Iran War: Administration Succeeds in Talking Down Oil Price to Below $100 as Trump Seeks Off Ramp to Opposition of Pentagon and Hawks; Iran Continues to Reject Talks, Announces Increase in Strikes, Pounds US Bases Into Dust
>Even though the Administration has scored a temporary win via messaging that has sufficiently calmed Mr. Market so as to lower oil prices below $100, the fundamental condition of the US and Israel in the Iran war continues to deteriorate. Those of you who watched the financial crisis carefully saw a similar dynamic: the crisis went through three acute phases, spaced about six month apart, before the Lehman collapse. Each time, the authorities pulled together some emergency facilities and did enough of a job of convincing investors that they were on top of things that the panic receded. But as we and quite a few others described at the time, they had not addressed the fundamental decay among subprime borrowers or even gotten on top of where related credit default swap exposure sat, hence conditions would continue to erode.
>We sincerely doubt that it will take anywhere near as long as six months for investors to recognize that this situation is not like financial upheaval, where a Greenspan-Bernanke-Yellen-presumed Powell put to bail them out. This is an accelerating real economy crisis, with downsides far more vast and comprehensive than even in the 2008 global crisis. That merely threatened the critical payment system but would have left productive capacity intact. As we have explained previously, the exposure here is not merely an energy price shock, as bad as that is. Nor is the risk even just that of energy shortages. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz also risks food supplies, chemicals, apparel, chips, and other key sectors which depend not simply on affordable but also on petrochemicals as a key production input or the Strait for transit.
>Keep in mind that new tipping points are about to start kicking in. Kuwait has said will need to halt oil production in the next few days since it will have filled up its storage by then. We have pointed out repeatedly that not only can oil and gas production not be restarted quickly, but the “back to normal” time increases disproportionately based on how long the facility has been shuttered.
>Even though Trump has projected enough confidence to apply balm to rattled markets,1 the content of his statements and his actions confirm that he is seeking an exit when Iran is not going to open one for him. Oil at a mere $90, charitably assuming that the Administration can keep feeding the delusions that go along with that pricing, will produce enough sticker shock at the pump and to other costs so as to fatally sink the already very poor prospects for the Republicans at the midterms. The Hill broke the story yesterday, Trump job approval sinks in new poll, showing a further 3 point fall to a net negative of ten points. The sample period was February 27 to March 3 and so would not capture the impact of energy price increase on voter views.
>As we’ll detail below, Trump is trying to declare victory and exit, when the Iranians will have none of that, and neither will the hawks and apocalypse-seekers in his inner circle. His call to Putin on Monday to discuss Iran was an admission that Trump is scrambling for a way out.
>If you doubt that Iran retains the upper hand, this video from Richard Medhurst, documenting the damage Iran has inflicted on US bases, should convince you otherwise. At 8:30, he remarks,”The Iranians have been pounding every single one of these bases over and over and over…They have spent the last few days pulverizing and grinding them into dust.”
>Note that the Iranian strikes have also forced the US to abandon its embassy in Saudi Arabia.
>Mind you, we had thought a way the US could be substantially removed from the region would be if the bases were both damaged and US forces were driven out, so that looting would help do the job. The Gulf States would then be faced with the considerable risk of allowing the Americans to rebuild (Scott Ritter opined on a very good talk with Joe Lauria of ConsortiumNews that the shambolic troop call-up was to secure bases and embassies). Iran seems determined to establish facts on the ground to make that even harder.
>The Hindustan Times gives a fresh update on the punishment Iran continues to visit on Israel. I bothered by the way the headline and opening section personalizes the escalation but you can listen past that:
>As DropSite News reported, Iran is both intensifying its efforts and shifting its targeting, since it regards part of its campaign as adequately completed for now:
>Janta Ka Reporter adds a key detail from the Iranian tactical shift. At 3:05, it quotes the IRGC aerospace commander as stating that from now on, IRGC will launch missiles only with warheads exceeding one ton, and that the frequency, scale and scope of missiles will also increase.
>The Hill reports that on top of Trump’s wee Iran not-playing-ball problem, that he also faces a lot of deluded domestic players who want to keep up the fight, including, astonishingly, the Pentagon, which normally acts as a moderating force on war-happy presidents. From Trump, Pentagon give conflicting signals on end to Iran war:
>Foreign Minister Araghch trolled the Trump Administration with his awareness of the power of the energy price whip hand, and that Iran has not only the Strait of Hormuz choke point but also the ability to hit Gulf ports and production facilities:And since the Trump team seems to have trouble with understanding diplo-speak, it has had to communicate more tersely. Bloomberg is getting the message even if the Administration keeps refusing to. Its big banner headline at 7:30 AM EDT:
>Yet there is remotely adequate media challenges to deranged Trump messaging, such as show in the (admittedly captive) CBS headline: Trump says “the war is very complete,” and he’s considering taking over Strait of Hormuz. Daniel Davis showed a longer-form version with a long-form version of Trump’s remarks:
>Larry Johnson recaps an important Wall Street Journal report on Trump’s scramble to find an exit ramp and adds important information in Growing Doubts by US and Israel About the War with Iran (emphasis his):
>Some key further details from the Journal story proper: Trump Advisers Urge Him to Find Iran Exit Ramp, Fearing Political Backlash. Note this was a banner headline when the story went live:
>In the meantime, European governments are sweating bullets over their energy fix. From Politico’s morning European newsletter:
>A final speculation: I am less worried about Israel resorting to tactical nukes than I was earlier. Even though reports that Netanyahu had decamped to Berlin early in the war were debunked, I see no evidence that he has physical courage, much the less is willing to accelerate his demise. The fact that he has almost certainly enabled his son Yair to hide out disgracefully in Miami rather than serve in the IDF is indirect proof. Even if he were manage to be out of Israel when a tactical nuke was launched (would the minders of the Israeli version of the nuclear football tolerate that), he has to recognize by now that either a full blown nuclear holocaust or at least the conventional-weapon-flattening of Israel by Iran would result. Even if he managed to survive, unhappy surviving Mossad operatives would be sure to be out for his head, on top of pretty much all of the rest of the world. I cannot imagine he would live as long as a year.
>Last but not least: if you look at the Janta Ka or Daniel Davis Deep dive segments, which include decent-length clips of Trump’s latest public appearance, even though his vocal timbre sounded pretty normal, he looks absolutely terrible. And his white matter disease seems to be progressing. You can see body twitches at some points in these videos, such as his arm jerking. This is a symptom of end-state dementia too.https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/03/iran-war-administration-succeeds-in-talking-down-oil-price-to-below-100-as-trump-seeks-off-ramp-to-opposition-of-pentagon-and-hawks-iran-continues-to-reject-talks-announces-increase-in-strikes-po.htmlIf the oil markets don't launch like a Fattah missile, they're officially retarded. Even if the war ends soon it'd take weeks to fully de-mine the strait (supposing an extensive effort). Throughout that time marine traffic would only slowly increase as it gets more de-mined, rather than quickly recovering.
>>2730945I don’t buy this. Seems like reasoning created after the fact, but even if it was true china had rapidly been moving away from oil dependency and still has access to Russian oil.
>>2730956>Pepe Escobar>Sean McCarthyHopium peddlers and absolute bullshit artists of the highest degree
>>2730954waste of time. USAnians are a desensitized depraved murderous evil population. they are happy to pay for wars.
>>2730954>epic mistake>not epic failnot awesomesauce and definitely not poggers
>>2730956shit is NOT going well for USA-Israel
>>2730963ever since this war the alt-media/anti-imperialist/pro BRICS sphere keep lauding this professor Jing as some modern day nostradamus. then we keep getting these fake stories about ben gvir's assasination, AI slop, 500 dead Delta Force. its become a giant griftfest peddling hopium and cope for clickbait and profit.
Any update as to how Iran responded to their oil refineries being bombed, essentially creating an environmental apocalypse for all of Tehran? I can’t find anything specific
>>2730954should've used operation epstein's fury
>>2730974Sadly nothing is being reported in the westoid media.
>>2730969I'm all in on total US surrender but those two are fucking morons. Sean McCarthy unironically believes Candace Owens' theory that mossad killed Charlie Kirk because he was about to go anti-Israel any day before getting throated.
>>2730969Nta and I don't know the other dudes in that screenshot, but lord bebo has been known to post fake shit related to Ukraine/Russia war. I know in this screenshot he's just relaying what the senator says, but I'd take anything they say that can't be verified with a huge grain of salt.
>>2730974wasn't their latest strike on bapco a response to that? they've also tried to hit saudi's shaybah field but have failed so far
>>2730962There’s already troops on the ground, they’re saying this because they’ll need to be calling up the reserves. Then they’ll need money for recruitment drives and eventually a draft. I’ve heard from breaking points that Iran plans to keep up attacks till the midterms.
>>2730984Have they mined the strait or not?
>>2730956>Damn, why does Imperialism have to be so hard?!-Senator Blumenthal, probably
>>2730981i think its kinda retarded to just believe the censorship blockade and assume the us is doing well because of historic propaganda that was also wrong. israel is getting fucking rocked and every us base in the entire region is in flames and shut down
Does Iran Pose a Real Threat to US Carriers? Debate Finally Answered For Good
>In the previous installment we had mentioned one of the most talked-about topics being that of Iran’s final escalatory option of hitting an American aircraft carrier, and whether Iran is capable of doing it or not. To build on that, I’ve decided to dedicate a detailed piece to the more intricate issues involved in such an operation and why Iran may not actually be as capable of it as most people assume to be the case.
>So strap in for the most detailed autist-level breakdown of doctrinal anti-ship operations you’re likely to read anywhere today.
>We begin by acknowledging that most people have no conception whatsoever of how long range anti-ship missile (ASM / AShM) strikes actually work. They are not even remotely similar to regular precision missile strikes on stationary targets, like Tomahawks hitting a geolocated building somewhere. They are related far more closely to anti-air operations against mobile aerial assets.
>The largest misconception most laymen make is that anti-ship operations consist of simply firing some kind of missile into the ocean and that missile somehow magically finding the aircraft carrier on its own and striking it, despite the fact that the target carrier is potentially hundreds of miles away over the horizon—which is the key point.
>During the Cold War, the doctrinal theory behind anti-ship operations, specifically against large surface ships and carrier groups, centered around having major airborne reconnaissance assets which are used as the marking vehicles to illuminate the target via radar, and guide the missile to the target. The USSR would for instance use the Tu-95RT maritime patrol and recon variant with below-positioned radar to locate and track large surface fleets and designate targets to missile carriers.
>A fleet of Tu-22M ‘Backfire’ strike craft would then take off toward the position, carrying Kh-22 missiles. These Backfires would have their own active radar seekers for discriminating individual ships and locking onto the target at 200-300km ranges. Once their Kh-22 missiles were launched, the planes would still need to provide some level of mid-course guidance for the missiles, which means staying in the air and locked on to the target ships.
>The reason is: the missiles themselves obviously have a terminal radar seeker, but anti-ship missiles are known for their low-flying, sea-skimming trajectory for the purpose of evading the radars of the enemy ships which they are targeting. If you are flying low and evading the radars enemy, that means your own radar likewise cannot see the enemy until the final moment, perhaps a dozen kilometers out, give or take.
>So, how can the missile get to the required location 200-300km away if its own radar cannot see the target? It must be fed that target data from the airborne platform. Granted, these missiles also have the ability to reach a general area via INS (Inertial Navigation System) and can begin scanning for targets independently after that. But this poses several problems.
>Firstly, if allowed to scan for random targets on its own, the missile is not guaranteed to hit the exact ship you want it to hit. Carriers are famous for being protected by a large carrier group, which is a swarm of up to 10 ships which act as the “meat shield” for the “queen bee” or “mothership” carrier. If you do not precisely designate the carrier as the target, the missile in autonomous mode is likely to prioritize any of the other ships it sees, based on a slew of parameters and factors, particularly because of another key aspect of anti-ship warfare most laymen do not comprehend.
>This is the fact that surface ships move much faster than you think, with aircraft carriers themselves trained to perform “evasive maneuvers” that can actually juke out of the way of missiles. Many have seen these famous videos:
>The problem with using directional guidance is as follows: let’s say the last known position of the aircraft carrier is precisely at coordinate: X: 22.194, Y: 61.776. The missile then heads to that coordinates, but at 200-300km launch range, it takes a Mach 1 missile approximately ~15 minutes to get there. In that 15 minutes, a carrier—at its top secret “emergency bug out speed” (speculated to be 35 knots)—can cover upwards of 10-12 nautical miles. The missile arrives at X: 22.194, Y: 61.776, but there is nothing there: the carrier is now 10 miles away—beyond radar horizon for a low-flying missile—and in that spot may be some other surface ships trailing the carrier. The missile now has no choice but to autonomously target “the closest known object” with a radar cross-section and ends up hitting some insignificant support ship, or perhaps passing oil tanker.
>And by the way, that is being generous with a Mach 1 missile: most anti-ship missiles do not even approach Mach 1 speeds; for instance, US’s Harpoon at Mach 0.70, Ukraine’s Neptune (subsonic), Iran’s Qader and Ra’ad missiles both at Mach 0.80, etc. One of the reasons the Soviet Kh-22 was so revolutionary and feared was that it was nearly hypersonic at Mach 4.6+, but that is not a feat most nations can repeat.
>So, we established that anti-ship missiles generally need a marking platform to guide the missile to the target at least part or most of the way. Another aspect of why this is important is because it was understood by the Soviets during the Cold War that an American aircraft carrier in particular would require upwards of 70+ launched missiles to bring down, when you factor in air defense and other factors. It was considered that it would take at least 12 direct hits for a carrier to be sunk, and the missiles would have to arrive at a very close intervals to each other in order for this method to be effective:https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/does-iran-pose-a-real-threat-to-ushttps://archive.ph/Wcs3U >>2730986Because then they would definitely get nuked.
>>2730997If I was trying to calm the markets I wouldn't say "ok there are mines I guess" minutes after my big meltdown saying there are absolutely not any mines
>>2730998Iran should start bombing European embassies Asap
>>2731002>European embassieshow about they start with all the fucking US bases in europe
>>2730977Sean McCarthy is a meme even among campists but you don't need to be a genius politico with superhuman accumen to tell the Trump regime is clearly panicking internally and the more they struggle to get out of Iran, the more they sink
>>2730992he i not claiming they destroyed 10 mines. he is claiming they destroyed 10 mine laying boats and/or ships (hilarious). which if true is legit bad for iran if they have not yet mined the srait. they should mine the strait
>>2730992>>2730994but zion don is saying they destroyed mine-laying ships and boats, not that hes clearing already laid mines
>>2730994>if for any reason mines were placedmaybe they did it on accidental?
