>>2735705
sounds like a you problem
>>2735592>>2735619Either way they not only don't care about the people on the ships (that's a given)
They very actively, transparently are trying to put more people in physical danger. Basically it's like they are trying to burn ships (loaded with oil)
Why?
https://ddgeopolitics.substack.com/p/ghosts-in-the-terrain>“Israeli media are reporting that Hezbollah’s ‘ghosts’ are back at the northern borders. In southern Lebanon, fighters are emerging from hidden positions, striking with precision and creating a severe operational crisis for the Israeli army. Conventional forces are struggling to respond to this underground, highly coordinated network, showing how Hezbollah can turn the terrain itself into a strategic advantage.”>Hezbollah today operates across a multi-front strategic environment unlike anything the movement has faced in its forty-year history
>The Southern Front: The Historical Core>The Lebanese border with occupied Palestine remains the primary axis of confrontation — and it is now fully active. Israeli ground incursions into southern Lebanon have transformed what was long a deterrence line into a live theater of war.>Reuters, sourcing four Lebanese contacts directly familiar with Hezbollah military operations, reported on March 10, 2026 that Hezbollah has returned to its roots in guerrilla warfare, operating in small decentralized units, rationing anti-tank rocket use, and deliberately avoiding communication devices vulnerable to Israeli signals intelligence. The elite Radwan fighters — who had withdrawn from the south following the 2024 ceasefire — have returned. Their focus: Khiyam, near the intersection of Lebanon’s border with both Israel and Syria, which Hezbollah identifies as the most likely launchpoint for any full Israeli ground invasion.>An Israeli security source told Reuters that far from looking to de-escalate, Hezbollah appears to be stabilizing its ranks and executing decisions with increasing effectiveness. The group has reportedly assigned four deputies to every field commander — a redundancy architecture designed to ensure operational continuity even as Israel targets leadership.>The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) assessed that the rocky hills of southern Lebanon create natural chokepoints that restrict heavy Israeli armor to major hardened roadways — rendering conventional forces systematically vulnerable to anti-tank guided missiles, IEDs, and ambushes. Lebanese army Brigadier General Nicolas Thabet told international media in November 2025 that since deploying south of the Litani River, troops had discovered 74 tunnels, 175 rocket launchers, and 58 missiles. One complex in the Zibqin Valley — roughly 100 meters long, outfitted with power, ventilation, first-aid infrastructure, and food stores — likely served as a Hezbollah command center.>Majed describes this precisely:>“In response, Hezbollah is employing a military doctrine built around extensive missile capabilities and deeply entrenched defensive infrastructure, capabilities developed precisely for the scenario of a large-scale Israeli ground advance.”
>The Eastern Front: Syria’s New Wild Card>To the east, Syria’s political transformation has introduced a volatile new variable. The rise of Ahmad al-Sharaa — widely known as Abu Mohammad al-Jolani — to the Syrian presidency has reshaped the Lebanese-Syrian frontier in ways that remain dangerously fluid.>As Majed documents:>“Syrian airspace has been used or tolerated for Israeli aircraft launching strikes toward Lebanon, alongside attempts of Israeli airborne insertions into several villages in the Beqaa Valley, including Nabi Chit.”>Syrian officials and media figures have accused Hezbollah of attacking Syrian territory — accusations Hezbollah supporters have firmly rejected. Al Jazeera confirmed that Lebanese military sources reported Israeli ground troops present at numerous points a few kilometers inside Lebanese territory.
>The Internal Front: Lebanon’s Fragile Political Arena>The third potential front is the most politically charged. Lebanon’s deep sectarian divisions and economic collapse create conditions for internal instability if the government were to attempt to forcibly disarm Hezbollah. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam called Hezbollah’s military reentry a ‘strategic mistake.’ But retired U.S. Army Colonel Seth Krummrich, former chief of staff for Special Operations Command Central, told Al Jazeera directly that confronting Hezbollah battalions in combat would ‘deplete the army.’>Majed does not mince words:>“With the government reportedly backed by the United States, seeking to drive a confrontation between the Lebanese army and the resistance, and encouraging some domestic groups to clash with Hezbollah, this internal front remains volatile and could open at any moment.”
