Suspicion is growing among Brazilian intelligence agents that the Bolsonaro supporters' actions are not being organized by organic movements within the country, but rather by a meticulously rehearsed script by the White House, with the participation of the CIA.
In recent days, Eduardo Bolsonaro's aggressiveness against the Federal Police, against Supreme Court justices, his attitude of defying even the rules of his mandate, and his increasingly radical rhetoric have raised alarm bells.
The first of these is due to the certainty of being able to speak and misinform, without any fear of facing justice.
The second suspicion concerns the aggressiveness of Donald Trump's own actions. He reserved the highest tariffs and harshest rhetoric for Brazil, and closed the door to any dialogue with the Lula administration.
"This is a typical script drawn up by the CIA, feeding national actors to justify a foreign strategic interest," said an Abin agent abroad.
In 2022, in the midst of Jair Bolsonaro's preparations for a coup, Joe Biden's then-CIA chief traveled to Brazil to deliver a message to the Brazilian military: an adventure against the country's democracy would not have American backing.
Today, the suspicion is that the new Trump administration has a different stance. Indeed, the White House's efforts are to assert that actions are being taken to "defend" Brazilians, not against them. The Bolsonaro clan is the straw man. The sanctions would be implemented, officially, not to serve US strategic interests, but supposedly to enforce "freedom in Brazil."
The script has all the necessary ingredients to construct a rhetoric suitable for action. There is a group of supposed "exiles"—such as Eduardo Bolsonaro, Allan dos Santos, and Paulo Figueiredo—there is a "wronged" individual who is "loved by the people"—former President Jair Bolsonaro—and there is a supposedly dictatorial regime, represented by Alexandre de Moraes and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
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