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/leftypol/ - Leftist Politically Incorrect

"The anons of the past have only shitposted on the Internet about the world, in various ways. The point, however, is to change it."
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>Previous Bake
>>2779513

<Calm before the storm edition


Latest News
>Nothing much is happening yet
<Zios getting rekt in Lebanon
>Trump seething over Pope, coped about being a doctor
<Mark Levin wants nukes to be dropped on Iran
>Oil prices are falling
<Blockade not working and ships are going through after paying Toll

>Important Links:

https://www.flightradar24.com/
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:52.7/centery:26.8/zoom:7
https://www.defconlevel.com/
https://oilprice.com/
https://www.pizzint.watch/
https://eam.watch/
https://www.gmcmap.com/index.asp
https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@54.2,31.0,7.1z
https://globe.adsbexchange.com/

>Useful Channels:

https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran
https://www.youtube.com/@AlexMercouris
https://www.youtube.com/@AlexChristoforou
https://www.youtube.com/@dialogueworks01
https://www.youtube.com/@DanielDavisDeepDive
https://www.youtube.com/@DannyHaiphongYT
https://www.youtube.com/@justinpodur
https://www.youtube.com/@IndiaGlobalLeft
https://www.youtube.com/@RichardMedhurst
https://www.youtube.com/@GDFofficial
https://www.youtube.com/@neutralitystudies
https://www.youtube.com/@prop_co
https://www.youtube.com/@CyrusJanssen
https://www.youtube.com/@breakingpoints
https://www.youtube.com/@militarysummary
https://www.youtube.com/@TheNewAtlas
https://www.youtube.com/@willyOAM
https://www.youtube.com/@GDiesen1
https://www.youtube.com/@theeastisapodcast
https://www.youtube.com/@GeopoliticalEconomyReport
https://www.youtube.com/@TheElectronicIntifada

>Useful Xitters

https://xcancel.com/IranObserver0
https://xcancel.com/araghchi
https://xcancel.com/conflict_radar
https://xcancel.com/TheCradleMedia
https://xcancel.com/AliAbunimah
https://xcancel.com/BrianJBerletic
https://xcancel.com/angeloinchina
https://xcancel.com/jonelmer
https://xcancel.com/MarkAmesExiled
https://xcancel.com/UrOrientalist
https://xcancel.com/MaxBlumenthal
https://xcancel.com/dreizinreport/

>Useful TG:

https://t.me/s/wfwitness
https://t.me/s/Middle_East_Spectator
https://t.me/s/enemywatch

>Useful Blogs/Podcasts/News:

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/
https://simplicius76.substack.com/
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/
https://sonar21.com/
https://www.moonofalabama.org/
https://thegrayzone.com/
https://www.middleeasteye.net/live/live-us-and-israel-attack-iran
https://www.podbean.com/podcast-detail/t687i-9b79d/War-Nerd-Radio-%E2%80%94-Subscriber-Feed-Podcast

<Thread brought to you by Harry Dresden

OPEN THE FUCKIN STRAIT

File: 1776181334893.png (1.04 MB, 1079x1782, ClipboardImage.png)

btw the US navy let a sanctioned chinese vessel go on with their business as usual through their blockade

File: 1776181365948.mp4 (3.03 MB, 640x360, vid.mp4)

Reposting Hezb FPV drifting kino from the end of last thread.

>>2781462
Wouldn't be surprising if they are doing everything to spite the orange king

File: 1776182046696.png (1.03 MB, 1080x1036, ClipboardImage.png)

OPEN. THE. STRAIT. OR I WILL FUCKING END YOU.

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Paper oil prices experienced two sharp drops, both based on fake news that Iran is still considering the US proposal from the Islamabad negotiations.

Traders are such cattle, man.

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>>2781463
HIZBULLAH TAKE MY ENERGY AAHHH

>>2781478
>Traders are such cattle, man.
yeah man it's flock/herd behavior. any collective group is going to feed off each other's panic even if many or even most of the individuals in that group don't "believe" the panic. because they're all thinking "man i better sell before all the other cattle panic sell. i'm not cattle like the other cattle. i'm a real human, but i don't want to hold on for too long or i'll lose out to the panic sellers."

so even the meta-game reveals that panicking is the optimal strategy. it's less about being more human/less cattle and more about getting out of an asset before the panic sets in. because panic is panic even when it's meta-panic

>>2781462
>>2781464
It’d make the perfect plot for a stupid 80s comedy.