>>2731005>>2731006god damn i cant read
>>2731000Because you are not as high on zogfeed pills and refined sugars, zogslop brainrot as he is.
>>2731009THEY ARE LYING TO YOU
A THOUSAND DEAD AMERICANS A T L E A S T
TEL AVIV IS GAZA
Nothing would heal my soul more than hearing how bad it must look in Pissrael. I will give my life to Shia Islam if Iran destroys the zionist occupied grip on the world
>>2731011Active hostility from the West does that to you. Soon, they will become shitposters to rival Luka.
>>2731018where's the proof there weren't any warning sirens?
>>2731014kek
so these are the "cognitohazards" that NATO were scared about a few months ago
>>2731022When and where is this from (2nd video)
Growing Doubts by US and Israel About the War with Iran
<10 March 2026 by Larry C. Johnson
>Despite bold claims from Donald Trump and his Secretary of War that Iran has lost the war and is on the cusp of surrendering, Iran has not got the memo and continues an unrelenting wave of a drone and missile attacks on US targets in the Persian Gulf and on targets throughout Israel. During an interview with CBS News, Donald Trump stated that the “military operation” against Iran is actually completed. He said:
>I think the war, by and large, is over. They [the Iranian side] have no fleet, no communications, no aviation left.
>In private, however, Trump’s advisers have urged him privately to look for an exit plan from the Iran war amid spiking oil prices and concerns that a prolonged conflict could spark political backlash, according to WSJ. Officials close to the president are urging him to start outlining an exit strategy from the conflict while portraying the military campaign as having largely achieved its goals. Discussions in Washington are increasingly focused on declaring success and shifting toward a controlled withdrawal before the economic and political costs rise further.
>I think this explains why President Trump called Vladimir Putin. The Kremlin has provided a readout of a recent phone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin that occurred on March 9, 2026 (Monday) and lasted about one hour. It was described by Kremlin foreign policy aide Yuri Ushakov as “frank,” “businesslike,” “constructive,” and “serious.” The conversation was initiated by Trump. The primary focus of the call was the US and Israeli war with Iran, with Putin sharing proposals for a “quick political and diplomatic settlement.” This included references to his prior contacts with Gulf state leaders, Iran’s president, and others.
>This does not mean that President Putin is going to pull the rug out from under Iran. I believe that Putin has two goals: 1) Keep the war from spreading, and 2) Secure an agreement that will remove economic sanctions from Iran and guarantee it will not face future attacks from the US and Israel.
>Trump and his national security advisors are laboring under the false belief that Iran is running out of missiles. While the US military is celebrating the destruction of missile launchers, Iran is relying on buried launchers that fire their more advanced missiles from hidden tunnels. I believe that Iran will adopt a tough unyielding stance when it comes to negotiations… Demand an end to all economic sanctions and the withdrawal of US military forces from the Persian Gulf. While the US is likely to reject those demands — at least for now — Iran is prepared to continue its attacks and is likely to introduce a new, more sophisticated missile to the fray in the coming days.
>Trump is not alone with the growing doubts about the possible success of US and Israeli strikes on Iran. Israel’s confidence is fading. According to David Ignatius, writing in the Washington Post:
>A few senior officials in Israel are starting to voice concern about the escalating, open-ended attack on Iran — and suggesting possible exit ramps that might halt the war before it further damages the region and the global economy. . . .
>What concerns this official and others I’ve spoken with the past few days is that the cost of the war continues to rise — for gulf states pounded by Iranian missiles, for a global economy that’s facing steep increases in oil and natural gas prices that could trigger a worldwide economic crisis, and for Trump himself, who took the United States to war without a popular base of support for the conflict.
> “I’m not sure it’s in our interest to fight until the regime is toppled,” said the Israeli official. “Nobody wants a never-ending story.”
>Oil futures spiked early on Monday — reaching a priceof $120 — and then fell back to around $100 following remarks from Trump that led traders to believe the shutdown of oil flowing from the Persian Gulf could be short-lived. I think there is a lot of denial on Wall Street and among Trump’s most rabid supporters… They believe that Iran’s missile inventory is rapidly depleting and that there are cracks among the Iranian political and military leaders. I believe they are grossly misreading the situation. Iran is not close to depleting its supply of powerful, sophisticated ballistic missiles. Most Americans fail to understand that Iran’s outrage over the 28 February surprise attack is comparable to the fury that seized the United States in the wake of the 1941 attack on Pearl Harbor and the 9-11 attacks in 2001. Iran will continue to attack US and Israeli targets and will not stop until the security of Iran — both economic and military — is secured.https://sonar21.com/growing-doubts-by-us-and-israel-about-the-war-with-iran/ >>2731022>>2731024the 12 day war
its old footage that keeps getting posted here because none of you understand how important it is to verify sources before posting
>>2731027>none of you understand how important it is to verify sources before postinguygha thats what i tried to do by asking
>>2731030enough xeeting. mine the strait
>>2730977>Owens' theory that mossad killed Charlie Kirk because he was about to go anti-Israel any day before getting throated.I believe it, maybe not because he was turning anti-Israel but because the right wing was trying to create a martyr out of some right wing figure and he was deemed the most disposable.
>>2731009They'll be on Faux News begging on behalf of the Wounded Warriors Project in a week
>>2731034>the right wing was trying to create a martyr out of some right wing figure and he was deemed the most disposable.it checks out to be frank, kirk was mostly a has-been already and even normies laughed at his retarded stunts like dressing like a baby in public
and worst of all he was uppity goycattle too with all the anti-zionist shit >>2731039Doesn't Israel have their own radars?
>>2731044they've been destroyed
>>2731045not really
this is probably the last hurrah for us so enjoy it while you can
>>2731044no israels radars are american and in jordan qatar etc see the video above ur post
>>2731046take everything they say with a pinch of salt
>>2731051the proof is in the pudding. they're getting hit without resistance
War On Iran – No. Taking Kharg Island Is Not An Option.
< March 10, 2026 - Moon of Alabama
>When serious export of Iranian oil started it was soon met by a problem. Iran’s coast is relatively shallow. Big tankers have a lot of draft. It was thus troublesome for Iran’s oil industry to deliver large loads of crude oil to big ships.
>Luckily there was an island near to deep water some 15 miles off the Iranian coast. Pipes were laid from the oil producing mainland of Iran to the island and piers were built to be able to load very large crude oil carrying vessels. The name of the island is Kharg. Today its is with 90% of all product the main export terminal for oil produced in Iran.
>For decades dimwit U.S. amateur politicians have dreamed of fetching Kharg to thereby get control over Iran’s oil production:
>In an interview with a British newspaper back in 1988, an up-and-coming New York property mogul named Donald Trump was asked about his plans for the future. True to form, he had plenty to say, boasting that he might one day run for president and vowing to win back “respect” for America on the world stage. He also had stern words for Iran’s Islamic Republic, already a sworn enemy of America in the wake of the 1979 US hostage crisis.
>“They’ve been beating us psychologically, making us look a bunch of fools,” Trump told The Guardian. “One bullet shot at one of our men or ships, and I’d do a number on Kharg Island. I’d go in and take it.”
>Several figures of the current Trump administration have likewise opined that the taking of Kharg would give the U.S. a hold over all Iranian oil exports – now and in future:
>“What we want to do is to get such massive oil reserves in Iran out of the hands of terrorists,” said Jarrod Agen, a White House adviser, in an interview over the weekend with Fox Business, which hinted that Kharg is a central part of the rationale for Epic Fury.
>Kharg is a relatively flat island 4 miles long and 2 miles wide with little features. It is difficult to defend it.
>The U.S recently canceled an Army exercise (archived) of the 82nd Airborne Division which could be the prime unit for a U.S. operation to take Kharg.
>But there are two problems with this.
>The first one is to take and hold an island very near to Iran:
>The Kharg island idea is a totally harebrained scheme. You can’t do that without suppressing Iranian fire. Not only is it fully exposed to Iranian missiles and drones, it is within striking range of Iranian mobile artillery. If you land a division of the marines, they will have to be evacuated within hours after suffering dozens if not hundreds of casualties. The entire scheme assumes that the US has suppressed Iranian fire, when suppressing Iranian fire is the very problem that needs to be solved by the US military.
>Writers at the Telegraph seem to think that the problem can be overcome by deploying U.S. Navy assets:
>According to Ian Bremmer, a political risk consultant writing for the global affairs website GZERO Media: “The island (Kharg) itself is less than half the size of Manhattan, isn’t extensively fortified, and sits isolated enough that US destroyers and close-in air defence systems could establish a credible defensive perimeter well offshore.”
>How please would one deploy U.S. destroyers to the Persian Gulf when the Strait of Hormuz is closed? And how long would these survive while being in range of Iranian anti-ship missiles?
>Any operation on Kharg would have be done by air. But how would the soldiers deployed to it be resupplied? How would one evacuated the likely heavy losses?
>Left out by the Telegraph is that Bremmer knows of the problem. He does not see an attack on Kharg as a solution to anything:
>Iran still has thousands of short-range missiles and drones that can’t be taken out. They’ve shown they can hit ships and down aircraft. An operation to seize Kharg requires massing American forces in contested waters against an adversary with home-field advantage and nothing left to lose. Even degraded Iranian command and control can coordinate enough to turn an amphibious assault into a bloodbath Trump wouldn’t be able to tolerate politically.
>And seizing it is only half the battle. Say the US takes Kharg cleanly and holds it. Now you’re stuck occupying critical infrastructure in the middle of the Persian Gulf indefinitely, defending against a hostile state with every incentive to take it back through drones, mines, sabotage, proxy attacks, terrorism, and slow attrition that bleeds you for years.
>Seen as military operational problem Khark can be taken, albeit with large losses, and maybe held for a month to a year.
>But then you will have to confront the second problem.
>Iran’s martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei had threatened to mirror everything that is done to Iran to the wider Gulf region. If Iran can not produce oil, no other country will be able to do so. If Iran is blocked from exporting its hydrocarbon products other Gulf countries will be blocked too. As the secretary of Iran’s National Security Council states:
>Ali Larijani | علی لاریجانی @alilarijani_ir – 12:28 UTC · Mar 10, 2026
>Strait of Hormuz will either be a Strait of peace and prosperity for all or will be a Strait of defeat and suffering for warmongers.
>Take Kharg and all export harbors in the Gulf region will come under sustained Iranian missile attacks. The ten days of war so far have already shown that Iran can do that. Today the Al Ruwais refinery in the UAE, the largest one in the Gulf with a capacity of 900,000 bpd, was shut down after being attacked by Iranian drones.
>If Kharg is take and occupied by U.S. soldiers, oil export harbors – Al Başrah in Iraq, Mina Al Ahmadi in Kuwait, Fujairah in the UAE, Ras Laffan and Mesaieed in Qatar and Ras Tanura in Saudi Arabia – will all come under sustained fire and be closed.
>So no. Taking Kharg is not an option.
>Militarily it would be complicate, cause severe losses and turn out to be unsustainable. Economically it would be catastrophic because Iran, once blocked from exporting it products, can and will stop other Gulf countries from doing so too.
>Let’s hope that the Trump of 1988 has since become a bit smarter.https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/03/war-on-iran-no-taking-kharg-island-is-not-an-option.html >>2731045every day if you know where to look. this thread is kinda shit
>>2731044Probably HAD radars. I think they expected a limpdick retaliation like last war and not the full on deathwish for them
>>2731055They can probably count the hairs on your nadsack from space, just saying
>>2731039And they wanted to build a golden dome in the states
>>2730991>substacks have become a major source of interesting analysis>they're all paywalled and nobody ever share the full textdoes literally nobody even pay or what?
>>2731071Think so yeah, iran is also separately reaching out to the Kurd faction in iran to offer concessions post war if they fall in line.
>>2731074At this rate, Kurdish Autonomy under Iranian suzerainty might be their best option.
>>2731077fdsking nora, wait until Taiwan is brought into this shitstorm. Lol
>>2731079Could also be a smuggler because lots on the border are Kurdish
>>2731058It's crazy that that's even possible. You'd think all that atmosphere in the way would have some effect.
>>2731077is it possible for nations to diversify away from the gulf and that gulf countries are unable to get back their previous market share after this war?
US warns Israel to stop attacks on Iranian oil infrastructure
According to a report by Axios, citing senior sources, there is a sharp tension between Washington and Tel Aviv over military targets in Iran. The United States (US) administration has warned Israel that targeting oil refineries and energy infrastructure will have a severe impact on civilians and lead to a rise in fuel prices worldwide..
The news report stated that the Trump administration is not acting solely out of economic concerns. It was claimed that the US does not want the country's economic resources to be completely destroyed in order to "cooperate with Iran in the future." It was stated that if the oil infrastructure is destroyed, Iran's economy will not recover during a "possible regime change.".
On the other hand, Washington fears that Iran will retaliate by attacking energy facilities in the Gulf countries. This is seen as a major threat that could drag the region into a wider war..
>>2731085who knows what they've got. They could see you get into a car in the 90's
>>2731051they literally systematically blew up multiple super expensive radar sites of the US with confirmed satellites pics, the fucking BBC admit to no warning when missiles hit tel aviv, what more do you want?
>the US war on Iran has effectively cut Middle Eastern energy exports to China triggering a countdown on China’s 100 day reserves;
Ok, but it will also cut exports of the US compradors, which the US relies on for everything since basically they have no manufacturing… I mean what the fuck?
>>2731086Oil and Gas are not easy to get away from especially in such a short amount of time. I think some countries are already struggling from this and Zion Don caught them completely off-guard with his retarded plan
>>2731091alright moshe, calm down
>>2731088It should be bannable to post shit from Axios' Barak Ravid, straight up
>>2731087A man so powerful the official IDF account had to block him.
(He's just another Iranian guy reposting and translating IRGC/Hezb/Hamas/Houthi statements, videos, aggregating news etc. One of the more popular pro-Iran accounts and fairly reliable in my experience.)
Abu Dhabi just got hammered by missiles.
