/leftypol/ - Leftist Politically Incorrect

==why doesnt iran invade kuwaitt

>>2875681
We're in the middle of that process lmao, compare the US right now to even ten years ago

>>2875804
>compare the US right now to even ten years ago
bombing productive forces like always?

>>2875587
>It's well within their ability to topple Tehran
short of multiple nukes I just don't see how? Even if they manage to shut down all oil exports, it's not like the Islamic Republic will fall immediately
>>2875632
>UAE
sure, but they don't have significant military and mostly can only throw money at non-state actors
>Israel
Not sure how able they actually are, isn't the domestic situation getting pretty dire for the IDF after years of conflict?
>KSA
I kind of doubt they can domestically handle being in a coalition with Israel for long after the genocide.

As for America's westoid allies, their leaders also face low popular support tbqh. Some of the smaller EU countries could be press-ganged into it, to try to keep NATO together in the face of Russia.

Ive always wondered why the UAE with all their wealth never built/hired a merc army like in MGS. You'd think they have use for that right now.

>>2875842
Russia is a non factor, they burned themselves out against Ukraine, their military is a corpse EU lawmakers find useful to make up as a bogeyman to push their imperial ambitions. The ME countries - who already normalized their relations with Israel - will handle just about anything if infrastructure destruction from Iran and Houthis passes a certain threshold. Stuff like the US offering a nuclear deal to KSA are merely sweeteners. And I have little doubt that if Iran really bombs out oil production and particularly desalination plants the west won't have too much issue selling a "security intervention" to the plebs. Even China and Russia might balk at the idea of vetoing a UNSC vote like they often do when the US really wants to invade something.

The IRGC also might have ironically created a political vulnerability in Iran by ousting civilian power, in the case of a ground war if the US plays well they have a next friendly and subservient rulling class made up from civil servants unhappy of having been left on the bench. Just like Venezuela, no need to regime change to really change the regime.

>>2875632
>They have the troops although they'd need to do a coalition
No they don't
>Between UAE, Israel, Saudi Arabia they can bring some force to bear
Dogshit militaries reliant on Indian labor, Israel won't do shit but let Americans die in a sandbox while gleefully grabbing more land in Palestinian
>UK, Australia, Canada, maybe Germany
Half of these are busted after selling their equipment to Ukraine.

>>2875855
they do hire mercenaries, specially colombians

and iran has yet to retaliate against the uae since the war restarted

>>2875955
because they paid them $3 billion in cash

>>2875955
That might have been impressive 3 weeks ago, yea.

>>2874490
What of the Arak soviet?

>>2875340
>”Straussian cabal”
2005 called, they want their scapegoat back.

>>2875988
Israel to build base in Somaliland to target Houthis, says report

Somaliland will allow Israel to gather intelligence on and conduct operations against the Houthis, two Somaliland officials speaking on condition of anonymity told Bloomberg.
Israel has laid the groundwork for a possible base in the region: in June, a group of Israeli security officials visited the Somaliland coastline, people familiar with the matter said.
There they surveyed the beaches, in search of a potential site for a base or installation to fight the Houthi movement, which is officially known as Ansar Allah.
The site would be around 260km from Yemen, across the Gulf of Aden.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israel-build-base-somaliland-target-houthis-says-report

Is there any good reason for Houthis not to be bombarding Somaliland?

>>2876108
Didn't mean to reply to that post

>>2876122
Desert storm 2

Speaking of hecking based Iran freeing gulf slaves by bombing them, reports on the high mortality rates amongst workers in the lead up to World Cup 22 was dismissed by Iranian media who cited official Qatari "cause of death" certificates as refutation.

Iran’s Islamists don't even recognize the migrant labor slavery in the gulf lmao

>>2875632
>UAE, Israel, Saudi Arabia
Saudi Military is incompetent. Emirati military is tiny and incompetent. Both have barely shown a willingness to retaliate to Iranian attacks, there's no way they would contribute to a proper invasion. Israel is exhausted from years of fighting and currently tied down in Lebanon, plus they have made it clear that they aren't even willing to participate in the current phase of the air war. They're slimy fucks who cajoled the Americans into starting this conflict and are now content to sit back and let the goyim do all the fighting.
>UK, Australia, Canada, maybe Germany could be willing even
These countries have expressed zero interest in participating at all. Any country that won't even participate in bombing can't he relied on to participate in an invasion. A ground operation would require millions of troops, last for years, and most likely fail. The US alone doesn't have the manpower, none of their allies are so suicidal as to sign on to something like this, and America's own military leadership knows it would he a huge disaster.

iranian diasprea cry about being oppressed meanwhile i just saw some guy from khuzestan debut a picture of himself with an american flag tattoed on his body and a christcuck cross on ig lmao

>>2875632
>They have the troops although they'd need to do a coalition.

