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/leftypol/ - Leftist Politically Incorrect

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whats going on with tokyo stock market?
Its down 6 percent on opening, which might just be contained to japan but as its the first stock market to open it might be more widespread. any idea what might have sparked this?
9 posts omitted.

>>2728426
Asia is more reliant on gulf oil especially India. Everything is getting more expensive.

Recession delayed again
  • Nikkei will probably rebound now at the open
  • G7 has implemented countermeasures to stabilise oil prices by releasing reserves
  • Trump tricked the trading algos to push the US markets into the green before close by making a BS claim about the war being over

we'll see how long this can continue, but it's very clear that keeping the markets afloat is a paramount consideration for the westerners prosecuting this war

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No!!! The evil Iran is making my Nippon suffer, I support Trump now. US Army, PLEASE invade Iran!

Iran made anime no longer real

>>2729359
trump made anime no longer real (debatably indirectly)



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>Previous Thread:
>>2725599 (you)

<Latest News:

>The US and Israel continue to strike Iran, hitting oil storage depots and refining facilities in Tehran for the first time, and sparking large fires across the capital.
<Top Iranian official Ali Larijani says the US will pay for waging war and claims Washington is failing to meet its goals.
>US President Donald Trump threatens to escalate attacks against Iran, while paying tributes to American soldiers killed in the conflict.
<Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates report more Iranian strikes despite an apology and an assurance by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that the strikes will stop.

Operation Orange Fury started on February 28 2026
Post all Iran related content in here.

>Important Links:

https://www.flightradar24.com/
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:52.7/centery:26.8/zoom:7
Post too long. Click here to view the full text.
709 posts and 197 image replies omitted.

>>2727536
Same in Arabic, they’re weirdly unbiased. They run articles about how Gulfies feel betrayed etc, yet the actual reporting is slightly pro-Iran. I highly respect them for that, considering Qatar is being bombed.

>However, the US and Israel are still looking for new ways to escalate kinetically. From Axios in U.S. weighs sending special forces to seize Iran’s nuclear stockpile:

>>The U.S. and Israel have discussed sending special forces into Iran to secure its stockpile of highly enriched uranium at a later stage of the war, according to four sources with knowledge of the discussions.


>If the IAEA were involved in such an operation, this would confirm it is not a good faith actor. Iran-connected sources contended that the IAEA assisted in the assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists by providing information about their whereabouts.


>Now assuming this raid is executed and does not become Bay of Pigs 2.0, Trump’s team may intend to use this as a cross between the Caracas raid and pre-negotiated “obliteration” strikes on Iranian nuclear site, which ended the 12 Day War. Trump might declare victory and stop attacking and expect Iran to stand down.


But even if that is what transpires, it solves nothing for Iran. First, Israel is sure to regard this resolution as unsatisfactory since they want to eliminate Iranian missiles, and better yet, balkanize Iran. So Israel is sure to find a way to resume a hot conflict as soon as possible. Second, after reaffirming that he had indeed “obliterated” the nuclear sites last year, Trump has recently maintained that somehow the Iranians are very far along with rebuilding their enrichment program.

>We discussed earlier what a nutty idea the idea of taking Kharg Island, first voiced publicly by Keith Kellogg, is. Look at a map. It is in the north end of the Persian Gulf. Daniel Davis and others have discussed long form that sending a convoy open the Strait of Hormuz was asking for a turkey shoot of US vessels. This sort of operation would be that, cubed.


>Nevertheless, there are more signs of force mobilization[…]


https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/03/iran-war-more-trump-bluster-as-us-and-israePost too long. Click here to view the full text.

>>2728525
Iran's best chance by far would be to bait America into a ground invasion, which they could then grind down with endless guerrilla warfare from their mountains ala Afghanistan but with A LOT more and better weapons for the guerrillas.

Hezbollah uses tactics it learned from, then taught to Iran. Most of what they do is IED followed up almost immediately by an infantry ambush at close range. You have to fight at close range against these western pattern armies because their fire support is so devastating. If you're right on top of them, they can't call in any airstrikes, so you can fight them man to man. At that point, the element of surprise counts for a lot and pre-positioned infantry ambushes can cause massive damage.

If Iran can bait America into a ground invasion then they can actually WIN this war, instead of just surviving it.