>>2731076FOR THE FULL FUCKING ARTICLE
>>2731101iran completed their trvth nvke program
>>2731102imagine paying for some dickheads opinion
>>2731091more than one video from today
>>2731102anyone who thinks their opinion justifies a paywall is probably a douche. you're not missing anything.
>>2731105Israel banned taking impact videos.
>>2731073i was lazy and thought archive would get it idk how to get it i gave it my email but the free sub makes you dl the app or some shit
>>2731110I forgot that if something is illegal it completely stops happening
>>2731112It's sadism, anon. There's no greater reason beyond jingoistic spite.
>>2731112how is this even possible
>>2731112The fruit is perfect. He looks like a downsy ape.
John Mearsheimer: U.S. Already Lost Iran War - No Off-Ramp in Sight
<Glenn Diesen - Mar 10, 2026
>Prof. John Mearsheimer explains why the war against Iran has already been lost, and why there is no off-ramp. John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1982.
>We are joined by Professor John Mearsheimer to discuss the war against Iran, which is definitely not going as planned. So, thank you very much for coming back on. My pleasure, Glenn. So, well, as I said, the war definitely not going as Trump had hoped, but it seems to be going as many would have predicted. Indeed, Trump himself was met with a lot of warnings before he went down this road. And now of course it's unclear what direction he should take. We also see reports from the from the American media that even Israel is now growing concerned. They don't think that Iran is going to collapse. They don't think it's going to surrender. So what exactly if time is on Iran's side? Why go down this road? And the Wall Street Journal said something similar that Trump's advisor would like to find a quick exit from this war. So what do you make of this? Is is this reaching the end of the war or will Iran not permit this[…]
Revolutionary Guard: 104 drones shot down… 95% of them were intercepted while armed
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard announced on Tuesday that its air defense systems have shot down 104 enemy drones of various types so far.
According to a statement from the Guard, the downed aircraft included Hermes, Heron and Orbiter drones, in addition to the American MQ-9 Reaper drone.
The Revolutionary Guard explained that about 95% of the drones that were shot down were equipped with weapons.
The Guard also announced the capture of an advanced Hermes drone in perfect condition, noting that it had been placed at the disposal of Aerospace Force experts and engineers for technical study and examination.
>>2731086yes but it would mean allowing Russia back in to dominate the market
>>2731126maybe iran shouldn't be an african man?
>>2731126also dis has one 's'
also seek help
>>2731130Why join the army then? I really don't like rats like this
>>2731133It's what depolitization does to a mf.
>>2731137civil war incoming
>>2731130Treatlerites. Fingers crossed their leg status will change
>>2731129>maybe iran shouldn't be an african man?kendrick lamar wrote a song about drake being a pedophile. it was to help illiterate americans understand geopolitics through their retarded rap beefs. you may or may not be the intended audience since you are radlib brained and your first thought was "isn't it heckin problematic to make the iranian flag do blackface"
>>2731132I didn't make the image and nobody cares about spelling errors
>>2731143>I didn't make the image and nobody cares about spelling errorsfuck off you jewish cunt
(USER WAS BANNED FOR THIS POST) >>2731133>Why join the army then? because burgershart navymen have been told for decades that joining the navy is an EZ way to get "veteran" social credit points that you can lord over the non-kshatriya castes, like demanding free donuts and free burgers on account of your veteran status. they never thought they might actually be expected to fight. burger sharts are paper tigers who only want to fight if it means killing children from far away with drones and missiles, and only if they can get PTSD and mental therapy coverage in their health insurace afterwards.
>>2731121mearshimer pronounces water worder
>>2731148shut up you tart
>>2731146I'm jewish because i'm laughing at Iran killing soldiers of the two pedo nations Israel and America? interesting theory polcel FAGGOT
>>2731150stop dying for israel and fight your government any time burger shart
>>2731151you've made it into a weird sexual thing about black men fucking people in the anus. You are jewish, it's not your fault. Get help.
>>2731153iran is raping israel and america with missiles that call out israel and america for being pedos. Kendrick lamar is a black man who wrote a song about drake, another black man (who also happens to be jewish) being a known pedophile
your response to this is to seethe, call me jewish, and pretend to be offended at le heckin black man raping le other black man meme
reddit might be more your speed.
>>2731156have some respect
>>2731156>your response to this is to seethe, call me jewish, and pretend to be offendedthat's a channer
>>2731157iran won
america lost
israel lost
pol lost
4chan brain
>>2731156>reddit might be more your speed.I literally can't think of anything more reddit than an AI generated kendrick/drake meme
oh hey
Israeli alarms and interceptors still function
where's the guy who was sure Israel was getting completely leveled rn
>>2731165How many BMs have Iran launched at UAE if the hit rate is 0% most days
>>2731165Haifa is also getting shafted, I wonder of Jeruselem is in range or if it's too heavily protected.
>>2731166you didnt ecen know who kendrick and drake were 15 minutes ago
>>2731169haha you said BM
>>2731167>no sourcemeanwhile:
>>2731165 >>2731177>>2731165Twitteroids said it's because it's cloudy and raining in UAE. Sounds like cope but I don't know shit, it may be true.
>>2731178Not even the Ukrainians do this kind of cope.
>>2731166>I literally can't think of anything more reddit than an AI generated kendrick/drake memethe joke is that americans need that kind of slop to understand geopolitics. Scroll back up and read:
>>2731126>in terms illiterate burgersharts can understand >>2731179I'm sure this has an impact but Tel Aviv is a city of half a million people with smartphones and an internet connection.
alerts just went out 15 mins ago for central Israel
>>2731181>the joke is thatIt's ok dude. Your meme bombed. You don't gotta explain it. It happens.
>>2731184thats ok i dont read the thread before post
What are you faggots bickering about? Go back to your containment.
>>2731183you don't understand, if something is illegal no one can do it
>>2731182>explains the legal options for soldiers who refuse to fight, What options do they have? Seriously curious.
Iranian drones are shooting down interceptors Not the other way around. (6:49) <Inside China Business - Mar 10, 2026
>Iranian Shahed drones cost between $20,000 and $50,000 to build and launch at targets.
>To engage and destroy the drones, American and allied forces in the Persian Gulf use multimillion-dollar interceptor missiles.
>In an unusual instance, an RAF pilot in an F-35 shot down two Iranian drones over Jordan. But close examination of the costs reveals that the UK spent far over half a million dollars to intercept two drones worth less than a fifth of that.
>Iranian drones are punching through theater air defenses, and hitting very high-cost targets of great strategic value. Advanced radar systems used in air and ballistic missiles defense, and facilities for communications networks have been blown up.
>Ironically, Shahed launches are successful, whether intercepted or not: the benefit/cost ratio is favorable to Iran in the extreme, irrespective of the outcome.
>Resources and links:>Low cost, high stakes: The vital interceptor missiles defending Gulf states against Iran's droneshttps://www.thenationalnews.com/news/gulf/2026/03/06/low-cost-high-stakes-the-vital-interceptor-missiles-defending-gulf-states-against-irans-drones/>Wall Street Journal, Iran Is Hitting the Radars That Underpin U.S. Missile Defenseshttps://www.wsj.com/world/iran-is-hitting-the-radars-that-underpin-u-s-missile-defenses-2edbfccc>New York Times, Iran Strikes U.S. Military Communication Infrastructure in Mideasthttps://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/world/middleeast/iran-strikes-us-military-communication-infrastructure-in-mideast.html>The New Era of Drone Warfare Takes Root in Iranhttps://www.cfr.org/articles/the-new-era-of-drone-warfare-takes-root-in-iran>New York Times, Iran’s Drones Cost a Fraction of the U.S. Weapons Shooting Them Downhttps://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/business/iran-shahed-drones-missiles-us-war.html>JPO Seeks to Slash F-35A Flight-Hour Costshttps://www.airandspaceforces.com/jpo-seeks-to-slash-f-35a-flight-hour-costs/>RAF pilot who gunned down Iranian drone and made history celebrated with a sunrise beerhttps://www.msn.com/en-my/news/other/raf-pilot-who-gunned-down-iranian-drone-and-made-history-celebrated-with-a-sunrise-beer/ar-AA1XC3uP >>2731198Lol what the fuck since when?
>>2731196they can just refuse to fight. what are they gonna do? drag them? force them at gunpoint? just stay in your barracks or w/e.
>>2731200since always its just propaganda that you cant. conscientious objectors even get honorable discharge and lifetime benefits. if your in the first year theres even less consequences from just claiming 'failure to adapt'. and it doesnt even have to be a religious objection and you can have history of supporting other wars. all you have to do is claim the gaza genocide, or anything you want, morally convinced you not to participate in imperialist wars of aggression or support the united states or its allies in any way and its totally legal and you get out forfree
This is an industrial war and Iran has more industry than the dissunited ssnakkkess of crackkkmerikkka
>>2731202If it's that simple why they were in Iraq?
/leftypol/ told me this fags are workers, infact on 8ch I recived various bans for pointing out their homosexuality.
>>2731206bullshit. its the fucking military
>>2731209its not israel. they cant make you do anything and even if they try you really can just walk away. theyre terrified of fragging again vietnam almost caused a civil war and people only dont think that because all the propaganda
>>2731208cuz 9/11
there was no sequel this time around
>Forward one month.
>Iran is all scorched earth - surrenders.
>U.S claims another victory.
<Nothing ever happens.
>>2731207How many interceptors are going to be left at this point?
>>2731208because the USA-Israel military is made up entirely of volunteers and therefore naturally selects for the most depraved bloodthirsty sociopaths in it's depraved bloodthirsty sociopathic society
>>2731208cause they were a bunch of retarded/bloodthirsty kids who wanted camaros and mustangs
>>2731212The global economy won't last a full month
>>2731210youre using sovereign citizen logic. yes they can force you to do shit, its the military.
>>2731215Get organized, NOW
>>2731217>>2731214>>2731211lol I fucking hate zogbots so much it's unbelivable
The Hebrew website of Tasnim News Agency estimates that speculation is growing in Hebrew-language sources regarding the possible death or injury of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Several indicators fueling that speculation include the following:
- It has been nearly three days since the last video of Netanyahu was posted on his personal channel, and almost four days since the last images of him were published. Following that, the few statements attributed to Netanyahu have been text-based.
- Prior to the last video of Netanyahu, at least one video, and sometimes up to three videos, were typically released daily. However, the absence of even a single video over the past three days has intensified speculation.
- A number of Hebrew sources reported that on March 8, reports emerged indicating that the security perimeter around Netanyahu's home had been heightened, particularly to counter potential suicide drones.
- It is said that the cancellation of the planned visit by Jared Kushner (Trump's son-in-law) and Steve Witkoff (Trump's special representative) to Israel, which was scheduled for today, is related to this situation.
- The Élysée Palace also did not specify the date of a telephone conversation between French President Emmanuel Macron and Netanyahu in a news report about the call, and only a text of this alleged conversation was released.
These speculations have yet to be officially confirmed or denied.
https://tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/03/10/3536698/speculation-swirls-about-netanyahu-s-possible-death-injury>>2731220how? will they force them at gun point? worst case scenario you get court martialed. that is preferable.
did they fix the shituation on the aircraft carrier?
>>2731223also, trump is dead too
>>2731223nothing ever happens, netanyahu will live to 110 years old
>>2731223sounds too good to be true
>>2731223Would be too good to be true, plus Iran would flex a lot by now
>>2731220lol they give you guns you can just [redacted] if they try
even if the order is determined lawful, which doesnt matter if you consciously object, its a misdemeanor and
up to 2 years
>>2731223I skimmed this and it points out at Bibi being bunkered instead
>>2731223many people are saying this
>>2731223The ruling class will just replace him with a body double like did with Biden and Jim Carrey.
>>2731240and don't forget the 20 Jackson Hinkles running around
>>2731223didnt iron felix say he was going to do a tribute to ayatollah khameini if an Israeli official was injured or killed
>>2731244Ritter said this on RT. The host was like "what" then found an article about Ben-Gvir being in a car accident from 2024 and thought it was recent. Ritter is a fat pedophile slop peddler. Don't post his words again.
>>2731246No, that part was my making a joke about Iron Felix doing a tribute to Putin.
But someone did make such a claim.
>>2731198>>2731206how is such wokeness still allowed in the burger reich?
>>2731223I know we're hopium maxxing here but I wonder if the point of rumors like this is to pressure government officials to post videos/photos to confirm they're alive and then the enemy can pinpoint their location and strike.
I know it sounds retarded but the Israelis have done this tactic before so it's not like it never works.
>>2731247yeah according to reliable source united states federal bureau of investigation very more reliable
>>2731244Except there is no BBC article. Stop posting this slop.
>>2731244pissrael is deboonking this but not with proof of life. going to be heartbreaking to hear ben gvir confirmed alive.
bare minimum at least 10k israelis and 2k amerilards up until now they just don't want you to know
>>2731219The global economy literally relies on tweets made from one orange guy.
Try telling Marx this…
Houthis shut down red sea pls
>>2731270Last year burned me out on them. I will call them elite if they don't cuck out again
>>2731210 You have to be around 70 for vietnam to be in "living memory" Besides, Americans have gotten too weak to meaningfully oppose war because we're all eating soy instead of beef lard kek
>>2731267It would be beautiful if Bibi wasn't a moderate compared to most of the ghouls in the knesset
Looks like retard hours already.
Enjoy, anons.
This war has left me terribly depressed. I saw some footage from Minab, the strike on the school girls, and I feel like shit afterwards.
>>2731274>It would be beautiful if Bibi wasn't a moderate compared to most of the ghouls in the knessetgood. may israel and america become even more reactionary and suicidal. no tears now. only historical necessity
What would happen in Israel's domestic politics if Bibi died?
>>2731280The genocide of Palestinians and other Arabs would continue with the support of the western left
In the 35th wave, Iran targets Tel Aviv, Beit Shemesh, and American bases with strategic missiles.
The spokesman for the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, Lieutenant Colonel Ibrahim Zolfaghari, announced the implementation of the thirty-fifth wave of Operation “True Promise 4”, through the launching of strategic missiles of the “Fattah”, “Khaibar Shekan” and “Khorramshahr” types towards targets in “Tel Aviv” and “Beit Shemesh” near Jerusalem, in addition to American bases in the region.
It was also announced that an armed drone of the "Hermes 900" type was intercepted and destroyed in the skies of Ilam hours earlier, by the advanced air defense systems of the Revolutionary Guard, within the integrated network of Iranian air defense.
