>>2917809I won’t concede your “foreigners in general are more likely to rape” racist formulation, because the current evidence base does not support treating that as a universal, measured individual-level rate. The Migration Observatory’s August 2026 review explicitly says actual offending rates by group are unknown and that there is no published immigration-status breakdown for convicted offenders:
https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/migrants-and-crime-in-the-uk/Hence why I mentioned the Texas study. It provides a useful reference precisely because, unlike the UK data you’re relying on, the Texas dataset actually distinguishes native-born citizens, legal immigrants and undocumented immigrants. The researchers therefore measured the subgroup you’re trying to reason about rather than assuming that its rate must conform to the aggregate foreign-born rate.
That directly undermines the inference you’re making here: being a member of a broader category does not tell us the rate of a particular subgroup within it. You still need subgroup-specific data to establish the subgroup’s rate.
You’ve largely refused to engage with that distinction and instead returned to the assumption that asylum seekers should be expected to conform to the foreign-national rate. But that’s exactly the assumption under dispute.
Also, your 35% calculation is not the problem. My previous correction should be left standing: your arithmetic is now approximately right if the numerator and denominator are treated as compatible. The mistake is what you try to infer from that demographic composition afterward. The Home Office itself reports 42% arriving by small boat and 62% adult male, while separately warning that demographic profiles vary by nationality and route:
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-march-2026/how-many-people-claim-asylum-in-the-ukAnd your statement that Pakistanis are the majority of asylum seekers is simply false: Pakistan was the largest single nation
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