Then they don't have the troops.

>>2875858
>Russia is a non factor, they burned themselves out against Ukraine, their military is a corpse EU lawmakers find useful to make up as a bogeyman to push their imperial ambitions.

The Russian military is larger and better equipped than its been in decades.

>The ME countries - who already normalized their relations with Israel - will handle just about anything if infrastructure destruction from Iran and Houthis passes a certain threshold.

How are these countries going to handle anything when their essential infrastructure is destroyed, they have no means of generating revenue, and their primary military patron is so denuded of material that it can't supply the means to prevent that destruction via AD or destroying Iran in the first place?

>And I have little doubt that if Iran really bombs out oil production and particularly desalination plants the west won't have too much issue selling a "security intervention" to the plebs.

What good is Saudi Arabia's security if its oil infrastructure is already destroyed? Why would people be convinced to throw more good money after bad when if things got to the point you describe, if Trump was able to defeat Iran the very next day production would take years to begin again, and many more to restore to pre war levels? People are already against the war, so why would they change their minds about supporting it just because the gulf states fucked around and found out?

>The IRGC also might have ironically created a political vulnerability in Iran by ousting civilian power, in the case of a ground war if the US plays well they have a next friendly and subservient rulling class made up from civil servants unhappy of having been left on the bench.

The regime seems like it's not going anywhere. They not only just had the biggest funeral ever for their murdered leader and his family, but they're bodying the terrorist state that has terrorized them for decades. Even if these civil servants tried to seize the government, why on earth would the irgc just allow them to do so? Why would the people support it when they're in a strong position, are arguably winning the conflict, and their enemy's stated goals are nothing less than their total subjugation and dismemberment as a state and civilization?

Revolutionary Guard: We targeted the American base in Azraq and destroyed a Patriot missile system and a spy balloon in Erbil.
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced on Friday the execution of the 27th wave of Operation “Nasr 2”, which included an attack on an American military base in Jordan and the destruction of an American air defense system in Erbil, northeast Iraq.
The Public Relations Department of the Revolutionary Guard said in a statement: "O great and sacrificing sons of Islamic Iran, your exceptional steadfastness makes the truth shine brighter in the world every day, and increases the isolation of injustice and arrogance. It also makes the fighters more hopeful of final victory, and instills despair in the hearts of the enemies of humanity."
She noted that the Aerospace Force of the Guard launched another "crushing attack" on the American base in Azraq, Jordan, inflicting serious damage on several warplanes and destroying a residence for American military personnel, resulting in the death and injury of a number of them.

In this context, the Public Relations Department of the Revolutionary Guard confirmed that "the child-killing American regime is clearly lying to its people and to others about the number of deaths," calling on research centers and media outlets to conduct a field investigation into this matter.
In another operation, Revolutionary Guard fighters destroyed a Patriot air defense system and a spy balloon belonging to the American regime in Erbil, and targeted the residence of American soldiers, according to the statement.
The Revolutionary Guard stressed at the end of its statement that "if the arrogant and illegitimate American regime continues its aggressive actions, it will face different responses."

<Iran's Revolutionary Guard is urging civilians to stay away from secret US troop residences in the area.
Earlier, the Revolutionary Guard warned "the general public in the countries where American soldiers are stationed to stay away from them," after "many officers and soldiers of the aggressor American army left their bases for fear of Islamic fighters' fire, and took up buildings in the cities as places to commit their crimes."
In a statement, the Guard urged people in those countries to "immediately move away, within a radius of 500 meters, from their places of deployment, in order to preserve their safety."
He called on them to report new locations of US occupation forces via the official public relations account of the Revolutionary Guard.
Iran has been experiencing daily American attacks for about 13 days, with renewed aggression. The attacks have focused on the western and southern parts of the country, and have affected many vital ports and bridges.
In response to renewed American aggression, the Iranian armed forces are launching attacks on American bases and interests in several Gulf states, as well as Syria and Jordan.
https://www.almayadeen.net/news/politics/%D8%AD%D8%B1%D8%B3-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AB%D9%88%D8%B1%D8%A9--%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA%D9%87%D8%AF%D9%81%D9%86%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%82%D8%A7%D8%B9%D8%AF%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A3%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%B1%D9%83%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A3%D8%B2%D8%B1%D9%82-%D9%88%D8%AF%D9%85%D8%B1%D9%86%D8%A7-%D9%85%D9%86%D8%B8%D9%88