<"A new phase"
He pointed out, in this context, that the launch of strategic missiles of the “Qadr”, “Imad”, “Khaibar” and “Fattah” types within the 34th wave of Operation “True Promise 4” has brought the confrontation with the United States and “Israel” into a “new phase”.
Zulfiqari explained that the missiles launched by the Aerospace Force of the Revolutionary Guard, along with attack drones, targeted gatherings of American soldiers at the Al Dhafra Air Base in the United Arab Emirates and the Juffair Air Base in Bahrain.
He also pointed out that the military bases located in the north of the occupied Palestinian territories were subjected to direct strikes, including the “Ramat David” air base, in addition to the civilian airport in Haifa, and the hidden missile launch platforms belonging to the occupation “army” in “Bnei Brak” east of “Tel Aviv”.
The Iranian spokesman stressed that the "illegal and unconventional attacks" launched by the United States and "Israel" on Iranian infrastructure and the killing of civilians "will not go unanswered."
In this context, Zulfiqari stressed that the Iranian target bank, which includes the military resources and infrastructure of the United States and Israel in the region, is “ten times the number of targets available to the helpless enemies,” adding that the Israelis’ nights and days are now limited to “sirens and running to shelters.”
>>2731280If this keeps up I will be completely shocked if the Israeli economy ever actually recovers. That entirely depends on Iran and their willingness to perma stump them
>>2731280Bibi is what unites the religious right and the corporate right in Israel tbh. Without him Likud would likely collapse.
>>2731284>the hidden missile launch platforms belonging to the occupation “army” in “Bnei Brak” east of “Tel Aviv”.Nuclear launch s?ite
>>2731280A complete shitshow. Bibi is an actual military veteran, and somewhat respectable. Smotrich and Ben-Gvir are fucking losers, and chickenhawks. There will be no right-wing unity after.
You can make a decent argument for "decapitation strike" that would actually be effective.
>>2731287Eh, they have the war to unite them now, the far-right have one the internal power-play.
If it goes really badly, like if the US is forced to choose between Israel and its bases, I wonder what they’ll pick
>>2731293they'll pick israel obviously
>>2731273You have to have more faith in Hezbollah. They were the first Arab or Islamic army to defeat Israel in 2000 and 2006
>>2731274When the policy of "you can fuck right off pls no frag officers" was instituted it sure was living memory
>>2731280they'd just do new elections
>>2731294I’m probably only 10% less sure than you are, I don’t think an Israel completely devoid of PMC and professionals can last more than a generation, especially when they made microtransaction mobile games most of their economy
>>2731292>they have the war to unite them nowThey honestly believed this war was in the bag after forty eight hours. Give them three weeks rotting in bunkers while their stolen homes take bombs and their economy goes to shit. The exact moment they feel 0.00000001% of the daily Palestinian experience they will completely switch up and pretend they just want peace and go back to only killing Palestinians for a year or so
>>2731292Bibi's been in power for nearly 30 years, his death would absolutely trigger a succession crisis between the various far-right factions in Israel. Especially as they're currently losing this war that they started, it might create a unstable political situation.
>>2731303Bro you have wild pigs and chronic wasting disease deer you need those bullets for, no Iranian ever fucked up my garden or spread prion disease
>>2731280chaos. one of the reasons he keeps coming back to israeli politics is because he can create coalitions.
>>2730943I don’t get why he doesn’t have this masculine voice. He sounds like a nervous guy.
>>2731112America this is the man taking you’re treats away.
>The U.S. Navy has refused near-daily requests from the shipping industry for military escorts through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the war on Iran, saying the risk of attacks is too high for now, according to sources familiar with the matter. The Navy's assessments spell continued disruption to Middle East oil exports and reflect a divergence from President Donald Trump’s statements that the U.S. is prepared to provide naval escorts whenever needed to restart regular shipments along the key waterway.
>Shipping along the narrow strait has all but halted since the start of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran more than a week ago, preventing exports of around a fifth of the world’s oil supply and sending global oil prices surging to highs not seen since 2022. A senior official with Iran's Revolutionary Guards has said the strait is closed and Iran will fire on any ship trying to pass, Iranian media reported last week. Several ships have already been hit. The U.S. Navy has held regular briefings with shipping and oil industry counterparts and has said during those briefings it is unable to provide escorts for the time being, three shipping industry sources familiar with the matter said. The sources, who declined to be identified due to the sensitivity of the matter, said the shipping industry has been making requests almost daily during the calls for naval escorts through the strait. One of the sources said the Navy’s assessment during Tuesday’s briefing had not changed and that escorts would only be possible once the risk of attack was reduced. The Pentagon did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
>Trump has said repeatedly in recent days that the United States is prepared to escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz when necessary. "When the time comes, the U.S. Navy and its partners will escort tankers through the strait, if needed. I hope it's not going to be needed, but if it's needed, we'll escort them right through," he said on Monday during a press conference at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida. The U.S. military has started looking at options to potentially escort ships through the strait, should it be ordered to do so, General Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said on Tuesday. "We're looking at a range of options there," Caine told reporters at the Pentagon. A U.S. official told Reuters the U.S. military has not yet escorted any commercial ships through the strait. Earlier in the day, U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright deleted a post on X in which he said the Navy had successfully escorted one through. While there have been some voyages through the waterway in recent days, the majority of shipping traffic remains on hold with hundreds of ships anchored.
>audi Arabia's Aramco, the world's top oil exporter, said on Tuesday there would be "catastrophic consequences" for the world's oil markets if the war on Iran continues to disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Maritime security specialists and analysts said securing the strait will be difficult, even if the effort involves an international coalition, because of Iran’s ability to deploy mines or cheaply made attack drones. "Neither France, the United States, an international coalition or anybody is in a position to secure the Strait of Hormuz," said Adel Bakawan, director of the European Institute for Studies on the Middle East and North Africa. Last week, Iran used a remote-controlled boat laden with explosives to damage a crude oil tanker anchored in Iraqi waters, according to initial assessments from two Iraqi port security sources. A maritime security source said securing the strait could require the U.S. to take control of Iran's vast coast. "There are not enough naval vessels to do that and the risks remain high even with an escort. One or two vessels can be overwhelmed by a swarm (of fast boats or drones)," the source said. The Pentagon renewed threats on Tuesday to hit Iran harder unless shipments can flow through and said it was striking Iranian mine-laying vessels and mine-storage facilities.
>Donald Trump’s signature Board of Peace has run straight into the war in Iran, slowing what little progress it had made since the president — and a phalanx of world leaders — heralded its creation last month. So far, the board has set up its accounts at the World Bank and JP Morgan Chase, a Trump administration official said Tuesday. “We are currently working with countries that made the pledges to get them the wiring info,” added the official, who was granted anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the press. Some two dozen member countries pledged more than $16 billion to the board in February, with the U.S. promising a $10 billion lion’s share. But since then, the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran have brought about chaos that has reversed even the modest gains White House negotiating duo Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner had been making. When the Board of Peace was announced as part of the ceasefire the U.S. secured in October between Israel and Hamas, backed up with U.N. Security Council approval, it was meant to set the framework for rebuilding Gaza — and much more.
>The charter of the board, according to a leaked copy, laid out a mission to build “peace in areas affected or threatened by conflict.” And, with the close attention of Witkoff and Kushner, Israel and Hamas exchanged hostages and prisoners, and Israel opened the Rafah border crossing between Egypt and Gaza. Now, the U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran appear to be getting in the way. Indonesia’s president threatened to quit if the board doesn’t benefit Palestinians, Reuters reported, and the country’s foreign minister said all talks about the board had been stopped due to the Iran war. That could put in jeopardy the 8,000 troops Indonesia committed to an international stabilization force. The Trump administration official said talks with Indonesia continue and that “the Board of Peace is committed to providing stabilization and prosperity to the people of Gaza.” To be sure, other countries, for example, Azerbaijan and Jordan, said they were still committed. But the Board of Peace’s animating force — rebuilding Gaza — remains far from fulfilled. A key condition for reconstruction is disarming Hamas, the militant group that attacked Israel in 2023, but little has been announced on that front. Israel has also closed the Rafah border crossing citing the war with Iran. That has rolled back a milestone in the ceasefire plan and led to a drop in aid getting into the enclave. Asked about the border, the administration official referred POLITICO to the Israeli government. COGAT, the Israeli military body that oversees civilian affairs in Gaza, said: “At this stage, the Rafah Crossing remains temporarily closed due to the missile threat. It will reopen as soon as the security situation allows.”
>Zaha Hassan, who advised the Palestinian negotiating team during its bid for U.N. membership, noted that the Board of Peace’s mandate with the Security Council expires at the end of 2027. “If you’re saying the Board of Peace is the only way, and the Board of Peace can’t even influence Israel on its obligations, it doesn’t look very good for its prospects, especially given its sunset,” said Hassan, now senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “There’s clearly some backsliding on what little progress may have been made,” said David Schenker, who served as assistant secretary of State for Near East Affairs in the first Trump administration and is now a fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Schenker added that the short bench of Trump officials empowered to make foreign policy decisions is likely exacerbating the problem. “There’s a number of issues, in addition to Gaza, that have fallen off the agenda temporarily given the prioritization of Iran and the war.”
>Trump continues to put his faith in Witkoff and Kushner, saying the pair are “doing a great job.” The two had been set to visit Israel Tuesday, but postponed the trip. Witkoff, for his part, has offered a rosy view that the war with Iran could lead to broader regional cooperation. Speaking Tuesday on CNBC, he said Gulf countries facing Iranian drones and missiles were “coming out of the woodwork, calling us, multiple, multiple reach-outs for countries who want to be a part of the Abraham peace accords.” If the Board of Peace fails on its broader mission to disarm Hamas and rebuild the enclave, the stakes are high. Palestinian journalist Mohammed R. Mhawish observed this week in The Nation that the regional turmoil sparked by the strikes on Iran had left Gaza “more exposed to Israeli escalation than at any point since October 2023.” Asked about Hamas disarmament in an interview with BILD, which like POLITICO belongs to the Axel Springer Global Reporters Network, Israeli President Isaac Herzog said, “I would not now put this as the top priority. … Everybody knows that Israel is ready to do the job if needed, but let’s give it to others to do. There’s now the technocrats’ government. That’s their test.”
Pivot to Asia status?
>>2731197The issue here is not dollars but labor time. How much does it cost the Iranians in labor hours to build the Shahed drones in a bunker somewhere and fire them off vs the US interceptor requirements for assembly, manufacturing, moving resources, logistics and time to put in position, deploy and fire?
It’s an astronomical difference.
>>2731313Is the US military being exposed as a paper tiger?
>>2731319South Koreans need to be permanently observed for suicide risk
>>2731327kim the kuck ain't gonna do shit sadly
Gulf ‘anger’ moving towards Israel and US over Iran war fallout
Jason Campbell, senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, says Iran’s threat of closing the Strait of Hormuz over the past week has been mostly psychological, but laying mines in the waterway would be a serious escalation.
Oil tankers and cargo ships currently stranded in Hormuz would be unable to move for “the foreseeable future, as the US has limited capacity to physically remove them from the strait”, he said.
The burgeoning fallout from the US-Israel attack on Iran is leading to more frustration among the Gulf countries, Campbell added.
“Right now, you’re starting to see the initial anger from some of the GCC [Gulf Cooperation Council] and other states towards Iran start to spread a little bit more towards Israel and the US, as all these countries are now really affected both physically and economically,” he told Al Jazeera.
>>2731319Invasion of Taiwan is gonna be a cake-walk for the Chinese lol.
>>2731327Capitalists are taking 1% of the pain small socialist countries get from being embargoed and isolated to death and they are already completely crumbling apart
Remember, at least Russian equipment can be seen burning, because it isn't just for fucking show.
And I can confidently say, no B-2 actually flew over Iran. That shit costs two billion dollars each.
2 cluster missiles have released their payload over Tel Aviv.
>>2731333no interceptions? maybe something is finally happening
>>2731326The trillions were going into shit like this
>>2731112I kept telling anons here that the majority of the militaries budget went into corruption. They’ve been bullying the third world with Cold War left overs. Most the new shit is expensive claptrap like the F-35 which is specifically designed to be as high maintenance as possible to extract profits.
Where is Mojtaba? Anyone seen him?
>>2731341what you want is a Ford 3000
>>2731280at first his coalition would keep together, but after weeks or months in the leadup to new elections it'd fracture and the opposition will get a shot, and likely be no different in any significant way. western media will do a full court press trying to essentially wear down and mentally force everyone to go back to liking israel since things would be "different now"
>kills Khameini
>will continue killing leaders until a pro-West guy is in charge
>has zero consequences because the US is largely energy independent and doesn't care if its allies suffer
did fracking kill khameini
>>2731047>Pic cut off with no context or units of table and no source.Wtf am I looking at anon
>>2731330I'm not even sure they have the means to invade Taiwan anymore without reducing it to a nuclear crater
>>2731348Whoops. The other one is a cluster though. Can't get too greedy.
>>2731328No need, SEA will crumble horribly into itself, they're like the most LNG-starved economy in the world. they're the biggest losers in the conflict, and they can't do shit about it
>>2731341Nah, that's small-time cope. I'm talking about every single salary, of every single sailor. All the benefits. Costs of maintenance. Every ship commissioned. Everything. Hundreds of billions of dollars. Year after year. All of it for fucking nothing, because, get this…
the enemy might shoot back.
US Navy has officially replaced American corn farmers as the biggest fucking welfare queens on the planet.
Are US aircraft carriers just impossible to take out or what? They have barely targeted them at all
>>2731359They need to come closer first. (they won't)
>>2731306>chronic wasting disease deerThis is also a million times worse than the public thinks it is, these deer are in your corn.
>>2731359Someone posted a fraction of some paywalled substack analysis, yes they're really hard to take down, maybe pay that stupid paywall (>>2730991) and repost it here lol
>>2731320>vs the US interceptor requirementsvs radars. interceptors require tracking and the radars take decades of labor hours. the billions of dollars are an approximation of value. they are basically priceless and wont/cant be replaced. and on top of that all the r&d plus they dont even work and are a cope stop gap because profit motive cant reliably build weapons for purpose but instead maximize margin and graft
Despite the constant sentiment manipulation & endless Treasury interventions, WTI & US Gasoline are still stubbornly hovering around ~87 and ~2.7, respectively, both very high in their own right but definitely under-priced compared to what will happen once these artificial coping strategies wear off in their effectiveness.