>THE REGIONAL NETWORK: HEZBOLLAH IS NOT ALONE>The three-front analysis would be incomplete without the broader network of allied actors whose involvement could fundamentally alter the trajectory of the conflict. As Majed writes:>“Armed factions within the Iraqi resistance have already signaled that they could move toward the Syrian theater if Damascus were to take military action against Lebanon under the leadership of Ahmad al-Sharaa.”>That signal is not hypothetical. According to the Critical Threats Project, the Islamic Resistance in Iraq claimed 29 separate operations against U.S. and Israeli-linked targets across the region in just the first week of March 2026. The IRGC declared on March 8 that Iran is prepared to sustain ‘at least a six-month intense war at the current pace of operations,’ claiming strikes on more than 200 sites linked to U.S. and Israeli bases across the region. The ACLED March 2026 Special Issue confirmed Iran’s retaliatory campaign struck the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain, and targeted vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.>Majed identifies the organizing principle:>“If multiple pressures were to unfold simultaneously, Hezbollah would be confronting a strategic landscape unlike any it has faced before: a military confrontation with Israel in the south, rising tensions along the Syrian frontier in the east, and a fragile political arena at home. Yet such a scenario would also carry the risk of transforming a localized conflict into a multi-theater regional crisis, drawing in actors across the Middle East.”
>THE GHOST OF VIETNAM: WHEN TERRAIN DEFEATS FIREPOWER>What is unfolding in the limestone hills of southern Lebanon is not new. History has already written this script — in the jungles of Southeast Asia, five decades ago.>The United States, commanding the most technologically advanced military force in the world at the time, could not destroy it.>The Viet Cong were so well entrenched by 1965 that they controlled where and when battles would take place — the definition of strategic dominance achieved not through air power or naval supremacy, but through terrain knowledge and underground infrastructure.
>The parallels to southern Lebanon are structural, not incidental:>Terrain as equalizer: Rocky hills restrict mechanized movement. Tunnels carved into limestone cannot be carpet bombed into submission.>Decentralized command: Hezbollah’s four-deputies-per-commander structure mirrors the NLF’s cellular organization, designed to survive decapitation strikes.>Strike and disappear: The ‘ghosts’ Ibrahim Majed describes — emerging from hidden positions, striking with precision, vanishing underground — are executing the Cu Chi playbook on Lebanese terrain.>Psychological warfare: The IRGC mass text campaign is an information-era version of Radio Hanoi broadcasts aimed at breaking civilian morale and undermining the legitimacy of the opposing state.
>The United States lost the Vietnam War not because it ran out of bombs. It had more bombs than it could drop. It lost because terrain and time favored the side fighting at home, inside its own geography, with infrastructure that no amount of aerial firepower could fully eliminate.>The question now is whether Israel — and its American backers — have studied that history. And whether the answer changes anything on the ground. >>2735708>>2735613Arya Yadeghaar is the best for instant updates, videos and statements from IRGC.
https://xcancel.com/AryJeayAlso why the fuck is Jackson Hinkle there? Not because I dislike him personally but he's known to post false or exaggerated "BRICS News" tier slop.
>>2735676lol they really gonna try to take the coast the morons
>>2735719WOAH they can turn the terrain ITSELF into an advantage!?!?!?!?
>>2735723Taking the coast won't do shit. Iran can still fire on vessels from the interior. They'll also be able to fire on US positions on the coast. You have to completely take over Iran to open up the strait.
>>2735730I think kegs and don might want more casualties if they think it will rally public support for their illegal war, but I could be wrong.
>>2735734I dont think sending a bunch of marines to their death is really the plan, would go contrary to their narrative of strength and would not be popular, its just that they're really stupid enough to believe they wont get slaughtered on arrival
We really posting OSINT slopstacks ITT? Sad!
>>2735737 (me)
mmh, or maybe they want to send them to lebanon to help israel operation. Still dumb, but not as immediately catastrophic
>>2735737Ur prolly right.
They're reaching levels of incompetence never before imagined.
>>2735734It absolutely would not rally public support. That only works if the war is perceived as defensive and most Americans despite their bloodlust are fully aware Iran didn't do anything to us. This is why the military keeps insisting every casualty was a "non-combat accident" because they don't want to admit the war is putting American troops at risk.
>>2735730But taking the coast could stop Iranian moves like mining the straits and a physical naval blockade?
What happened to the IraKKKi leftcom GOD who used to flex his sexy muscles on Siberia chuds and his theory on MLibs?