Al-Quds Brigades: The occupation's aggressive measures will only bring it further escalation and resistance.
The Al-Quds Brigades, the military wing of the Islamic Jihad Movement, confirmed on Saturday that "the increase in the pace of heroic operations in the occupied West Bank is a natural and deterrent response to the ongoing Zionist violations against the blessed Al-Aqsa Mosque, our prisoners and our people in the West Bank and Gaza."
In a statement, the Brigades said, "The aggressive measures announced by the criminal enemy government, including demolishing the homes of martyrs' families, expanding military operations, and accelerating settlement expansion projects, will only bring them more escalation and resistance."
She also pointed out that "choosing the appropriate place and time remains a valid decision for every Palestinian fighter to respond to this criminal enemy and its settler gangs."

In this context, the Al-Quds Brigades saluted the sons of the Palestinian people in the occupied West Bank who are bravely confronting the Zionist attacks, affirming their unwavering will to protect their land and property and preserve their existence. They also offered condolences for the martyrs whose blood stained the land, foremost among them the martyr Sheikh Farouk Ramadan.
The Brigades called on the sons of the Palestinian people in all places where they are to "strengthen national unity and intensify efforts to confront the Zionist enemy's plans and ambitions in every inch of Palestine, until God fulfills His promise of victory and imminent conquest."

This came after a shooting near Nablus on Friday in the West Bank, which killed a major who commanded a battery in the 411th Battalion of the 282nd Fire Brigade of the Artillery Corps, and a soldier in the 8119th Battalion of the 16th Jerusalem Brigade, according to Israeli media.
A young Palestinian man managed to seize an officer’s weapon and open fire during a settler attack on the town of Tell, southwest of Nablus in the northern occupied West Bank, killing two Israeli soldiers. Four Palestinians were reported killed and four others were wounded by Israeli and settler gunfire.
https://www.almayadeen.net/news/politics/%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%8A%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%82%D8%AF%D8%B3--%D8%A5%D8%AC%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A1%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B9%D8%AF%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D9%84%D9%86-%D8%AA%D8%AC%D9%84%D8%A8-%D9%84%D9%87-%D8%A5%D9%84%D8%A7-%D9%85%D8%B2%D9%8A%D8%AF%D8%A7

Sanaa: "Escalation for escalation" is the theme of the next phase after the Saudi aggression on Hodeidah
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs in the Sana'a government confirmed on Saturday that the "escalation for escalation" equation will be the title of the next stage, after the Saudi regime targeted Hodeidah Governorate.
The Foreign Ministry in Sana'a held the Saudi regime responsible for any developments that would result from this criminal step.
She said that "instead of complying with the legitimate and just demand to lift the blockade on Yemen, the Saudi regime committed a major folly that will cost it dearly."

<Ansar Allah: The recent crimes will not go unanswered.
For its part, the political bureau of the Ansar Allah movement stressed that “the Saudi enemy’s targeting of civilian facilities in Hodeidah and Kamaran Island is a dangerous escalation and an extension of the siege policy.”
The office added that "the Saudi enemy tried to compensate for its military and political failures by targeting the essentials of life for the Yemeni people," stressing that "targeting civilian objects is a blatant violation that places the international community before a moral and legal responsibility."
While affirming that "the recent crimes will not go unanswered," he reminded everyone that "the deterrence equation established by our people, leadership, and armed forces has become clear and firm."
He continued, threateningly: "A siege for a siege, ports for ports, escalation for escalation, and the continuation of aggression will only bring more losses to the aggressors."

<Saudi aggression on Hodeidah
This came after Saudi Arabia launched an attack on several vital and service sites in Hodeidah Governorate, western Yemen, on Friday evening.
Al-Mayadeen's correspondent reported that the Saudi aggression targeted the port of Hodeidah and facilities belonging to the Telecommunications Corporation in the city of Hodeidah, resulting in the injury of a worker in a building belonging to the Ministry of Communications.
The Saba news agency in Sana'a also reported that a Saudi aggression targeted Kamaran Island in Hodeidah Governorate, resulting in the injury of a woman.
In this context, Saba quoted a source in the Ministry of Defense in Sana'a as saying that the air defenses forced a number of Saudi military formations to leave the airspace.
In addition, the Joint Forces Command of the Coalition announced that it had carried out a "proportionate military response operation against legitimate military targets in Hodeidah Governorate."

