François Bayrou's government is probably going to fall this evening.
Essentially, after Macron chose to start early legislatives elections in 2024, the French national assembly has been divided in 3 main blocs, the NFP, a coalition of parties affiliated to the left, the Presidential camp, who allied themselves with the hard right republican party and the RN, the main far right party
with the NFP having come first in the elections, Macron was supposed to chose a prime minister of their desires, but he didn't do that, instead choosing Michel Barnier to lead a center-right government. Barnier's government became the shortest lived government of the 5th republic. Macron replaced him with Bayrou who started yet another centrist government. Essentially, Bayrou's government was riddled with scandals, the major one being his coverup of child rape in a private catholic school when he was minister of the education, but the main reason he's going down is his budget for 2026, where he intended to make major cuts in the economy, such as removing certain holidays like VE day, and other ultraliberal policies. He did chose to let the national assembly vote in their confidence in him, the left wing parties and the far right both agreed that they would vote against him, and even 2/3 of the republican party promised they'd vote against him. So it's extremely likely he gets fired this evening.
Now, once he gets fired Macron has 3 main options
-Continue as he has done previously, put another centrist guy in power, and hope he doesn't get fired again
-Find an agreement with the left or the far right, now, in the left, there is the PS who have often been favorable to Barnier and Bayrou, going against the grain of their allies in the NFP, a united coalition from PS to Republican doesn't have an absolute majority, but it's fairly close, such a government could be sustainable.
- He can dissolve again and hope for a solution there, but it's unlikely to yield any favorable results for him, as Bayrou is very unpopular, and he is less likely to benefit from leftists voting for him as the lesser evil.
46 posts and 6 image replies omitted.>>2509617Macron s’amuse depuis 2017. J’aime bien me moquer de lui, mais franchement dans cette France de cons, il est pas si con que ça. Dommage que ça doit être un neoliberal et pas un bon Manu de goôoche :(
>>2509621Didn't Melenchon say he would exit both the EU and NATO before? He's probably hiding his power level at the moment due to the cucks in PS
>>2509625Melenchon has said everything and its contrary in the past. A top opportunist. No wonder, as he started his career as a trotskyist who’s life goal was to destroy the PCF.
>>2465989>he intended to make major cuts in the economy, such as removing certain holidaysit's fucking ogre for him he shall be taken to the guillotines soon
>>2465989New government collapsed again, lasted less then a day, shortest government in French History