>>2731367Two. THEN three.
>>2731368US still has their strategic oil reserve, do they not?
>>2731367I think it's 2, and the war will drag for years, or possibly even a decade, fundamentally destroying and reshaping the world economy.
>>2731359They're basically airfields that you can plop down right outside your enemy's range and shit fire on them with impunity. You can't even torpedo them because they have so many escorts.
>>2731367trump will claim victory at some point (never mind material conditions) and leave
>>2731374Biden drained a lot of it during his admin. Don't know at what state it is now and if Trump managed to build it up.
>>2731374Yes but unless they specifically subsidize local consumption, they're going to slam consumers with the increased prices. it's a worldwide market after all. Also the ME produces urea which is used for medicines and for fertilizers worldwide, so you've got a big thing coming regardless.
>>2731325They don't show you what happens to Pyle after that.
>>2731378leave how? that's the copium answer
>>2731367US chimps out and kills a bunch then declares victory and limps away. gets totally fucked and never ever recovers. no nukes no impeach. cements status as second rate soviet collapse style shithole. infrastructure never gets fixed and big borg fucks off to euro/japan/singapore making a new 300m underclass low wage labor
>>2731380>you could just reverse image search and figure this all out from (context) yourself and the (table)or you could just post the context the first time instead of spamming every image you see that lights up the lizard part of your brain
>>2731387lol no learn to read
it's lookin like usa-israel really did destroy iran's ability to mine the strait. shame.
>>2731381It's at 415M barrels, up from its low of 347M in June 2023. At its peak it was at 638M. Unfortunately, the line is currently going up at a rate of ~1.65M barrels per month.
It's snowing in Tehran right now. Does that like, impact anything at all? Are snowmen halal?
>>2731394they're loading up rafts with mines brother, that's straight up impossible.
>>2731397yeah it's probably hyper toxic oil snow
>>2731397US ground troops brought the wrong color camo
>>27313672 then 1. It will be years of fighting and the aftermath retreat will be more humiliating than retreating Saigon and domestic instability and the global economy will see decades happen in years
>>2731367Most likely: Israel drops the nuke then china and russia cuck out and don't respond in kind
then probably 1, 2, 4
>>2731394Iran probably does not want to mine the strait because you can't unmine it later
>>2731397While my mother may have yelled at me for making them as a child, I personally do not believe snowmen are a violation against the creation of tasbih. Ibn Uthaymeen of Saudi Arabia issued a fatwa to this effect regarding snowmen specifically, but I do not believe that a child's snowman inshallah was what Allah had in mind when prohibiting idolatry.
>>2731394uygha they have a thousand speedboat mine-layers, a,ongside numerous other methods to mine it (like with their missile mine-layer variant).
Quit obsessing over slop footage where they only take out 3.
>>2731408Nooo, it's just like my HoI4s, where you need planes and ships specifically designed to drop mines!
i swear people looked at one of the poorest militias on earth effectively close the red sea for two years and learned nothing from it
What Israel Isn’t Telling You (8:41)
<Novara Media - 2 hours ago
>Those were air sirens blaring across various sites in Israel on Tuesday morning, warning residents of incoming missile attacks from Iran. Now, according to Israel's state-run health ministry, just 13 people have been killed in those strikes. According to its state-run military, while several Iranian missiles have struck the country, most have been intercepted. And we've seen very little evidence to suggest otherwise. There's been limited available footage of damage within Israel, and what we've seen appears relatively superficial in most cases and filmed long after the strikes have taken place. There's almost something calm about it, too. No panic, no upset, nobody's crying. There's also been relatively little footage of Iranian airborne missiles over Israel. Now, that's very, very different to previous attacks by Iran on the country. In 2024 and 2025, we had no difficulty finding verifiable footage of Iranian missiles over Israeli airspace, as well as their interception by Israeli defenses. In 2026 though, that's a lot more difficult. Partly because social media is flooded by AI slop like this. Now, you might think filling social media with AI generated rubbish showing new Iranian weapons or Iranian successes aids Iran, though the AI itself is very bad. But it might also help Israel[…]
>>2731411It was not a hecking wholesome heroic chungus Cawadooty mission.
"It will last for 3 hours"… Revolutionary Guard announces the launch of wave 37 of "True Promise 4"
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard announced at midnight Tuesday-Wednesday the launch of the 37th wave of Operation “True Promise 4”.
The Guard said in its statement that the wave would include "striking enemy bases in Erbil, the Fifth Fleet and Be'er Ya'akov in Tel Aviv."
He reported that in wave 37, he used "Khaibar" and "Qader" missiles with multiple warheads weighing one ton and "Khorramshahr" missiles.
This was confirmed two days ago by Brigadier General Majid Mousavi, commander of the Aerospace Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, who stated that no missile with a warhead weighing less than one ton will be launched from now on.
<The Revolutionary Guard indicated that wave 37 would last for at least three hours.
The “Khatam al-Anbiya Headquarters” also confirmed that the wave “includes intensive launching operations to take revenge on the United States and the Zionist entity for targeting civilians in the country.”
In this context, sirens sounded in large areas of the occupied entity after the Guard's statement was published, in preparation for the arrival of Iranian missiles.
<Combined attack in wave 36
In the 36th wave of Operation "True Promise 4" on Tuesday, the Revolutionary Guard targeted sites in the occupied territories and US military bases.
He said, "We carried out a combined attack that included volleys of Qadr, Emad, and Khyber Shakan missiles and swarms of suicide drones."
Iran continues to attack American bases and occupied territories in a defensive response to a joint aggression launched against it by the United States and Israel , which has been targeting residential neighborhoods, civilian infrastructure and natural resources since February 28.
>Oil still at $85
Nothing here makes any sense.
>>2731367I don't think any of those tbh. I think this will last for months, I think Israel and America will walk away relatively unscathed(that is what they would call even 100s of billions in losses, which don't matter because America still has the money printer and Israel still has America as the paypig.) I think all the rest of the vassals will suck it up as always and thank America and Trump for their blessed leadership. I think America will try to now fully embargo Iran even after the straight gets reopened. I think Iran might stay relatively stable but they will be way fucked because they don't have a money printer.
Hate to be a party pooper but I think this will ultimately be another in a series of American shenanigans and blunders that only hasten the decline of US power perhaps but nothing more than that.
I just hope Iran fucks up Israel hard. Blow up the Knesset damn it. Blow up every single Israeli building of any symbolic importance.
>>2731405They don’t want to, but they have to. It’s one of their only ways to seriously damage israel, the united states, and other western powers economically. And should the country survive after the invasion, they will have more breathing room to recoup their losses anyways.
>>2731423Markets are a vibes-driven entity. If Iran can manage to keep Hormuz closed for a month, then the paradigm will shift into doomerism.
>>2731423Only 2.5% of the oil in the strait is destined for the US, as opposed to 37.7% going to China. Closing the strait is playing directly into America's hands.
>>2731432Came up with that narrative all by yourself, Langley?
>>2731432It's part of the international market. It was $115 just a couple of days ago. What gives?
>>2731432So trve Ziosister. The war can go on forever and not hurt these treatlerites. 10 years at least!
https://spectrumlocalnews.com/tx/south-texas-el-paso/news/2026/03/10/trump-announces-new-u-s--oil-refinery-to-open-in-brownsvilleBROWNSVILLE, Texas — President Donald Trump announced plans to open the first oil refinery in the United States in 50 years, and it’s in Brownsville, Texas, according to a Truth Social post.
Trump stated that the project, which is a $300 billion deal funded with the help of Indian multinational conglomerate Reliance Industries, will expand American jobs along with other economic prospects.
“It is because of our America First Agenda, streamlining Permits, and lowering Taxes, that have attracted Billions of Dollars in Deals coming back to our Nation,” Trump said. “A new Refinery at the Port of Brownsville, will fuel U.S. Markets, strengthen our National Security, boost American Energy production, deliver Billions of Dollars in Economic impact, and will be THE CLEANEST REFINERY IN THE WORLD.”
>>2731423they are doing market manipulation.
For example i remember a year ago, anti-imperialist economists saying that israel's economy was fucked as they were printing war tokens to keep the war effort going by bribing soldiers to keep doing the genocide. but because Israel isn't a normal country, the US has put pressure on institutions like Moody's to prevent its credit rating from being downgraded. they're just cooking the books.
>>2731223We will have confirmation if we get reports that also Netanyahu's driving skills were subpar.
>>2731432in this house we believe: iran has completely obliterated israel
the strait of hormuz being closed will kill all americans
netenyahu is dead
>>2731444lizard brain posting again
>>2731367I think this is Americas 1905 moment. Israel is done for and will fully collapse in the coming decades. The gulf will kick America out, trump will lose the midterms dramatically but the dems will be unable to accomplish anything and trumpsim will turn even further into domestic sphere and by 2032 there will be a communist revolution.
>>2731450yeah yeah yeah sure
>communist revolutionlol no
>>2731448Why didn't Brandon do that during the Ukrop war?
at least 75% of iran's TELs are destroyed, their ballistic launch rates are in the toilet and israel's intercept rates are still well over 90%.
you're all delusional.
>>2731450Also China will land on the moon.
Iran's economic blackmail has failed and they have no cards left to play, this war is effectively already over.
>>2731456<day 11<Jannies still leaving Onion up for these faggot zios. Why are they like this?
>>2731428They can only release 4.4 million barrels of oil per day. The Strait of Hormuz typically has 20 million barrels of oil per day.
>>2731456stay in /USApol/ felix, thats where you belong
>>2731454Because that would lead to a shortage. If natural supply has decreased, but you keep prices the same, then you just run out of the commodity and get a shortage.
>>2731464So we're gonna get a shortage?
>>2731432This is why China has been pushing Iran to end this war on unfavorable terms, proving that they are a Capitalist country that only cares about their own profit margins.
>>2731468Would a socialist country not require oil?
>>2731465Yes, but it will be something like this:
>Prices are kept artificially down>Run out of oil>Prices skyrocket since oil has constant demand from cars to plastics>Shale bros start drilling again>Prices lower but not as beforeThe Irony of all this is that playing games with oil will not hurt america in any meaningful way. In the end, trying to close hormuz will only help american shale oil companies.
The only way Iran can "win" this war is to bait the US into an invasion. Other than that, Iran has already lost and you losers will never admit it even after the Zionists level 10,000 buildings every other day.
>>2731461probably being suppressed artificially
>>2731471it hurts USA-Israeli financial piggies who have close relationships with Trump and will definitely be pressuring him to resolve shit in order to save their finances or else they'll withdraw support from. it also damages the relationship between USA-Israel and all the countries affected by the blockade i.e. the gulf countries, Japan, India, Taiwan and others. if those countries are smart they should be looking for ways to decouple themselves from the USA-Israel sphere of influence.
>>2731432ziosisters are about to learn that price increases are global in a globalized economy
>>2731473Israel is winning so hard that they won't even let journalists and citizens release photos and videos of the destruction in Tel Aviv. Take that Iran
>>2731470>JPOST>IDF sources>IDF AnnouncedI asked for Hroofs, not hearsay from the entity.
>>2731472This is better, but this is just zio cope. I want some objective, non-partisan analysis of the situation.
>>2731475if those countries are smart they should be looking for ways to decouple themselves from the USA-Israel sphere of influence.
Yeah, about that. They aren't smart and they all have westoid cargo cultist brainrot. You cannot expect them to decouple from their idol.
>>2731471>>2731475Strait of Hormuz passes 20 million barrels of oil per day. Suppose 5 million barrels of that is let through to China and friends. US strategic oil reserve is currently at 415 million barrels. That's… a concerning number.
>>2731479I posted Rybar here earlier, a literal employee of the Russian MoD and you all rejected it. I don't think there is any information you would acccept.
America started this was because they are owned by Israel, and Israel wants war.
But then it must be asked "why is America owned by Israel?".
Part of it is because Mossad have kompromat on Trump and other US officials, to be sure.
But the greater part of it is this: fundementalist evangelical protestantism, christian nationalism, dominion theology, christian zionism.
In that case we can view this as a war between rival theocracies. With claims of WMDs as a fabricated justification.
Hegseth, Huckabee, and however many others see this as their chance to cause the literal biblical apocalypse and end times. And so of course man-made ideas such as international law and war crimes are totally irrelevant to them.
In that case the only way to prevent future wars like this PERMANENTLY once this is over, is to end Christianity as a force in America.
I have no clue how you do that but I think more anime and video games are a good start. Autistic nerds tend to be atheists.
You have a better chance at making atheists via anime than via literal atheistic propaganda.
Don't fall for the people calling Islam based because of this either. It will be no different.
>>2731468beijing is ultimately only accountable to its own citizenry. if you want to stop the war organise a general strike in the USA. china didn't start this shit, and the USA engineered the scenario where iran cannot back down.
>>2731483t.me/rybar
The eleventh
day of the war took place against the backdrop of new massive strikes on Iran , ongoing attacks by the Iranians and their allies on American targets in the region, and growing consequences for shipping, the oil market, and the Persian Gulf states .
➡In Iran , the Greater Tehran metropolitan area was again hit, with an IRGC underground complex linked to ballistic missile production, as well as facilities in Karaj . Ahvaz , Bandar Abbas , and Bushehr were also hit , with satellite footage later appearing of the aftermath of the airbase and arsenals being destroyed.
➡Against this backdrop, the US continues to tighten controls over information: Planet Labs has increased its delay in publishing satellite images to 14 days, and the media is increasingly talking about pressure on the OSINT community.
➡Israel recorded new Iranian ballistic missile and suicide drone launches overnight, targeting central Israel and parts of the north. Air defenses were activated over the Gush Dan metropolitan area , and reports surfaced online of a possible strike on a satellite communications center in southern Tel Aviv, though no confirmation was given.
➡On the Lebanese-Israeli border, IDF forces continued strikes in southern Lebanon , including al-Khiyyam, Aynas , Kfar Sir, and al-Rihan. Hezbollah forces responded by attempting to attack northern Israel using drones and ballistic missiles , but no significant confirmed results were recorded during the day.
➡In Iraq , particularly active events were taking place in the north of the country. Attacks on American facilities, Kurdish infrastructure, and associated communications hubs continued in Erbil and Sulaymaniyah . Another MQ-9 Reaper was shot down in Basra , and American aircraft struck Hashd al-Shaabi positions in Kirkuk province and the al-Qa'im region .