>Meet Admiral Chad

>Chad’s been having a rough time
<“So the dumbass wanted us to open the strait for weeks, now he’s telling us to close it?”
>”American Pie” starts playing
<“Hold on, what’s the point of closing the strait if he’ll tell us to open it again in a week?”
>This summer
<“I declare this operation: IRANIAN VACAAAAAY!”
>The strait will be closed
<“Admiral, did you just hire hookers from Dubai?”
>But the beach…
<Random scenes of IRGC and USN guys having a volleyball match
>Is open!

National Lampoon’s Hormuz Holiday

did it actually happen? did the Great Satan actually take a palpable L here and get nothing to show for it? it's too good to be true.

How long until Taiwan is out of oil?

>>2781489
2 weeks


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>>2781454
>>2781477
No fat pedo retards allowed sorry

>>2781489
every source says taiwan has about 3 months of strategic reserves. it would be very nice to have a global countdown map with each country labeled without how much reserves it has left

Burger military should just coup Trump and Hegseth already.

>>2781494
taco tuesday ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)

>>2781477
>OPEN THE FUCKING STRAIT!
>I'M CLOSING THE STRAIT!
Can we get Business Plot 2 please? Surely the capitalists are tired of this senile retard.

>>2781462
Why is he so focused on market manipulation

It's pathetic that Iran agreed to a ceasefire and engage in talks that obviously aren't going anywhere while IDF is still massacring people in Lebanon

>>2781504
his followers are the ones who would be coupin'

>>2781508
you're retarded, there is no ceasefire. it's all Western propaganda

>>2781513
How many missiles has Iran fired at Israel and GCC the last few days?

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>>2781505
Cuz markets are fake and gay

>>2781504
if you think about it he's a genius kek
>iran won't open the strait
>so i'll stop my own blockade that way i can say i'm winning because nothing is getting through and that's what i wanted all along

>>2781512
You'd think Thiel/etc would be happy with Vance, especially if it's actually true that Vance is against the war in private.

Have been out of the loop for a couple of days. Have any new news come out about the pilot rescue

>>2781524
<Oil prices spike even faster because what little trickle Iran was allowing through is wiped from the daily supply as well.

>>2781487
I would pay PunishedJesus to make this a reality.

>>2781527
Thiel is a good goy he wouldn't defy Israel's mandate.

>>2781530
like i said. he's a genius of world historical proportions.

>>2781535
You realize that's actually catastrophically bad and that the world economy is headed for a crash that might be potentially worse than the Great Depression, right?

>>2781505
>Why is he so focused on market manipulation
because 10 billionaires attended his inauguration, he did a crypto rugpull on his own followers, and his entire domestic presidency, geopolitics aside, is a scam meant to look the public at the expense of the private

>>2781539
>meant to look the public
loot*

>>2781538
Nvm, I'm too autistic to detect subtle irony/sarcasm

Are we winning yet?

>>2781539
I think you can just say loot the public, because it's not at the expense of the private. it's still at the expense of the public

flood detected

reminder that this is the final month where a global famine can be averted

>>2781549
Too late.
>Btw. This song was created after the singer experienced a metro bombing so if it gives those vibes, you are onto something.

>>2781552
so trve sister

>>2781552
<This is what (((leftcoms))) actually believe

>>2781556
leftcoms legit sound exactly like /pol/fag trumptards coping that trump is winning

>>2781557
<June 2026
<the S&P500 has dropped by 80%
<traders are jumping out of high-rises
>leftcom tards still making non-sequitur rants about how everything is going according to the interests of the capitalist class

>>2781567
Nah I wouldn't put hope in the retarded markets, the actual economy will contract of course but they can always find ways to artificially prop up the markets.

>>2781516
it's hard to tell because there's misinformation and disinformation surrounding war zones

>>2781538
>>2781542
it's ok anon. i also am sometimes. i can dish it out but i can't discern it.

>>2781577
You can't bullshit your way out of physics.

>>2781567
fuck the leftcom spammer but i will never tire of pointing out that a market crash is nothing but the cannibalization of the petty bourgeoisie by the haute bourgeoisie. every single crisis in my adult memory (i.e. since 2008) has resulted in the richest of the bourgeoisie getting even richer, while the petty bourgeoisie get lumpenized (I would say proletarianized but this is the USA I'm talking about). The wealthiest bourgeoisie refuse to centrally plan production but happily semi-plan market crashes, wars, the destruction of surplus commodities, because destruction is always easier to plan than production. They simply inside trade information among themselves and short sell in advance of these semi-planned crashes, allowing them to prophet from the cannibalization. This was pointed out by Engels in less explicit terms as early as Anti-Duhring, but it's also elaborated upon in the chapter on Fictitious Capital in Capital Volume 3, and Rajani Palme Dutt of the CPGB wrote about the Destruction of the Productive Forces quite compellingly in his 1936 work "Fascism and Social Revolution" Chapter 3. This has been your Read Theory Reminder.