>>2728550
I dunno I think the western armies infantry is gonna be very vulnerable to getting attacked by light quadcopter FPV's and I'd be surprised if Iranian forces don't have them.
Western militaries are just still used to the idea that they're going to have dramatic technological advantage over their opponents and this simply isn't true anymore.

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>>2727603
>magacommunism is a failure. Haz was wrong
>>2727594
>you are telling me haz was wrong?
The plan to turn MAGA into communists by being homophobic and anti-war has unfortunately failed because it turned out that MAGA is less homophobic and more hawkish than non-MAGA Republicans.



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>Previous Thread:
>>2726464

<Latest News:

>The US and Israel continue to strike Iran, hitting oil storage depots and refining facilities in Tehran for the first time, and sparking large fires across the capital.
<Top Iranian official Ali Larijani says the US will pay for waging war and claims Washington is failing to meet its goals.
>US President Donald Trump threatens to escalate attacks against Iran, while paying tributes to American soldiers killed in the conflict.
<Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates report more Iranian strikes despite an apology and an assurance by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that the strikes will stop.

Operation Orange Fury started on February 28 2026
Post all Iran related content in here.

>Important Links:

https://www.flightradar24.com/
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:52.7/centery:26.8/zoom:7
Post too long. Click here to view the full text.
657 posts and 138 image replies omitted.

Somebody cook

>>2728987
So there it is
>>2728989

>>2728790
You cant put Russian and Chinese foreign policy under one hat lol??
Russia has on one hand proven to just be a bad ally in general, leaving Armenia and Venezuela on their own. But on the other hand, them not helping Iran is more or less his way of "trying to maintain good relations with the USA". The US has effectively stopped supporting Ukraine, has tried to force a resource deal on Ukraine that would exploit them and keeps tightening the thumb screws in general. Russia knows this and in return doesn't want to land in conflict with the US in other theathers (i.e. Iran) even if the may very well help.
China on the other hand seems to pursue a policy of no military intervention anywhere whatsoever. Whereas Russia is active in e.g. Africa via Wagner, China only really builds up its influence financially to try and cement its image as the "friendly superpower that helps everyone" while they still just as much exploit the countries, claim their waters, fish in foreign territories etc.
>including an attempt on Putin himself
Source?

>>2729047
>bad ally in general, leaving Armenia and Venezuela on their own
venezuela they couldnt have done shit, armenia fucked around cozying up with nato and refusing to give basic concessions despite being in the weak position until being face to face with the consequences

>>2729047
>them not helping Iran
except they are helping iran



 

Discuss:
Communists should, wherever pragmatic, seek positions of power and influence, even those that weigh on our conscience, or even those that necessitate us killing innocent proletarians.

In fact, any unionists even, so long as they believe in strike action, should be placing themselves in critical industries where withdrawal of labor is most potent. If me and three of my coworkers all went on strike today, one of the worlds' largest businesses would be vulnerable to attack from a foreign country. If our movement seeks many of these points of failure, a mere few hundred coordinated workers could upset the current order of things today.

Of course, to ascend to these positions is often reserved for those with privileges, but that doesn't mean we can't still influence these positions externally. The recruitment, or even mere gaslighting of the powerful should be paramount.
6 posts omitted.

>>2728349
The American ones, especially the anti missile missiles, are gold plated shit, the Chinese and Russians have better and more reliable models

>>2728305
If you do this without keeping a connection to grassroots organizing/left social spaces you'll just lose yourself and become another cog. In order to reduce cognitive dissonance, when someone has conflicting beliefs/morals and actions, one of them has to conform to the other. If you maintain your employment it will inevitably your morals and beliefs that bend to accommodate your actions.

If you have and maintain connection to organized communist efforts, this is a very good idea.

>>2728464
>If you maintain your employment it will inevitably your morals and beliefs that bend to accommodate your actions.
What is the mechanism behind this hypothesis?

>>2728517
It happens all too often. I don't think it's impossible to get to these positions as a true double agent, but you'd have to be connected firmly to the people/party/objective you're committed to. Like the Scientologists and other cults plant agents in government. You'd have to be a true agent. No wannabe leader shit.

