiated “obliteration” strikes on Iranian nuclear site, which ended the 12 Day War. Trump might declare victory and stop attacking and expect Iran to stand down.But even if that is what transpires, it solves nothing for Iran. First, Israel is sure to regard this resolution as unsatisfactory since they want to eliminate Iranian missiles, and better yet, balkanize Iran. So Israel is sure to find a way to resume a hot conflict as soon as possible. Second, after reaffirming that he had indeed “obliterated” the nuclear sites last year, Trump has recently maintained that somehow the Iranians are very far along with rebuilding their enrichment program.
>We discussed earlier what a nutty idea the idea of taking Kharg Island, first voiced publicly by Keith Kellogg, is. Look at a map. It is in the north end of the Persian Gulf. Daniel Davis and others have discussed long form that sending a convoy open the Strait of Hormuz was asking for a turkey shoot of US vessels. This sort of operation would be that, cubed.
>Nevertheless, there are more signs of force mobilization[…]https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/03/iran-war-more-trump-bluster-as-us-and-israel-weapon-stocks-thin-and-claims-of-success-questioned-report-of-plans-to-send-special-forces-to-seize-nuclear-material-among-signs-of-us-troop-mobilization.html >>2728525Iran's best chance by far would be to bait America into a ground invasion, which they could then grind down with endless guerrilla warfare from their mountains ala Afghanistan but with A LOT more and better weapons for the guerrillas.
Hezbollah uses tactics it learned from, then taught to Iran. Most of what they do is IED followed up almost immediately by an infantry ambush at close range. You have to fight at close range against these western pattern armies because their fire support is so devastating. If you're right on top of them, they can't call in any airstrikes, so you can fight them man to man. At that point, the element of surprise counts for a lot and pre-positioned infantry ambushes can cause massive damage.
If Iran can bait America into a ground invasion then they can actually WIN this war, instead of just surviving it.
>>2728550I dunno I think the western armies infantry is gonna be very vulnerable to getting attacked by light quadcopter FPV's and I'd be surprised if Iranian forces don't have them.
Western militaries are just still used to the idea that they're going to have dramatic technological advantage over their opponents and this simply isn't true anymore.
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