➡The Persian Gulf countries remained under attack overnight , although overall there were fewer launches than the day before. In Kuwait, Patriot air defenses were activated against Iranian missiles, with the Ali al-Salim air base again the likely target . In Saudi Arabia, explosions were heard near the Prince Sultan air base . In the UAE , air defense activity was again detected over Abu Dhabi and Dubai .
➡The most high-profile strikes occurred in Bahrain . Iranian drones struck the Millennium Tower hotel in Manama . Simultaneously, attacks continued on Sheikh Issa Air Base and facilities associated with the American presence.
➡In the UAE, ADNOC, the largest national oil company, is under attack in Ruwais . A fire broke out at the facility, and a shutdown at the refinery itself could affect a significant volume of fuel processing and increase pressure on the global oil market.
➡London has abandoned plans to send the aircraft carrier Prince of Wales to the Middle East, and Donald Trump has publicly appealed to Recep Tayyip Erdogan to become more actively involved in the campaign against Iran.
➡The cost of the war is also increasingly being discussed in the US and Western media. According to American media reports, the US may have spent over $5.6 billion in munitions to repel the initial Iranian attacks alone , and the total cost of the operation may already exceed $10 billion .
📌By the end of March 10, the war was increasingly damaging not only military infrastructure, but also oil refining, shipping, regional trade, and political ties around Iran.
>>2731483Also, I suggest you read Andrei Martyanov. He makes glowies seethe.
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/ >>2731491no you silly burger lol
>>2731484Welcome to leftypol Sam Harris.
retard here
how fucked am i if i go long on oil today?
thank you for your attention to this matter
Unpopular Opinion:
China wanted the war in Ukraine to distract from Taiwan
Russia wanted war in Iran to distract Europe and America from Ukraine
Israel is working for cucktin.
>>2731500put the house on it
>>2731500Imagine you asking if toilet paper was a good investment during the peak retard hours of COVID.
>>2731506>who was jewish>ignores the mossad connectionWAPO gets the rope.
>>2731507corona general told me to buy a bidet which honestly worked out pretty well
>>2731502on it boss
>>2731506I genuinely think America would be better if every single corporate journalist was given the firing squad.
>>2731509>bidetNuclear energy is your bidet. Any questions?
>>2731511That's also antisemitic.
>>2731484Uhh no, it's because of jewish organisations, like AIPAC, the ADL, the ZOA, the RJC, DMFI, etc etc, and the sheer weight of money behind them, the infiltration of big tech and little tech, wall street, the news (look how many unit 8200 staff are in cable news networks). This has been going on long before the fig leaf of Christian extremists was in play. The problem is jews, judaism, and jewishness. It's extremely weird to bring up muslims and christians and not even mention the most obvious connection.
>>2731506Can you believe some inbred retards here are looking a gifted horse in the mouth over the term Epstein class? You literally get a free pass to link capitalists directly to pedophiles and somehow think that is bad propaganda? Completely insane.
>>2731514at this point breathing while goyim is antisemitic. no one cares no matter how much they cry about antisemitism.
>>2731517I've been saying since last year when all this shit came back into focus again that the Epstein Files were basically being handed free agitprop on a silver platter
>>2731512how do i wipe my ass with rosatom exactly
>>2731519Meh. I lived long enough to know half the country wishes they were in the epstein class while the other half just wants to be in the LGBT version of the epstein class. America is a doomed freakshow. They would rather ally with epstein than with leftists because leftist policies will lead to lower treats and gibs. You cannot have communism without destroying cargocultism.
>>2731517>>2731519mods ban these antisemites
You lose nothing by hiding all glowies.
>>2731529The exodus from egypt
Circa 2026 BC
>>2731500different retard here
I asked chatgpt on how to oil and I have no idea what the retarded thing is even yapping about since I've never been into financial voodoo
so which funny acronym stocks should I get? any good resource for this kind of thing for a complete beginner?
zion don and his cronies will manipulate the market for a few weeks but it's definitely soaring after that
I guess I'd ask you guys, even cashing out a meager 5% gain on this retarded ass casino can be downright life changing to my third world ass and I trust you guys more than /pol/ or /biz/ (marginally)
>>2731529What, did US occupy or something?
This war has proven pretty definitively that it's Israel controlling the US, not the US controlling Israel. It may have once been the reverse but it's not anymore. Trump is Netanyahu's dog.
This war only makes sense in context of Israel. It only benefits Israel - they're crippling their biggest adversary in the region. It does not benefit the US - economically it's a complete disaster, it's fucking up oil prices and global trade.
>>2731532XOM and CVX have good dividends.
But problem is if you want to make money on stocks without leverage, you need a LOT of moolah. Options are too risky I wouldn't touch that. But the prices are too high for any meaningful investment.
>>2731537>It only benefits IsraelLiterally zero benefit to doing this. Getting completely cut off from oil and gas is just the start since nobody can even go to work safely while Iran drops bombs every few hours. These retards actually believed everyone would just march into hell with them but the gulf states being incredibly cucked actually worked out great this time
>>2731539hey, are you from Iran?
>>2731537US contemplated war with Iran for decades, /pol/ boyo. Its imperialist position mandated it. Don't fucking cry about it, just because you're too obese, too impotent, and too late, because drone and missile tech made success too impossible, but imperialist necessity didn't go away.
Imagine the collapse of the petrodollar. Imagine the US dollar becoming paper, and rushing back into the US out of all the reserves, because it's just not necessary, anymore. No more deficit spending for you.
>>2731542just asking, I could be assuming things.
>>2731537you retards keep saying this shit while having nothing of substance to back it up beyond the hypothetical of there being even more Epstein stuff that Mossad is using to blackmail the US ruling class, as if after it already coming out that they're all literal baby-eating pedophiles resulting in no concrete changes to US politics isn't enough indication that there isn't anything Israel could release that would materially change anything.
>>2731544I am an American, I have no connection to Iran whatsoever other than my mascot is a 90s TV show about Sinbad the Sailor.
>>2731500classic liquidity trap
>strait stays closed price goes up but nobody can buy your derivitives>strait magically opens price goes down but at least you can sell at a losseither way you lose whatever gains you make. better bunker up for the energy crisis instead.
>>27315341) It's risky to have them there in case of drones attacks or incoming cruise and ballistic missiles.
it's expensive though. European airports are charging upfront the parking space. and because the planes aren't flying, that's 100% loss.
2) Yes.
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/02/10/763825/US-slave-state-for-Israel-expansionist-policies-RectenwaldNetanyahu pushing to turn US into ‘slave state for Israel’s expansionist dreams’: AnalystIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been deliberately steering the United States toward confrontation with Iran in an escalation that pushes America into a “slave state for Israel’s expansionist dreams,” says an American analyst.
In an interview with the Press TV website, Michael Rectenwald, an author and former professor, pointed to the strong Zionist influence in the US policy-making.
“The Zionist stranglehold on US policy prioritizes Israel’s aggression over American sovereignty. Netanyahu knows that provoking Iran draws in US forces and funds, turning our country into a slave state for Israel’s expansionist dreams,” he said.
He noted that Tel Aviv’s push to see an all-out Iran-US war is not “just a willingness” but “a calculated strategy to bleed America dry.”
Rectenwald, founder of the Anti-Zionist America Political Action Committee (AZAPAC), said Trump’s record stood in stark contrast to his campaign vows to end wars.
“He ran on ending endless wars and putting America first,” Rectenwald said, adding that in practice, his administration had “served as Israel’s munitions depot and ATM, bombing countries like Yemen, Iraq, Syria, and others at Israel’s behest while funneling billions in arms and aid to support Israel’s genocidal actions in Gaza and beyond.”
In Rectenwald’s assessment, the expansion of US military assets in the region signaled preparation for direct confrontation with Tehran. “Now, with increased US military presence in [West Asia], Trump is preparing strikes on Iran—not for American interests, but to appease his Zionist bosses,” he said.
“This isn’t ‘peace’; it’s escalating conflicts to advance Greater Israel fantasies, displacing millions and looting American taxpayers,” he added.
Rectenwald argued that the push toward confrontation with Iran could not be understood without examining Israel’s strategic calculus and its influence in Washington. He contended that Netanyahu had been actively seeking a broader war between Washington and Tehran.
“Netanyahu and the Zionist regime in Israel are desperate for an all-out war between the US and Iran, as it would eliminate a key regional rival while keeping the US entangled as Israel’s military golem,” Rectenwald said.
He noted that Trump himself had been complicit in this pattern. “Trump is no anti-war president; he’s a Jewish mobster puppet, dragging the US into more bloodshed for a parasitic state,” Rectenwald said, describing the president’s foreign policy as subservient to Israeli priorities rather than grounded in American sovereignty.
The risks of confrontation with Iran, he argued, were neither abstract nor hypothetical. Rectenwald said Trump had been fully aware of Iran’s military capabilities, particularly its missile arsenal.
“Trump is fully aware of Iran’s formidable missile capabilities, which have already pierced Israel’s multi-layered defenses and could devastate US assets and troops scattered across the region,” he said.
Despite that awareness, Rectenwald believes the president had been influenced more by hardline voices aligned with Israel than by strategic caution. He described Trump as “more beholden to Zionist hawks like those in his administration and the pro-Israel lobby that dictates US policy.”
In making his case, Rectenwald contrasted Iran’s posture with Israel’s record. “Iran hasn’t attacked US ships like the USS Liberty (that was Israel), nor does it control our political class or siphon our resources for genocide; that’s Israel’s playbook,” he said.
He argued that Trump had ignored the strategic dangers while appealing to domestic political instincts. The president, he said, had been “pumping up his base with pre-war rhetoric and aligning with figures who see siding with Israel as ‘good vs. evil.’”
Rectenwald warned, “Attacking Iran would be another disastrous war for Israel, not fought for America, endangering our troops and economy.”
The latest round of talks between Tehran and Washington took place in Muscat on February 6, mediated by Omani Foreign Minister Badr Al Busaidi. The delegations exchanged their views and approaches through Omani channels.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi described the process as a “good start” and said that the continuation of talks depended on refraining from threats and pressure.
However, Rectenwald repeated his warning against Israeli influence, which can derail the talks as happened in June.
“Trump isn’t acknowledging Iran’s power; he’s blinded by Zionist influence, risking catastrophe to serve foreign interests,” he said.
For Rectenwald, the stakes extended beyond a single military decision. The broader issue, he argued, concerned sovereignty and governance. “We must end this control and reclaim American governance for Americans,” he said.
>>2731552Have Iranian strikes been imprecise? Those destroyed radars seem pretty toasted.
>>2731553>literally who>Michael D. Rectenwald is an American author, former professor, and lobbyist. A member of the Mises Caucus of the Libertarian Party, he has written about 19th-century British secularism and is a critic of the contemporary social justice movement.>According to a 2026 report in The Intercept, AZAPAC has endorsed far right figures and Hitler apologists. His most recent book addresses "the Jewish question."into the trash it goes
>>2731540It benefits Israel in that it benefits the Zionist project of Greater Israel. Obviously if you are just some working class schlub who happened to be born there it doesn't really benefit you (maybe if you survive and the project succeeds and you get lebensraum). I'm talking about the ones who actually control the respective countries. Even American imperialists don't actually benefit from this. This is driven purely by Zionists.
This isn't to excuse imperialists, we just need to acknowledge just how completely and utterly Israel now controls the US. The parasite has assumed full control over the host and is killing it. If you're an accelerationist you can celebrate this but I personally despise Zionism with all my heart and want it destroyed.
>>2731543>US contemplated war with Iran for decadesYes but the execution matters.
This can't simply be handwaved with a generic imperialism explanation. There's no benefit to imperialists to blowing up oil refineries or destabilizing the most important trade route in the world. There aren't even any serious plans to overthrow the Iranian government and install a vassal state. It's not imperialism the way we've understood it for the past 100 years. It's not like 1951 or even the two Iraq wars.
All they are doing is blowing up Iran's military installations and trying to take out their missile launchers. There are no goals besides that. And that strategy only makes sense for Israel, they want Iran to stop firing missiles at them so they can be unchallenged in the region while they destroy Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, etc.
>>2731545see above
It doesn't make sense in the lens of American imperialism.
>Epstein stuffIf they have pictures and videos of Trump in the act that would be massive. What we have is pretty damning if you're a normal person but most of it is written statements, and Trump supporters are illiterate.
>>2731537non-sequitur. taking out Iran is a long-term agenda for the US. they want to remove another Russia/China ally and cut China off from ME oil and trade and finalize US hegemony in the region. they were high on Venezuela and Syria success and had too much hubris. The fact that it has turned into a debacle doesn't mean the US didn't want to do this for its own reasons. They didn't expect it to go this way.
Pool's still closed
>>2731560ISRAEL IS ONE OF THE MAJOR PLAYERS IN THIS WAR HOW THE FUCK CAN YOU CALL THEM A NON-SEQUITUR?
Actually delusional.
>>2731556Zionism is the biggest threat to the world, it outweighs all other concerns.
>>2731560Iran doesn't really matter to the US, Russia, or China. It absolutely matters to Israel.
>>2731556Dunno, just posted because it was Iranian state media and I trust Iran.
>>2731559if Israel was doing anything that the US didn't approve of, they would simply cut off all funding and disappear overnight. Israel is otherwise a worthless patch of desert that is artificially propped up by US funding to turn it into a forward operating base for US imperialistic ambitions in the region, where its value lies in being strategically useful to an empire like the US. this is really not complicated.
>>2731564pretty sure the biggest threat in the world is capitalism and US global imperialism, which Israel is only a symptom of, Mr. Langley.
>>2731567it's useful propaganda for Iran but that's about it.
>>2731566ah so he's like Great Value™ Nick Land
>>2731559>This can't simply be handwaved with a generic imperialism explanation. There's no benefit to imperialists to blowing up oil refineries or destabilizing the most important trade route in the world. There aren't even any serious plans to overthrow the Iranian government and install a vassal state. It's not imperialism the way we've understood it for the past 100 years. It's not like 1951 or even the two Iraq wars.All they are doing is blowing up Iran's military installations and trying to take out their missile launchers. There are no goals besides that. And that strategy only makes sense for Israel, they want Iran to stop firing missiles at them so they can be unchallenged in the region while they destroy Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, etc.
Skill issue is not an excuse. Don't hef 2 b med cuz bad.