The Joint Forces Command of the Coalition stated that "the port of Hodeidah was not targeted, and all Yemeni ports are open to maritime navigation," adding that it "will continue to take the necessary operational actions and measures to protect ships, the Kingdom's interests and assets."
A few days ago, the Yemeni armed forces announced the end of the 2022 truce, after Saudi aircraft launched an attack on Sana'a International Airport while an Iranian civilian plane was attempting to land there in order to break the blockade on Yemen.
Following this, and after a large popular mandate announced by the million-strong marches in Sana’a and a number of governorates a week ago, Sana’a announced the imposition of a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia , within the equation of “blockade for blockade”, which resulted in targeting ships belonging to Saudi companies in the Red Sea.
https://www.almayadeen.net/news/politics/%D8%B5%D9%86%D8%B9%D8%A7%D8%A1---%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%B9%D9%8A%D8%AF-%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AA%D8%B5%D8%B9%D9%8A%D8%AF--%D8%B9%D9%86%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%B1%D8%AD%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D9%82%D8%A8%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A8%D8%B9%D8%AF-%D8%B9%D8%AF%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A7%D9%84



The tit-for-tat strikes between Washington and Tehran… are they paving the way for a different military course?
The confrontation between the United States and Iran is witnessing a new phase of military escalation, with an exchange of strikes and an expansion of operations, at a time when field objectives are overlapping with political and strategic messages.
While Washington asserts that its operations aim to "undermine Iran's military capabilities," Tehran maintains that its responses are intended to maintain deterrence and prevent a shift in the balance of power. Against this backdrop, questions arise regarding the military messages conveyed by the nature of the targets, the limits of the airstrikes' effectiveness, and whether the confrontation paves the way for a broader escalation or remains within calculated parameters, potentially leading to a return to the negotiating table.

<Southern Iran: Target of US Strikes
In an interview with Al-Mayadeen Net , retired Brigadier General and military and strategic expert Ali Abi Raad believes that the American strikes did not achieve the results that Washington aspired to, but rather complicated the field scene and expanded its repercussions on maritime navigation security and energy lines.
Abu Raad believes that the Iranian responses were more extensive, and this was directly reflected in the movement of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, which put the American administration in front of two options: either to look for a political way out, or to move to a more escalated stage by expanding military operations to impose new equations.
He points out that the field indicators tend towards the second option, citing the strengthening of the American military deployment, the movement of cargo and refueling aircraft, in addition to the Israeli statements that confirmed Tel Aviv’s readiness for direct military intervention if Washington requests it.

He adds that Washington focused its strikes on Iran’s southern coasts, stretching from the port of Chabahar to the Strait of Hormuz, given their strategic importance, in an attempt to seize control of one of the most important maritime passages in the region.
According to Abu Raad, the continuous American bombing during the confrontation, which employed highly destructive bombs, targeted command and control centers, radar and air defense systems, as well as logistical infrastructure in Bandar Abbas, where the naval command of the Revolutionary Guard and the Iranian army is based. However, he asserts that these strikes did not achieve the results Washington had anticipated.

<US bases are within range of Iranian retaliation
In contrast, Abi Raad believes that Iran has succeeded in expanding the scope of its operations against the American military infrastructure in the Gulf, after initially focusing on targeting radars and early warning systems, before moving on to targeting command and control centers, interceptor missile launch platforms and ammunition depots.
He notes that the Iranian strikes targeted defense systems that protect the Al Udeid base in Qatar, the Al Dhafra base in the UAE, the headquarters of the Fifth Fleet in Bahrain, as well as the HIMARS systems in Kuwait.

He confirms that field data and satellite images indicate the evacuation of large parts of the “Al-Udeid” base and the “Arifjan” base, and the reduction of the American military presence in Kuwait and Bahrain, noting that the targeting of American bases in the Gulf has increased the importance of the “Al-Azraq” base in Jordan, which includes “F-35” and “F-16” aircraft, which prompted Washington to redeploy a number of its aircraft.

<Air strikes: a tool of pressure or a means to win the war?
Abi Raad emphasizes that air strikes alone have never decided any war in history, considering that military resolution remains linked to ground operations, which makes the current strikes, despite their intensity, insufficient to achieve the political and military goals that Washington seeks.
He believes that the continued reliance on air strikes reflects an attempt to impose new realities on the ground, but it is not enough to achieve a strategic victory, given Iran’s ability to absorb the blows and continue to respond.