>>2781588
> allowing them to prophet from the cannibalization.
accidental poetic spelling error

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>>2781587
>oil would still be a gift at $500 a barrel but the economy would cease functioning because the profit margins would no longer exist

HE SAID IT. HE SAID THE THING. HE ADMITTED IT. OH MY GOD HE ADMIT IT.

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Just watched a video where Palestinians are being transported in a trash collecting vehicle and a hurt Lebanese teen gets killed by a drone. Need Zionism gone so hard that ugly face of its never shows up again

>>2781591
>if you're winning you don't typically threaten to destroy a civilization or look for scapegoats
famous bleeding heart humanitarians of checks notes The Wall Street Journal. I love how many of these absolute Holden Bloodfeast ass ghouls are pretending their hearts grew three sizes in the wake of Trump's re-election after ignoring 4 years of Genocide Joe. Hey. He told us we would be "tired of winning."

>>2781593
He's a former wallstreet investment banker btw lol

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>>2781587
>10 calories of hydrocarbons go into every one calorie of food.
and roughly 10 calories of grain are required as feed to produce 1 calorie of beef. Not counting the wasted cattle that fall over dead during a drought or heat wave. Remarkable system we have.

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>>2781595
If only Iran had actually built nukes…

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>>2781597
don't mind me btw i'm just over here LOSING MY FUCKING MIND

>>2781591
<Bezos subtly signalling his vote of no confidence
I wonder if WallStreet will pressure the US government into conceding defeat once things get bad enough.

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>>2781614
every ceo in america answers to trump. even the media

>>2781588
>a market crash is nothing but the cannibalization of the petty bourgeoisie by the haute bourgeoisie
And that's based

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>>2781622
it can be but only if you fulfill stalin's shoemaker parable and actually educate/agitate/organize those fallen petty bourgeoisie. otherwise they just become tools of reaction.

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>>2781641
it's just a thinly veiled way to give him gold as a bribe while kissing his ass. i wonder if we will see the same award years later on a different base

>>2781601
>probably blood libel
weegas it's written in your own damn language, you tell us what it says. I'm seething rn at how stupid this is

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>>2781619
Is the US dengist?

>>2781651
They did it sloppy tho. Which means they don't care about him. Trump is an addict for praise irrespective of sincerity.

Also, I expect we might be raided soon as mods are afk.

>>2781664
think of him like the ceo of ceo's for america incorporated

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> It is natural that if North Korea is attacked, it will have to hit back, that is the only way the West will get the message clear. Now the USA imperialist army has been slaughtering kids and women away from home, but if they dare start any war in the Korean Peninsula, they will have to collect dozens of corpses in their soil. Unlike the imperialist regime in Washington, the North Koreans respect the sanctity of life, but when your life is under a real threat, then you have to defend it.
THREADLY REMINDER

xitter banned AryJeay account. It was one of the best source for following the war. Fucking US propaganda tools, where is the chinese twitter

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>>2781549
>global famine
I'm reminded of the "Black Sea Grain Initiative" where despite there being ongoing food shortage on Africa before Russia's invasion, a common thing, western media also tried to retroactively claim world hunger was Russia's fault. From the western retell,capitalism before 2022 had nothing to do with access to food, poverty and certainly not setting up most of the continent to be extractive neocolonies which need import all their food and necessities. Apparently it was 2022 that the RF invented warfare,"imperialism" and all the associated ills.

But then the UN published a web app where you could visualize the exports data various ways. Revealing that, obviously, the grain goes where the money is to pay for it. And, in fact, most of the grain was sent to China, with Spain in a second place where majority of it was used to feed cattle. A third place was taken by Türkiye, which got an extra share for it's role as mediator.

The page of the UN which used to host the web app has been replaced,since, with a literal low res screenshot of one of the app's tabs. Like so much Looney Tunes stuff, drawing a tunnel on a mountain face. And a PDF with further captures of the app's tabs.