>>2731456No the biggest threat is zionism, which is the mechanism to turn jewish supremacy into jewish world domination.
>>2731566Sounds like a good guy, I like him
>>2731563"this shows Israel controls the US" is the non-sequitur
>>2731565Iran matters a lot to China. It's a major oil supplier and China's gateway to West Asia. It would be pretty much squeezed out of the region if Iran fell.
>>2731576China has an extremely diversified oil supply, enormous reserves, and a domestic production system set up for war time. Most Saudi oil goes to China, that wouldn't change. If China really neededa secure Iranian supply it would have built pipelines via Pakistan already.
The whole Iran-Russia-China axis is massively exaggerated by the west to slander all three countries and present a threat that doesn't really exist. Just as Russia continued without Syria, and China continued without Venezuela, so they can both continue without Iran. I'm sure China would love to bleed the US in Iran but they are not particularly attached to the regime there, which has handled the relationship with China quite poorly over the last few decades.
>>2731009aaaaaand there it is. they were lying about the numbers of people killed. HAH.
>>2731554not at all imprecise, but I am guessing they are scare that the next escalation is to destroy civilian airports or their planes after the US/Zionists attacked Iranian's own commercial planes.
Now they're talking about Iranian sleeper cells, Mossad false flag terror attack is imminent.
The War on Iran: A Geopolitical Economy (26:42)
<Radhika Desai Geopolitical Economist - Mar 9, 2026
>No event has saturated the news since that fateful day of February 2026 than the US Israeli war on Iran. Already too many lives have been lost. They include those of 175 school girls and their teachers in a primary school who died because of the hallucinating AI that was powering the identification of targets by the aggressors. The Islamic Republic's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Ali Khamenei, was assassinated because he refused to go into hiding, choosing instead to perform his duties as leader from his office in Tehran. Over 1,300 Iranians in total have lost their lives. And this number is, of course, mounting with every hour and every day that this war continues. The US death toll we are told is six service people who have died. But of course the figures will mount and certainly President Trump has warned the American people that more casualties are in order. The end however is nowhere in sight. Trump that Trump has called for unconditional surrender and by all accounts he's unlikely to get it given that Iran has so far been su more successful at achieving its own primary aim of survival than the United States or Israel have been in achieving any of their successively declared aims. calls for negotiation, while understandable, ignore the simple fact that having been attached attacked twice in the last six months while undertaking goodfaith negotiations, Iranian authorities have no good faith partners to negotiate with on the American and Israeli side. One thing is clear, the ferocity of the US-Issraeli attack is inversely proportional to the clarity of their aims and strategies. How should we understand this war and its historical role, its political and geopolitical economy, its place in the trajectory of capitalism and imperialism? […]
>>2730960>>2731432(You)
>>2731433>>2731436>>2730945>>2730945<the US war on Iran has effectively cut Middle Eastern energy exports to China triggering a countdown on China’s 100 day reserves; >>2731578China can withstand losses of allies and influence here and there, but these add up. Losing Iran means US imposing hegemony over the Middle East and using it to squeeze out China everywhere it can, in addition to moving on to the Caucuses and elsewhere with that newly gained influence. China needs partners and trade routes. The US is trying to squeeze them shut one after another and that can only be absorbed for so long. China can weather some of it here and there, it can lose Venezuela and adjust, but losing Venezuela (and potentially all of Latin America to follow) and then losing West Asia starts to become very bad news, a compounding problem. And as for Saudi oil going to China, that can change too, and it's easier to change on a whim if the US and Israel have established hegemony over the region by toppling Iran.
>>2731262materialism BTFO
>>2731277iktf
>>2731367>Israel & USA use nuclear weaponsnot happening
>Trump resigns or is impeachednot happening
>Likely global war eruptsnot happening
>Trump admits defeatdefinitely not happening
Washington Post: Drone strikes key logistics hub for US diplomats in Iraq
The Washington Post reported early Wednesday that a major U.S. diplomatic facility in Iraq was attacked by a drone on Tuesday, according to a security official and an internal U.S. alert.
The source explained that the strike was carried out by the Iraqi resistance, and targeted the Diplomatic Support Center in Baghdad, a widely used logistics center for American diplomats near Iraqi military bases and Baghdad Airport.
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq announced early Monday a broad escalation in its military operations against "enemy bases in Iraq and the region".
On Tuesday morning, an MQ9 drone belonging to the American occupation forces was shot down in the northern part of Basra Governorate with appropriate weaponry.
A recent assessment of the damage to the U.S. Embassy in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, which was attacked in a suspected drone strike, showed that parts of the facility are "irreparable and must be closed."
In a related context, Reuters reported that after the images of the damage at the American bases were published, Planet Labs, the satellite operator, expanded restrictions on access to its images.
>>2731460banned for homophobic antisemitism
>>2731561this is still to the left of "C"PUSA's policy on the Iran war.
>>2731277>This war has left me terribly depressed. I saw some footage from Minab, the strike on the school girls, and I feel like shit afterwards.First time? We kill children by the truck load all the time. That's what we in America like to call an "oopsie-daisy"
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/13/us/us-airstrikes-civilian-deaths.html
>The military never conducted an independent investigation into a 2019 bombing on the last bastion of the Islamic State, despite concerns about a secretive commando force.
>In the last days of the battle against the Islamic State in Syria, when members of the once-fierce caliphate were cornered in a dirt field next to a town called Baghuz, a U.S. military drone circled high overhead, hunting for military targets. But it saw only a large crowd of women and children huddled against a river bank.
>Without warning, an American F-15E attack jet streaked across the drone’s high-definition field of vision and dropped a 500-pound bomb on the crowd, swallowing it in a shuddering blast. As the smoke cleared, a few people stumbled away in search of cover. Then a jet tracking them dropped one 2,000-pound bomb, then another, killing most of the survivors.
>It was March 18, 2019. At the U.S. military’s busy Combined Air Operations Center at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, uniformed personnel watching the live drone footage looked on in stunned disbelief, according to one officer who was there.
>“Who dropped that?” a confused analyst typed on a secure chat system being used by those monitoring the drone, two people who reviewed the chat log recalled. Another responded, “We just dropped on 50 women and children.”
>An initial battle damage assessment quickly found that the number of dead was actually about 70.
>The Baghuz strike was one of the largest civilian casualty incidents of the war against the Islamic State, but it has never been publicly acknowledged by the U.S. military. The details, reported here for the first time, show that the death toll was almost immediately apparent to military officials. A legal officer flagged the strike as a possible war crime that required an investigation. But at nearly every step, the military made moves that concealed the catastrophic strike. The death toll was downplayed. Reports were delayed, sanitized and classified. United States-led coalition forces bulldozed the blast site. And top leaders were not notified. >>2731568It is fairly complicated when the US is destroying its carefully mantained scaffolding of vassals to do the bidding of israel, in your words, a useless patch of desert artificially propped up. the other anon is right, I think anyone who isn't seeing it as the US choosing israel over every other geopolitical cause is deluding themselves into thinking leadership is somehow more sensible and logical than it has clearly demonstrated to be over the past few years
Whether theyre fully dedicated to bringing out a shared eschatology to fruition or is it just because of a complicated scheme of coercion is a matter of future analysis but we need to contend with reality already, all explanations of israel being just another vassal state are falling apart
>>2731617US' tactic for this war to fool it's population into compliance is "Israel made us do it" or "Leave it to Bibi"
Will Iran lose the war? Defence expert Pravin Sawhney explains (28:20)
<Frontline Magazine - Mar 9, 2026
>In this episode of Frontline Conversations, defence analyst, author, and director of the Force Institute, Pravin Sawhney, examines the rapidly escalating war in West Asia following US–Israel strikes on Iran, and Iran's retaliatory attacks across the region. He argues that the conflict is fundamentally a “war of survival” for Iran and contends that it is unlikely to lose so long as it preserves its sovereignty and territorial integrity. Sawhney discusses the evolving military dynamics of the conflict, including Iran’s missile capabilities, the limits of Israeli air-defence systems such as Iron Dome, and the growing role of satellite navigation and modern warfare technologies.
>The conversation also explores the geopolitical dimensions of the crisis. Sawhney analyses the strategic support Iran is receiving from China and Russia, the shifting calculations of Gulf Cooperation Council states hosting US bases, and the economic risks posed by instability in the Strait of Hormuz. He argues that the war could reshape global deterrence politics and accelerate the transition to a multipolar world order.
>(Timestamps in description)
>Highlights:
>-Why Iran views the war as an existential struggle for sovereignty
>-The military balance between Iran, Israel, and the United States
>-The role of Chinese satellite systems and modern warfare technologies
>-Russia and China’s strategic backing of Iran in a multipolar world
>-The vulnerability of US bases in the Gulf and changing GCC calculations
>-Economic risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and global energy flows
>-How the war could reshape global deterrence and world order
>ndia’s diplomatic stance and the debate over its strategic autonomy
>Perfect for viewers interested in:
>-West Asia geopolitics and the Iran–US–Israel conflict
>-Military strategy and modern warfare technologies
>-The role of China and Russia in global power politics
>-Energy security and the Strait of Hormuz
>-India’s foreign policy and strategic autonomy
>-The emerging multipolar world order
>>2731592none of those anons, but that's a grossly oversimplification. to put it mildly, it's not that simple. Supply and demand affects everyone in the planet where every supply chain is connected. where even the maga hats sold in trump tower are made in China.
When the Ukr/Rus war started, very little of the oil went to the US, and yet had a meaningful impact in gas pricing in the US.
now, is it to attack China? the biggest losers are Asian markets sucking up the dicks of the US sanctions on Russia, i.e. Samsung's Republic of Korea and Anime's Republic of Japan. so that trump 'calculated an attack on China' is straightforwardly ridiculous, specially because of how oil and gas, both being fungible marketed raw materials (
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fungibility.asp) work.
it's all a complete fucked up miscalculation from trump, who believed that Iran would've react as Venezuela did, besotted with that scenario, without understanding that Iran is a regional military power in the Middle East.
>>2731616The US has murdered at least 4.5 million people so far in the GWOT and that number continues to climb as both parties wholeheartedly support the continuation of America's endless wars in the region. We are still bombing Somalia and Libya on a regular basis, for example.
>>2731619See, this is a stupid answer because Israel is probably the least popular cause across the US political aisle
>>2731619Bullshit. Trump immediately came back and walked back Rubio's statements where he sorta blamed it on Israel. They are absolutely not trying to pin this on Israel. They're calling everyone an antisemite who draws a connection just as you all are.
https://www.washingtonjewishweek.com/a-new-war-revives-some-old-tropes-about-jewish-and-israeli-influence/A New War Revives Some Old Tropes About Jewish and Israeli Influence
>As the U.S. and Israel engage in a joint assault on Iran, accusations that Israel or Jewish influence drove America to war are resurfacing, reviving the uncomfortable narratives, conspiratorial rhetoric and fears of an antisemitic backlash that shadowed the Iraq conflict of the early 2000s.
>On March 1, the Anti-Defamation League warned on X that “antisemitic and anti-Zionist groups are framing the U.S.-Israel operation against the Iranian regime as the latest evidence of the so-called ‘Zionist war-machine’s’ efforts to co-opt American foreign policy to advance Israeli and/or Jewish interests.”It's funny how you guys never look in the mirror and ask yourself why your line is indistinguishable from the ADL's. Meanwhile based Jews are like Finklestein say the obvious. "It's because of Israel and the Israel lobby! Duh!"
>Finkelstein argues that while the Iraq invasion in 2003 primarily reflected US strategic interests, the current escalation with Iran is driven largely by the interests of Israel, with the United States playing a supporting role. >>2731630This is gonna make the anti zog theory people here mad lmao. They are going to call Finkelstein a poltard
>>2731623>it's all a complete fucked up miscalculation from trump, who believed that Iran would've react as Venezuela did, besotted with that scenario, without understanding that Iran is a regional military power in the Middle East.Ironically Iran may have acted similar or even Balkanized if Israel didn’t kill the opposition leaders. They artificially created the conditions of total war because. Who knows? Maybe the Nazis they got away with so much and of course they can just Walz into Iran and take it with no repercussions.
Also all these questions about who’s driving who. It’s clear the bourgeois are a mostly global class, disproportionately western *cough* so who knows what they were thinking in between doing insane amount of drugs and doing horrible rape and torture shit. We’re dealing with the historical end of the bourgeois as a class. They can’t advance anything or deal with the upcoming crisis. This is the Hapsburgification that caused the downfall of the monarchies. The isolation and exclusion created a bunch of failsons and daughters. Socially inbred and unable to adapt and completely parasitic on the very institutions their forebears created.
>>2731630someone tell norm that israel is actually an american puppet and you're an antisemite for saying otherwise
>>2731636Doesn't matter, the US and NATO have reserves and can outlast both Iran and (more importantly) China.
Iran's attempt at economic blackmail has already failed.
It's over for Iran. It was over the moment they let the US and Israel move all their assets into the region and refused to launch a surprise attack.
>>2731626>monopoly does not mean gas prices it means elimination of competitorsthat's not what we were talking about, were we? now, even if all the oil and gas produced in the Middle East and it's sold to China, that it's not sanctioned (i.e. Iran), were 100% state owned oil and gas (all O&G industries in the ME have some private ownership participation, thus the scenario is hypothetical and only serves as a maxima, also there are multiple 50.01% private-stock/private owned companies already supplying to China), you would have to argue that China's next suppliers that will be used to mitigate the problem will be filled by private companies only, which is very unlikely, given that Russia can, and will for the looks, participate in that. And the most likely candidates are Brazil, and West Africa, given their commercial relationships with China increasing, Kazakhstan (majority state owned production), Turkmenistan (Idem), Azerbaijan (Idem)…
so, again, a complete very grossly oversimplification and misreading trump as an absolute genius.
he's a moron that can't pronounce acetaminophen.
>>2731639Trump also wanted to corner China into buying American oil and gas during negotiations with Xi at 31st March. Americans really, really want that
>>2731649What fucking moral debt.
Is there some other Epstein-like pedo ring going on in USA? All those religious nuts are crawling out of the woodwork in support of Israel
>>2731642It’s been barely a week since the war started. Iran says they intend to keep this going till at least the midterms. You think things will be more stable by then? How about 2 years from now? We don’t know what’s fully happening but the idea this will be over soon is ridiculous.