<What about the upcoming scenarios?
Regarding future scenarios, Abi Raad believes that the American strikes will continue and expand to include deeper infrastructure inside Iran, and he warns that any escalation targeting energy facilities will be met with an Iranian response whose limits are difficult to predict, given that Tehran possesses military capabilities that it has not yet fully used.
Abi Raad largely rules out the scenario of a US ground intervention, noting that the airborne and paratrooper forces that Washington mobilized at the beginning of the crisis have returned to their bases in the United States.
He believes that the most likely scenario is limited airborne operations via two routes; the first towards the Iranian islands overlooking the Strait of Hormuz, and the second via Bubiyan Island to the Iraqi border and the Kurdistan Region, considering that this scenario explains, in part, the Iranian strikes that targeted Sulaymaniyah.

Amidst the ongoing airstrikes and escalating military rhetoric, the confrontation appears poised for further intensification, though there are no definitive indications of a full-blown ground war. With the interconnected battlefields and the proliferation of pressure tactics, the region seems to be entering a new phase of redrawing the rules of deterrence, while the course of the confrontation remains open to multiple possibilities, governed more by the realities on the ground than by political calculations.
https://www.almayadeen.net/reports/%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B6%D8%B1%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%AA%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%84%D8%A9-%D8%A8%D9%8A%D9%86-%D9%88%D8%A7%D8%B4%D9%86%D8%B7%D9%86-%D9%88%D8%B7%D9%87%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86----%D9%87%D9%84-%D8%AA%D9%85%D9%87%D8%AF-%D9%84%D9%85%D8%B3%D8%A7%D8%B1-%D8%B9%D8%B3%D9%83%D8%B1%D9%8A-%D9%85

Yemenis are bombing Saudi oil terminals atm.
I don't think this war is quieting down soon.

>>2876568
LMAOOOOOO

>>2876568
Are the Saudis just retarded? Why would they bomb the Houthis during this contlict?

>>2876957
>Why would they bomb the Houthis during this contlict?
Houths started a blockade in the sea and probably Saudi was bombing airports in the name of the puppet Yemeni government.

>>2877020
UAE and South Yemen secessionists guys could have just won if they waited some months, i don't know why UAE told them to rush Saudi border

IRGC says US warplanes destroyed on the ground
A spokesman for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said Iranian attacks destroyed US aircraft on the ground at bases throughout the region.
https://aje.news/avpieu?update=4804158

“Furthermore, 17 reconnaissance and operational drones, one F-15 fighter jet inside a hangar, one P-8 aircraft, one C-17 transport aircraft and 8 refuelling aircraft were also destroyed”, the spokesman said in a statement published by Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency.
https://aje.news/avpieu?update=4804158

Iran says it sold $18 billion worth of oil during war and ‘ceasefire’
Iran’s oil minister said it has sold $18 billion worth of oil during the war and “ceasefire” with the United States.
Mohsen Paknejad said sales generated more than 60 percent of the oil revenue forecast in Iran’s annual budget.
Lower risks to tanker traffic helped increase exports and enabled the sale of some of the 100 million barrels of Iran’s stored crude oil and gas condensate.
https://aje.news/avpieu?update=4804169

https://www.timesofisrael.com/2-israelis-4-palestinians-killed-in-gunfight-sparked-by-settler-raid-of-palestinian-town/

Look at the comments and tell me civil war in Israel isn't inevitable

saw it so why not post it here

US military leaders believe ‘effectiveness’ of attacks has peaked
It’s being reported by Axios that the US president was given a plan for what would have been a 14th night of airstrikes on Iranian targets, but instead did not order them.
Instead, he indicated that he wanted to give renewed diplomatic efforts a chance to work.
It’s also being reported that perhaps the 14th night of airstrikes was put on hold because there is a growing belief among military leaders that the effectiveness has reached its peak and that there wouldn’t be anything more to be gained by targeting more Iranian facilities.
https://aje.news/avpieu?update=4804219

>>2877108
Fucking hell. :(

>Statement | Iran condemns Ukrainian strike on its commercial ship, calls it a “dangerous widening the conflict”

>Iran’s Foreign Ministry accused Ukraine of a military attack on an Iranian commercial vessel in the Caspian Sea early Saturday, saying an explosion killed 1 sailor and wounded another.