I suppose the problem could be with M$, where the visualization was embedded from. But honestly, how lame is it to be in that position to begin with?
>Oh sorry, the provider fell off
>So I guess I'll just take some screenies and call it done

(The raw data is still available in inscrutable spreadsheet form)

Anyway here is the link:
https://www.un.org/en/black-sea-grain-initiative/data

And here is an archive where the app does not load , but the embed is present:
https://web.archive.org/web/20230605201819/https://www.un.org/en/black-sea-grain-initiative/data

>>2781664
in burger reich porky hold leash, state is dog
in china state hold leash, porky is dog

In light of the aggression on Iran, the actions of American 'leftists' show yet again that they are in fact left-imperialists. Ultimately, only two types of Americans exist: the imperialist and his collaborator.

>>2781727
Welcome back chagos.

https://www.democracynow.org/2026/4/14/iran_blockade

Former American & Iranian Negotiators on Ceasefire Talks & How War Could End

>We’re joined now in the studio by two former negotiators for the U.S. and Iran in this Democracy Now! exclusive.


>Ambassador Seyed Hossein Mousavian served as spokesperson for Iran in its nuclear negotiations with the European Union from 2003 to 2005. He also served as Iran’s ambassador to Germany. He’s author of two books, The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: A Memoir and, most recently, Iran and the United States: An Insider’s View on the Failed Past and the Road to Peace.


>And we’re joined by Rob Malley. He was one of the negotiators on the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, known as the JCPOA, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. He served as a senior Middle East official under Presidents Clinton, Obama and Biden. Under Biden, he served as the special envoy for Iran. He is now a lecturer at Yale University, former president of the International Crisis Group, co-author with Hussein Agha of a new book, Tomorrow Is Yesterday: Life, Death, and the Pursuit of Peace in Israel/Palestine.

>>2781727
Iran needs to start sending thousands of mutts back in goyboxes. It's the only way to get burghers to care about their wars.

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Just 4 days before the war started, the Council on Foreign Relations published a document detailing plans for regime change in Iran. The final points outlined in the document are very closely aligned with the stated wargoals of the Trump regime, and are pretty much exactly what the American delegation pushed for in the Islamabad talks. They are:

>The State Department should activate formal channels via Switzerland and informal channels via Iraq, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates to deliver initial messages to Iran’s new leadership around key parameters for any future diplomacy. Over time, those channels could provide a conduit for testing the possibilities of structured dialogue on important issues, including conflict prevention; hostages; proxies; and nuclear transparency, including options for targeted and reversible economic incentives.

>The Pentagon should develop operational plans for deterring possible Iranian escalation as well as messaging that reaffirms longstanding U.S. defense commitments to Israel and Gulf Cooperation Council states. Those messages should warn that attacks by Iran or its proxies will meet commensurate response, and that Washington will not tolerate opportunistic escalation. U.S. forces should develop plans for surging maritime, air, and missile defense coverage over the Persian Gulf and Levant as warranted.
>The White House should privately convey to key capitals and interlocutors with militia groups, including Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen, that any proxy strikes during the transition will be attributed up the chain and met with proportionate response.
>The departments of Defense, Treasury, and State should step up proxy disruption efforts with new financial sanctions on logistics facilitators, cyber and law-enforcement actions against procurement nodes; and expanded interdictions of armed drones, missiles, and components.
>The Department of Defense should reinforce air and missile defense networks and maritime deployments across U.S. Central Command’s area of responsibility. Officials should also intensify regular coordination with Iraq, Israel, and key Gulf state partners to be prepared to degrade Tehran’s internal coercive capabilities in the event of renewed internal turmoil, limit IRGC-linked militias’ room for maneuver, and deter regional adventurism by Iran’s new leadership.
>The State Department should continue to discourage Americans from traveling to Iran. The special envoy for hostage affairs should press for safeguarding Western detainees and expediting their release. Backchannel messaging can be amplified with an early public marker that hostage-taking will limit economic engagement with the new leadership.
>Treasury and State should coordinate with Canada, European partners, and other states with significant trade and investment relationships in Iran such as Japan and South Korea to link future economic engagement to the release of dual nationals and human rights protections, as well as a constructive regional posture by Iran’s new leaders. Once that multilateral messaging is developed, the United States and its partners should follow up with measures targeting the most notorious abusers.
>The White House should press to revive nuclear diplomacy by coordinating with Berlin, Brussels, London, Paris, and International Atomic Energy Agency to craft an interim package of sequenced steps, including an end to or caps on enrichment and stockpiles; full accounting of centrifuge deployment; and new limitations on Iran’s missile capabilities—all subject to real-time monitoring that could be sequenced with limited, reversible sanctions relief strictly conditioned on verified steps.

https://www.cfr.org/reports/leadership-transition-in-iran
https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Council_On_Foreign_Relations


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