>>2735746Iran isnt capable of physically blocking the strait and it isn't necessary. It would stop mines though but I'm not sure that's something Iran even wants given they are still shipping oil to China through it.
>>2735746theres no way they can achieve that with 2500 marines, the coast is too big, mountainous and fortified, and the iranian army is massive
I think sending them to lebanon, or even iraq is more likely
>>2735744That makes sense, of course, but I was thinking about how irrational his cult is and how they keep them captivated with the algorithm and media's help. They live a rather insular existence, it seems, and I thought they just wanted to kill Muslims and watch it on TV. It's what repubs did during every other war.
>>2735751he's still around, probably just got tired of ban evading for derailing
>>2735757Undersea expedition
permanent
>>2735751lmao that retard had 0 theory, like all the so called "leftcoms" "anti campists" (they arent actually leftcoms, they're imperialist libs)
>>2735764Nice way of admitting you mass report those who dab on you
>>2735758for all intents and purposes the straight is blocked as long as insurers do not insure ships. doesnt matter wether their are mines or not.
>>2735770Yup, my point is you need control of the Iranian interior of you want to stop that from happening. It would take a multi million man operation that would rival WW2 deployment.
>>2735749>they think shooting some random cops is gonna "damage the core and foundation of the regime"they really have no idea what to even shoot at anymore, just random kills for terror
literal 40k chaos worshipers that think with enough innocent killing the gods will give them victory
>>2735773They were probably not even cops but some random Basij mfs, 40 year old weekend warriors manning a toll booth or something. The Islamic Republic is shaken to its core by their loss.
My whole week a has been that meme
>thanks for not saying “another crackker down” at my grandpas funeral. I know that took restraint
It's insane to me that nobody, not even the left, condemn Israel's assault on Lebanon.
Lebanon is a soverign country and literally you have Israel trying to annex the entire south of it while carpet bombing entire neighbourhoods in the capital, and not a single fucking word from Politicians, the left doesn't even acknolwedge it.
People talking about boots on ground in Iran, but there literally are boots on the ground constantly trying incursions into Lebanon to steal the south of the country.
>>2735755Its possible they are hitting israeli airforce bases and damagijg planes they would certainly target them and some missle have been getting through
(Despite what glonomous thinks)
>>2735780I condemn it , there the left has condemned it.
>>2735780You really gotta specify who you're talking about when you say "the left"
>>2735780Yeah, it's been difficult to find out how they're doing. I think nearly a million have been displaced and six hundred or so killed.
>>2735676Are we sure this guys are actually zionist and pro USAnian? Because seems like they are more thirsty for zogbot blood more than any motherfucker on this board
>>2735780>Lebanon is a soverign countryLel
>>2735767Leftcoms actually do a good job of making their acolytes read theory (much better than any ML org I’ve ever seen). The problem is this organizational discipline also leads to leftcoms more or less constantly LLM regurgitating ICP articles instead of doing any thinking for themselves. It’s the problem with organic centralism vs democratic centralism. They are basically the most cult-like of the tendencies but they have good organization (unfortunately they never actually do anything with this other than post increasingly incomprehensible memes in their discords or Minecraft server)
You also may be confusing Marxist anti-campists with liberal anti-campists who like to appropriate leftcom rhetoric. They aren’t actually anti-campists, in fact they are fine with expressing critical support for Palestine, they just don’t want to critically support China or Russia (which is completely within their right but they are disingenuous in their arguments)
>>2735780>not even the left, condemn Israel's assault on Lebanon.I don't know about the rest of the world, but in the US the left has their hands full with dancing the fascism away and getting arrested for threatening rightoid ecelebs.
>>2735780I think it’s just the media side is focused on Iran. But me and some other anons have talked about this. I said they would try to annex Lebanon at the start and if things were going as planned they would be pushing into Saudis Arabia
>US the left has their hands full with dancing the fascism away and getting arrested for threatening rightoid ecelebs.
I wanna argue but your right
>>2735772i see, my bad for having negative reading comprehension
>>2735770>insurers do not insure shipsI'm pretty sure they do. They're providing "war insurance" it's just that the premiums are massive. That's why Cuckbreth and Trump are telling people that the strait is open. They know that. But the crewa of the ships know that the likelihood of getting hit is so high that that most ships aren't even gonna chance it.
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