>In a statement, the ministry called the strike a violation of the UN Charter and “a clear instance of an act of aggression” that it said could further inflame the conflict. It noted that the attack had been “explicitly acknowledged” by Ukraine’s leader President Volodymyr Zelensky, and described it as evidence of the “hostile and irresponsible” approach of Kyiv toward Iran.

>Stating that Iran “has had no involvement” in the Russia-Ukraine war, the ministry said the strike showed Ukraine had committed an international violation and dangerously widened the conflict. It called on the UN Security Council, European states and the international community to take a responsible position, and said Ukraine’s “governing body” must answer for what it described as a criminal and provocative act.

>Tehran said it reserved the right to defend its national interests and security under international law, and that responsibility for the consequences of the Ukrainian leadership’s “adventurism” would fall on Kyiv and “its supporters and instigators.”

>The statement followed Zelensky’s announcement Saturday that Ukraine had struck Russian warships and cargo vessels in the Caspian that Kyiv said were carrying military cargo between Russia and Iran. Ukraine’s Security Service named two ships sanctioned by the US, the Port Olya 2 and the Begey, and said it also hit a Lukoil oil platform, according to RFE/RL. Neither government’s account has been independently verified.

from Dropsite.

is the nato clown in ukraine urged to get praised by trump, to get praise from trump?

US faces limited choices in Iran standoff as Strait of Hormuz remains under Tehran’s control
With additional financial sanctions on Iran unlikely to have an immediate impact, US faces limited options to break the stalemate in war with Iran.
Michael Mulroy, a Former U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East, and a Retired CIA Paramilitary Operations Officer says there’s three options the US could take.
“One is that the US could capitulate with the Strait still closed. I don’t see that happening with the nuclear programme still up in the air, that would be viewed as a strategic failure for the United States.”
Mulroy says US “can either have a stalemate or essentially have a naval blockade with the Strait of Hormuz is closed, but that would cause issues all around the world and of course that would only compound over time as oil reserves dwindle and that really would turn this crisis into a catastrophe.”

“If US thinks they could work, and there’s some indication from the US intelligence community in the US that it won’t, increasing the size and scope of the target militarily could put pressure on the regime that would have them come back to the table with something that’s more on the line of what the US would accept. So it seems to be one of the latter options that the President is going to choose.” Mulroy told Al Jazeera.
“It doesn’t look like there’s any type of breakthrough in negotiations and Iran seems perfectly happy to keep controlling the Strait of Hormuz and Iran is still making billions of dollars on the sale of their energy but I do think that what US is going to focus on now is how to stop that, how to build an international coalition for secondary sanctions, there’s more that can be done, there’s more assets that can be frozen. But it’s not likely to have an immediate impact.” Mulroy said.
https://aje.news/avpieu?update=4804325

The Revolutionary Guard announces the destruction of 11 American fighter jets and helicopters on the ground during 15 days of fighting.
Iranian Revolutionary Guard spokesman Hossein Mohebi announced in a statement to Tasnim News Agency that Iranian armed forces destroyed 11 American fighter jets and helicopters on the ground while they were inside American bases during 15 days of fighting.
The spokesman for the Revolutionary Guard added that 17 reconnaissance and operational drones were destroyed, noting that among them were 8 new drones that had not been used previously.
In detailing the equipment losses, the Revolutionary Guard confirmed the destruction of an American F-15 fighter jet, a P-8 aircraft, a C-17 military transport plane, and 8 aircraft designated for aerial refueling.

In a related context, the Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, Mohammad Baqer Zolghadr, said on Saturday that any column of smoke that appears in the region indicates that a US military, security or financial site has been targeted.
In response to the ongoing American aggression against southern Iran, the commander of the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters announced yesterday, Friday, the adoption of a fixed and declared equation on the battlefield against American forces, which is that “for every martyrdom of a dear citizen of Islamic Iran, the fate of one American element will be destruction.”