I agree with OP



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There's a balance between conspiratorial thinking and over-applying Occam's razor. Occam's razor, basically says that when several explanations fit the facts, the simplest one that requires the fewest assumptions is usually the best starting point. It works well in the natural sciences because nature often follows relatively simple underlying rules, for example, planetary motion became much easier to understand once Johannes Kepler described elliptical orbits (versus the previous needlessly-complicated system of epicycles) and Isaac Newton explained them with the single principle of Universal Gravitation. But the razor works less reliably in human systems, where incentives, secrecy, and deception can make the materialist explanation more complicated than it first appears; history includes genuine conspiracies such as the Watergate Scandal, the Tuskegee Syphilis Study, and the countless CIA coups, all of which involved coordinated wrongdoing that might have sounded farfetched before evidence emerged. Conspiracies can also be difficult to prove even when real because participants keep secrets, information is compartmentalized or classified, and whistleblowers face risks, which means evidence often appears slowly or incompletely. The challenge, then, is finding a balance: if you apply Occam’s Razor too aggressively you may dismiss real hidden coordination, but if you assume elaborate plots everywhere you end up believing explanations that pile on unsupported assumptions. Good reasoning usually means starting with simple explanations while staying open to more complex ones when incentives, evidence, and context genuinely point in that direction.
19 posts and 4 image replies omitted.

>>2725744
Actually I think you have it backwards

The simplest theory of everything bad in society is "bad people made it happen on purpose". You just need to know that people have power and agency. It's much more complex to explain the relationship between commodities, gold, labor, capital, the proletariat, the bourgeoisie, markets, the state, and so on and how this is a system which produces certain results regardless of any subjective variance and agency in the individual participants.

So while I also agree with validating conspiracies as real and not reducing everything to market incentives and selection forces, if you veer too far towards individual agency you get an idealist and liberal understanding of how society works. It leads to "just get rid of the bad apples" and "capitalism is bad because greed", and these necessitate liberal solutions that ultimately maintain capitalism. This is why conspiracy theories are so much more popular among the masses. The answers are mentally easy and don't challenge the system, only scandalize it.

>>2728472
If we kill all the bad people, they no longer exist, they can no longer do bad things. It's that shrimple.

>>2728474
And, frankly, bad people are like animals. They only understand the kind of language, of I am going to physically inflict pain on you in certain amounts for a certain time. This is the only thing that deters them.

>What uyghas wan' do when you see me off camera

>uygha strip who? I'll beat you till you lavender

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>>2728475
Let's see Musk get beat once til he's Lavender and what he ever has to say again after that. Let's see his facial geometry get rearranged.

Occam's Razor, is I am going to flay all your skin from your flesh with a razor. Funkytown time nah mean?



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https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/03/08/crude-oil-prices-today-iran-war.html

I hope the USA faces $10/litre at the pumps and the GOP are wiped out electorally.

Depends on which part of the U.S., I'm moving to Houston to work as a rent boy for oil millionaires $$$

I hope the No Kings marches inspire more "Never Trump" Republicans to defect and impeach the orangutan

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It's a shame they locked Houdini up in Florida because he could get in on this



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Fourier thread. Do you think God made us all equal in his image and that no man should be born into, and live in, poverty? How can we make a scientific study of Christian Socialism; is it merely utopian?

>>2727928
Jesus preached socialism and it was first practiced as described in the book of Acts where "everyone had everything in common". Deacons (servants) were responsible for the distribution of goods. This was the inspiration for what came later. Now the nascent church was scattered when persecution by the Jews intensified after Steven and James were martyred but the missions still sent supplies to whoever was in need. This broke down gradually over time because of the influence of politics on the religion. The co-opting of religion to serve politics has given us the madness were experiencing today. The separation of church and state is necessary to protect the integrity of both, so Christian socialism is just as bad an idea as Christian nationalism. The ASP exists in a few states to try to influence elections by promoting the socialism found in church teaching but the aim isn't a utopian end but because they believe that "God made us all equal in his image and that no man should be born into, and live in, poverty".

Christian Socialism was debunked by Marx and Engels 178 years ago. Nothing more needs to be said.

>>2728011
Marx and Engels are dead, ELN is alive



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In celebration of working woman's day, I have to once again point out it is pretty funny that all the women radlibs hold up as their ideological forerunner explicitly denounced feminism (correctly) as bourgeois, but these people, many of them men funnily enough, just assume "they are women so they must be feminists, duh!"