>>2731646>that's not what we were talking aboutits what im talking about when discussing US imperialism
>>2731646>you would have to argue that China's next suppliers that will be used to mitigate the problem will be filled by private companies only,no you dont all oil is subject to manipulation by the US monopolies and their vassals in OPEC. world oil prices are set by petrodollar which is BP-Shell-Exxon. Russia does not independently set prices they are not an imperialist power and a local "monopoly" does not constitute a monopoly in a capitalist sense since it is subject to competition, not to mention that russia is a resource exporter underdeveloped periphery country hence its nearly neocolonial status on the world stage and its current ongoing liberation struggle parallel to irans.
>misreading trump as an absolute genius. he's a moron that can't pronounce acetaminophen.its has nothing to do with trump. wall street and the cia run corporate america not the clown figurehead they use for distraction. hes literally an actor from a wrestling company
>>2731626>monopoly does not mean gas prices it means elimination of competitorsthe US already has a global financial system literally dedicated to enforcing a monopoly worldwide without dropping a single bomb or firing a single bullet, and it had already being leveraged against iran. trump is literally destroying it as we speak.
>>2731655>the US already has a global financial systemthis requires a material base it cant run on vibes forever
>trump is literally destroying it as we speak.trump isn't doing shit. post ww2 petrodollar system has always relied on monopoly profits and has 3-4-5 times crashed in 73, the 80s, dot com, 2008, covid. each time they have to reinvigorate with a war of choice. imperialism is extraterritorial expansion driven by the falling rate of profit. shale gas fracking boom resets rop after 2008. why arab spring? why ukraine? why vuvezela? fracking market saturation. no room for domestic tech investment. rop drops. extraterritorial expansion necessitated.
get cucked by russian/iran china? other options? bring imperialism home. austerity. wage cuts. reprivitization of public assets. destruction of social services. workers fight back? crush them. this is the material basis of fascism.
rate of profit determines foreign policy not trump. read marx
>>2731653>no you dont all oil is subject to manipulation by the US monopolies and their vassals in OPEC. world oil prices are set by petrodollar which is BP-Shell-Exxon. Russia does not independently set prices they are not an imperialist power and a local "monopoly" does not constitute a monopoly in a capitalist sense since it is subject to competitionyou're just mudding you own argument here.
>>2731658or maybe you dont know what your talking about?
>>2731662you recognize at arbitrary points when does the US geopolitical scaffolding counts as imperial monopoly and when does it not, to sidestep the question of whether the US operates ideologically or not entirely
>>2731563a puppet is played not a player. israel cant strike iran without us mid air refueling
>>2731653>no you dont all oil is subject to manipulation by the US monopoliesthis is a contradictory statement. if that's so, why then ignite the ME if they were already controlled?
you can't have the
all oil is manipulated by the oil cartel, those countries can't do much about on China argument with the
they set ablaze the Middle East to control China oil intake argument.
the oil and gas prices manipulation and the O&G purchases are two concepts that you are confusing here. China will have O&G purchase access in the global market, as well other economies, less supply, it'll increase the prices, no matter how much you manipulate the markets with hoarding and, more importantly,
futures and
derivatives, btw, the two, the main and most important sources (or tools, if you like) of commodity speculation use by the the modern-day oil monopolies.
>>2731663this started with citing investopedia so sorry not taking u srs
>>2731652America has over 412 days of oil reserves and controls 50% of the world's supply, with only about 2% of it's oil coming from the strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, China has fewer than 100 days of reserves and depends on the strait for 54% of it's oil right now.
Iran's economic blackmail strategy has already failed. Iran's only chance now is to bait the US into a ground invasion.
The only winning play for Iran would have been a sneak attack launched in concert with October 7th, aimed at totally overwhelming the Israeli state with one huge, coordinated attack from Hezbollah, Iran and Hamas. Failing that, a sneak attack at any time BEFORE all of the American strike and air defense assets arrive in the region, which has taken months.
Iran let the Americans and Israelis take the initiative and dictate the terms of this war. It is over unless Iran can retake the initiative somehow.
>>2731669investopedia does not have a monopoly on words (nor have i checked it? i like scaffolding as a visual metaphor, i think that's the word you're protesting) anyway im glad you conceded defeat
>>2731663Haha, the curent regime is driven by blackmail (epstein/mossad), feelings and greed.
>>2731667>this is a contradictory statement. no its not
>>2731673but but the _
futures_ and _
derivatives_
i underlined them so that means its not capitalist bullshit!
>>2731671you sir keep saying this as in the Ukr/Rus war didn't affect at all the eergy prices in the US, a country that had little imports of Russian oil and gas.
again, you keep missing the term, fungibility, for the phrase
oil and gas are fungibles commodities.
Remove 20-25% of world supply and prices spike for everyone no matter of where that specific oil and gas were flowing. A buyer in Germany doesn't need to import Saudi crude directly to feel a $150/barrel price shock.
>>2731667> if that's so, why then ignite the ME if they were already controlled?because it's vibes, and when it's vibes and when it's material basis is entirely up to me, please take me seriously now!!!
>>2731677another episode of positivist retards being absolutely incapable of understanding a changing situation because it doesnt match their static model
>>2731663>idealism runs the world thanks for sharing
>>2731671>The only winning play for Iran would have been a sneak attack launched in concert with October 7th, aimed at totally overwhelming the Israeli state with one huge, coordinated attack from Hezbollah, Iran and Hamas. Failing that, a sneak attack at any time BEFORE all of the American strike and air defense assets arrive in the region, which has taken months. I am the kind of guy who says ZOG and stuff, but I don't think most of Israel's influence in the US has to do with Christianity or the Holocaust or any of that. I think it's just because they are really good at what they do. I mean the Christian and Holocaust angle certainly help them a lot, but it's not like either of those things would just arise organically in the USA, it's because they've been strategically leveraging these random ass arguments through their control of finance, media, government, other institutions. American politics is just a den of whores and thieves. Other countries could beat them at their own game but they're either too stupid or they just don't fucking care to do it. I think the stupidest of all are the fucking Euros. They could've been in control of America by now but they're so limp-wristed and retarded they are controlled by America.
In the case of Iran, they should've played the fucking game. They should've made some grand overture about apologizing for kidnapping the embassy hostages, the fucking thing the boomers will never let go of, and all sorts of stuff. They should've cozied up with the rest of the US vassals in the Middle East. They could've had this all in the fucking bag if they were smarter, but instead they prefer to be edgy with the Death to Amerikkka shit! Even if at the same time they do try to cozy up to America with the Ayatollah doing all his "we love Jesus!" tweets on European Christmas and Ahmadinejad and his love of American college basketball and etc.
>>2731667are manipulation and control the same word? please actually respond to posts in the thread and not conversations in your head.
>>2731684look at the evidence provided for 'this is a contradictory statement':
>>2731683They should've also tried to make peace with all these diasparoid freaks too.
>>2731675Lol. It's a symbiotic relationship between the two at the top but there's struggle and divisions within their ranks, mainly because of mossad gaining complete control over the orange blob warring against the other branches of government.
>seething zionists reject their exposure by material analysis and promote idealism as an alternative
>>2731690inventing your own posts to respond to isnt evidence
>>2731686>are manipulation and control the same word?meaningless distinction because the argument actually hinges on whether you can meaningfully "eliminate" the gulf states, and whether that advances the US monopoly over the explicit military alliance that is currently getting undermined.
>>2731696>meaningless distinction so you didnt understand the post and decided to have a fit about something you assumed
gg thanks for playing
>>2731697>so you didnt understand the postlmfao, you sound like a broken machine speaking words you barely undestand
>>2731686do you understand that monopolies do both price control and price manipulation right?
the latter usually to bring down competitors in their initial stages, the former usually after they have control of a market, but I digress.
do you understand that this
>>2731626 post is tacitly implying that
the US will use its oil monopolies to control China?
>>2731683>>2731689And the motherfucking Chinese too could be doing so much better psy-opping the US. I mean they don't have to because the US can't touch the militarily, but why the fuck not? God all these countries suck so fucking much at psy-ops. China, Russia, Iran. Look at their propaganda outlets directed at the US and HOW FUCKING SHIT THEY ARE! RT, CGTN, PressTV.ir SUCK SO MUCH ASS!
CGTN has had on FUCKING HAZ FROM INFRARED!
PressTV.ir has had on as a regular FUCKING JASON UNRUHE!
RT has had FUCKING CALEB MAUPIN as a regular correspondent!
Jesus Christ what is wrong with them? They employ all of our greatest fucking lolcows. How do I make a fucking PR agency for the enemies of America? I could do a so much better job.
>>2731698>>2731699>control China?did we not just go over how i did not ever say control?
>do you understand that monopolies do both price control and price manipulation rightplease stop reading investopedia and read marx. you are on a communist website you should know what these words mean in a marxist context or ask instead of starting fights with your retarded strawmen
>>2731695let me know when you conciliate these two contradictory statements:
you can't have the all oil is manipulated by the oil cartel, those countries can't do much about on China argument with the they set ablaze the Middle East to control China oil intake argument. >>2731682yes? that's what drives contradiction?
>>2731702first you are gonna need to rephrase that in english
>>2731703yeah thats what i said, reality is determined by the ideal conditions
So when Iran collapses and the entire resistance against Israel falls with it, what are you going to do to prevent the inevitable GP Ost 2.0 that will happen to create "Greater Israel"?
You should start planning and organizing that now, because that is going to happen soon.
>>2731702why would i need to do anything with statements
you made up lfmao
>>2731705we're actually arguing over a very specific contingency regarding trump's decision to bomb iran, not deliberating over the entirety of reality
>>2731706Israel is self-sabotaging and you take for granted Iran will collapse.
>>2731710Israel forced this and they will fail.
>>2731701>please stop reading investopedia and read marx.Marx:
>"The battle of competition is fought by the cheapening of commodities. The cheapness of commodities depends, ceteris paribus [all else being equal], on the productiveness of labour, and this again on the scale of production. Therefore, the larger capitals beat the smaller. … It always ends in the ruin of many small capitalists, whose capitals partly pass into the hands of their conquerors, partly vanish. The battle of competition is fought by the cheapening of commodities. "https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1867-c1/ch17.htmMarx understood that the bigger capitalist has price manipulation.
The only thing Marx didn't talk was what happens right after the monopoly is prime, i.e. when is not now the 'price taker', as Baran and Sweezy said, but a 'price maker'
https://www.marxists.org/archive/mattick-paul/1966/monopoly-capital.htm.
pseud >>2731704ok, grammarnazianon.
>>2731715>The only thing Marx didn't talk was what happens right after the monopoly is primeyes, after marx read lenin
>second link literally "anti-communist communism" >>2731718thanks for confirming that is not what my post says 👍
>>2731720oh, you don't like that flavor of communism, here,
pseudhttps://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1916/imp-hsc/ch01.htm>Cartels come to an agreement on the terms of sale, dates of payment, etc. They divide the markets among themselves. They fix the quantity of goods to be produced. They fix prices. They divide the profits among the various enterprisesLiterally, price makers.
>>2731721/pol/ go back to your rabbit hole.
trump isn't a smart genius in a grandiose plan to suffocate China.
he's a moron with the attention span of a fish with brain damage.
>>2731725not really sure how this contradicts what ive said but ok
>>2731724>two missiles launched from two directionsGuess those three-missile salvos won't be a thing for a while.
>>2731693>Ukraine sending drone expertsLol what the fuck are they gonna do to help?
"Welp. (Points at drone) There's your problem right there."
so the material analysis-kun is arguing that it's actually really smart to dismantle the military alliance with the gulf cartel by abandoning them to their own devices during a regional conflict because that means the US will get to replace it with, uh, another cartel in an uncertain future. this is why the war in iran is materially driven, chud!!!
>>2731727Those are the most difficult fish to catch.
They'll bite anything.
>>2731733spot on!
add that it's all an elaborate plan to destroy China.
>>2731738Yeah the part about China is the funniest. They'll be stronger when this is said and done.
>>2731733>it's actually really smart hey look more things i never said. i said imperialism is extraterritorial expansion driven by the falling rate of profit. i never said anything about it being smart. if i were to say something about it i would actually say its contradictory. one of the inherent contradictions of capitalism in its monopoly stage in fact. perhaps one of the primary contradictions even.
lenin might even say that it is one of the reasons why imperialism is moribund, and rotting alive, since one of the principle features of monopoly, being the quintessence of capitalism in its imperialist stage, is its overripeness, its tendency not to build productive forces, but instead to live off rent, to cannibalize productive forces, and in doing so to become its own grave digger.
not by choice but by material necessity dictated by the logic of the profit motive, the motor of capitalism itself. nothing at all about it being "smart" or even a decision made by an individual at all!
fucking idiot
>>2731730Can ya write any caption or description damnit? You think I know where that is just by the skyline and unique architecture alone?
I'm not a damn Araboo, nor am I fucking Rainbolt. I'm terrible at geoguessr! Cater to my white western treatler brain!!
>>2731740>hey look more things i never said.you got me there, that was extra. what i'm trying to argue is that this decision is counter to expansion and actually motivated by a specific ideological commitment
>>2731741That made me kek pretty hard thank you
>>2731749>motivated by a specific ideological commitmentwhich has a material basis
>>2731741God damn idk why that got me so good but that is so fucking funny
>>2731752>10 seconds lengthDoubt
>>27317582nd video is from june, i remember that one because the israeli guy in it sounds like a british guy saying "the fuckin shock"… maybe he is for all i know
>>2731765btw the ships largely stopped going through before iran even put the mines down because of the insurance rates going through the roof
Idk about y'all but personally I think that Iran could fire even more missiles at Tel Aviv. There are still too many buildings for my taste
>>2731713>7400 in stockpileThat's generous.
>>2731765Commander-in-Chief, by the way.
>>2731772>Epstein, who was jewishOh thanks I was unsure given the name and all the pedophilia
>>2731772i had no idea epstein was jewish, i think it bears repeating a lot more in case people weren't aware
⚡️ 🔺UN Special Rapporteur; The US attack on the school is a humanitarian disaster and an unforgivable act!
🔹Anis Calamard, prominent human rights activist and lawyer: There is almost no doubt that the school was targeted by the US.
🔹Our initial investigations also indicate the US. You mentioned The New York Times; Human Rights Watch has also come to a similar conclusion. Let's recall that 150 children were killed in this attack. This is an action that clearly violates international law.
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