This comes as Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps warned on Friday “the general public in countries where American soldiers are stationed to stay away from them,” after “many officers and soldiers of the aggressor American army left their bases for fear of Islamic fighters’ fire, and took up buildings in cities as places to commit their crimes.”
In a statement, the Revolutionary Guard urged people in those countries to "immediately move away, within a radius of 500 meters, from their places of concentration, in order to preserve their safety."
He called on them to report new locations of US occupation forces via the official public relations account of the Revolutionary Guard.
These warnings come in the context of renewed American aggression against Iran, with attacks concentrated on the southern regions, which prompted Iranian responses with operations targeting several American bases in the Gulf, Syria and Jordan.
https://www.almayadeen.net/news/politics/%D8%AD%D8%B1%D8%B3-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AB%D9%88%D8%B1%D8%A9-%D9%8A%D8%B9%D9%84%D9%86-%D8%AA%D8%AF%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%B1-11-%D9%85%D9%82%D8%A7%D8%AA%D9%84%D8%A9-%D9%88%D9%85%D8%B1%D9%88%D8%AD%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D8%A3%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%B1%D9%83%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D8%B9%D9%84%D9%89-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A3%D8%B1%D8%B6-%D8%AE%D9%84

Iranian Army: We have destroyed almost all US infrastructure in Erbil, Iraq
Iranian military spokesman Brigadier General Mohammad Akrami Nia announced that almost all US infrastructure in the Iraqi city of Erbil has been destroyed.
Brigadier General Akrami Nia confirmed that the anti-revolutionary forces present in Erbil no longer have the ability to carry out operations against Iran.
Earlier today, Iranian Revolutionary Guard spokesman Hossein Mohebi announced that Iranian armed forces had destroyed 11 American fighter jets and helicopters on the ground while they were inside American bases during 15 days of fighting.
The spokesman for the Revolutionary Guard added that 17 reconnaissance and operational drones were destroyed, noting that among them were 8 new drones that had not been used previously.
In detailing the equipment losses, the Revolutionary Guard confirmed the destruction of an American F-15 fighter jet, a P-8 aircraft, a C-17 military transport plane, and 8 aircraft designated for aerial refueling.
This comes in the context of renewed American aggression against Iran, with attacks concentrated on the southern regions, which prompted Iranian responses with operations targeting several American bases in the Gulf, Syria and Jordan.
https://www.almayadeen.net/news/politics/%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AC%D9%8A%D8%B4-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A5%D9%8A%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86%D9%8A--%D8%AF%D9%85%D8%B1%D9%86%D8%A7-%D9%83%D8%A7%D9%81%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A8%D9%86%D9%89-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%AA%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AA%D8%A7%D8%A8%D8%B9%D8%A9-%D9%84%D9%84%D9%88%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D9%84

The election of Haniyeh as head of Hamas: Implications and priorities
Hamas has chosen Dr. Khalil al-Hayya as head of its political bureau, succeeding the late Yahya Sinwar and Ismail Haniyeh. Al-Hayya won the confidence of the movement's Shura Council by a narrow margin over Khaled Meshaal, the movement's leader abroad.
The internal election system stipulates that a candidate must obtain 50% + 1 as a condition for winning the presidency, but none of the candidates obtained the required percentage in the first round, which necessitated a re-election.
The current election scenario brings to mind a similar scenario in the previous elections, which were repeated several times at the leadership level in the Gaza Strip, between Dr. Nizar Awadallah and Yahya Sinwar, with the latter winning by a small margin of votes over Awadallah.

<Elections amidst assassinations and war
The current elections are of particular importance, given the changes that have accompanied the Palestinian cause, the resistance, and Gaza in particular since the “Al-Aqsa Flood” battle.
The movement is credited with its institutional cohesion and its ability to conduct internal elections in its three regions: Gaza, the West Bank, and abroad, despite the repeated assassinations that targeted the majority of its political, security, and military leaders.
The specter of assassination continues to haunt the leaders and cadres, including al-Hayya himself, who survived an assassination attempt in Qatar. This will remain a major challenge facing the movement and its political and organizational stability.
However, this reflects an Israeli failure to undermine the movement's institutions and create internal chaos and confusion. The selection of Haniyeh also reflects the movement's reaffirmation of the Gaza Strip's continued leading role, status, and ability to influence the directions, decisions, and policies it will adopt in the coming period.

<The continuity of the paths of Haniyeh and Sinwar
The selection of Khalil al-Hayya, in its strategic dimension, reinforces the continuity of the paths drawn by the two former leaders of the movement, Haniyeh and Sinwar, which were linked to close relations with Iran and the axis of resistance on the one hand, and maintained special relations with Qatar and Turkey, and succeeded in building relations with influential countries, such as Egypt, Algeria, Russia and China, on the other hand.
These approaches have also garnered the trust of various actors and entities, and Khalil al-Hayya's election will strengthen the balance in foreign relations. Conversely, al-Hayya's defeat would have meant, for some parties, a departure from the principle of balance.