Revolutionary women like Zetkin and Kollontai (are these two even in le funny random username rotation…?) correctly stated proletarians who are women will be liberated along with all other proletarians in a genuine revolution, and ones who aren't proletarian are simply not the concern of communists, all while completely rejecting the feminist label.

>text wall
I enjoyed reading the full version of this.

>The Social Basis of the Woman Question - Kollontai 1909

https://www.marxists.org/archive/kollonta/1909/social-basis.htm



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<The Democratic Socialists of America
Why do they exist? What do they do? Who are their allies, who are their enemies? What is this caucus thing? Is BlackRedGuard truly the secret leader of it all? What are their objectives, their tendencies, their strategy, their tactics?
DSA anons, enlighten me.
54 posts and 12 image replies omitted.

>>2726703
In left-wing online spaces they helped shape the culture, but none of that translated into real political change. In the end they were mostly just really annoying and all of them eventually became either normie liberals

>>2726703
>They are the single most prominent leftist organization in the United States
sad

>>2726703
Not a defense at all. Speaks to the degree of the problem since they suck and are on a road to nowhere.

>>2726703
Devastating statement, actually makes me suicidal

>>2726703
>>2727111
don't be too discouraged by numbers. much of the DSA's membership are inactive paper members, and an actually revolutionary party in the US only needs like 10-20k people to truly intervene in the labor movement and lead



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A thread for people who aren’t riddled with mental illnesses that compromise their ability to comprehend political theory and thought, but who are also not so heartless as to deny the plight of the global poor at the hands of the ruling classes

>Yes Mao and Stalin were incompetent dictators who got millions killed because of bad policy and collaborated with fascists or liberals to do the bidding of the national bourgeoisie, this is corroborated by overhwhelming physical evidence

>No the US was/is not any better in its victimization of the global poor and mass death, but it was not any worse either

QOTT: How do we get left populist candidates in office that can work towards the goal of a total embargo of Israel, achieving universal healthcare, and putting orange pedo in jail?

<It’s not possible without people’s war!

>Not happening. Keep fantasizing about killing people though, evil retard
<Go back to /libpol/!
>I don’t like landlords or gaza genocide deniers
<Have sex with me!
>Okay. How big is your penis?
<Um. Like 5.5 inches
>Huh. Idk I kind of prefer bigger cocks
Post too long. Click here to view the full text.
14 posts and 1 image reply omitted.

>>2726781
>An analysis of 186 non-industrial societies found a positive relationship between the presence of traditional fermented beverages (such as mead, wine and beer) and higher levels of political complexity.
weed smokers need to stop trying. we have the roman republic. we have mesopotamia. we have the yoruba proto-republics. we have the greek polis.

>>2726782
The only way is sobriety, everything else distorts and muddles the mind.

>>2726747
>QOTT: How do we get left populist candidates in office that can work towards the goal of a total embargo of Israel, achieving universal healthcare, and putting orange pedo in jail?
Going to all the effort of implanting a left-centrist would be better off spent building that organizational capacity outside of bourgeois state systems, no? Now, I'm not against participation in them, but isn't that being your end goal rather self-defeating?

The ship's sinking and the crew on the bridge have jammed the steering. Why not work to stop the engines as you plead with them to take the bar off the wheel? Why not get the most vulnerable to the life rafts while the strongest arm themselves incase the bridge needs to be stormed? To deny revolutionary work is to kneecap yourself. The things you do to get a guy elected can also serve as a basis for revolutionary action if you play your cards right.

>>2726755
>I recognize that class struggle is reality, but you will never see a revolution in your lifetime because the organizational capacity of the working class in terms of actually halting production is near zero.
Thus, you help build it. If you can build it enough to get a guy in office, why stop there? The reformist does not encompass revolution but a revolutionary encompasses reform. Take the idea of "class struggle" to it's logical conclusion, either in the revolutionary reconstitution of society at large, or in the common ruin of the contending classes.


Having said that, I highly suspect that this is bait.

infantiles

>>2726782
>>2726779
alcohol resulted in class society and exploitation. ancient porkies got people to become slaves and serfs by making them alcoholic first



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