On the national level, Haniyeh was one of the most prominent leaders who supported the paths adopted by Haniyeh and Sinwar, which led to an unprecedented revival in joint national action, especially in the Gaza Strip.
The movement presented a unique model of national relations, reflected in joint national action at various stages, most notably the 2018 Return Marches, the joint political stance on elections, reconciliation and the Palestine Liberation Organization, and the unified and coordinated military resistance through the formation of the Joint Operations Room, which included 12 military wings of resistance factions.
These factions participated in the “Al-Aqsa Flood” battle, defended Gaza during the war of extermination, and presented an exceptional model of resistance, sacrifice, and steadfastness.

<The snake and the Gazan symbolism
The election of Khalil al-Hayya is not without symbolism that is difficult to ignore. He is from Gaza, which has been and continues to be subjected to genocide, and has become the center of the universe and events, and a standard for morals and values.
This man represents a microcosm of Gaza within the movement's leadership ranks; his family was wiped out, and the survivors were displaced within Gaza, moving from tent to tent in displacement camps, enduring hunger, thirst, heat, and cold alongside the rest of the population. Under the current circumstances, it is difficult for the people of Gaza to comprehend any other option.

In the public consciousness, Khalil al-Hayya is seen as an extension of the "flood" and its ongoing trajectory and repercussions, which remain unresolved. He also leads the negotiations in all their details, and his election signifies their continuation, given the anticipation of Gaza's citizens regarding their outcome and the hopes that these negotiations will protect them from plans of annihilation and displacement, alleviate their suffering, and rescue the humanitarian situation.

It is also believed that al-Hayya will seek to develop and revitalize the work in various arenas in support of Gaza, in light of what he perceives as its feeling of being let down by its surroundings.
The people of Gaza feel that the vast majority have abandoned them, leaving them in the clutches of a brutal enemy, including their brothers in the occupied West Bank, their families from the Palestinians inside Israel, and a quarter of them in exile and the diaspora.
On the other hand, they believe that the greatest hope was in countries friendly to or supportive of the Palestinian people, such as Turkey, Qatar and Algeria, while the people of Gaza look with all respect and appreciation to Yemen, which threw all its military, popular and geopolitical cards, especially Bab al-Mandab, for the sake of Gaza, and paid a heavy price in lives, money and property.
They also appreciate the positions of the resistance in Lebanon and Iran, while they had hoped that Gaza would be included in the latter's negotiations with the United States.
Al-Hayya will take into account all the positions expressed by the people of Gaza from the depths of their suffering, in light of his realization that the first priority is to save and support Gaza, after it has done all it can and more, and that national action requires the efforts of all components and arenas, and that everyone should stand to help Gaza, as it is still picking up its wounds, so that they may atone for part of their shortcomings and betrayal.

<Cairo negotiations and the urgent challenge
The urgent challenge facing Khalil al-Hayya is the course of the Gaza negotiations in Cairo, in light of the recent understandings with the mediators regarding various items, including the issue of weapons and the proposed formulas regarding the restriction, collection and storage of heavy weapons in Gaza.
This file still needs agreement with the Peace Council, and then the approval of the Israeli government, which requires Trump to personally play his role, as head of the council, and impose the agreement on Netanyahu, in light of the latter’s fear of the agreement’s impact on his electoral prospects.
This is the role that mediating countries should play, especially Türkiye, whose president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has close ties with Trump.
There is no doubt that the Gaza Strip, its suffering, and its fate will be Khalil al-Hayya's primary focus in the coming period. The greatest challenge is halting the genocide and the plan to displace Palestinians in Gaza, addressing their humanitarian needs, strengthening support for them, and alleviating their suffering through a comprehensive national and humanitarian mobilization.

>>2877146
Yea, maybe they're finally telling him 'No. We need those fucking weapons for our other imperial adventures.'.

>>2877150
There isn’t going to be any other imperialist adventures. It’s over…for them.

vidrel shows some pretty serious fires in Saudi.

Iran threatens to retaliate against Ukraine's attacks on its cargo ships by launching a formal complaint at the UN

>>2877175
Since Zizterland is so bad at war, its enemy has the capabilities to start another one against another nation.

>>2877175
when will people realize ww3 already started

>>2877165
Zionist Occupied Arab Monarchy

>>2877231
Yeah it started in Febraury 2022 just like how WWII already started in Asia years prior and eventually hit Europe and became an international conflict